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Toad
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Hi, I am Toad. I am an autistic sports bettor with no regard for my well-being! I provide daily detailed analysis of all of the major sports and give out my best plays. It's free gold, baby. Find me on YouTube at ToadStool Sports and Instagram and Twitter at LearnToToad.

  1. 9 hr ago

    Saturday BEST BETS | Stick to What Works | MLB & WNBA & World Cup | 7/11/26

    My links www.linktree.com/learntotoad www.patreon.com/learntotoad World Cup Argentina -140 MLB CLE/MIA Under 8 -119 SEA -105 Saturday Picks: Mariners ML, Guardians/Marlins Under & Argentina to Win (Toadstool Sports July 11) Toad recaps going 1-1 the previous day, frustrated by the Astros’ loss, then breaks down a full slate of MLB matchups with notes on pitching, bullpen usage, home/road splits, market percentages, and first-five vs full-game angles. He leans Pirates F5 in a Brewers doubleheader spot, likes A’s F5 behind Gage Jump versus a White Sox bullpen game, and discusses several other games including Yankees–Nationals and Rockies–Giants (over lean). He briefly touches WNBA lines and situational spots, then gives World Cup thoughts on England–Norway and makes his official soccer play Argentina to win in 90 minutes vs Switzerland. Official plays: Guardians/Marlins under 7.5 or 8, Mariners moneyline, and Argentina 90-minute moneyline. 00:00 Cold Open Parlay Blues 01:28 Show Intro and Recap 03:04 Today Card Preview 05:08 Brewers Pirates Doubleheader 12:57 Twins Angels Ryan Duel 18:19 As White Sox Bounce Back 23:53 Yankees Nationals Bullpen Talk 29:15 Rockies Giants Over Angle 35:10 Red Sox Mets Pitching Wildcard 41:40 Cleveland Miami Under 44:10 Bibee vs Perez Breakdown 49:13 Market Reads and Side 51:29 Seattle Moneyline Pick 53:12 Gilbert vs Jax Edges 57:44 Phillies Tigers Stayaway 01:03:52 Royals Orioles Over Lean 01:09:16 Slump Rant Reset 01:10:47 Astros Rangers Handicapping 01:15:56 Cubs Reds High Total 01:21:03 Atlanta Cardinals Preview 01:21:55 Braves Cardinals Breakdown 01:22:30 Pitching Matchup Deep Dive 01:24:49 Totals and Market Signals 01:26:23 Subscriber Chat Break 01:26:55 Blue Jays Padres Preview 01:28:20 Savage vs Buehler Angles 01:31:42 Dodgers Dbacks Mismatch 01:35:25 Dodgers Betting Options 01:37:07 WNBA Liberty Lynx Spotlight 01:42:03 WNBA Other Games Leans 01:47:40 World Cup Norway England 01:54:29 Argentina Switzerland Pick 01:59:30 Final Plays and Wrap Up #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba #soccer #worldcup

    2h 3m

  2. 1 day ago

    Friday BEST BETS | Find the Edge | MLB & WNBA & World Cup | 7/10/26

    My links www.linktree.com/learntotoad www.patreon.com/learntotoad MLB CLE/MIA Under 7.5 -115 HOU -138 MLB Picks & Betting Breakdown (Friday, July 10) | Two Official Plays + Leans, Market Splits & World Cup Talk Toad returns for Toadstool Sports on Friday, July 10 after a 1–1 day, breaks down multiple MLB matchups with bullpen/offense rankings, starter stats, matchup histories, and ticket/cash splits, and discusses several leans including Pittsburgh first five, Yankees–Nationals over, Royals–Orioles first five under, and Cubs–Reds first five under. His two official plays are Cleveland–Miami under 7.5 (citing pitcher-friendly Miami, Parker Messick vs Sandy Alcantara, and weak Cleveland offense) and Houston Astros moneyline -138 over Texas (rest edge and Hunter Brown over Cal Quantrill). He also touches on additional MLB games, WNBA games with situational angles, and a World Cup lean toward Spain to beat Belgium, plus plugs his social links, Patreon, and podcasts. 00:00 Cold Open Intro 01:28 Show Kickoff Recap 02:02 Brewers Pirates Breakdown 05:50 Phillies Tigers Lean 10:38 Yankees Nationals Over Talk 16:01 Royals Orioles First Five Under 20:35 Cubs Reds Pitching Duel 25:29 Best Bet Under Cleveland Miami 31:03 Texas Ballpark Totals Rant 32:13 Mariners Rays Sneaky Dog 37:10 Red Sox Mets Apple TV 42:44 As White Sox Market Split 47:19 Play Two Astros Rangers Setup 47:59 Astros Moneyline Breakdown 53:13 Slump Vent Session 54:49 Angels Twins Totals Talk 01:00:20 Braves Cardinals Pitching Edge 01:04:29 Blue Jays Padres Handicapping 01:09:29 Dbacks Dodgers Value Debate 01:14:56 Rockies Giants Over Angle 01:19:29 WNBA Card And Leans 01:26:42 Spain Belgium World Cup Pick 01:30:55 Final Plays And Signoff #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba #soccer #worldcup

    1hr 33min

  3. 2 days ago

    Thursday BEST BETS | Is it Rigged? | MLB & WNBA & World Cup | 7/9/26

    My links www.linktree.com/learntotoad www.patreon.com/learntotoad MLB MIL -132 LAA/TEX F5 Under 3.5 +100 Toadstool Sports July 9: Brewers ML & Angels/Rangers 1st 5 Under | MLB Card + WNBA & France–Morocco Lean Toad recaps going 2–1 the prior day (Reds F5 win, Angels–Rangers under loss, Sparks cover) and then breaks down the July 9 slate with detailed reads on multiple MLB matchups, bullpen usage, and market splits. His official plays are Milwaukee Brewers moneyline behind Logan Henderson versus St. Louis and Angels–Rangers first five under 3.5 featuring Reid Detmers vs. Nathan Eovaldi. He also discusses leans including Mets–Royals over, Tampa Bay first five, Baltimore in a sweep-avoid spot, Cleveland–Minnesota first five under, White Sox team total/over vs. a Red Sox spot start, and notes uncertainty around A’s pitching. He closes with WNBA thoughts (Atlanta bounce-back vs. Seattle; Indiana–Phoenix matchup) and a World Cup lean toward Morocco +0.5 and/or the under against France. 00:00 Cold Open Pep Talk 01:28 Show Intro and Recap 03:25 Today’s Card Setup 04:29 Braves vs Pirates Breakdown 08:25 Royals vs Mets Over Angle 12:57 Yankees vs Rays Pitching Edge 17:17 Cubs vs Orioles Sweep Spot 22:21 Guardians vs Twins Leans 28:09 Red Sox vs White Sox Over Talk 33:50 White Sox Totals Angle 34:51 Tigers Momentum vs A's 39:10 A's Starter Switch Chaos 42:08 Seattle Sweep Avoid Spot 47:41 Slump Rant Reset 49:13 Phillies vs Reds Breakdown 54:24 Brewers Moneyline Play 01:01:04 Rangers Angels First Five Under 01:07:09 Angels Rangers F5 Under 01:07:49 Dbacks Padres Over Angle 01:09:08 Kelly vs Canning Breakdown 01:12:56 Rockies Giants New Series 01:15:34 Feltner Edge and F5 Lean 01:18:31 Devers Trade Rant 01:20:23 WNBA Seattle Atlanta Bounceback 01:24:50 WNBA Indiana Phoenix No Bet 01:27:51 WNBA Vegas Portland Injury Watch 01:31:24 World Cup France Morocco Lean 01:38:56 Ref Crew Rigging Talk 01:41:18 Final Card and Signoff #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba #soccer #worldcup

    1hr 44min

  4. 3 days ago

    Wednesday BEST BETS | Don't Be Misled | MLB & WNBA | 7/8/26

    My links www.linktree.com/learntotoad www.patreon.com/learntotoad MLB CIN F5 -0.5 -110 LAA/TEX F5 Under 4 -110 WNBA LA +7.5 Toadstool Sports (July 8): Reds F5 w/ Chase Burns, Angels/Rangers F5 Under, Sparks +Points + MLB Board Breakdown Toad hosts a July 8 Toadstool Sports betting show recapping a 2-2 day (regretting an added-on Cleveland loss), discussing Argentina’s soccer loss despite statistical dominance, and a WNBA underdog win with Dallas. He breaks down multiple MLB games and market splits, including Toronto–San Francisco, Cubs–Orioles, A’s–Tigers, Braves–Pirates, Yankees–Rays, Mariners–Marlins, Astros–Nationals, Royals–Mets, Red Sox–White Sox, Padres–Diamondbacks, and Rockies–Dodgers. His featured plays are Cincinnati first five -0.5 backing Chase Burns (Phillies likely bullpen game), Angels–Rangers first five under 4, and WNBA LA Sparks +6.5/+7.5 vs Indiana (with Caitlin Clark probable), plus a lean to Minnesota over Connecticut and mentions of possible Mets/Brewers leans. 00:00 Cold Open Intro 01:29 Show Recap Results 02:11 Argentina Betting Rant 04:07 Today Card Overview 07:03 Blue Jays Giants Breakdown 12:14 Cubs Orioles Total Lean 16:35 Chat Blowup Yankees 16:54 As Tigers Price Talk 22:03 Braves Pirates Tough Read 26:53 Yankees Rays Cole McClanahan 31:57 Mariners Marlins Kirby Phillips 37:20 Astros Nationals Breakdown 41:03 First Five Angles Debate 43:26 Cincy First Five Play 48:29 Royals Mets Bullpen Chaos 54:51 Red Sox White Sox Under Lean 01:01:29 Slump Rant Reset 01:03:01 Guardians Twins Handicapping 01:06:54 Brewers Cardinals Series Spot 01:12:33 Rangers Angels First Five Under 01:14:03 Urías Under Case 01:16:23 Gore Home Edge 01:17:39 Market Read Totals 01:18:50 Dbacks Padres Breakdown 01:19:51 Cabrera vs King Leans 01:22:58 Rockies Dodgers Chaos 01:25:34 Sasaki Fade Over 01:28:58 WNBA Slate Setup 01:31:43 Wolves Revenge Spot 01:36:52 Sparks Best Bet 01:45:45 Wrap Plays Outro #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba #soccer #worldcup

    1hr 50min

  5. 4 days ago

    Tuesday BEST BETS | Too Selective | MLB & WNBA & World Cup | 7/7/26

    My links www.linktree.com/learntotoad www.patreon.com/learntotoad World Cup Argentina -1.5 -103 MLB CHC -112 CLE +100 WNBA DAL +5 Toadstool Sports (July 7): Cubs & Guardians Picks, Dallas + Points, Argentina -1.5 | MLB + WNBA + World Cup Toad returns for Toadstool Sports on Tuesday, July 7, recapping a 1-0 day (Yankees win) and discussing missed value (Belgium) while navigating audio/voice issues. He breaks down a difficult MLB slate with many undecided starters, including the Brewers-Cardinals doubleheader, and gives his main baseball pick as Cubs ML vs Baltimore based on bullpen/offense edges and pitching matchup (Boyd vs Baz), later adding Guardians ML vs Twins (Cantillo vs Bradley) as a situational and matchup play. He reviews several other games as leans or stayaways (Yankees-Rays, Mariners-Marlins under thoughts, Phillies-Reds, Red Sox-White Sox, Dodgers-Rockies, and more). In WNBA, he plays Dallas plus the points vs New York due to a “sandwich” spot for the Liberty. In World Cup, he plays Argentina -1.5 vs Egypt and leans Colombia over Switzerland, then closes with plugs for socials, audio platforms, Patreon, and upcoming podcasts. 00:00 Cold Open Intro 01:28 Show Kickoff Audio Issues 02:16 Recap Yankees Win 03:25 Hate Today Baseball Board 03:41 Brewers Cardinals Doubleheader 08:22 Voice Monitoring Struggles 08:47 Best Bet Cubs Over Orioles 13:45 A's Tigers Spot Analysis 19:03 Braves Pirates Skeens Debate 26:14 Yankees Rays Rematch 33:37 Mariners Marlins Under Look 40:29 Seattle at Miami Lean 41:04 Astros Nationals Over Talk 42:39 Imai Volatility Breakdown 44:13 Alvarez Opener Warning 47:31 Royals Mets Spot Fade 50:31 First Five Royals Angle 53:53 Bankroll Discipline Chat 55:04 Phillies Reds Wheeler Watch 01:00:39 Red Sox White Sox Preview 01:09:06 Slump Rant Reset 01:10:38 Guardians Twins Play Added 01:17:13 Angels Rangers Under Lean 01:19:54 Soriano vs deGrom Read 01:21:10 Angels First Five Angle 01:22:59 Dbacks Padres Bounceback 01:24:09 Gallen vs Marquez Breakdown 01:27:50 Jays Giants Bullpen Game 01:31:15 Rockies Dodgers Pitching Edge 01:35:02 First Five Under Look 01:36:19 WNBA Dallas Plus Points 01:41:27 Chicago Phoenix Lean 01:43:26 Argentina Minus One Five 01:48:39 Switzerland Colombia Preview 01:52:27 Final Plays Wrap Up #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba #soccer #worldcup

    1hr 56min

  6. 5 days ago

    Monday BEST BETS | New Week, New Streak | MLB & WNBA & World Cup | 7/6/26

    My links www.linktree.com/learntotoad www.patreon.com/learntotoad MLB NYY +100 Yankees as an Underdog?! Monday Betting Card + World Cup & WNBA Leans (July 7) Toad recaps a 2-1 day (Mets F5 and Norway cashed; Tigers/Rangers under lost) and discusses missing an England play despite England beating Mexico amid a red card and penalty. With a short MLB card, he breaks down Phillies-Royals (leans over; warns off Philly price), makes his only official pick Yankees ML at even money over Tampa Bay citing situational edge, bullpen/offense advantages, and Cam Schlittler’s profile versus Griffin Jax, and briefly previews other games (Astros-Nationals over lean; Mets-Braves total thoughts; Brewers-Cardinals F5 under lean; D-backs-Padres F5 under lean; Jays-Giants matchup notes; Dodgers-Rockies Dodgers scoring angle). He then reviews WNBA matchups with light leans and previews World Cup quarterfinals Portugal-Spain (slight Spain lean) and USA-Belgium, favoring Belgium with uncertainty around Balogun’s suspension/appeal. 00:00 Cold Open Monologue 01:28 Show Intro and Recap 02:34 Soccer Underdog Talk 05:35 One Play Today Setup 06:11 Phillies Royals Breakdown 11:17 Yankees Value Pick 18:59 Astros Nationals Lean 24:06 Mets Braves Total Debate 30:29 Brewers Cardinals Spot 36:38 Dbacks Padres Preview 41:07 Padres Dbacks Under 43:11 Jays Giants Spot 45:09 Gausman vs Giants Bats 49:48 Rockies Dodgers Mismatch 55:02 Break and Slump Rant 57:08 WNBA Quick Leans 01:05:05 Portugal Spain Preview 01:08:50 USA Belgium Controversy 01:16:54 Belgium Betting Options 01:21:29 Final Pick and Signoff #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba #soccer #worldcup

    1hr 24min

  7. 6 days ago

    Sunday BEST BETS | The Slump Definitely Continues | MLB & WNBA & World Cup | 7/5/26

    My links www.linktree.com/learntotoad www.patreon.com/learntotoad World Cup Norway +0.5 +105 MLB NYM F5 -109 DET/TEX Under 7.5 -105 Toadstool Sports (July 5): Mets F5 ML, Tigers/Rangers Under 7.5, Norway +0.5 vs Brazil Toad recaps a rough previous day (1–3 with a Texas no-play due to a late starter change) and discusses regression from a long run of high win percentage. He breaks down Sunday, July 5 bets across MLB, WNBA, and World Cup, emphasizing contrarian spots, bullpen usage, market ticket/cash splits, and starting pitching. His official card is three plays: Mets first five moneyline vs Atlanta behind Nolan McLain vs Martín Pérez (isolating the pitching edge), Tigers/Rangers under 7.5 with Casey Mize vs Kumar Rocker in a pitcher-friendly spot, and Norway +0.5 (win/draw) vs Brazil, arguing Brazil is being overrated and Norway is more battle-tested. He also gives leans on several other MLB games, notes Peacock/NBC scheduling, and briefly discusses WNBA injuries and England vs Mexico location concerns. 00:00 Cold Open Lyrics 01:29 Intro and Recap 04:21 Today Card Overview 04:35 Mets Braves First Five 07:43 McLain vs Perez Breakdown 12:06 Chat and Team Talk 13:22 Pirates Nationals No Bet 20:59 Orioles Reds Total Lean 26:10 Twins Yankees First Five 31:40 Guardians vs White Sox 38:07 Cubs Avoid Sweep Spot 41:42 Fade Assad Breakdown 42:52 Cubs Cardinals Over Angle 44:14 Philly KC Series Setup 45:13 Nola Concerns and KC Upset 47:02 Avila Wild Card Profile 48:46 Royals Market Read Over 50:12 Tigers Rangers Under Play 53:37 Mize vs Rocker Deep Dive 57:18 Market Agreement and Side 58:47 Rays Astros First Five Under 01:04:01 Giants Rockies Coors Over 01:08:12 High Totals Market Signals 01:10:13 Slump Rant Reset 01:11:47 Brewers Dbacks Over Lean 01:17:08 Marlins As Pitching Matchup 01:18:25 Perez vs Jump First Five Look 01:22:04 Chat Banter and Next Game 01:22:23 Seattle Toronto Breakdown 01:23:53 Savage vs Hancock Matchup 01:26:05 Total and Side Lean 01:27:20 Padres Dodgers Sweep Spot 01:28:59 Sears vs Sheehan Angles 01:31:16 Dodgers Price and Total 01:32:44 Red Sox Angels Nightcap 01:33:56 Suarez vs Johnson Read 01:37:56 First Five Under Idea 01:38:49 WNBA Dallas at Toronto 01:41:36 Indiana Vegas Without Stars 01:44:05 Vegas Edge and Market Read 01:47:30 World Cup Norway Value Play 01:52:52 England Mexico Location Trap 01:59:06 Plays Recap and Signoff #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba #soccer #worldcup

    2h 6m

  8. 4 Jul

    Saturday BEST BETS | Fireworks | MLB & WNBA & World Cup | 7/4/26

    My links www.linktree.com/learntotoad www.patreon.com/learntotoad World Cup France TT Over 2.5 -102 MLB TEX +106 CIN F5 -125 CWS/CLE F5 Under 4 -105 TB/HOU Under 7.5 -120 July 4th Betting Card: Rangers ML, Reds F5, White Sox/Guardians F5 Under, Rays/Astros Under + France Team Total Toad hosts a July 4th episode of Toadstool Sports recapping a mixed prior day (Orioles win, Red Sox/Anaheim loss, Ghana +1.5 cashes, WNBA line move leads him to grade it a no-play) and then breaks down the day’s board across MLB, WNBA, and the World Cup with heavy focus on pitching matchups, bullpen rankings, splits, and market ticket/cash percentages. His official plays are Texas Rangers money line as an underdog, Cincinnati Reds first five money line behind Hunter Greene’s return, White Sox–Cleveland first five under 4, Rays–Astros full game under 7.5 behind Rasmussen vs. Brown, and France over 2.5 team goals vs. Paraguay. He also discusses several leans and Fourth of July plans and promos. 00:00 Cold Open Lyrics 01:27 Intro and Recap 01:40 Yesterday’s Results 04:09 WNBA Line Drama 06:42 Today’s Card Overview 06:59 Pirates Nationals Breakdown 11:54 Twins Yankees Over Talk 16:54 Chat and Chestnut Rant 19:01 Play Rangers Moneyline 26:16 Jays Mariners Pitching Read 32:24 Play Reds First Five 41:01 Play White Sox Guardians Under 43:51 Messick vs White Sox 46:16 First Five Under Play 48:25 Book Lines Rant 49:17 Rays Astros Under 50:57 Rasmussen Brown Breakdown 55:13 Sportsbook ID Talk 56:11 Mets Braves Preview 01:00:54 Sale Manaea Under Lean 01:03:16 Cubs Cardinals Bounceback 01:09:29 Phillies Royals Conflicting Data 01:16:13 Slump Vent Montage 01:17:44 Giants Rockies Coors Over 01:23:28 Red Sox Angels Setup 01:25:02 Gray Letdown Spot 01:27:11 Altogeri Breakdown 01:28:29 Totals And Fade 01:29:49 Marlins A's Over 01:34:32 Brewers Pitching Edge 01:39:07 Padres Dodgers Mismatch 01:44:48 WNBA Atlanta Angle 01:48:02 Seattle Trap Line 01:51:10 World Cup Picks 01:55:13 France Team Total 02:01:43 Cookout Signoff 02:03:21 Plays Recap Outro #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba #soccer #worldcup

    2h 7m
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About

Hi, I am Toad. I am an autistic sports bettor with no regard for my well-being! I provide daily detailed analysis of all of the major sports and give out my best plays. It's free gold, baby. Find me on YouTube at ToadStool Sports and Instagram and Twitter at LearnToToad.

Information

  • Creator
    Toad
  • Years Active
    2025 - 2026
  • Episodes
    443
  • Rating
    Explicit
  • Copyright
    © Copyright learntotoad
  • Show Website
    Toadstool Sports