Toadstool Sports

Toad
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Hi, I am Toad. I am an autistic sports bettor with no regard for my well-being! I provide daily detailed analysis of all of the major sports and give out my best plays. It's free gold, baby. Find me on YouTube at ToadStool Sports and Instagram and Twitter at LearnToToad.

  1. 22 HR AGO

    Wednesday BEST BETS | Play-In Madness | NBA Play-In & MLB & NHL | 4/15/26

    My links www.linktree.com/learntotoad www.patreon.com/learntotoad MLB BOS -130 WAS/PIT Over 9 -120 TEX/A's Over 9.5 -114 Toad’s Sports Show (April 15): Red Sox ML, Two MLB Overs, Play-In & NHL Talk The host opens with an emotional contrast between past betting slumps and a current 22-8-1 run over 11 days, then delivers three baseball plays while skipping NHL until the playoffs and passing on NBA play-in bets. He breaks down multiple MLB matchups with bullpen usage, offense ranks, pitching metrics, market/ticket splits, and situational angles, ultimately betting Red Sox moneyline (-130) to avoid a sweep in Minnesota, over 9 in Nationals–Pirates due to hot offenses and poor pitching/bullpens, and over 9.5 in Rangers–A’s in the hitter-friendly Sacramento park despite market money on the under. He recaps yesterday’s 2-1-1 results, discusses play-in trends and schedule quirks, runs through NHL games as low-motivation passes, briefly analyzes Magic–76ers and Warriors–Clippers, and ends with a heated argument with a viewer before show plugs. 00:00 Slump Spiral Cold Open 01:33 Hot Streak Reset 02:26 Play In Talk With Chat 04:10 MLB Board Arizona Baltimore 08:45 Cleveland St Louis Breakdown 12:57 Red Sox Twins Best Bet 19:35 Cubs Phillies Stay Away 25:23 Recap Yesterday Results 31:18 Back To KC Detroit Handicap 36:18 Giants Reds Preview 40:22 Reds Moneyline Lean 40:58 Nationals Pirates Over 9 46:30 Angels Yankees Pitching Breakdown 52:22 Marlins Braves Over Look 57:49 Rays White Sox Bullpen Fade 01:02:35 Blue Jays Brewers Bounce Back 01:08:48 Rockies Astros Momentum Spot 01:14:21 Mariners Padres Under Angle 01:19:55 Rangers Athletics Best Bet Over 01:20:28 Over Total Price Shopping 01:21:53 Bullpen Edge and Usage 01:22:56 Rocker vs Ginn Breakdown 01:26:28 Market Money vs Over Pick 01:27:43 Mets Dodgers No Bet 01:35:18 NHL Motivation Handicapping 01:46:47 NBA Play In Leans 01:57:16 Wrap Up Picks and Sign Off #bets #sportsbetting  #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #playoffs #nbaplayoffs

    2h 2m

  2. 1 DAY AGO

    Tuesday BEST BETS | Playoffs? | NBA Play-In & MLB & NHL | 4/14/26

    My links www.linktree.com/learntotoad www.patreon.com/learntotoad NBA MIA +6 MLB KC/DET Under 7.5 +100 CWS +119 COL +1.5 -130 / +160 Toad Stool Sports: MLB Picks (Royals/Tigers Under, White Sox ML, Rockies +1) + NBA Play-In Heat +6 | April 14 Toad opens by contrasting a past losing slump with a current hot streak, saying the show is on a 20–7 run with nine winning days out of the last 10. He recaps prior results (Sharks and Rangers wins, Winnipeg loss) and explains he’s passing on NHL betting due to unclear late-season motivation. He breaks down multiple MLB matchups and markets, emphasizing bullpen usage, OPS/WHIP, and betting splits, and gives official plays: Royals–Tigers full-game under 7.5, White Sox moneyline behind rookie Noah Schultz’s debut versus a shaky McClanahan in a Rays letdown spot, and a Rockies split bet to create a +1 run-line versus Houston’s poor situation and bullpen. For the NBA play-in, he takes Miami +6 over Charlotte based on experience, coaching, and expected regression from the prior blowout. He closes with plugs for social/audio platforms, Patreon/UK content, and Loser Cast. 00:00 Slump Meltdown Montage 01:44 Show Intro Hot Streak 02:27 Recap Sharks Rangers Jets 03:42 Today Card Overview 04:23 Dbacks Orioles Breakdown 10:48 Cubs Phillies Preview 15:33 Best Bet Royals Tigers Under 22:40 Giants Reds Matchup 27:31 Nats Pirates Over Lean 32:46 Angels Yankees Aftermath 37:48 Marlins Braves Stay Away 43:27 Red Sox Rant Twins Setup 45:02 Red Sox Bounce Back 45:47 Sonny Gray Breakdown 46:51 Fade Mick Abel 48:20 Sox Moneyline Lean 49:07 White Sox Shock Pick 52:41 McClanahan Concerns 54:11 Noah Schultz Debut 57:11 Betting Splits Totals 58:22 Jays Brewers Under 59:58 Gausman Vs Misiorowski 01:04:24 Guardians Cardinals Read 01:05:38 Cantillo Vs McGreevy 01:09:22 Rockies Ugly Value 01:09:38 Run Line Split Bet 01:11:00 Astros Spot Fade 01:14:15 Lorenzen Vs Gordon 01:18:57 Mariners Padres Under 01:20:48 Wu King Pitching Duel 01:23:42 Back To Jays Brewers 01:25:25 Rangers As Pitching 01:26:54 Gore Vs Springs Matchup 01:30:41 Avoiding A's Total 01:31:05 Red Sox Bounce Back 01:32:10 Mets Value vs Dodgers 01:37:32 NHL Motivation Spots 01:46:16 Late NHL Slate Leans 01:56:53 NBA Play In Breakdown 02:04:28 Miami Plus Points Play 02:10:53 Plays Recap and Outro #bets #sportsbetting  #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #playoffs #nbaplayoffs

    2h 14m

  3. 2 DAYS AGO

    Monday BEST BETS | NHL End Days | MLB & NHL | 4/13/26

    My links www.linktree.com/learntotoad www.patreon.com/learntotoad MLB TEX -127 NHL SJ +132 WPG +1.5 -165 / +158 MLB & NHL Picks Breakdown (Apr 13): Rangers ML, Sharks ML, Jets Split Bet + Board Recap Toad opens with a rant about a brutal betting slump, then pivots to a recent hot run and recaps yesterday’s results (wins with MLB plays including Texas; losses in hockey; Pacers backdoor cover; Celtics bench win). He breaks down Monday’s MLB slate with market/ticket-cash notes and pitching/bullpen angles, including thoughts on Houston–Seattle, Arizona–Baltimore (no O’s starter listed), Cubs–Phillies, Washington–Pittsburgh (Skenes), Yankees–Angels, Miami–Atlanta, Red Sox–Twins (Crochet vs Ober), Cleveland–Cardinals, and Mets–Dodgers. His only MLB play is Texas Rangers moneyline vs the A’s, citing a strong situational travel spot and pitching matchup. He then covers the NHL board, noting motivation and schedule spots, and gives two hockey plays: San Jose Sharks moneyline at Nashville and a Winnipeg Jets split bet (puck line + moneyline) vs Vegas. He closes by promoting socials, audio feeds, upcoming playoff bracket specials, and other shows. 00:00 Brutal Slump Rant 01:32 Show Intro Hot Streak 01:55 Recapping Yesterday Picks 04:53 Today Board Overview 05:30 Astros Mariners Breakdown 09:58 Chat Bruins Debate 10:55 Dbacks Orioles Lean 14:28 Cubs Phillies Market Read 20:34 Nats Pirates Skeenes Spot 26:08 Angels Yankees Bounce Back 31:06 Marlins Braves Setup 33:40 Braves Marlins Pitching 35:25 Market Read Miami Lean 36:33 Red Sox Twins Breakdown 38:23 Crochet Ober Total Talk 42:14 Cleveland Cardinals Spot 43:35 Williams Wildness Factor 48:02 Rangers Fade Athletics 51:47 Eovaldi Severino Edge 56:25 Mets Dodgers Nightcap 58:36 Dodgers Peterson Lesko 01:02:18 Switching Over To Hockey 01:04:57 Wings Lightning Motivation 01:07:16 Rangers at Panthers 01:08:33 Live Chat and Picks 01:10:25 Hurricanes at Flyers 01:14:18 Stars at Maple Leafs 01:16:05 Wild at Blues 01:18:57 Sharks Upset Pick 01:24:24 Sabres Hawks and Avs Oilers 01:27:21 Kings at Kraken 01:29:33 Jets Split Bet 01:35:44 Wrap Up and Plugs #bets #sportsbetting  #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa

    1hr 40min

  4. 3 DAYS AGO

    Sunday BEST BETS | NBA Crunch Time | MLB & NHL & NBA | 4/12/26

    My links www.linktree.com/learntotoad www.patreon.com/learntotoad MLB MIN F5 -110 NYY -1.5 +120 / -150 TEX +112 NBA IND +14 NHL NYI -105 MLB Picks: Twins F5, Yankees Fade-the-Baby, Rangers + NHL Islanders + NBA Pacers +14 (April 12) Toad opens by reflecting on a brutal slump before recapping a 3–0 day (Capitals, Columbus, Cleveland) and breaking down a tricky Sunday slate across MLB, NHL, and NBA. In MLB he discusses multiple matchups and market moves, ultimately playing Twins first five behind Taj Bradley while fading Max Scherzer and Minnesota’s bullpen, backing the Yankees with a run line/money line split to avoid a sweep vs Tampa Bay while fading Drew Rasmussen due to paternity leave and bullpen edges, and adding Texas moneyline behind Jacob deGrom vs Roki Sasaki. He leans various totals/sides (e.g., Detroit–Miami under, Mets to avoid sweep) but passes. In NHL he plays Islanders moneyline vs Montreal based on motivation and bounce-back, with leans on Washington and Columbus. In NBA he makes one play: Pacers +14 vs Pistons, and largely avoids other finale lines due to motivation/rest uncertainty. 00:00 Slump Spiral Cold Open 01:32 Back On Track Recap 03:00 Today’s Card Overview 03:52 Phillies vs Dbacks Breakdown 08:23 Giants vs Orioles Read 13:11 Twins First Five Play 19:48 Angels vs Reds Lean 23:48 As vs Mets Avoid Sweep 27:58 Marlins Tigers Pitching Duel 34:40 Yankees Runline Split Play 40:18 Fade The Baby Angle 43:53 Royals vs White Sox Setup 45:39 Royals vs White Sox Edge 48:34 Brewers Bounce Back Spot 53:29 Red Sox Cardinals Total 58:00 Wrigley Wind Total Spike 01:03:45 Rockies Padres Sweep Angle 01:09:39 Astros Mariners Market Disagree 01:14:01 Rangers vs Dodgers deGrom 01:19:36 Guardians Braves Under Lean 01:25:41 Switching to NHL Board 01:27:26 Caps Penguins Motivation 01:29:15 Caps Motivation Fade 01:29:53 Islanders Best Bet 01:31:51 Bruins Letdown Spot 01:34:14 Sens Devils Lean 01:35:52 Canucks Ducks Pricing 01:38:31 Utah Flames Total 01:40:40 NBA Finale Chaos 01:44:09 Pacers Plus Points 01:47:13 Late Slate Leans 02:07:20 Wrap Plays Outro #bets #sportsbetting  #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa

    2h 10m

  5. 4 DAYS AGO

    Saturday BEST BETS | Small Dog Day Afternoon | MLB & NHL | 4/11/26

    My links www.linktree.com/learntotoad www.patreon.com/learntotoad MLB CLE +100 NHL WSH +110 CBJ +125 Toad Stool Sports (Apr 11): MLB & NHL Picks + Betting Breakdown | Cleveland, Capitals, Blue Jackets Toad opens with frustration about a prolonged betting slump, then recaps going 2-1 the previous day (Tigers win, Colorado loss, Memphis/Utah total landing 248 with 247.5 winning). With no NBA, he breaks down a full MLB and NHL slate, discussing line movement, bullpen usage, starters, and situational angles like return-home spots and motivation. His featured MLB play is Cleveland moneyline vs Atlanta, citing pitching (Parker Messick vs Martin Perez) and a bullpen rest edge. In the NHL, he emphasizes late-season urgency and makes two underdog plays: Washington moneyline vs Pittsburgh (motivation/letdown angle) and Columbus moneyline vs Montreal. He also notes various leans across games and promotes subscribing, audio feeds, Patreon, and upcoming shows. 00:00 Slump Spiral Cold Open 01:33 Show Intro and Recap 03:49 Live Chat Detour 04:28 Today’s Card Setup 04:48 Dbacks Phillies Breakdown 09:30 ABS and Rule Changes Rant 10:20 Marlins Tigers Preview 14:24 Pirates Cubs Wind Game 20:37 Twins Blue Jays Matchup 25:14 Angels Reds Handicapping Mess 32:19 Athletics Mets Bounce Back 36:29 White Sox Royals Pitching Edge 41:09 Yankees Rays Series Continues 42:05 AL East Offense Woes 43:56 Yankees Rays Pitching Breakdown 45:57 Betting Angles and Totals 47:26 Nationals Brewers Matchup 48:46 Griffin vs Harrison Analysis 52:31 Cleveland Moneyline Pick 01:00:16 Giants Orioles Market Fade 01:06:29 Red Sox Cardinals Confusion 01:11:48 Rockies Padres Tough Read 01:17:52 Rangers Dodgers Underdog Lean 01:22:45 Bullpen vs Offense Edge 01:23:51 McCullers vs Castillo Breakdown 01:26:08 Seattle Bet and Total Angles 01:28:53 Hockey Slate and Motivation 01:29:47 Bruins vs Lightning Lean 01:33:03 Islanders vs Senators Spot 01:34:32 Capitals Underdog Play 01:38:00 Kings Fade Public Oilers 01:40:51 Red Wings Public Trap 01:42:19 Blues Hawks and Totals 01:44:04 Wild Preds Travel Spot 01:47:02 Rangers Fade Stars 01:48:22 Canes Mammoth Motivation 01:51:16 Leafs Panthers Loose Game 01:52:47 Blue Jackets Underdog Pick 01:55:52 Flyers Jets Quick Read 01:58:13 Flames Kraken Market Move 01:59:24 Knights Value vs Avs 02:01:13 Canucks Value vs Sharks 02:03:10 Final Plays and Signoff #bets #sportsbetting  #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa

    2h 5m

  6. 5 DAYS AGO

    Friday BEST BETS | MLB & NBA | 4/10/26

    My links www.linktree.com/learntotoad www.patreon.com/learntotoad MLB DET -1 -108 COL F5 +0.5 -105 NBA MEM/UTA Over 247.5 MLB Best Bets: Tigers -1 (Alt RL) & Rockies F5 +0.5 + NBA Total Pick (Memphis–Utah Over) | Toad Stool Sports Toad opens the show venting about a brutal betting slump, then returns with Friday April 10 picks: two MLB sides and one NBA total. He breaks down Pirates–Cubs and Diamondbacks–Phillies as passes due to situation vs matchup conflicts, then gives his first MLB play: Detroit Tigers minus 1 (alternate run line) at a reduced price versus Miami, citing motivation after a losing streak, familiarity with Chris Paddack, and a manageable bullpen situation. After more MLB commentary and leans, he gives his second MLB play: Colorado Rockies first five innings +0.5 (with a suggested moneyline sprinkle) versus San Diego, backing Tomoyuki Sugano over Walker Buehler and avoiding Colorado’s bullpen. In the NBA segment he focuses on end-of-season motivation and recommends Memphis–Utah over the total, noting both teams’ recent high-scoring games and poor defense. 00:00 Slump Meltdown Cold Open 01:33 Show Intro and Card 02:51 MLB Schedule Notes 03:24 Pirates Cubs Breakdown 08:26 Dbacks Phillies Breakdown 13:10 Best Bet Tigers Run Line 19:38 Angels Reds Stay Away 24:44 Twins Jays Corbin Debut 31:28 As at Mets Quick Read 35:28 Yankees Rays Pitching Talk 40:11 Yankees Rays Market Read 41:10 Guardians Braves Spot Analysis 42:36 Pitching Matchup Deep Dive 44:59 Cleveland Lean and Bets 46:15 Giants Orioles Cross Country 50:15 Under Angle and Rested Pens 51:28 White Sox Royals Reaction 54:27 First Five Under Discussion 56:03 Nationals Brewers Mismatch 58:44 Brewers Run Line or Team Total 01:00:02 Red Sox Cardinals Breakdown 01:02:42 Dustin May Rant and Total 01:05:54 Rockies Padres Best Bet 01:08:37 Sugano vs Buehler Edge 01:12:08 Astros Mariners First Five 01:13:48 Pitcher Profiles and Bullpens 01:17:42 Rangers Dodgers Spot Setup 01:18:45 Bullpen Edge Breakdown 01:19:01 Kumar Rocker Scouting 01:20:12 Glasnow Matchup Notes 01:21:18 Dodgers Price And Under 01:24:08 Switching To NBA Slate 01:24:25 Pistons Hornets Motivation 01:27:14 Heat Wizards Tank Talk 01:30:28 Hawks Cavs Injury Angle 01:32:48 Celtics Pelicans Spot 01:35:15 Sixers Knicks Raptors Reads 01:37:59 Magic Bulls Big Spread 01:40:11 Bucks Nets And Spurs Mavs 01:43:01 Thunder Nuggets Rest News 01:45:31 Rockets Wolves And Total Play 01:49:29 Clippers Blazers Play In Fight 01:51:13 Warriors Kings And Suns Lakers 01:53:58 Final Picks And Sign Off #bets #sportsbetting  #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa

    1hr 56min

  7. 6 DAYS AGO

    Thursday BEST BETS | MLB & NHL & NBA | 4/9/26

    My links www.linktree.com/learntotoad www.patreon.com/learntotoad No plays today No Bets Today: MLB & NHL Leans, Bankroll Tips, and a Brutal Slump Update (April 9) Toad opens in a frustrated slump rant, then recaps going 2–2 on the prior show and discusses bankroll discipline (generally betting about 1% of bankroll, avoiding chasing, and recommending hits+runs+RBIs over parlays or HR props). With no official plays due to a weak board, he gives opinions on six MLB games, leaning Cincinnati over Miami, considering a Yankees first-five under vs the A’s, liking Detroit (and possibly the over) vs Minnesota, leaning Mets (or Mets team total over) vs Arizona, and expecting Kansas City to score against the White Sox with a possible Royals team total angle; he also leans Colorado as a situational fade of San Diego. He runs through a 14-game NHL slate and six NBA games focusing on motivation and market moves, but ultimately stays selective and passes, promoting his socials, audio platforms, and upcoming playoff content. 00:00 Slump Meltdown Cold Open 01:33 Show Intro and Recap 04:31 Bankroll and Unit Sizing 06:59 No Plays Today Setup 07:22 MLB Reds vs Marlins 10:54 MLB As vs Yankees 12:06 Props and Parlay Advice 17:01 MLB Tigers vs Twins 21:16 MLB Dbacks vs Mets 26:19 MLB White Sox vs Royals 32:05 MLB Rockies vs Padres 36:23 Playoff Futures Tangent 38:25 Hockey Board Overview 38:43 NHL Leafs vs Islanders 40:51 NHL Jackets vs Sabres 42:54 NHL Lightning vs Canadiens 44:20 NHL Panthers vs Senators 46:40 NHL Flyers vs Red Wings 47:50 Detroit Value Spot 49:10 Devils Upset Angle 50:25 Jets Blues Elimination 52:38 Canes Hawks Stayaway 54:30 Wild Stars Seeding 57:13 Flames Avs Puckline 59:41 Preds Utah Motivation 01:02:18 Sharks Ducks Slide 01:05:04 Vegas Seattle Desperation 01:07:14 Kings Price Too High 01:09:03 NBA Motivation Primer 01:09:45 Heat Raptors Zigzag 01:12:45 Bulls Wizards Total 01:15:39 Pacers Nets Last Home 01:17:13 Celtics Knicks Rest Watch 01:21:31 Sixers Rockets Spot 01:24:06 Lakers Warriors Injuries 01:26:39 Wrap Up And Plugs #bets #sportsbetting  #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa

    1hr 31min

  8. 8 APR

    Wednesday BEST BETS | MLB & NHL & NBA | 4/8/26

    My links www.linktree.com/learntotoad www.patreon.com/learntotoad MLB MIL +115 SEA/TEX Under 7.5 -108 TB -105 NHL WSH -145 Toad Stool Sports (Apr 8): MLB Picks, Capitals Play & Betting Breakdown After a Rough Slump Toad opens by venting about a brutal betting slump, then recaps going 2-1 the previous day with late comebacks by Baltimore and Arizona. On Wednesday, April 8, he breaks down a large slate with market/ticket splits, bullpen usage, and pitching matchups, ultimately giving four official plays: Brewers moneyline vs the Red Sox (citing bullpen/offense edges, Brewers familiarity with Sonny Gray, and Boston facing MLB debutant Shane Drohan), Mariners/Rangers under 7.5 behind rested bullpens and starters Brian Wu and MacKenzie Gore, Rays moneyline vs the Cubs with Joe Boyle vs Colin Rea, and Capitals moneyline vs Toronto as a bounce-back and travel-spot play. He also leans Rangers over Buffalo and discusses several MLB/NBA games without adding more plays, then plugs socials, audio feeds, and Loser Cast. 00:00 Slump Meltdown Cold Open 01:33 Show Intro And Recap 03:26 Today’s Card Overview 04:36 Padres Pirates Breakdown 08:22 Royals Guardians Preview 12:19 Brewers Over Red Sox 19:42 Orioles White Sox Angle 23:51 Mariners Rangers Under 29:45 Dodgers Blue Jays Leans 34:16 Astros Rockies Coors Total 39:02 Giants Phillies Breakdown 40:23 Nola vs Mahle Angle 42:13 Market Read Phillies 42:53 Cards Nats Over Talk 44:51 Mikolas Revenge Spot 47:40 Braves Angels Edges 48:50 Holmes vs Detmers 51:09 Dbacks Mets Overreaction 52:31 Nelson Peterson Total 56:14 Evening Bet Rays ML 58:52 Ray vs Boyle Matchup 01:03:31 Horton Injury Fallout 01:04:53 Reds Marlins Under Lean 01:06:32 Singer vs Perez Preview 01:10:19 As Yankees Stayaway 01:12:48 Severino vs Warren 01:15:29 Yankees Team Total Idea 01:16:14 Tigers Twins Motivation 01:17:30 Valdez Starter Edge 01:17:52 Valdez vs Twins Breakdown 01:18:36 Ober Struggles and Detroit Lean 01:21:31 Switching to Hockey Card 01:21:45 Buffalo at Rangers Read 01:24:13 Hockey Play Washington Moneyline 01:28:24 Edmonton at San Jose Lean 01:31:48 Why Skipping NBA Bets 01:32:17 NBA Hawks at Cavs Motivation 01:35:10 Magic Favored vs Wolves 01:38:54 Bucks Turmoil vs Pistons 01:43:53 Nuggets Huge Spread Talk 01:46:28 Blazers Spurs and OKC Clips 01:50:46 Suns Mavericks Market Read 01:53:03 Final Plays and Wrap Up #bets #sportsbetting  #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa

    1hr 55min
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About

Hi, I am Toad. I am an autistic sports bettor with no regard for my well-being! I provide daily detailed analysis of all of the major sports and give out my best plays. It's free gold, baby. Find me on YouTube at ToadStool Sports and Instagram and Twitter at LearnToToad.

Information

  • Creator
    Toad
  • Years Active
    2025 - 2026
  • Episodes
    348
  • Rating
    Explicit
  • Copyright
    © Copyright learntotoad
  • Show Website
    Toadstool Sports