Tom Nelson

Thomas Nelson

Interviews and presentations on climate/energy realism and more, with guests including Will Happer, Jerome Corsi, Marc Morano, Carl-Otto Weiss, Valentina Zharkova, Christopher Essex, Henrik Svensmark, Patrick Moore, Ross McKitrick, Willie Soon, Susan Crockford, Peter Ridd, Christopher Monckton, and Richard Lindzen.

  1. 13 h fa

    Gianluca Alimonti: “Three “climate matrix” papers” #412

    Gianluca Alimonti discusses three “climate matrix” papers: a 2022 review of extreme weather time series and response indicators that found no clear worsening trends (later retracted, which he argues lacked specific scientific grounds and reflected political pressure); a 2023 analysis of EM-DAT natural-disaster records concluding the post-1970 rise is largely improved reporting, with trends stable since about 2000 and disaster deaths decreasing; and a recent framework proposing 43 IPCC-aligned impact-driver and response indicators to assess “climate crisis,” finding most show no worsening, many improve, and few worsen. He criticizes media/official claims of rapidly rising disasters and emphasizes adaptation and prevention. 00:00 Meet Gianluca Alimonti 00:02 Climate Matrix Trilogy Overview 01:31 Paper One Extreme Events 03:11 Hurricanes Rain Tornado Data 05:31 Retraction Controversy 09:50 Paper Two Disaster Claims 12:36 EM-DAT Reporting Bias 17:27 Stable Trends Since 2000 21:42 Paper Three Defining Crisis 23:12 Media Term And Search Trends 27:05 Building A Crisis Framework 28:20 Drivers Floods Cyclones Fires 31:53 Response Indicators Scorecard 35:59 Adaptation Beats Mitigation 37:49 Conclusions Media Distortion 39:38 Q&A Retraction And Outreach 41:40 Where To Find Work 44:05 Closing Thanks And Farewell Home page: https://www0.mi.infn.it/~alimonti/homepage/indexEn.htm Pielke Jr on “The Alimonti Addendum”: https://rogerpielkejr.substack.com/p/the-alimonti-addendum ========= Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

  2. 4 gg fa

    Nicola Scafetta: “The Frontier of Climate Science” | Tom Nelson Pod #411

    Nicola Scafetta discusses his book, "The Frontier of Climate Science," a review based on about 650 peer‑reviewed papers arguing that IPCC global climate models have serious limitations because they fail to capture multi‑scale natural variability (oceanic, solar, astronomical, and tidal cycles). He says model claims that nearly all warming since 1850 is anthropogenic are not experimentally validated, climate sensitivity remains highly uncertain, and many models run too hot, with possible surface-record warm bias from urban heat islands. He cites past warm periods and correlations between climate and solar/cosmic-ray proxies, proposes empirical/semi‑empirical cycle-based modeling, and concludes warming risk is moderate, SSP2 could meet Paris targets, net zero is unnecessary, and adaptation should be prioritized. 00:00 Introducing Scafetta’s New Book 06:03 Earth’s Deep-Time Climate Swings 11:06 IPCC Attribution to Humans 14:44 Why Model Proof Falls Short 17:27 Paris Targets and Net Zero Logic 24:33 Are IPCC Scenarios Realistic 29:04 Model Uncertainty and Sensitivity 34:57 Satellites vs Surface Warming 38:42 Missing Past Warm Periods 43:21 Millennial Solar Climate Cycles 46:00 Forests Beneath Glaciers 46:59 Solar Records vs Climate 49:18 TSI Reconstructions Debate 52:09 Cosmic Rays and Clouds 56:07 Empirical Models Challenge IPCC 59:18 Policy Implications and Adaptation 01:01:12 Planetary Cycles Climate Theory 01:05:37 Matching Climate Spectral Cycles 01:12:51 Future Hiatus and Sensitivity 01:19:43 Next Glaciation Long View 01:24:01 Book Wrap Up and Thanks The Frontier of Climate Science: Solar variability, natural cycles and model uncertainty: https://a.co/d/0flzOYJ3 ========= Brochure for Nicola’s “The Frontier of Climate Science” book, along with slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

  3. 7 lug

    Anika Sweetland: “IPCC EXPOSED!!! Response to a global problem? Or formation of 1 world gov’t?” #410

    Anika Sweetland argues the IPCC was created through politics, funding, and elite influence, tracing its origins to the 1985 Villach Conference and alleging it advances centralized global governance. She says media-driven fear shifted from 1970s “ice age” stories to 1988 “global warming,” citing sea-level warnings that did not occur. Sweetland claims climate finance and clean-energy investment incentives benefit IPCC-linked officials. She highlights Climategate emails as evidence of strategic data presentation (“hide the decline”), message management, and peer-review gatekeeping (“PAL review”), plus an alleged journal blacklist. She says her climate studies education omitted Climategate, emphasized policy “solutions,” and discouraged debate. 00:00 IPCC Exposed Intro 01:01 Ice Age Media Panic 02:06 Fear as Control Tool 03:36 Global Warming Rebrand 05:23 Sea Level Scare Claims 07:28 Villach Birth of IPCC 09:31 Global Governance Agenda 10:31 Trillions and Incentives 12:20 Climategate Data Tricks 18:57 Peer Review Gatekeeping 21:44 Blacklists and Ideology 23:31 Personal Wake Up Call 25:16 Who Controls Science 26:34 What We Can Do Next 27:23 Host Reacts and Questions 27:36 Climategate Not Taught 30:10 Policy Impacts UK Europe 33:15 Witch Hunts Parallel 37:22 Climate Degree Brainwashing 40:42 Only Graduate Story 43:15 Today’s Model Driven Teaching 45:19 Books and IPCC Origins 46:17 Closing Thanks and Wrap https://x.com/anika_climate ========= Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

  4. 3 lug

    Liam DeBoer | Tom Nelson Pod #409

    Liam DeBoer describes his Substack blending philosophy, psychology, culture, politics, and history, and argues in “Your Ruling Class Is Not Secular” that modern materialist elites still express religious impulses by mapping “soul,” apocalypse, and salvation narratives onto gender ideology, climate change, and revolutionary politics. He discusses Orwell’s 1984 as a psychological study of totalitarianism reshaping perception, and links current activism to young women, noting polling showing young women moving left and widening dating/marriage mismatches. He predicts widening Western factional conflict, references the “fourth turning,” and explains Nietzsche’s ressentiment and victimhood. He outlines “daycare governance” in a feminized institutional culture and summarizes “political ponerology” archetypes behind authoritarianism. He details Canada’s “Vancouver model” money laundering tied to triads, casinos, and politics, and discusses censorship, platform throttling, and Zuckerberg’s motives. 00:00 Meet Liam DeBoer 00:33 Ruling Class Religion 03:34 Climate as Cult 04:40 Orwell and Totalitarianism 07:53 Politics and Dating Divide 11:21 Fracture and Future Conflict 14:46 Fourth Turning Cycles 17:00 Nietzsche Ressentiment 23:32 Victimhood and Agency 26:24 South Korea 4B Fallout 28:01 Daycare Governance Model 35:06 Equality Clips Greatness 37:55 Political Ponerology Types 42:46 Canada Money Laundering 52:06 Censorship and Free Speech 55:30 Zuckerberg Rebrand 57:22 Closing and Links https://liamoutloud.substack.com/ https://x.com/liam_out_loud https://www.youtube.com/@liam-out-loud ========= Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

  5. 30 giu

    Ken Jensen: “The Enemies of Reason” | Tom Nelson Pod #408

    Ken Jensen describes his background in environmental toxicology and medical devices, then argues morality can be grounded without religion. He traces a “true, good, beautiful” triad from Plato through Vitruvius and maps it to objective reality, reciprocity/voluntary exchange, and beauty/grace, contrasting it with a destructive “DOI” (destruction, opposition, inversion) force. He critiques management tactics like permanent crisis, “red dot” diversions, and misuse of Romans 13, citing Katrina clergy response teams. He promotes a “dartboard” model over left-right politics, says ethics and morality are inseparable (Nuremberg vs Nazi view), warns about EU-style centralization, CBDCs, and praises ridicule as a defense. He discusses sound money and presents his books The Enemies of Reason and The Memo. 00:00 Meet Ken Jensen 01:02 Morality Without God 02:23 Early Doubts and Clues 05:13 Climate Debate and First Principles 06:15 Entropy Uppers and Downers 09:02 Religion as Binding Core 10:46 Words Shape Thought 13:38 Plato Truth Good Beauty 17:47 Rome Constantine and Control 20:26 Katrina Clergy Response Teams 23:12 Triad Mapped to Trinity 29:02 Dorothy Model and Inversion 30:43 Universities and Private Property 34:57 Aesthetics vs Brutalism 35:35 Destruction Opposition Inversion 36:04 Parasitic Tactics Explained 36:59 Inverting the Trinity 37:27 Defining What We Defend 38:12 Two Books Overview 38:57 Dartboard Not Left Right 41:04 Morality vs Legal Positivism 43:13 Takeaways Recalibration 46:37 Studying Evil and Pride 49:34 Red Dot Diversions 51:17 Wizard of Oz Q and A 51:48 CBDCs and EU Centralization 56:57 Permanent Crisis and Elites 58:33 Ressentiment and Ridicule 01:01:20 Sound Money Fixes Society 01:04:17 Wrap Up and Contacts https://www.linkedin.com/in/kpjensen/ https://www.contactauthorkpj.com/ ========= Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

  6. 28 giu

    Hügo Krüger: “Great idea: If it’s really too hot in your house, get some AC” | Tom Nelson Pod #407

    In a Paris heatwave (33–40°C), Hügo Krüger says France suffers more indoors because only about 25% of homes have AC, unlike near-universal AC in the US/Japan. He describes ideological and regulatory resistance to AC from ecologists and left-wing politicians, despite AC being a reversible heat pump and France’s electricity being largely nuclear. Apartment rules, aesthetic objections, and energy ratings discourage installation; subsidies favor air-to-water heat pumps that can’t cool. Demand for fans and AC is surging, and politicians propose easing restrictions. He expects fewer deaths than 2003 due to heat alerts, but argues AC would reduce vulnerability. 00:00 Paris Heatwave Check In 01:00 Why France Lacks AC 01:33 Myths About Air Conditioning 03:00 Hospitals Trains And Culture 03:42 Politics And Nuclear Power Angle 07:20 Heat Deaths And Public Response 14:47 Regulations Blocking Reversible AC 16:44 How Rare Is This Heat 17:54 2003 Heatwave Lessons 20:31 Hardliners And Building Lobby 22:14 Insulation Fans And Daily Life 24:11 Bigger Pattern And Nuclear Future 29:04 Wrap Up And GoFundMe Plug https://x.com/hkrugertjie “fundraiser to buy an AC for the French Heat Wave!”: https://www.gofundme.com/f/help-me-not-melt-in-paris-2026-heatwave?lang=en_US&ts=1782483248 ========= Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

  7. 26 giu

    Erich Schaffer: “Water Vapor Feedback, Part Two” | Tom Nelson Pod #406

    Erich Schaffer critiques the “super greenhouse effect” and argues that tropical outgoing longwave radiation stays flat mainly because tropospheric temperature is sluggish relative to surface temperature, not because water vapor amplifies greenhouse trapping. He says regional and seasonal proxies for water vapor feedback are invalid (citing admissions by Ramanathan/Inamdar and Dessler et al.) and claims interannual proxy results are distorted by aspect-ratio choices and improper OLS regression, advocating TLS or rotated-benchmark methods. Reanalyzing published plots (Spencer, Lindzen-Choi, Chung, Andy May), he concludes water vapor plus lapse rate implies strong negative feedback and low ECS (~1 K). He also alleges data “fudging” and broader scientific incompetence. 00:00 Super Greenhouse Effect 02:20 OLR Calculations Explained 03:28 Troposphere Sluggishness 05:32 Ramanathan Admission 10:23 Feedback Breakdown Math 12:37 Two Proxies Debunked 14:05 Revisiting Interannual Proxy 16:02 Bad Regression Plotting 17:16 Aspect Ratio Distortion 23:45 OLS vs TLS Regression 30:53 Negative Feedback Emerges 33:22 Spencer Regression Mystery 37:45 Lindzen Choi Critique 41:03 Fixing Lindzen Plot 51:17 Recent Andy May Example 53:21 Rotate Plot Method 55:19 Benchmark Slope Trick 57:38 Questionable Outliers 01:01:26 Proxies Fall Apart 01:02:22 Lapse Rate Physics 01:05:45 Tropical Hotspot Feedback 01:11:10 AR6 Codependency Critique 01:14:24 MODTRAN Water Vapor Test 01:19:44 Emission Altitudes Explained 01:25:22 Net Feedback and ECS 01:27:17 Blunders and Sociology 01:40:54 Q&A and Takeaway 01:44:44 Bonus Coal Math Error 01:47:42 Wrap Up Erich Schaffer: “Water Vapor Feedback, Part One”: https://youtu.be/2O4mOf9gk-s https://x.com/erich_schaffer https://greenhousedefect.com/ ========= Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

  8. 23 giu

    Anika Sweetland Part 1: “The science lesson you never received” | Tom Nelson Pod #405

    Tom interviews Anika Sweetland, who argues Earth’s climate changes in predictable natural cycles and that today is relatively cool in a 65‑million‑year context. Using graphs and books by Gregory Wrightstone, she describes ice-age rhythms linked to Milankovitch cycles and 1,500‑year Dansgaard–Oeschger cycles, including the Medieval Warm Period and Little Ice Age, and claims solar activity and cosmic rays better correlate with temperature than CO2. She says the IPCC smooths data and governments use fear for control, while net-zero policies are wasteful and geoengineering in the UK is concerning. Sweetland recounts university climate studies as CO2-focused indoctrination, discusses backlash and support online, and previews a part two on the IPCC. 00:00 Meet Anika Sweetland 04:40 Ice Ages and Long Cooling 07:18 Milankovitch Cycles Explained 09:14 Dansgaard Oeschger Cycles 11:04 Medieval Warmth and Little Ice Age 14:01 Sun Cosmic Rays and Clouds 18:21 CO2 Claims and Propaganda 21:07 Her Climate Degree Experience 23:22 Education Debate and Models 27:47 Conference Disruption and Activism 30:34 Social Media Pushback 34:54 Part Two and Wrap Up 35:22 Energy Policy and Geoengineering 39:18 Final Thanks and Goodbye https://x.com/anika_climate The 16th International Conference on Climate Change: https://climateconference.heartland.org/ Anika on being bombarded with global warming propaganda: https://x.com/anika_climate/status/2037550091544785239 ========= Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

Descrizione

Interviews and presentations on climate/energy realism and more, with guests including Will Happer, Jerome Corsi, Marc Morano, Carl-Otto Weiss, Valentina Zharkova, Christopher Essex, Henrik Svensmark, Patrick Moore, Ross McKitrick, Willie Soon, Susan Crockford, Peter Ridd, Christopher Monckton, and Richard Lindzen.

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