Patrick Boyle

Patrick Boyle

Patrick Boyle is a hedge fund manager, a university professor and a former investment banker. This channel is all about quantitative finance. By subscribing you will see videos explaining what is happening in markets right now, you will learn about financial derivatives, corporate finance and how traders use quantitative tools like statistics. You will see interviews with some of the most interesting people in the financial industry. In addition, you will see some longer form documentaries on the history of financial markets.To contact Patrick go to the website http://onfinance.orgDISCLAIMER:This channel is not affiliated with any financial institution. The videos on this channel are for entertainment purposes only and do not constitute financial advice. Those seeking investment advice should seek out a registered professional. Patrick is not responsible for investment actions taken by viewers and his content should not be used as a basis for investment.Links:Amazon Author Page: https://amzn.to/3bTeqedPatreon: https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinanceWebsite: https://www.onfinance.org/Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/patrickeboyle/BlueSky: https://bsky.app/profile/pboyle.bsky.social

  1. 27 min ago

    How Much Would an AI Crash Destroy?

    If you’re looking to upgrade your business wardrobe, I can recommend giving Tailor Store a try. Their shirts are made to your measurements, so you can create something that fits both your body and your personal style. My viewers receive 25% off their first order through my link: https://www.tailorstore.com/patrickboyleTwo chip stocks recently drove seventeen percent of the entire global stock market's return in a single month — which tells you just how concentrated the AI trade has become, and how exposed the average investor now is without realising it. In this video we look at how much wealth an AI crash could actually destroy, with estimates from Dean Baker, former IMF chief economist Gita Gopinath, and Oliver Wyman running into the tens of trillions of dollars. We cover why the usual places to hide — small caps, value funds, international stocks — are now packed with AI stocks, what the Bank for International Settlements found when it compared today's buildout to the great railway and dot-com bubbles, and why a technology being real has never been enough to protect the people who overpaid for it. This isn't a crash prediction. It's a look at the downside risk, the illusion of diversification, and why boring, unexciting investing tends to win in the end.Patrick's Books:Statistics For The Trading Floor: https://amzn.to/3eerLA0Derivatives For The Trading Floor: https://amzn.to/3cjsyPFCorporate Finance: https://amzn.to/3fn3rvC Ways To Support The ChannelPatreon: https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinanceBuy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/patrickboyleVisit our website: https://www.onfinance.orgFollow Patrick on Twitter Here: https://bsky.app/profile/pboyle.bsky.socialBusiness Inquiries ➡️ sponsors@onfinance.orgPatrick Boyle On Finance Podcast:Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/7uhrWlDvxzy9hLoW0EYf0bApple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/patrick-boyle-on-finance/id1547740313Google Podcasts: https://tinyurl.com/62862nveJoin this channel to support making this content:https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCASM0cgfkJxQ1ICmRilfHLw/join Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    How Much Would an AI Crash Destroy?
  2. 56 min ago

    Will The USO ETF Be Forced to Liquidate?? | The US Oil Fund

    Will The US Oil Fund Be Shut Down By Their Broker?Patricks Books on Amazon. https://amzn.to/36izIReVisit our website: www.onfinance.orgFollow Patrick on Twitter Here: https://twitter.com/PatrickEBoylePatreon Page: https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinanceThe situation with USO, the US Oil ETF just gets weirder and weirder. In todays video we will discuss whether USO will have to liquidate their holdings after running into issues with their brokers.The situation with USO, the US Oil ETF just gets weirder and weirder. In todays video we will discuss whether USO will have to liquidate their holdings after running into issues with their brokers.Some history on this topic.Oil prices went negative for a few hours the day before the expiration of the may oil futures contract last April. I posted a video explaining that issue. Here is the link https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dfqmjSOD7pQThe USO is an ETF that invests in oil futures. They had rolled their futures, so were uninvolved with the negative price issue, but…People realized the USO could possibly go negative and there were no systems in place to deal with an ETF having a negative price, in addition the fund AUM ballooned and USO no longer had sufficient authorized shares allowing its price to drift from NAV. I made a video on that topic too. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BIqIjbHeV-gThe make up of the ETF was then changed, so it was then tracking longer dated contracts, minimizing the impact of the roll and reducing the risk that the ETF could have a negative NAV.This is not great for hedgers, many of whom short the ETF to hedge a position and need it to accurately track its underlying.In today’s news we are now learning that brokers (known as FCM’s in the world of futures trading) might now be unwilling to deal with the USO ETF for risk management reasons.RBC Capital is the USO ETF’s only clearing broker and RBC has informed the ETF that they are longer prepared to clear USO’s portfolio. Specifically, in the benchmark front month but also, rather surprisingly, in any other expirations. RBC has indicated that this limitation on USO is a result of RBC’s own internal risk management requirements and directions it has received from other regulators in the United States, Canada and the United Kingdom. Ugh… Brokers.USO just filed an update to the SEC today explaining:RBC, currently USO’s only FCM, has expressly informed USO that, until further notice, USO may not hold positions in the Benchmark Futures Oil Futures Contract and that it may not purchase any other Oil Futures Contracts for USO’s portfolio through RBC whether or not such purchases would be within the limits permitted by the exchanges.RBC and other market participants , including other FCMs, have taken risk mitigation measures that constrain USO’s ability to invest in the Benchmark Futures Contract and other Oil Futures Contracts.USO has been engaging in efforts to enter into additional FCM agreements for the purpose of the purchase and sale of Benchmark Oil Futures Contracts as well as other Oil Futures Contracts. To date, USO has not entered into an agreement with any FCM other than RBC and it cannot predict with any certainty when it will do so.Some more History:USO’s sister product, the United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG), experienced similar, but lesser stresses in the Summer of 2009.First its AUM exploded, then it started experimenting with exotic instruments, next its registered shares got depleted, then its creations were suspended, then it continued to trade at a premium despite creations being suspended, then the SEC failed to grant it permission for the issuance of new shares. So far this is the same as the USO. For UNG, the SEC ended up changing its mind after regulators got involved with position limits, and finally, the fund reopened. This situation is differ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Will The USO ETF Be Forced to Liquidate??  | The US Oil Fund
  3. 2 hr ago

    The Alarming Rise in Global Debt!

    Happy FlexiSpot Brand Day & Memorial Day Sale, up to 65% OFF —on May 26th at 9:00 AM, the first 20 customers to place an order will have a chance to get it 100% free. If you are on a budget, FlexiSpot premium E7 will be a great option. Shop now and if you liked it, leave a note saying “Patrick Boyle” at checkout and use my code ''YTE7P50'' to get EXTRA $50 off on the E7 Plus/E7 Pro/E7L standing desk or "YTE730" to get EXTRA $30 off on the E7 standing desk!FlexiSpot E7Plus standing desk:USA: https://bit.ly/3Fd9lSUCAN: https://bit.ly/44EIpFVDeveloped economies around the world have been growing their debts over the last twenty-five years. This was less of a problem when interest rates were close to zero but in the era of trade wars, lower credit ratings and higher interest rates, debt is more expensive to issue and service. Bond investors have worried that governments are addicted to debt for quite some time, and recent drama in the Japanese bond market along with the deficit spending of Trump's "one big beautiful bill" lead many to question the ability of governments to cover massive budget deficits. This video looks at the drivers of growing government debt, what the money is spent on, can Elon Musk's DOGE cut spending and analyze the role of the 'bond vigilantes', to understand if huge budget deficits and government borrowing could spiral out of control. Patrick's Books:Statistics For The Trading Floor: https://amzn.to/3eerLA0Derivatives For The Trading Floor: https://amzn.to/3cjsyPFCorporate Finance: https://amzn.to/3fn3rvC Ways To Support The ChannelPatreon: https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinanceBuy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/patrickboyleVisit our website: https://www.onfinance.orgFollow Patrick on Twitter Here: https://bsky.app/profile/pboyle.bsky.socialBusiness Inquiries ➡️ sponsors@onfinance.orgPatrick Boyle On Finance Podcast:Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/7uhrWlDvxzy9hLoW0EYf0bApple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/patrick-boyle-on-finance/id1547740313Google Podcasts: https://tinyurl.com/62862nveJoin this channel to support making this content:https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCASM0cgfkJxQ1ICmRilfHLw/join Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    The Alarming Rise in Global Debt!

About

Patrick Boyle is a hedge fund manager, a university professor and a former investment banker. This channel is all about quantitative finance. By subscribing you will see videos explaining what is happening in markets right now, you will learn about financial derivatives, corporate finance and how traders use quantitative tools like statistics. You will see interviews with some of the most interesting people in the financial industry. In addition, you will see some longer form documentaries on the history of financial markets.To contact Patrick go to the website http://onfinance.orgDISCLAIMER:This channel is not affiliated with any financial institution. The videos on this channel are for entertainment purposes only and do not constitute financial advice. Those seeking investment advice should seek out a registered professional. Patrick is not responsible for investment actions taken by viewers and his content should not be used as a basis for investment.Links:Amazon Author Page: https://amzn.to/3bTeqedPatreon: https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinanceWebsite: https://www.onfinance.org/Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/patrickeboyle/BlueSky: https://bsky.app/profile/pboyle.bsky.social

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