The Chuck ToddCast

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The Chuck ToddCast is back! If you're looking for smart, no-nonsense political conversation, you've come to the right place. The Chuck ToddCast goes beyond the headlines, featuring conversations with top reporters, insiders, and newsmakers from D.C. to the heartland. No scripts, no spin—just real discussions about what’s shaping our politics and why it matters.

  1. Chuck’s Commentary - Trump Is In A Political Hole… And Can’t Stop Digging + The Backlash Against Bibi Netanyahu

    7小時前

    Chuck’s Commentary - Trump Is In A Political Hole… And Can’t Stop Digging + The Backlash Against Bibi Netanyahu

    Chuck Todd argues the Trump administration is in the political equivalent of a hole and can't stop digging, walking through a series of self-inflicted wounds that are damaging America's standing both at home and abroad. He reveals the administration is circulating a "trade for aid" package at the UN that would essentially privatize humanitarian assistance, a pretense to drop all foreign aid since the private sector obviously won't fill the gaps without extracting something in return — and warns that after the USAID cuts, other countries have already scaled back their own contributions, meaning America is effectively exporting heartlessness around the world and looking like assholes in the process. The administration's fight with the Pope perfectly captures this mentality: Mike Johnson is defending Trump's attacks on the pontiff by citing Catholic "just war doctrine," newly-converted JD Vance is lecturing the Pope on his own church's theology, and Chuck notes that elected Republicans know this is disastrous politics but are too afraid to say so publicly.  He closes with a reflection on hosting a panel for a new documentary about Hannah Arendt, arguing it's the perfect moment to revisit her work on totalitarianism. He notes Arendt was a Zionist who didn't want Israel to be a nationalist state, and applies that framework to the current moment: the backlash against Israel is really a backlash against Netanyahu, who has tried to manipulate every American president but only found his willing partner in Trump; October 7th galvanized Israeli society but hasn't made Bibi more popular at home; Israel now has only one major ally left in America, and Bibi is actively risking even that. Finally, he answers listeners’ questions in the “Ask Chuck” segment. Protect your family with life insurance from Ethos. Get up to $3 million in coverage in as little as 10 minutes at https://ethos.com/chuck. Application times may vary. Rates may vary.  Refresh your wardrobe with Quince. Go to https://Quince.com/chuck for free shipping on your order and 365-day returns.  Link in bio or go to https://getsoul.com & enter code TODDCAST for 30% off your first order. Timeline: (Timestamps may vary based on advertisements) 00:00 Chuck Todd’s introduction 06:00 The Trump administration can’t help but “stop digging” 06:45 Outside of his base, Trump isn’t able to persuade others 07:30 Administration circulating a “trade for aid” package at the UN 09:00 Administration wants the world to privatize humanitarian aid 10:00 After USAID cuts, other countries have scaled back their aid 10:45 State Dept official says it’s a pretense to drop all aid & privatize it 11:45 Private sector won’t fill in aid gaps without getting something in return 13:15 Trump is making America look like assholes to the rest of the world 14:00 We’re exporting heartlessness around the world 15:00 This mentality is perfectly captured in administration’s fight with the pope 16:15 Mike Johnson defends Trump’s attack on Pope, citing “just war doctrine” 17:30 The pope has been saying what a pope should say 18:45 Catholic church has a specific theology on “just war” 20:00 JD Vance is newly converted and wants to lecture the pope & church 21:15 Elected Republicans know this is bad politics but are afraid to go public 22:30 Trump’s threats to fire Jay Powell make it harder to confirm his successor 25:00 Maybe a strong independent mind like Jay Powell should run for president 26:45 Prior presidents worked to help their party in 2nd term, Trump doesn’t care 27:45 Trump may be president, but he’s not a true “party leader” 28:15 Chuck hosted panel for new documentary about Hannah Arendt 29:00 Great time to take a deep dive into Arendt’s work on totalitarianism 29:45 We aren’t living in a totalitarian state, but you can see how it can happen 31:30 Arrendt was a Zionist, but didn’t want Israel to be a nationalist state 33:00 Backlash to Israel is mostly backlash against Bibi. 34:00 Bibi has tried to manipulate presidents, only Trump didn’t push back 35:30 October 7th galvanized Israelis, but Bibi isn’t more popular 37:30 Israel now only has one ally in America, Bibi risking that alliance too 38:30 The only way Israel fixes this is with a new government 39:15 Support for Israel is degraded on the American left, the right could follow 42:00 Thoughts on the NBA play-in 44:45 Ask Chuck 45:00 Would Whitmer/Slotkin be as strong as Warnock/Ossoff as a ticket? 47:45 Why didn’t Trump take credit/victory lap over the Artemis mission? 51:45 Why are preemptive pardons allowed? 53:45 Thoughts on latest polling showing Thomas Massie doing well? 57:00 Thoughts on increased calls for expulsion of members of congress? 58:45 If Iran offers Obama’s deal, could that further isolate Trump from the world? See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

    1 小時 3 分鐘
  2. Full Episode - Trump Is In A Political Hole… And Can’t Stop Digging + How To Be A Dissident

    7小時前

    Full Episode - Trump Is In A Political Hole… And Can’t Stop Digging + How To Be A Dissident

    Chuck Todd argues the Trump administration is in the political equivalent of a hole and can't stop digging, walking through a series of self-inflicted wounds that are damaging America's standing both at home and abroad. He reveals the administration is circulating a "trade for aid" package at the UN that would essentially privatize humanitarian assistance, a pretense to drop all foreign aid since the private sector obviously won't fill the gaps without extracting something in return — and warns that after the USAID cuts, other countries have already scaled back their own contributions, meaning America is effectively exporting heartlessness around the world and looking like assholes in the process. The administration's fight with the Pope perfectly captures this mentality: Mike Johnson is defending Trump's attacks on the pontiff by citing Catholic "just war doctrine," newly-converted JD Vance is lecturing the Pope on his own church's theology, and Chuck notes that elected Republicans know this is disastrous politics but are too afraid to say so publicly. He closes with a reflection on hosting a panel for a new documentary about Hannah Arendt, arguing it's the perfect moment to revisit her work on totalitarianism. He notes Arendt was a Zionist who didn't want Israel to be a nationalist state, and applies that framework to the current moment: the backlash against Israel is really a backlash against Netanyahu, who has tried to manipulate every American president but only found his willing partner in Trump; October 7th galvanized Israeli society but hasn't made Bibi more popular at home; Israel now has only one major ally left in America, and Bibi is actively risking even that. Then, Gal Beckerman — author of the new book How to Be a Dissident — joins the Chuck Toddcast for a timely conversation about what it actually takes to resist authoritarianism, written explicitly for an American audience that he argues is now experiencing something abnormal and authoritarian for the first time. Beckerman, drawing on his years of reporting on historical resistance movements, identifies the qualities that successful dissidents across cultures and eras tend to share: the ability to step away from human conformity, a deep sense of pessimism that paradoxically motivates action, and a willingness to be reckless in ways that expose the cruelty of the system they're fighting — whether that's putting children in harm's way during the Birmingham civil rights protests, setting oneself on fire to prove a point, or Alexei Navalny choosing to return to Russia knowing he would likely lose his life. He explains why killing dissidents often backfires by making them immortal, why humor and satire are uniquely powerful tools that authorities have always tried to suppress (medieval rulers banned satire for a reason), and the simple question every dissident eventually faces: "Can I live with myself?" The conversation turns to what Beckerman sees happening in America right now. He praises the No Kings protests for ramping up demonstrations strategically and points to Minneapolis during ICE's occupation as a moment where ordinary Americans demonstrated genuine dissident behavior. Beckerman makes the provocative argument that the most effective dissidents tend to come from within the system rather than from outside it. He compares Hungary's recent overthrow of Orbán, which was made possible by years of civic organizing in rural areas building the sense of community needed to believe change was possible, with America's institutional capitulation under Trump. He argues Americans weren't prepared to act because they'd never faced this situation before, but that ICE's actions in Minneapolis genuinely woke many people up, They close with cautious optimism: Trump has shaken Americans out of complacency, voter turnout is at its highest in a century, the country has become more sophisticated about protest, and that most dissidents don't realize they've succeeded in the moment they're acting. Finally, he answers listeners’ questions in the “Ask Chuck” segment. Protect your family with life insurance from Ethos. Get up to $3 million in coverage in as little as 10 minutes at https://ethos.com/chuck. Application times may vary. Rates may vary.  Refresh your wardrobe with Quince. Go to https://Quince.com/chuck for free shipping on your order and 365-day returns.  Link in bio or go to https://getsoul.com & enter code TODDCAST for 30% off your first order. Timeline: (Timestamps may vary based on advertisements) 00:00 Chuck Todd’s introduction 06:00 The Trump administration can’t help but “stop digging” 06:45 Outside of his base, Trump isn’t able to persuade others 07:30 Administration circulating a “trade for aid” package at the UN 09:00 Administration wants the world to privatize humanitarian aid 10:00 After USAID cuts, other countries have scaled back their aid 10:45 State Dept official says it’s a pretense to drop all aid & privatize it 11:45 Private sector won’t fill in aid gaps without getting something in return 13:15 Trump is making America look like assholes to the rest of the world 14:00 We’re exporting heartlessness around the world 15:00 This mentality is perfectly captured in administration’s fight with the pope 16:15 Mike Johnson defends Trump’s attack on Pope, citing “just war doctrine” 17:30 The pope has been saying what a pope should say 18:45 Catholic church has a specific theology on “just war” 20:00 JD Vance is newly converted and wants to lecture the pope & church 21:15 Elected Republicans know this is bad politics but are afraid to go public 22:30 Trump’s threats to fire Jay Powell make it harder to confirm his successor 25:00 Maybe a strong independent mind like Jay Powell should run for president 26:45 Prior presidents worked to help their party in 2nd term, Trump doesn’t care 27:45 Trump may be president, but he’s not a true “party leader” 28:15 Chuck hosted panel for new documentary about Hannah Arendt 29:00 Great time to take a deep dive into Arendt’s work on totalitarianism 29:45 We aren’t living in a totalitarian state, but you can see how it can happen 31:30 Arrendt was a Zionist, but didn’t want Israel to be a nationalist state 33:00 Backlash to Israel is mostly backlash against Bibi. 34:00 Bibi has tried to manipulate presidents, only Trump didn’t push back 35:30 October 7th galvanized Israelis, but Bibi isn’t more popular 37:30 Israel now only has one ally in America, Bibi risking that alliance too 38:30 The only way Israel fixes this is with a new government 39:15 Support for Israel is degraded on the American left, the right could follow 43:30 Gal Beckerman joins the Chuck ToddCast45:15 The book is intended for an American audience45:45 Americans are experiencing something abnormal & authoritarian46:30 The conditions for a “normal life” are being impeded on in America47:00 We saw true dissidents in Minneapolis during ICE occupation48:30 Most people are hardwired to conform, Minneapolis didn’t49:00 Dissidents say “no” when their conscience is being violated50:00 The most simple question for dissidents is “Can I live with myself?”52:00 What made Soviet dissidents successful vs. modern Russians?53:30 Soviet Jews were oppressed, but also couldn’t leave54:15 Soviet Jews broadcast to the world that they were basically prisoners56:00 Orban’s fall in Hungary had been percolating for years57:00 Civic organizations in rural Hungary had been organizing58:00 The sense of community helped people think Orban could be defeated59:00 No Kings protests have been smart about ramping up demonstrations59:30 People can join No Kings for their preferred cause & find community1:01:00 Are the most effective dissidents the people who came from the system?1:01:45 Navalny in Russia was a creature of the establishment1:02:45 Liz Cheney didn’t work as a dissident since she wasn’t from Trump wing1:04:15 The qualities found in dissidents transcend cultures and eras1:05:30 Dissidents have to be able to step away from human conformity1:06:15 Pessimism is a common quality in dissidents1:07:45 If you think things will get better, it doesn’t motivate you to act1:09:00 The difference between fatalism and pessimism1:10:45 Humor and satire are a great way to speak to broader audiences1:12:00 The absurdity in satire cuts through1:13:30 Satire was pulled down by authorities during the middle ages1:14:00 Why is recklessness the mark of a successful dissident?1:15:00 Putting children in harms way in Birmingham showed cruelty of segregation1:16:15 People set themselves on fire to prove a point1:17:30 Navalny risked and ultimately lost his life by going back to Russia1:19:00 Killing dissidents can make them immortal, make them more powerful1:21:15 It’s important to understand what qualities make for a powerful dissident1:22:15 We’ve seen institutions and people capitulate in America1:23:00 Disney settling with Trump put a permanent stain on corporate owned media1:25:30 Americans weren’t prepared to act because they’ve never faced this situation1:26:15 ICE going to Minneapolis really woke up many Americans1:26:45 Being a citizen does demand hard choices sometimes1:29:45 Israeli society is organized around the idea that citizenship is active work1:30:30 The upside to the Trump era, is the highest voter turnout in a century1:32:00 Trump has shaken many Americans out of their sense of complacency1:33:00 America has become more sophisticated about protesting1:34:45 America wants change badly, they keep voting for it1:35:30 Change takes time and people are increasingly impatient1:37:30 What lesson do you hope people most learn from your book?1:40:15 Moral choices are a burden, but are also creative acts1:41:45 Most dissidents don’t know they are successful in the moment 1:43:45 Thoughts on the NBA play-in 1:46:30 Ask Chuck 1:46:45 Wou

    2 小時 4 分鐘
  3. Interview Only w/ Gal Beckerman - How To Be A Dissident

    7小時前

    Interview Only w/ Gal Beckerman - How To Be A Dissident

    Gal Beckerman — author of the new book How to Be a Dissident — joins the Chuck Toddcast for a timely conversation about what it actually takes to resist authoritarianism, written explicitly for an American audience that he argues is now experiencing something abnormal and authoritarian for the first time. Beckerman, drawing on his years of reporting on historical resistance movements, identifies the qualities that successful dissidents across cultures and eras tend to share: the ability to step away from human conformity, a deep sense of pessimism that paradoxically motivates action, and a willingness to be reckless in ways that expose the cruelty of the system they're fighting — whether that's putting children in harm's way during the Birmingham civil rights protests, setting oneself on fire to prove a point, or Alexei Navalny choosing to return to Russia knowing he would likely lose his life. He explains why killing dissidents often backfires by making them immortal, why humor and satire are uniquely powerful tools that authorities have always tried to suppress (medieval rulers banned satire for a reason), and the simple question every dissident eventually faces: "Can I live with myself?" The conversation turns to what Beckerman sees happening in America right now. He praises the No Kings protests for ramping up demonstrations strategically and points to Minneapolis during ICE's occupation as a moment where ordinary Americans demonstrated genuine dissident behavior. Beckerman makes the provocative argument that the most effective dissidents tend to come from within the system rather than from outside it. He compares Hungary's recent overthrow of Orbán, which was made possible by years of civic organizing in rural areas building the sense of community needed to believe change was possible, with America's institutional capitulation under Trump. He argues Americans weren't prepared to act because they'd never faced this situation before, but that ICE's actions in Minneapolis genuinely woke many people up, They close with cautious optimism: Trump has shaken Americans out of complacency, voter turnout is at its highest in a century, the country has become more sophisticated about protest, and that most dissidents don't realize they've succeeded in the moment they're acting. Protect your family with life insurance from Ethos. Get up to $3 million in coverage in as little as 10 minutes at https://ethos.com/chuck. Application times may vary. Rates may vary.  Refresh your wardrobe with Quince. Go to https://Quince.com/chuck for free shipping on your order and 365-day returns.  Link in bio or go to https://getsoul.com & enter code TODDCAST for 30% off your first order. Timeline: (Timestamps may vary based on advertisements) 00:00 Gal Beckerman joins the Chuck ToddCast 01:45 The book is intended for an American audience  02:15 Americans are experiencing something abnormal & authoritarian 03:00 The conditions for a “normal life” are being impeded on in America 03:30 We saw true dissidents in Minneapolis during ICE occupation 05:00 Most people are hardwired to conform, Minneapolis didn’t 05:30 Dissidents say “no” when their conscience is being violated 06:30 The most simple question for dissidents is “Can I live with myself?” 08:30 What made Soviet dissidents successful vs. modern Russians? 10:00 Soviet Jews were oppressed, but also couldn’t leave 10:45 Soviet Jews broadcast to the world that they were basically prisoners 12:30 Orban’s fall in Hungary had been percolating for years 13:30 Civic organizations in rural Hungary had been organizing 14:30 The sense of community helped people think Orban could be defeated 15:30 No Kings protests have been smart about ramping up demonstrations 16:00 People can join No Kings for their preferred cause & find community 17:30 Are the most effective dissidents the people who came from the system? 18:15 Navalny in Russia was a creature of the establishment 19:15 Liz Cheney didn’t work as a dissident since she wasn’t from Trump wing 20:45 The qualities found in dissidents transcend cultures and eras 22:00 Dissidents have to be able to step away from human conformity 22:45 Pessimism is a common quality in dissidents 24:15 If you think things will get better, it doesn’t motivate you to act 25:30 The difference between fatalism and pessimism 27:15 Humor and satire are a great way to speak to broader audiences 28:30 The absurdity in satire cuts through 30:00 Satire was pulled down by authorities during the middle ages 30:30 Why is recklessness the mark of a successful dissident? 31:30 Putting children in harms way in Birmingham showed cruelty of segregation 32:45 People set themselves on fire to prove a point 34:00 Navalny risked and ultimately lost his life by going back to Russia 35:30 Killing dissidents can make them immortal, make them more powerful 37:45 It’s important to understand what qualities make for a powerful dissident 38:45 We’ve seen institutions and people capitulate in America 39:30 Disney settling with Trump put a permanent stain on corporate owned media 42:00 Americans weren’t prepared to act because they’ve never faced this situation 42:45 ICE going to Minneapolis really woke up many Americans 43:15 Being a citizen does demand hard choices sometimes 46:15 Israeli society is organized around the idea that citizenship is active work 47:00 The upside to the Trump era, is the highest voter turnout in a century 48:30 Trump has shaken many Americans out of their sense of complacency 49:30 America has become more sophisticated about protesting  51:15 America wants change badly, they keep voting for it 52:00 Change takes time and people are increasingly impatient 54:00 What lesson do you hope people most learn from your book? 56:45 Moral choices are a burden, but are also creative acts 58:15 Most dissidents don’t know they are successful in the moment See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

    1 小時 5 分鐘
  4. Chuck’s Commentary - Big Beautiful Bust: Why Tax Day Isn’t A Win For Trump + What Lessons Can We Take From Orban’s Defeat In Hungary

    1日前

    Chuck’s Commentary - Big Beautiful Bust: Why Tax Day Isn’t A Win For Trump + What Lessons Can We Take From Orban’s Defeat In Hungary

    Chuck Todd opens on Tax Day — which the Trump team had planned as a political celebration showcasing bigger refunds, but which has instead become what he dubs the "One Big Beautiful BUST," with any gains from the tax cut completely eaten up by Trump's tariffs and the Iran war. Todd argues the economy isn't in recession but isn't good either, that voters simply won't feel the effects of Trump's tax cut, and that America now faces the genuine prospect of 1970s-style stagflation. H predicts we'll ultimately end up with an Iran deal that looks remarkably similar to the Obama deal Trump once ripped up, and notes that Trump's Jesus meme played terribly even with his own base — forcing him to backpedal with weak excuses — because when things are going well that kind of provocation gets a pass, but Trump is now squarely in the "bad gets worse" stage of his presidency where the coalition hasn't collapsed but the cracks are visibly widening.  He pivots to Viktor Orbán's decisive defeat in Hungary after 16 years in power, an election that featured massive voter turnout and was won by opposition leader Péter Magyar — an insider who gave Orbán's own voters a "permission slip" to leave by connecting democratic erosion directly to the bad economy. He argues America used to set the weather for democracy worldwide but hasn't been the leading model in 15 years, points to the mainstream party vote share in the UK falling below 40% as evidence of a broader cultural conservative backlash happening across democracies, and closes with a historically grounded warning: Hungary proves that political breakthroughs come from defectors within the system rather than outsiders challenging it, and history suggests real change rarely comes from merely tweaking the machinery — it comes from someone giving voters permission to abandon a failing project. Finally, Chuck provides a spin on the ToddCast Top 5 and instead lists the senate seats he ranks as 6th-10th most likely to flip and answers listeners’ questions in the “Ask Chuck” segment Protect your family with life insurance from Ethos. Get up to $3 million in coverage in as little as 10 minutes at https://ethos.com/chuck. Application times may vary. Rates may vary.  Refresh your wardrobe with Quince. Go to https://Quince.com/chuck for free shipping on your order and 365-day returns.  Link in bio or go to https://getsoul.com & enter code TODDCAST for 30% off your first order.   Timeline: 00:00 Chuck Todd’s introduction 02:00 It’s Tax Day and Trump’s team planned on it being a boon  03:00 Bigger tax refunds eaten by Trump’s tariffs and Iran war 03:45 Tax day instead will be the One Big Beautiful BUST 04:30 Economy isn’t in recession, but it’s not good 05:15 If Trump didn’t impose tariffs & start war, today would be good for him 06:00 Facing the potential of stagflation for a decade like in the 70s 07:00 Voters won’t feel the effects of Trump’s tax cut 08:15 Economic conditions could go off a cliff if war doesn’t end 09:15 This period of Trump’s presidency will be viewed as when it ended 10:00 It’s clear we’ll get a deal with the Iranians similar to Obama’s deal 11:30 Trump’s jesus meme played terribly, even with his base 12:30 Trump backpedaled and came up with bad excuses for meme 13:45 Everybody has a line that Trump will eventually cross 15:00 If things were going well, the meme wouldn’t get the same backlash 16:15 Trump is in the “bad gets worse” stage of his presidency 18:15 Trump’s coalition hasn’t collapsed, but cracks are getting wider 18:45 Viktor Orban trounced in Hungarian elections after 16 years of rule 20:00 We assumed that America democracy set the weather for democracies 20:45 In the last 15 years, America’s democracy isn’t the leading model 22:00 Cultural conservative backlash happening in many democracies 23:00 Mainstream party vote share in UK has dropped below 40% 24:00 Center-left and center-right UK parties would lose to far left/right 24:45 Hungary’s election was decisive with mass voter turnout 25:30 Magyar was an insider, gave Orban voters permission slip to leave 26:15 Magyar connected democratic erosion to the bad economy 26:45 Vance tried to rescue Orban and that backfired horribly 27:15 How much Hungarian money didn’t American influencers receive? 28:30 America’s political system just vacillates and feels stuck 29:00 Hungary showed the breakthrough comes from defectors, not outsiders 30:15 History suggests that change doesn’t come from tweaking the system 35:30 ToddCast Not Top 5 - The next 5 senate seats most likely to flip 36:30 Political environment is highly favorable for Democrats 38:00 Top 5, NC, ME, OH, AK, NE 39:45 #6 Texas 40:30 #7 Michigan 43:30 #8 Georgia 44:00 #9 Iowa 45:45 #10 Montana 48:15 Ask Chuck 48:30 Are Republicans more in danger of fracturing than Democrats? 55:00 Was there a backroom deal for resignation of Swalwell & Gonzales? 56:30 Rubio’s shoes are the most “Veep” thing in Trump administration 1:00:00 How can CA Dems win over rural GOP voters in the state? 1:05:30 Best national and international news sources to stay informed? See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

    1 小時 10 分鐘
  5. Full Episode - Big Beautiful Bust: Why Tax Day Isn’t A Win For Trump + Why Can Democrats Put Iowa Back On The Map

    1日前

    Full Episode - Big Beautiful Bust: Why Tax Day Isn’t A Win For Trump + Why Can Democrats Put Iowa Back On The Map

    Chuck Todd opens on Tax Day — which the Trump team had planned as a political celebration showcasing bigger refunds, but which has instead become what he dubs the "One Big Beautiful BUST," with any gains from the tax cut completely eaten up by Trump's tariffs and the Iran war. Todd argues the economy isn't in recession but isn't good either, that voters simply won't feel the effects of Trump's tax cut, and that America now faces the genuine prospect of 1970s-style stagflation. H predicts we'll ultimately end up with an Iran deal that looks remarkably similar to the Obama deal Trump once ripped up, and notes that Trump's Jesus meme played terribly even with his own base — forcing him to backpedal with weak excuses — because when things are going well that kind of provocation gets a pass, but Trump is now squarely in the "bad gets worse" stage of his presidency where the coalition hasn't collapsed but the cracks are visibly widening.  He pivots to Viktor Orbán's decisive defeat in Hungary after 16 years in power, an election that featured massive voter turnout and was won by opposition leader Péter Magyar — an insider who gave Orbán's own voters a "permission slip" to leave by connecting democratic erosion directly to the bad economy. He argues America used to set the weather for democracy worldwide but hasn't been the leading model in 15 years, points to the mainstream party vote share in the UK falling below 40% as evidence of a broader cultural conservative backlash happening across democracies, and closes with a historically grounded warning: Hungary proves that political breakthroughs come from defectors within the system rather than outsiders challenging it, and history suggests real change rarely comes from merely tweaking the machinery — it comes from someone giving voters permission to abandon a failing project. Then, Zach Wahls — the Iowa state senator, former minority leader, and U.S. Senate candidate who first went viral as a 19-year-old in 2011 for his moving speech defending his two moms before the Iowa legislature — joins the Chuck Toddcast to make the case that Democrats have a real shot at flipping statewide races in Iowa this cycle. Wahls explains how he realized at 13 that the GOP was targeting his own family, how he still considers marriage equality to be genuinely under threat today, and pushes back on the narrative that Iowa has abandoned its famous libertarian streak — noting that the vast majority of Iowans remain pro-choice and supportive of marriage equality even as the state has drifted red. He argues that Obama-Trump voters are plentiful in Iowa and that rural Iowa communities feel forgotten by the establishment — a dynamic Trump spoke to effectively in 2016 when the state was in a regional recession. Wahls points to the party's post-New Deal legacy of fighting for workers' rights, but he also reveals he wouldn't support Chuck Schumer for Senate leadership — a position that's apparently cost him, as Schumer-linked super PACs are now spending millions against him in the primary. The conversation turns to what Wahls sees as the defining issue of his campaign: the obscene influence of dark money in American politics. He reveals that a bipartisan Iowa bill to get money out of state politics was killed by lobbyists and GOP opposition, that he's received small-dollar donations from all 99 Iowa counties while refusing corporate PAC money, and that his anti-corruption message is genuinely resonating with voters who are exhausted by the current system. Wahls says he'll co-sponsor a constitutional amendment to overturn Citizens United, discusses his openness to banning private equity from owning residential homes and responds to being labeled a "Sanders/Warren" candidate. Wahls pledges to lead by example on anti-corruption by serving only two terms if elected, shares concerns about state reliance on gambling revenue as a signal of voter economic anxiety, and closes with a deeply relatable observation every young parent will recognize: with a two-year-old at home, his monthly childcare bill now costs as much as his mortgage. Finally, Chuck provides a spin on the ToddCast Top 5 and instead lists the senate seats he ranks as 6th-10th most likely to flip and answers listeners’ questions in the “Ask Chuck” segment Protect your family with life insurance from Ethos. Get up to $3 million in coverage in as little as 10 minutes at https://ethos.com/chuck. Application times may vary. Rates may vary.  Refresh your wardrobe with Quince. Go to https://Quince.com/chuck for free shipping on your order and 365-day returns.  Link in bio or go to https://getsoul.com & enter code TODDCAST for 30% off your first order.   Timeline: (Timestamps may vary based on advertisements) 00:00 Chuck Todd’s introduction 02:00 It’s Tax Day and Trump’s team planned on it being a boon  03:00 Bigger tax refunds eaten by Trump’s tariffs and Iran war 03:45 Tax day instead will be the One Big Beautiful BUST 04:30 Economy isn’t in recession, but it’s not good 05:15 If Trump didn’t impose tariffs & start war, today would be good for him 06:00 Facing the potential of stagflation for a decade like in the 70s 07:00 Voters won’t feel the effects of Trump’s tax cut 08:15 Economic conditions could go off a cliff if war doesn’t end 09:15 This period of Trump’s presidency will be viewed as when it ended 10:00 It’s clear we’ll get a deal with the Iranians similar to Obama’s deal 11:30 Trump’s jesus meme played terribly, even with his base 12:30 Trump backpedaled and came up with bad excuses for meme 13:45 Everybody has a line that Trump will eventually cross 15:00 If things were going well, the meme wouldn’t get the same backlash 16:15 Trump is in the “bad gets worse” stage of his presidency 18:15 Trump’s coalition hasn’t collapsed, but cracks are getting wider 18:45 Viktor Orban trounced in Hungarian elections after 16 years of rule 20:00 We assumed that America democracy set the weather for democracies 20:45 In the last 15 years, America’s democracy isn’t the leading model 22:00 Cultural conservative backlash happening in many democracies 23:00 Mainstream party vote share in UK has dropped below 40% 24:00 Center-left and center-right UK parties would lose to far left/right 24:45 Hungary’s election was decisive with mass voter turnout 25:30 Magyar was an insider, gave Orban voters permission slip to leave 26:15 Magyar connected democratic erosion to the bad economy 26:45 Vance tried to rescue Orban and that backfired horribly 27:15 How much Hungarian money didn’t American influencers receive? 28:30 America’s political system just vacillates and feels stuck 29:00 Hungary showed the breakthrough comes from defectors, not outsiders 30:15 History suggests that change doesn’t come from tweaking the system 36:00 Zach Wahls joins the Chuck ToddCast 38:00 Democrats have a real chance at flipping statewide Iowa races 40:00 Did you always know you were going to be in politics? 41:45 Realized at 13 years old the GOP was targeting his own family 42:45 Going viral in 2011 for speech defending his two moms 44:00 Gay marriage rights are still under threat today 45:30 Does Iowa’s famous libertarian streak still exist today? 46:45 Vast majority of Iowans are pro-choice and support marriage equality 48:00 There are a lot of Obama/Trump voters in Iowa 49:30 Union leadership in Iowa leans Dem, rank & file lean GOP 51:15 Rural Iowa communities feel forgotten by the establishment 52:00 Iowa was in a regional recession in 2016, Trump spoke to that 53:30 Why run as a Democrat vs. as an independent? 54:30 Since the New Deal, Democrats have fought for workers rights 55:00 Wouldn’t support Chuck Schumer for senate leadership 55:45 Schumer-linked Super PAC spending millions against him 57:00 How do you avoid being painted as focused on identity & not economics? 59:00 The impact of dark money has tainted American & Iowa politics 1:00:30 Bipartisan bill to get money out of politics in Iowa spiked by lobbyists & GOP 1:01:45 The money in politics has gotten obscene quickly in recent years 1:03:00 What would a campaign finance constitutional amendment look like? 1:04:30 Republican aligned PACs set to spend huge money in Iowa in the fall 1:05:15 Received small dollar donations from all 99 counties, no corporate PAC $ 1:06:15 Anti-corruption message is resonating with voters 1:07:30 Can you unilaterally disarm in the face of huge Republican spending? 1:08:30 Will co-sponsor amendment to overturn Citizen’s United 1:09:45 What did you learn from your stint in leadership in the legislature? 1:12:00 There was no clear strategic plan for Democrats to take back majority 1:13:00 There were basic organizational issues for Iowa Dems that needed to be fixed 1:13:45 Needed to rebuild relationships with organized labor 1:16:00 Stint in leadership doesn’t make him have more sympathy for Schumer 1:16:45 Democrats didn’t know what they were asking for during shutdown 1:17:30 If Democrats get the majority…do you work with Trump? 1:18:45 Have a responsibility to work across the aisle if it helps people 1:19:30 Open to banning private equity from owning homes, anti monopoly in meat 1:20:45 Price of fire trucks has tripled due to private equity buying up the manufacturing 1:22:30 Is the description of being the “Sanders/Warren” candidate a fair description? 1:25:00 Part-time legislatures don’t have the institutional knowledge of the lobbyists 1:26:30 Must lead by example on anti-corruption, will only serve two terms if elected 1:27:30 Thoughts on “vice taxes” & gambling to help state generate revenue? 1:30:30 High interest in gambling speaks to fear for economic future in voters 1:32:45 How has having a two year old affected your life & job? 1:33:30 Childcare costs as much as his mortgage with one child

    2 小時 12 分鐘
  6. Interview Only w/ Zach Wahls - Why Can Democrats Put Iowa Back On The Map

    1日前

    Interview Only w/ Zach Wahls - Why Can Democrats Put Iowa Back On The Map

    Zach Wahls — the Iowa state senator, former minority leader, and U.S. Senate candidate who first went viral as a 19-year-old in 2011 for his moving speech defending his two moms before the Iowa legislature — joins the Chuck Toddcast to make the case that Democrats have a real shot at flipping statewide races in Iowa this cycle. Wahls explains how he realized at 13 that the GOP was targeting his own family, how he still considers marriage equality to be genuinely under threat today, and pushes back on the narrative that Iowa has abandoned its famous libertarian streak — noting that the vast majority of Iowans remain pro-choice and supportive of marriage equality even as the state has drifted red. He argues that Obama-Trump voters are plentiful in Iowa and that rural Iowa communities feel forgotten by the establishment — a dynamic Trump spoke to effectively in 2016 when the state was in a regional recession. Wahls points to the party's post-New Deal legacy of fighting for workers' rights, but he also reveals he wouldn't support Chuck Schumer for Senate leadership — a position that's apparently cost him, as Schumer-linked super PACs are now spending millions against him in the primary. The conversation turns to what Wahls sees as the defining issue of his campaign: the obscene influence of dark money in American politics. He reveals that a bipartisan Iowa bill to get money out of state politics was killed by lobbyists and GOP opposition, that he's received small-dollar donations from all 99 Iowa counties while refusing corporate PAC money, and that his anti-corruption message is genuinely resonating with voters who are exhausted by the current system. Wahls says he'll co-sponsor a constitutional amendment to overturn Citizens United, discusses his openness to banning private equity from owning residential homes and responds to being labeled a "Sanders/Warren" candidate. Wahls pledges to lead by example on anti-corruption by serving only two terms if elected, shares concerns about state reliance on gambling revenue as a signal of voter economic anxiety, and closes with a deeply relatable observation every young parent will recognize: with a two-year-old at home, his monthly childcare bill now costs as much as his mortgage. Protect your family with life insurance from Ethos. Get up to $3 million in coverage in as little as 10 minutes at https://ethos.com/chuck. Application times may vary. Rates may vary.  Refresh your wardrobe with Quince. Go to https://Quince.com/chuck for free shipping on your order and 365-day returns.  Link in bio or go to https://getsoul.com & enter code TODDCAST for 30% off your first order. Timeline: (Timestamps may vary based on advertisements) 00:00 Zach Wahls joins the Chuck ToddCast 02:00 Democrats have a real chance at flipping statewide Iowa races 04:00 Did you always know you were going to be in politics? 05:45 Realized at 13 years old the GOP was targeting his own family 06:45 Going viral in 2011 for speech defending his two moms 08:00 Gay marriage rights are still under threat today 09:30 Does Iowa’s famous libertarian streak still exist today? 10:45 Vast majority of Iowans are pro-choice and support marriage equality 12:00 There are a lot of Obama/Trump voters in Iowa 13:30 Union leadership in Iowa leans Dem, rank & file lean GOP 15:15 Rural Iowa communities feel forgotten by the establishment 16:00 Iowa was in a regional recession in 2016, Trump spoke to that 17:30 Why run as a Democrat vs. as an independent? 18:30 Since the New Deal, Democrats have fought for workers rights 19:00 Wouldn’t support Chuck Schumer for senate leadership 19:45 Schumer-linked Super PAC spending millions against him 21:00 How do you avoid being painted as focused on identity & not economics? 23:00 The impact of dark money has tainted American & Iowa politics 24:30 Bipartisan bill to get money out of politics in Iowa spiked by lobbyists & GOP 25:45 The money in politics has gotten obscene quickly in recent years 27:00 What would a campaign finance constitutional amendment look like? 28:30 Republican aligned PACs set to spend huge money in Iowa in the fall 29:15 Received small dollar donations from all 99 counties, no corporate PAC $ 30:15 Anti-corruption message is resonating with voters 31:30 Can you unilaterally disarm in the face of huge Republican spending? 32:30 Will co-sponsor amendment to overturn Citizen’s United 33:45 What did you learn from your stint in leadership in the legislature? 36:00 There was no clear strategic plan for Democrats to take back majority 37:00 There were basic organizational issues for Iowa Dems that needed to be fixed 37:45 Needed to rebuild relationships with organized labor 40:00 Stint in leadership doesn’t make him have more sympathy for Schumer 40:45 Democrats didn’t know what they were asking for during shutdown 41:30 If Democrats get the majority…do you work with Trump? 42:45 Have a responsibility to work across the aisle if it helps people 43:30 Open to banning private equity from owning homes, anti monopoly in meat 44:45 Price of fire trucks has tripled due to private equity buying up the manufacturing 46:30 Is the description of being the “Sanders/Warren” candidate a fair description? 49:00 Part-time legislatures don’t have the institutional knowledge of the lobbyists 50:30 Must lead by example on anti-corruption, will only serve two terms if elected 51:30 Thoughts on “vice taxes” & gambling to help state generate revenue? 54:30 High interest in gambling speaks to fear for economic future in voters 56:45 How has having a two year old affected your life & job? 57:30 Childcare costs as much as his mortgage with one child See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

    1 小時 6 分鐘
  7. Chuck’s Commentary - Trump Has Two Options For Iran: Escalate… Or Capitulate + The End Of Eric Swalwell

    3日前

    Chuck’s Commentary - Trump Has Two Options For Iran: Escalate… Or Capitulate + The End Of Eric Swalwell

    Chuck Todd opens with the unraveling of Trump's Iran peace talks and the president's threat of a naval blockade, breaking down why the administration has far less leverage than it's letting on, why Iran's control of the Strait of Hormuz puts Trump in a corner with only two real choices—escalate or capitulate—and why markets have been dangerously complacent as the economic hit accelerates and consumer confidence sinks below COVID-era lows. From there, Chuck digs into the collapse of Eric Swalwell's career amid sexual abuse allegations and the bipartisan push to expel him along with three other members of Congress, the wide-open and underwhelming California governor's race left behind by a weak Democratic field and Tom Steyer's charmless self-promotion, the curious Roger Stone–Tulsi Gabbard connection and their shared Russia sympathies, and Trump's promise of preemptive pardons for White House staff—making the case for why Congress urgently needs a commission on the pardon power. Finally, Chuck hops into the ToddCast Time Machine to revisit the Bay of Pigs debacle under John F. Kennedy and why that event still reverberates today, and answers listeners’ questions in the “Ask Chuck” segment.  Thank you Wildgrain for sponsoring. Visit http://wildgrain.com/TODDCAST and use the code "TODDCAST" at checkout to receive $30 off your first box PLUS free Croissants for life! Protect your family with life insurance from Ethos. Get up to $3 million in coverage in as little as 10 minutes at https://ethos.com/chuck. Application times may vary. Rates may vary.  Refresh your wardrobe with Quince. Go to https://Quince.com/chuck for free shipping on your order and 365-day returns.  Timeline: (Timestamps may vary based on advertisements) 00:00 Chuck Todd’s introduction 04:00 Trump threatens naval blockade after Iran peace talks fall apart 05:00 Trump admin has less leverage in talks than they’re letting on 05:30 Trump’s stupid rhetoric is not harmless 06:00 Control over the Strait is biggest piece of leverage & Iran has it 07:00 Will Trump send in ground troops if he can’t get what he wants? 08:30 Trump only has two choices: Escalate or capitulate 09:30 If Trump’s lucky he can get the Obama nuclear deal, but that’s unlikely 10:45 Markets will likely panic, they’ve been too complacent so far 12:15 Trump is begging for deal to save face and the Iranians know it 13:15 Trump keeps declaring victory despite reality being the opposite 15:00 Trump doesn’t understand regime, thinks they’re transactional like him 16:00 Iran looking like past failed military operations like Vietnam & Iraq 18:00 Iran saw Libya give up nuclear ambitions & regime was toppled 20:00 Economic hit is happening, consumer confidence lower than COVID 21:30 As Iran talks fell apart, Trump & Rubio were attending UFC fight 23:00 Rubio knows better, but has fallen in line anyway 24:30 Eric Swalwell’s campaign falls apart after allegations of sexual abuse 25:30 Rumors of Swalwell’s behavior existed for years 27:00 Swalwell is only denying criminal behavior, not all the allegations 28:45 Swalwell is trying hard to say he’s not Bill Cosby… he’s Bill Clinton 29:30 Push to expel Swalwell & possibly 3 other members of congress 31:00 It’s politically convenient for leadership to agree to boot them all 33:00 Will congress hold their members to a higher standard than the POTUS? 35:00 It’s likely all four members will get expelled  35:45 California dems had been reluctantly rallying around Swalwell  37:00 Major Democrats passed on running for CA gov, leaving weak field 38:15 Hard to blame Newsom for not setting up an “heir apparent” 39:00 Tom Steyer has spent an insane amount of money to promote himself 40:00 You need to have charm in politics, and Steyer doesn’t have it 41:30 Should prominent California dems all endorse the same person? 43:30 Schiff, Padilla, Harris & Newsom may need to play kingmaker 45:00 Likely there will be two weak candidates heading into November 46:30 Stories coming out that Roger Stone saved Tulsi Gabbard 47:15 Both Stone & Gabbard have been pro-Russia… coincidence? 47:45 Trump promises preemptive pardons for WH staff 48:45 We need a congressional commission on pardons 53:45 ToddCast Time Machine - Too many huge historical events to choose from 55:45 April 1961 - Bay of Pigs 56:30 Nixon meets with Castro after Eisenhower refused to 58:00 There a back and forth over whether to embrace or shun Castro 58:30 Cold War tensions were very high when the Bay of Pigs happens 59:15 Bay of Pigs was a presidential approved operation before JFK took office 1:01:00 Kennedy’s hands were tied by his predecessor 1:01:45 The plan required air superiority, but Castro’s air force had survived 1:02:45 Castro arrests more than 100,000 suspected dissidents 1:04:30 Most of the participants are captured 1:05:00 Kennedy promised a free Havana that never transpired 1:05:45 Cuban Americans became reliable Republican voters under Reagan 1:07:15 Ask Chuck 1:07:30 Will congress ever vote against rebuilding military after president launches war? 1:12:00 Why is the market not really reacting to the Iran war? 1:14:30 As norms become tested, will congress every reassert its role? 1:20:45 Outside of your Top 5 senate flips, what are your 6-10? 1:25:45 Suggestions to fix the NBA 1:28:45 Does anyone use Camp David since Trump doesn’t? See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

    1 小時 32 分鐘

關於

The Chuck ToddCast is back! If you're looking for smart, no-nonsense political conversation, you've come to the right place. The Chuck ToddCast goes beyond the headlines, featuring conversations with top reporters, insiders, and newsmakers from D.C. to the heartland. No scripts, no spin—just real discussions about what’s shaping our politics and why it matters.

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