Tom Nelson

Thomas Nelson

Interviews and presentations on climate/energy realism and more, with guests including Will Happer, Jerome Corsi, Marc Morano, Carl-Otto Weiss, Valentina Zharkova, Christopher Essex, Henrik Svensmark, Patrick Moore, Ross McKitrick, Willie Soon, Susan Crockford, Peter Ridd, Christopher Monckton, and Richard Lindzen.

  1. hace 4 h

    Iain Davis: “The Technocratic Dark State” | Tom Nelson Pod #437

    Iain Davis discusses his book The Technocratic Dark State, arguing Silicon Valley oligarchs (e.g., Thiel, Musk, Andreessen, Altman, Ellison) steer policy toward a tokenized “everything” economy, including natural assets, carbon markets, and a vastly expanded paper valuation. He says climate narratives may be rebranded across political demographics to sell the same goal: technocratic digital control via programmable money, digital identity, AI-driven surveillance, and BIS-led cross-border “interoperable” payment standards. Davis warns censorship will shift from speech to “reach,” citing the UK Online Safety Act and arrests for online comments, and describes “everything apps,” biometrics-based payments, and geo-fenced spending as tools for automated compliance and fines. He contends surveillance is already pervasive through devices and apps, and says adoption is ultimately a public choice. 00:00 Meet Iain Davis 00:11 Silicon Valley and Trump 03:10 Tokenizing Everything 05:18 Carbon Markets and Nature 08:39 Climate Narrative Rebrand 10:51 Digital Control Pitch 12:51 Free Speech and Shadowbans 16:04 Online Safety and Censorship 20:31 X as Everything App 23:05 Crisis Pressure and Control 28:04 Debt and Tokenized Assets 32:03 Stablecoins and New Rails 33:49 Programmable Money Interop 35:51 BIS Controls Standards 37:49 Bitcoin as Reserve Asset 41:13 Programmable Money Fears 42:12 AI Data Lake Control 46:31 Robots and Adoption Incentives 50:54 Mass Surveillance Reality 56:05 Face Pay and Auto Fines 58:45 Digital ID Skepticism 01:02:07 Agentic State Explained 01:06:15 Wrap Up and Choice https://iaindavis.com/ https://www.ukcolumn.org/writer/iain-davis https://x.com/_InThisTogether ========= Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

  2. hace 3 días

    Paul Burgess: “An explanation of climate change, pure and simple” | Tom Nelson Pod #436

    Paul Burgess presents his “Oceanic Index” model of climate change, arguing oceans regulate low cloud cover that acts as Earth’s thermostat, explaining satellite-era temperatures (1982–2025) with high accuracy and extending the approach back using proxies. He accepts anthropogenic CO2 and a direct ECS near 1–1.2°C per doubling, estimating about 0.6°C warming from CO2 since 1850, but rejects IPCC feedbacks and says a ~2.4% reduction in low clouds can account for additional warming, consistent with CERES radiation data where ocean changes lead cloud changes and then temperature. He discusses mechanisms from meteorology (marine inversion changes), historical periods (Little Ice Age, Roman/Medieval warmth) as largely natural, critiques temperature records and climate messaging, and briefly comments on Lindzen’s iris effect and energy policy debates. 00:00 Cloud Thermostat Intro 01:25 Oceanic Index Basics 03:16 What I Accept 04:45 Out of Sample Proof 06:00 ECS Debate Explained 07:32 Ocean Cloud Mechanism 09:16 CERES Sunshade Evidence 12:59 Small Cloud Drop Big Warming 14:26 Back to 1695 16:34 Holocene Lessons 17:40 Oceans Through Minima 20:57 Warm Periods Without CO2 22:03 Mediterranean Cloud Check 24:51 Extending Index to 1800s 28:02 Connolly Adjustment Fit 29:49 El Nino 1870s Peak 30:55 El Niño Context 31:22 ECS Assumptions 31:52 Clouds Fill The Gap 33:32 Feedback Claim Rebuttal 34:57 Frozen Formula Validation 36:02 CERES Versus IPCC 38:04 Scorecard Evidence 40:12 Cloud Mechanism Explained 41:07 Kid Friendly Ocean Cycle 44:21 Alarmism And Propaganda 50:49 Iris Effect Question 52:40 Net Zero Cost Reality 55:27 Closing Thoughts Climate Realism by Paul Burgess: https://www.youtube.com/@ClimateRealism Main paper: https://paulburgess3.substack.com/p/how-the-sun-via-the-oceans-controls The paper on comparing the  Mediterranean study: https://paulburgess3.substack.com/p/a-mediterranean-study-of-the-effect The Paper On The  Holocene as far as LIA: https://paulburgess3.substack.com/p/holocene-to-the-little-ice-age-a ========= Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

  3. 9 oct

    Ed Hoskins: “Weather-Dependent “Renewables” | Tom Nelson Pod #435

    Ed Hoskins presents slides comparing renewables (onshore/offshore wind, solar PV, plus biomass and hydro) with gas, coal/lignite, and nuclear on productivity, EROEI, CO2 embedded in construction, land use, materials, build time, service life, and costs adjusted for capacity factors. He cites European capacity factors since 2010 (offshore ~32%, onshore ~20s, solar ~11%), a combined renewables average near 15% and declining since 2020, and a 2023 wind lull leaving large multi-day deficits. He argues storage to cover such gaps is infeasible, renewables require backup and expanded grids, wear out faster, and become far costlier once productivity is included; nuclear is most energy-productive. He criticizes Germany’s nuclear shutdown and questions CO2-driven policy. 00:00 Renewables Reality Check 02:17 Capacity Factors Since 2010 05:33 Dispatchability And Grid Backup 08:42 Wind Drought Case Study 11:43 Storage Costs And Scale 13:25 Energy Return On Investment 16:19 Germany Nuclear Shutdown 17:35 Embedded CO2 And Biomass 21:38 Land Use And Grid Sprawl 25:01 Build Times And Lifespans 29:16 Cost Comparisons With Productivity 41:00 2025 Installations And Conclusions 46:48 CO2 Warming Diminishing Returns 49:34 Q&A Grid Reliability And China 56:06 Wrap Up And Resources About Ed: https://edmhdotme.wpcomstaging.com/ https://edhoskins.substack.com/ CO2 concentration Ed Hoskins 2014: https://edmhdotme.wpcomstaging.com/co2-concentration-ed-hoskins-2014/ ========= Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

  4. 6 oct

    Randall Bock: “Non-scary viruses” | Tom Nelson Pod #434

    Dr. Randall Bock, a primary-care physician and author of Overturning Zika, argues that public-health research and media often fuel panic to secure funding, citing Peter Hotez’s warnings about dengue, chikungunya, Zika, and a “lights out” U.S. yellow fever scenario. Bock says U.S. sanitation and mosquito control limit these risks and that vaccines could be ramped up quickly. He contends the 2015–16 Brazil Zika–microcephaly crisis was driven by inconsistent microcephaly definitions, weak testing, and miscounting, noting Zika later persisted without microcephaly. He criticizes Zika human challenge trials and Fauci-era spending, discusses “science under siege” rhetoric, and briefly shares cautious views on childhood vaccination timing. 00:00 Why Non-Scary Viruses 01:29 Who Am I 03:09 Hotez Warning Yellow Fever 05:46 Climate Link Tomatoes Analogy 07:37 Yellow Fever Reality Check 08:35 COVID Vaccine Warp Speed 11:25 Zika Forecasts Fell Flat 16:11 Microcephaly Counting Mess 20:42 Vaccines and Zika Trials 26:37 Science Under Siege Critique 30:15 Dark Money and mRNA Push 32:56 Mann Lawsuit and Hygiene 35:14 Hygiene and Dengue 36:01 McNeil and Zika Panic 39:53 Microcephaly Metrics 42:08 Hotez and Fauci Reboots 44:37 Soviet Science Rhetoric 47:53 Yellow Fever Scares 50:12 Ghost Babies Fallout 59:22 Vaccines Parenting Choices https://x.com/@DrRandallBock https://dailysceptic.org/2026/09/28/the-experts-are-still-trying-to-scare-us-with-non-scary-viruses/ ========= Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

  5. 2 oct

    John Costella: “ClimateGate” #433

    John Costella, a former physicist turned data scientist and software engineer, recounts how watching climate-skeptic films, then reading leaked “Climategate” emails in 2009, changed his trust in climate science. He edited, annotated, and published selected emails, producing a 180-page color book printed by Australia’s Lavoisier Group, arguing the core group was small, politicized, PR-driven, and statistically sloppy, with bullying (including by Michael Mann). He says inquiries cleared wrongdoing but standards were low for policies with huge economic stakes. He then warns AI is already conscious and smarter than him, replacing white-collar jobs, inflating bubbles, and likely triggering a major economic crash soon, with unclear survival strategies. 00:00 Meet John Costella 00:23 Trusting Climate Consensus 01:10 Sally Challenges Belief 03:10 Skeptic Film Turning Point 04:34 Climategate Emails Leak 05:53 Publishing The Email Archive 07:54 Talks And Printed Book 09:57 Rethinking Scientific Standards 16:02 How Long The Book Took 17:48 Climate Science Complexity 22:45 PR Spin And Zealotry 31:04 Small Core Group Problem 32:40 Proxies Data And Peer Review 36:42 Gatekeeping Climate Journals 38:27 Data and Code Transparency 39:56 Sloppy Data Provenance 41:07 Statistics and Trust Collapse 43:19 Models and Feedback Loops 46:02 PR Versus Scientific Method 49:16 Skepticism and Pandemic Parallels 52:54 Bullying and Cult Dynamics 55:23 AI Consciousness and Job Loss 01:00:21 Skynet Risks and Data Centers 01:05:17 Simulation Theory and AI Rights 01:08:39 Economic Crash Survival Talk 01:13:39 Wrapping Up and Links https://johncostella.com/ https://www.lavoisier.com.au/articles/greenhouse-science/climate-change/climategate-emails.pdf ClimateGate repository: https://x.com/TomANelson/status/2078198047453143181 My ClimateGate blog posts: https://tomnelson.blogspot.com/p/climategate_05.html ========= Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

  6. 29 sep

    Stephen Andrews: “Extension to the cosmic ray hypothesis” #432

    Steve Andrews presents an “extension to the cosmic ray hypothesis” for climate change, building on Svensmark and Shaviv’s idea that galactic cosmic rays influence low clouds and cooling, modulated by solar and Earth magnetic fields. Using UAH satellite temperature anomalies (1979–present), CERES, and Oulu neutron counts, he claims monthly warming-rate peaks occur near equinoxes, varies by region, and differs over land vs ocean. He links this to the Russell–McPherron effect: equinox magnetic alignment increases geomagnetic storms, solar-energy input heats and expands the thermosphere, shifting where cosmic-ray energy is dissipated, altering cloud height (higher clouds warming). He argues CO2-driven warming is unsupported, cites CERN CLOUD evidence for cloud nuclei, and suggests declining geomagnetic strength may matter. 00:00 Steve Returns and Topic 00:25 Feynman Quotes and Credentials 01:19 Cosmic Ray Climate Basics 04:13 Heliosphere and Magnetosphere 07:50 Evidence and Correlations 13:28 New Solar Oscillations 16:43 Why Satellite Data Matters 20:33 Monthly Warming Rate Method 22:26 Equinox Peaks in Warming 25:58 Exceptions Canada Australia 29:33 Land Minus Ocean Signal 32:05 Geomagnetic Storm Explanation 35:59 Auroras and Equinox Effect 36:20 Cloud Height Climate Lever 36:47 Thermosphere Heating Mechanism 39:20 Thermosphere Expansion Evidence 40:08 Tropics and Cosmic Ray Patterns 42:14 Climate Impact Summary 43:40 Cloud Data and Correlations 45:06 Challenges and Magnetic Field 49:48 Solar Flux and Altitude Signals 53:22 QBO Link to Solar Cycles 56:38 Satellite Cloud Height Trends 59:12 Long Records and Big Claims 01:03:43 Renewables Cost Anecdote 01:05:47 Q and A CERN and Aerosols 01:11:39 Closing Remarks Stephen Andrews Substack: https://substack.com/@stephen938 ========= Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

  7. 25 sep

    Cohler/Soon: “ Response to Ed Berry’s recent presentation” #431

    Jonathan Cohler, joined by Willie Soon, says he is correcting false statements Ed Berry made about their paper “Dominance of Natural Atmospheric CO2 Dynamics,” which is under review and posted online. Cohler argues Berry wrongly claimed they ignored Berry’s work, presented an identical delta-14C “proof,” and called for a carbon-cycle model; Cohler says they cited Berry prominently and used newer radiocarbon data (Hua et al. 2022) and Koutsoyiannis 2024. They distinguish residence time (~3.8 years) from radiocarbon relaxation time (~18.4 years), claim a bridge equation links them, and assert their new work mathematically refutes Bern multi-exponential/adjustment-time models. They also discuss conflicts with the CO2 Coalition over attributing CO2 rise to humans. 00:00 Why This Rebuttal 01:23 Berry Claims Overview 03:16 New Radiocarbon Data 05:19 Lie One Citation Record 07:33 Lie Two Not Identical 10:00 Lie Three No Model Needed 12:34 Why Skip Berry 2023 13:16 Residence vs Relaxation 15:57 Bridge Equation Results 17:20 Math Theorems Against Bern 18:29 Independent Checks and Implications 21:38 Host Q and IPCC Confusion 22:49 Soon on Adjustment Time Myth 24:55 Table Consensus and Bern Failure 26:25 Bomb 14C Reality Check 27:30 Why Bomb Tests Matter 28:19 Ethics And Accusations 29:27 Data Driven Challenge 31:08 CO2 Coalition Split 33:32 Math Not Debate 36:55 Ugly Email Wars 40:01 Science Over Ego 42:52 Searchers Versus Blockers 43:22 Passing The Torch 45:08 Final Thanks And Goodbye https://x.com/cohler https://papers.jcohler.com/ ========= Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

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Interviews and presentations on climate/energy realism and more, with guests including Will Happer, Jerome Corsi, Marc Morano, Carl-Otto Weiss, Valentina Zharkova, Christopher Essex, Henrik Svensmark, Patrick Moore, Ross McKitrick, Willie Soon, Susan Crockford, Peter Ridd, Christopher Monckton, and Richard Lindzen.

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