Sound Investing

Paul Merriman

Weekly podcasts with Paul Merriman. Strategic planning for investing at every stage of life.

  1. A Surprise, a Big Thank You, and What’s Coming Next

    28 JAN

    A Surprise, a Big Thank You, and What’s Coming Next

    Sometimes the best moments are the unexpected ones. This week brought one of those moments when Daryl Bahls delivered an extraordinary surprise: access to every table used across our entire investing Boot Camp Series — months of work, ready ahead of schedule. That gift makes it possible to move forward faster, including setting up pages for the upcoming Series and potentially releasing the tables before all the podcasts and articles are complete. The White Coat Investor: 150+ Portfolios That Work We revisit the White Coat Investor article “150 Portfolios Better Than Yours” (now over 200 portfolios), originally published in 2014. The key lesson:There is no single “best” portfolio — most of the portfolios are legitimate and effective. What matters most is: Choosing a sound portfolio Understanding why it works Staying the course over decades Early success can be misleading, but the portfolio you choose in the beginning can mean millions of dollars more in the long-term. Why Portfolio Design Matters So Much Using historical data going back to 1970, we explore how different strategies produce dramatically different outcomes over time: S&P 500 only vs. globally diversified portfolios Multi–asset-class investing Value-focused portfolios (U.S. and international) Even small starting amounts can lead to large differences over a lifetime. What We Do — and What We Don’t Do To Help Investors  We are: Focused on education Dedicated to do-it-yourself investors Grounded in academic research and evidence-based investing We are not: Financial planners Estate planners Tax advisors Our goal is to help investors build portfolios they can trust through good markets and bad — with the potential to land in the top 5–10% of long-term outcomes. Preview: The 10-Part Boot Camp Series Over the coming weeks, we’ll release a comprehensive boot camp covering: Stocks vs. Bonds — why this decision alone can be a $10 million difference Equity Asset Class Selection — based on academic research, not trends Simple Sound Investing Portfolios — small, powerful, manageable Adding Bonds Intelligently — controlling risk without killing returns Long-Term Contributions — what steady investing really looks like Fixed Withdrawal Strategies — taking distributions when you retire with only "enough" Flexible Withdrawal Strategies — especially for those who’ve oversaved Target-Date Funds & Glide Paths — with added diversification insights ETF Selection — why DFA and Avantis may help investors stay the course Investing for Children & Newborns — including new retirement account considerations Each topic will eventually include: A podcast episode A written article Supporting data tables Daryl has now produced 247 educational tables, all designed to support smarter portfolio decisions.  You will see all of them during the 10 week series.

    25 min
  2. Better Than VTSAX, Choosing Asset Allocation, Target Date Funds, Protecting Against Scams, and More

    21 JAN

    Better Than VTSAX, Choosing Asset Allocation, Target Date Funds, Protecting Against Scams, and More

    Upcoming Event + What’s New Before jumping into today’s questions—there are some good ones—I want to share a quick note. I’ll be at the Annual RetireMeet on March 7 in Bellevue at the Maidenbauer Building. I’ll be there all day at the booth and will be discussing the inside story on diversification, including new thinking on rebalancing that I believe you’ll find useful. Christine Benz —HOW TO RETIRE Don McDonald — RETIREMENT EVOLUTION: FROM NONE TO FUN Tom C**k — RETIREMENT INCOME: THE 4% RULE & BEYOND Kevin Peterson — GETTING THE MOST FROM MEDICARE Joe Saul-Sehy — COMMON MISTAKES THAT MAKE RETIREMENT MISERABLE The event is available in person and online. In-person attendees receive lunch. Online attendees pay a small fee that supports nonprofits focused on financial education. I also spent time this week with Daryl Balls, working on updates to the quilt charts and new tables. We’re excited to share those soon, along with the next Boot Camp series, starting later this month. Questions of the Day How can I avoid getting scammed by a bad financial advisor? 04:03How can my parents decide when to start Social Security? 07:08How do I identify my target asset allocation if I am 41 and plan to retire at 65, taking Social Security at 70 and with a pension? 08:47Can you help me build a sample asset allocation? 11:46What should I learn first to understand asset allocation? 14:10How do target date funds fit into asset allocation? 17:42How does VTSAX fit into this strategy? 17:04My 401(k) only offers Vanguard Total Market, Mid-Cap Index, and Small-Cap Index. Can I build a good portfolio? 20:40If I’m contributing monthly, should I rebalance using contributions or make separate trades? 27:59I have a closed 401(k) with a target date 2050 fund. Is that a good core holding? 28:50A Final Thought I recently spoke with an investor who realized they didn’t need to draw from their investments at all, thanks to Social Security and a pension—even with nearly $2 million invested. When you don’t need the money, you get to choose your medicine—aggressive or conservative. We’re excited about the upcoming Boot Camp, new tables, and educational tools. If we can do a better job teaching, our hope is that you’ll do a better job investing—for yourselves and for those who count on you.  Links Mentioned in This Episode Investor Education ⁠Get Smart or Get Screwed ⁠Truth Tellers – Social Security ⁠Social Security Made Simple⁠ by Mike Piper⁠Mike Piper⁠ – Oblivious Investor When to Take Social Security: Pros & Cons – Jim Dahle (White Coat Investor)⁠https://www.whitecoatinvestor.com/when-to-take-social-security-a-pro-con/⁠Asset Allocation & Target Date Funds ⁠Two Funds for Life ⁠– Chris Pedersen⁠Sound Investing Portfolio Series⁠ (Boot Camp – prior year)⁠Ultimate Buy & Hold Strategy⁠⁠Fine-Tuning Your Asset Allocation⁠Event ⁠Annual RetireMeet – Bellevue (March 7)⁠Research & Tools ⁠Quilt Charts and Tables (Paul Merriman / Daryl Balls)⁠

    35 min
  3. Sound Investing Q&A: ETFs, Portfolios, Risk, and Retirement

    14 JAN

    Sound Investing Q&A: ETFs, Portfolios, Risk, and Retirement

    In this week’s Sound Investing episode, Paul Merriman answers a wide-ranging set of listener questions — from choosing ETFs and building portfolios to managing risk in retirement and investing wisely at every age. One of the biggest takeaways? There is no universally “best” ETF or portfolio. The right answer depends on your goals, risk tolerance, time horizon, and — just as importantly — your ability to stick with a strategy during difficult markets. Here are some of the highlights from the episode: What’s the “best ETF”?Paul explains that for simple exposure (like the S&P 500), the lowest-cost option often wins. But once you move into areas like small-cap value or factor investing, fund construction and index methodology matter far more than expense ratios alone. Single-fund vs. DIY portfoliosPaul compares all-in-one solutions like AVGV (Avantis All-World Value ETF) with building the same asset classes yourself. While a DIY approach can sometimes produce higher returns, it also requires discipline and comfort with tracking and rebalancing multiple funds. Portfolios for different stages of life Younger investors (30s): Paul favors all-equity portfolios for long time horizons, assuming the investor can tolerate volatility. Pre-retirees and retirees: The focus shifts to managing downside risk, withdrawal rates, and behavioral comfort — not maximizing returns at all costs. Retirement withdrawals and sequence riskUsing historical examples starting in 1970, Paul shows how withdrawal rates (4%, 5%, 6%) and portfolio composition can mean the difference between ending with millions — or running out of money entirely. Mutual funds vs. ETFsETFs have become more tax-efficient, more flexible, and easier to trade — making them ideal for the smaller, diversified portfolios Sound Investing now recommends. How to self-manage a portfolioPaul walks through how to: Choose equity asset classes Use best-in-class ETF recommendations Rebalance intelligently Invest weekly without overcomplicating the process Resources mentioned in the episode: Sound Investing Boot Camphttps://paulmerriman.com/bootcamp/ Ultimate Buy & Hold Portfoliohttps://paulmerriman.com/ultimate-buy-and-hold-portfolio/ 2025 Sound Investing Portfolioshttps://paulmerriman.com/sound-investing-portfolios/ Avantis Investors & AVGVhttps://www.avantisinvestors.com/ Morningstar Fund Comparison Toolshttps://www.morningstar.com/ Ben Felix (Canadian investing insights)https://www.pwlcapital.com/profile/benjamin-felix/ REIT background and tax considerationshttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Real_estate_investment_trust Paul closes the episode with a reminder that diversification means always owning some underperformers — and that’s not a flaw, it’s the price of long-term success. Thanks for listening, and we’ll see you next week.

    50 min

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Weekly podcasts with Paul Merriman. Strategic planning for investing at every stage of life.

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