Tom Nelson

Thomas Nelson
  • 5.0（2）
  • 自然科学

Interviews and presentations on climate and energy realism, with guests including Will Happer, Jerome Corsi, Marc Morano, Carl-Otto Weiss, Valentina Zharkova, Christopher Essex, Henrik Svensmark, Patrick Moore, Ross McKitrick, Willie Soon, Susan Crockford, Peter Ridd, Christopher Monckton, and Richard Lindzen.

  1. 3日前

    Paul Burgess: “Burgess Oceanic-Solar-CO2 Index Follow-Up” | Tom Nelson Pod #375

    Paul Burgess presents updates to his Burgess Oceanic Solar CO2 index, claiming it precisely matches satellite temperatures from 1982–2025 without changing its fixed formula, including UAH v6.1 and final 2024–2025 data despite a record-low PDO. He says the index is not a forecasting model and implies ECS is 1°C, with ~25% warming from CO2 and ~22–23% from human CO2 after outgassing. A second paper argues oceans drive low-cloud changes (1–3 year lag), with ~2% cloud decline explaining warming, challenging IPCC positive feedbacks. He previews an extension back to 1900 with ~0.96 correlation using a UHI adjustment (Connolly 2021) and invites critique by email. 00:00 Paul Burgess Returns: Introducing the Oceanic Solar CO₂ Index Update 00:24 How the Index Matches Satellite Temps (and Why That’s Unusual) 01:02 No Curve-Fitting: Validation, Critiques, and Why It’s Public 02:19 Completing 2024–2025 + Switching UAH v6.0 to v6.1 03:42 Index vs Model: Fixed Formula, Inputs, and What It Can (and Can’t) Forecast 05:01 CO₂ Contribution & ECS = 1°C: What the Index Implies 07:01 Paper #1 Results: Record-Low PDO Stress Test and Fit Metrics 11:43 From Statistics to Physics: Paper #2 on Oceans, Clouds, and Sunlight 13:03 Clouds as Earth’s Thermostat: The ~2% Low-Cloud Change Claim 15:58 Cloud Layers & Evidence: Low Clouds Drive the Signal 17:58 IPCC Feedback Story Explained (and Critiqued) 21:31 Chicken-and-Egg Problem: Ocean–Cloud Coupling and the 1–3 Year Lag 22:00 Paper #3 Teaser: Testing Water Vapor, Albedo, and Cloud Feedbacks 27:21 Key Takeaways: Albedo/Ice Changes Follow Warming + Better Cloud Observations 28:19 Cloud Cover vs. Shortwave Radiation: What the Satellite Data Shows 28:59 Takeaway #3: Low Clouds as an Ocean-Driven “Sunshade” (Not a Warming Amplifier) 29:37 Four Key Lessons: Ocean Leads Clouds, and the Radiative Effect Matches 30:57 Implications for Climate Sensitivity: Why Models May Overstate CO₂ Feedbacks 32:07 How to Critique the Framework: Falsification Tests and Evidence Chain 34:57 Extending the BOI Back to 1900: Data Limits, UHI Adjustments, and Out-of-Sample Logic 36:12 Sneak Peek Results: BOI 1900–2025 and the 0.96 Correlation Claim 40:23 Q&A: How the BOI Coefficients Were Built (Covariance Fitting, Weights, Inputs) 43:51 Testing and Next Steps: Volcano Signals, Ocean Mechanisms, and Future Projections 47:02 Forecast vs. IPCC + Wrap-Up: Cooling Possibility, Politics, and Contact Info Email: svsuliere@gmail.com Explaining Every Temperature Change from 1983 to 2025 - My Most Important Work Ever: https://substack.com/home/post/p-182701114 Linking Ocean Heat, Low Clouds, and Sunlight In Burgess Oceanic index: https://paulburgess3.substack.com/p/linking-ocean-heat-low-clouds-and Testing Water Vapour, Albedo and Cloud Feedback with the Burgess Oceanic Index: https://paulburgess3.substack.com/p/testing-water-vapour-albedo-and-cloud Climate Realism by Paul Burgess: https://www.youtube.com/@ClimateRealism ========= Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

    56分

  2. 2月22日

    Joseph Fournier: “There is not one greenhouse effect; there are two” | Tom Nelson Pod #374

    Joseph Fournier presents “part two” on how Pacific Walker circulation controls Earth’s largest greenhouse effect: cloud longwave radiative forcing. He explains cloud radiative forcing terminology, cites literature claiming cloud greenhouse warming dwarfs CO2 forcing, and shows satellite-era links between trade winds, cloud shifts during ENSO, outgoing longwave radiation, and global/tropical temperature anomalies. He contrasts absorbed solar radiation, OLR, and Earth energy imbalance, arguing global averages can be dominated by regional Pacific dynamics. He reviews multidecadal “dimming/brightening” sunshine trends in Europe, Japan and the U.S., discusses aerosols vs natural drivers, and briefly addresses future uncertainty, AMO/IPO impacts, and solar/cosmic-ray hypotheses.  00:00 Welcome Back: Joseph Fournier & Why This Is “Part Two” 02:15 Cloud Basics 101: Shortwave vs Longwave, Net Cloud Radiative Forcing 05:51 Albedo Matters: How Small Cloud Changes Rival CO₂ Forcing 08:40 Evidence in the Literature: Trendberth and Early Satellite Cloud Forcing Maps 14:28 Clouds vs CO₂ Since 2000: Step-Change in Cloudiness and OLR 16:56 Geography Over Global Averages: The Western Pacific Warm Pool Hotspot 20:12 Warm Pool Size, SST, and Real-World Impacts (Winters, ENSO Timescales) 22:48 Walker Circulation Explained: Where Deep Convection Sits in La Niña vs El Niño 25:34 Warm Pool “Thermal Capacitor”: Thermocline Slosh, Water Volume, and Cloud Shift 30:32 Sea Level Pile-Up and the Gravity-Driven Discharge During El Niño 32:36 Radiation Signatures of ENSO: DLW/OLR Links to Niño Indices 36:13 Cloud Forcing Ratios & Decadal Patterns: What El Niño Does to Warm Pool Clouds 40:34 Global Signals: OLR vs Global Air Temperature and the ENSO Lead–Lag 45:14 Trade Winds as the Control Knob: Linking Pacific Easterlies to Global OLR 47:44 Tropical temps, OLR & trade winds: Walker circulation link 48:42 Clouds as the “other knob”: absorbed shortwave (ASR) vs temperature 50:29 2023 El Niño cloud changes: low-cloud cover & shifting albedo 53:49 ASR vs OLR since 2000: the hiatus ends and the energy budget shifts 55:44 Earth Energy Imbalance (EEI) vs GAT: why the correlation breaks 57:58 Seasonal cycle first: EEI swings, hemispheres, clouds & land–ocean contrast 01:00:10 Wrap-up: two greenhouse effects & a call for academics to test it 01:02:54 Sunshine hours & AMO: UK/Europe brightening over the 20th century 01:07:26 Aerosols vs clouds: modern satellite trends and the “brightening” debate 01:11:53 Global dimming/brightening goes global: Japan/China records & Pacific teleconnections 01:12:56 Natural vs human drivers: when aerosols don’t explain surface radiation 01:18:13 Forecasting the next decade: sun, AMO/IPO, cooling claims & big uncertainties 01:26:17 Closing remarks: slides, Substack, and the climate–energy–geopolitics link More information about Joseph Fournier: https://co2coalition.org/teammember/joseph-fournier/ His 2024 presentation: https://youtu.be/P2hVW0R67CY Joseph’s Substack: https://josephfournier.substack.com/ X: https://x.com/JosephF55175005 ========= Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

    1時間28分

  3. 2月18日

    Jamie Andrews: “Control Studies” | Tom Nelson Pod #373

    Jamie Andrews discusses his journey from geology to virology, questioning the mechanisms and validity of virus transmission and pathogenic theories, especially in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic. Drawing on historical and contemporary controlled human infection studies, Andrews suggests that viruses do not spread as traditionally believed and criticizes the reliance on PCR tests for diagnosing viral infections. He also questions the role of global institutions in shaping scientific narratives, proposing that environmental factors and industrial toxins may play a more significant role in disease than viruses. 00:00 Introduction and Guest Welcome 00:20 Journey into Virology and 2020 Events 01:21 Geology Background and Climate Data 04:48 Skepticism and Investigations 10:28 Controlled Human Infection Models 11:25 Spanish Flu and Historical Experiments 15:42 Modern Virology and Contagion Studies 31:36 Court Cases and Legal Battles 39:01 Realizing the Potential of Independent Research 40:21 Crowdsourcing and Engaging CROs 41:16 Following Standard Laboratory Protocols 41:56 Unexpected Findings in Cell Cultures 45:22 Microscopy and Viral Morphologies 49:36 Challenges with Mainstream Virology 54:58 Genetic Sequencing and Future Research 01:02:05 Debating Historical Disease Outbreaks 01:10:20 Concluding Thoughts and Future Directions https://x.com/JamieAA_Again https://substack.com/@controlstudies ========= Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

    1時間11分

  4. 2月14日

    Joseph Hickey: “Is Canada Warming?” | Tom Nelson Pod #372

    Joseph Hickey from CORRELATION Research in the Public Interest discusses findings on Canada’s temperature records, revealing a unique stepwise increase in 1998 that accounts for all the country’s warming since 1948. This anomaly challenges the prevailing CO2-driven warming paradigm, suggesting potential influences from natural climate variability, such as ocean oscillations. Hickey also highlights issues of data adjustments and inconsistencies in Environment Canada’s records. 00:00 Introduction and Guest Introduction 00:23 Overview of Correlation Research 02:13 Joseph Hickey's Background 03:53 Initial Observations on Temperature Data 08:18 Stepwise Increase in Temperature Data 11:12 Geographical Spread of Temperature Steps 18:31 Analysis of Temperature Trends Post-1998 27:24 Potential Causes of Temperature Steps 34:09 Conclusion and Future Research 35:19 Q&A Session https://x.com/josephmhickey https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Joseph-Hickey-5 ========= Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

    43分

  5. 2月10日

    Cohler/Soon: “Rebuttal to Nikolov on global temperature” | Tom Nelson Pod #371

    Jonathan Cohler and Willie Soon present a rebuttal to assertions made by Ned Nikolov about the physical meaning of global mean surface temperature (GMST). They argue that GMST is a physically meaningless statistical construct that cannot represent the Earth's thermal state or energy content due to its basis in non-equilibrium thermodynamics. They emphasize that temperature is an intensive property and its aggregation across different systems is fundamentally flawed from both mathematical and thermodynamic perspectives. 00:00 Introduction and Guest Introduction 00:38 Global Temperature: Physically Meaningless 01:28 Thermodynamics and Its Importance 02:26 Disagreement in Science 02:58 Essex Etal 2007 Paper Discussion 04:25 Defining Global Mean Surface Temperature (GMST) 08:04 Temperature and Energy Relationship 15:43 Critique of Nikolov's Claims 34:26 Averaging Methods and Their Flaws 49:28 Debunking Global Temperature Myths 49:48 The Flaws in Global Temperature Estimation 51:23 Classical Realism and Thermodynamics 53:06 Critique of GMST and Climate Models 54:23 The Paris Agreement and GMST 55:47 Misconceptions in Climate Science 01:14:21 The Role of AI in Climate Research 01:20:03 Concluding Thoughts and Future Work https://jonathancohler.com/ https://x.com/cohler DDP July 2025 presentation: “The Father of Lies: Hijacking Climate Science - Jonathan Cohler”: https://youtu.be/o_YJgD5cy1I DDP July 2025 presentation: How well can we measure the Earth’s energy budget? Willie Soon, Ph.D.: https://youtu.be/tI0qmV2Bbc8 ========= Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

    1時間38分

  6. 2月4日

    Ned Nikolov: “Meaning of global temperature” | Tom Nelson Pod #370

    Ned Nikolov discusses the physical meaning of the global mean surface temperature, addressing critiques by papers from Essex et al. (2007) and Jonathan Cohler (2025) that question its validity. Nikolov argues that these critiques misunderstand thermodynamic principles, and presents his own analysis, supported by satellite data, which shows a meaningful correlation between global mean surface temperature and energy fluxes. He emphasizes the importance of using accurate scientific principles when critiquing climate science to maintain credibility. 00:00 Introduction and Topic Overview 00:38 Questioning the Global Mean Surface Temperature 01:24 Review of Key Papers 02:23 Arguments Against Global Mean Surface Temperature 04:29 Analyzing the Validity of Temperature Averages 09:47 Kohler's Perspective on Temperature Measurement 19:03 Empirical Data and Model Comparisons 33:45 Understanding Temperature in Thermodynamics 37:49 Introduction to Temperature and Energy Concepts 38:09 Kohler's Statement and Its Flaws 38:34 Understanding Internal Energy and PV Energy 40:39 The Gas Law and Its Implications 43:08 Boltzmann Constant and Molecular Energy 44:11 Degrees of Freedom in Gas Molecules 45:06 Combining Equations for Total Energy 48:33 Temperature and Energy Relationship 49:11 Redefining Kelvin Using Boltzmann Constant 54:57 Global Mean Surface Temperature 57:55 Calculating Moon's Average Temperature 01:02:05 Latitude and Global Temperature Relationship 01:06:36 Critique of IPCC and Climate Skeptics 01:09:35 Q&A and Final Thoughts  Essex et al. (2007): https://www.fys.ku.dk/~andresen/BAhome/ownpapers/globalTexist.pdf  Cohler (2025): https://www.jpands.org/vol30no4/cohler.pdf  Nikolv & Zeller (2024): https://www.mdpi.com/2673-7418/4/3/17 Open Letter to IPCC: https://tallbloke.wordpress.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/open_letter_to_ipcc_authors.pdf My tweet about NASA and global average temperature being 62.45F, or between 56F and 58F, or something: https://x.com/TomANelson/status/1033711214109646848 https://x.com/NikolovScience ========= Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

    1時間16分

  7. 1月31日

    Steve Davies: The Great Realignment | Tom Nelson Pod #369

    Steve Davies discusses the major themes of his new book ‘The Great Realignment: Why the New Right Wing Politics is Here to Stay,’ which analyzes the political upheaval since the mid-2000s. He explains how traditional left vs. right economic issues have been replaced by a new alignment based on nationalism vs. cosmopolitanism, driven by deep structural changes in the global economy and political landscape. Davies also touches on topics like digital IDs, the future of climate change policies, open borders, and the impact of emerging geopolitical shifts. 00:00 Introduction to Steve Davies and His New Book 01:32 The Great Realignment: Political Upheaval Explained 03:17 The Collapse of Traditional Major Parties 04:54 The Permanent Nature of New Right Politics 05:35 Understanding Political Realignment 09:40 The Shift from Economics to Globalization vs. Cosmopolitanism 15:48 Material Causes Behind Political Changes 16:44 Impact of Global Investment and Migration 19:46 The Role of Meritocracy and Cultural Splits 21:39 Climate Change in the New Political Divide 27:09 Alternative Solutions to Global Problems 29:41 The Future of the United Nations 31:08 Global Power Shifts and the Decline of the UN 33:49 The Looming Debt Crisis 34:59 The Impact of Aging Populations on National Budgets 37:12 Potential Solutions to the Debt Problem 38:07 The Future of the US Dollar and Global Finance 40:21 Public Spending and Corruption 42:39 The Threat of Digital Dystopia 47:14 Open Borders and Immigration Policies 58:48 Final Thoughts on Future Political Landscapes https://x.com/SteveDavies365 ======== Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

    59分

  8. 1月27日

    Ralph Pezzullo: “Stolen Elections” | Tom Nelson Pod #368

    Author Ralph Pezzullo discusses his book 'Stolen Elections' based on a five-year investigation by government whistleblowers into the manipulation of elections via compromised software developed in Venezuela. The book details how this software, allegedly used to rig elections in 72 countries, was partly responsible for suspected fraud in U.S. elections since 2008. With insights from whistleblowers, computer experts, and endorsements from figures like Elon Musk, Pezzullo emphasizes the need to revert to paper ballots and ID-based voting to restore electoral integrity. 00:00 Introduction to Ralph Pezzullo and His Book 00:12 Whistleblowers and Their Backgrounds 01:25 Publicity and High-Profile Awareness 02:05 The Criminal Cartel and Election Software 05:36 Global Impact and Historical Context 08:53 Infiltration and Manipulation in the U.S. 12:47 Efforts to Expose and Combat the Fraud 23:43 Challenges and Resistance 27:01 The 2016 and 2024 Elections 38:42 Support and Skepticism 49:18 Conclusion and Final Thoughts https://x.com/RalphPezzullo https://linktr.ee/hbh_pod Stolen Elections book trailer: https://youtu.be/iEwa-SLnODY Stolen Elections on Amazon: https://a.co/d/cLBwpha https://stolenelectionsfacts.com/ ========= Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

    51分
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番組について

Interviews and presentations on climate and energy realism, with guests including Will Happer, Jerome Corsi, Marc Morano, Carl-Otto Weiss, Valentina Zharkova, Christopher Essex, Henrik Svensmark, Patrick Moore, Ross McKitrick, Willie Soon, Susan Crockford, Peter Ridd, Christopher Monckton, and Richard Lindzen.

情報

  • クリエイター
    Thomas Nelson
  • 配信期間
    22年 - 26年
  • エピソード
    378
  • 制限指定
    不適切な内容を含まない
  • Copyright
    © Thomas Nelson
  • 番組のWebサイト
    Tom Nelson

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