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  • 给女孩的商业第一课
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  • 35+不中危!职业转型、现金流、健康,人生风险管理指南 | 上海听友会

    4 days ago

    35+不中危!职业转型、现金流、健康,人生风险管理指南 | 上海听友会

    过了35岁,你的人生是更好了还是更糟了?所谓的中年危机,我们似乎更多在讨论“危”,却很少讨论“机”,今天这一期带你转危为机,做好人生风险管理,稳稳当当地活出自己的精彩! 8月30日,我们在上海为35+的朋友们策划了一场线下听友会,邀请到了播客《截胡不截财》主播Jeff、资深保险代理人佳隽,一起探讨人到中年最关心的三大课题:职业发展、资产配置、健康管理。在这场活动里,我们对「风险」和「责任」有了全新的认识:人生波动在所难免,真正对自己和家人负责任的做法,是提前建立好兜底机制,中年人最应该怕的不是跑不快了,而是突然负伤、被迫离场。 那么到底该如建立这个兜底机制,才能让你有更多底气去探索人生的下半场?赶紧收听起来! 【本期财富密码】 04:26 开场互动,三个问题检视你当下的人生处境 06:13 三位嘉宾人生周期大对照!原来每个人都有自己的时区 18:05 风险等于不确定性,不确定性里也有机会 21:02 人生有限风险绝对不能触碰,比如坏人 24:36 佳隽转型做保险最大的原因,是父亲第三次患癌而离世 25:59 责任responsibility=回应response+能力ability 27:06 Jeff是上有老下有小的“三明治”,时间精力是最稀缺的 32:22 以佳隽转行做保险为例,教你分析你想去的行业值不值得入 37:12 小辉发现,35岁以后身边很多朋友其实是被迫创业 37:36 如何选择不同的搞钱项目?三圈+四象限思维图值得参考 41:49 上述三圈的优先级排序:可做>想做>能做 44:54 人生就是一场大类资产配置 47:39 拿回人生主导权,从思考人生目标开始 54:44 从三倍做多海力士到三倍做多健康 55:28 股价长期来看是称重机,短期来看是投票机 56:52 给普通人的投资建议:不要一次性押注任何一个赛道,分批押注大类宽基指数 58:21 学投资越早越好,吃亏一定要趁早! 1:00:51 标准普尔四象限的家庭资产配置思路 1:04:52 钱是一种社会资源,与其被大公司割韭菜,不如买大公司的股票 1:09:41 保险是带有杠杆的救生艇 1:11:44 人生不同阶段的保险配置思路 1:16:08 稳定就是一切不稳定的来源,积极拥抱变化 1:17:44 一位单身沪漂女性的中危:裁员、失恋、卖房止跌、得乳腺癌 【本期嘉宾】 Jeff:美国Temple大学金融硕士、播客《截胡不截财》主播 佳隽:香港保险代理人、前知名文化公司商业化负责人、重庆妹子、巴黎留子、沪港深生活 【主播介绍】 就是小辉:《搞钱女孩》播客创始人&主播,不断认识和活出自己的ISFP。四川大学哲学系毕业,混过公益、咨询、互联网、疗愈行业,34岁才找到本命赛道的创业练习生。 【本期制作】 shownotes图文:小辉 剪辑:小龙 BGM:Among the Stars-John Klime 欢迎加入我们的听友群,成为“搞蜜”!可以关注公众号【搞钱女孩播客】,扫描自动回复的图片上的二维码,就可以加到小助手,邀请你入群。每天加的人太多了,如显示添加频繁,请耐心等待。

  • 687. Are Prediction Markets the Best Forecasting Tool Ever — or Just Another Casino?

    2 days ago

    687. Are Prediction Markets the Best Forecasting Tool Ever — or Just Another Casino?

    The promise is that they can beat the experts at predicting inflation, elections, and FDA approvals. But right now, roughly 90 percent of the action is sports. Is this a future we want to bet on? Stephen Dubner speaks with, among others, the C.E.O. of Kalshi. (Part one of a two-part series.)   SOURCES:Robin Hanson, professor of economics at George Mason University.Nicole Kagan, head of research at Kalshi.Tarek Mansour, co-founder and C.E.O. of Kalshi.  RESOURCE:"Kalshi and the Rise of Macro Markets," by Anthony Diercks, Jared Dean Katz, and Jonathan Wright (Federal Reserve Board, 2026)."Slowly, Then All At Once: What Mamdani's Victory Tells Us About Information Aggregation," (Kalshi Research, 2026)."Futarchy: Vote Values, But Bet Beliefs," by Robin Hanson (2000)."The Use of Knowledge in Society," by Friedrich Hayek (American Economic Review, 1945).  EXTRAS:"The Economics of Sports Gambling," by Freakonomics Radio (2019)."How to Be Less Terrible at Predicting the Future," by Freakonomics Radio (2016)."The Folly of Prediction," by Freakonomics Radio (2011). Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

  • #432 - "Self-Replicating Swarms" AI Labs Are Lying About What's Happening | Connor Leahy

    2 days ago

    #432 - "Self-Replicating Swarms" AI Labs Are Lying About What's Happening | Connor Leahy

    Watch every episode ad-free & uncensored on Patreon: https://patreon.com/dannyjones Connor Leahy is an AI researcher & co-founder of EleutherAI. Connor helped expand access to powerful open-source language models, but later became one of the more outspoken voices warning that increasingly capable systems may outstrip society’s ability to control them. SPONSORS https://dosedaily.co/danny - Use code DANNY to get 35% off your first subscription. https://livemomentous.com - Use code DANNY for up to 35% off. https://www.amentara.com/go/dj - Use code DJP22 for 22% off your first order. https://hexclad.com/dannyjones - Get 10% off your forever cookware. https://whiterabbitenergy.com/?ref=DJP - Use code DJP for 20% off. EPISODE LINKS https://controlai.org https://x.com/NPCollapse *NEW* DJP MERCH https://dannyjonespodcast.com Get paid to make clips from the show: https://discord.com/invite/dannyjones FOLLOW DANNY JONES https://www.instagram.com/dannyjones https://twitter.com/jonesdanny OUTLINE 00:00 - Anthropic employee's AI warning 04:46 - What AI really is (it's NOT code) 08:41 - The HuggingFace incident 16:33 - The motivation behind the AI race 21:47 - AI superintelligence is our enemy 23:58 - "We don't have much time left": the point of no return 31:41 - AI chain of thought 35:11 - Brain upload cults 43:16 - How AI thinks (and hides things from you) 53:01 - Why AI would kill off humans 57:24 - It's not too late 01:01:23 - Debating American democracy 01:13:44 - Difficulty training AI models for good 01:19:08 - AI translates baby's cries 01:25:28 - Having dinner with Sam Altman 01:31:26 - Why Connor deleted all social media 01:38:09 - We have human cloning technology 01:41:29 - How we stopped nuclear weapons 01:52:08 - Largest human dose of plutonium in history 01:54:40 - UAP sightings at nuclear bases 01:57:16 - "They're not aliens" 02:07:01 - The new alien theory 02:11:42 - Black project researcher: "They suck" 02:15:07 - The push for privatization 02:19:14 - America's political death spiral 02:28:44 - Why Asian countries have no crime 02:35:46 - Most AI employees are cowards Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

  • The dictators' survival guide

    1 day ago

    The dictators' survival guide

    Xi Jinping is known to be a ruthless leader. In the last five years alone, China’s richest man, Jack Ma, China’s defence minister and the country’s foreign minister have all abruptly disappeared - some never to be seen in public again. Millions of Communist officials have been purged since Xi came to power. But one man was thought to be untouchable: the head of China’s military forces, Zhang Youxia. A childhood friend of Xi’s, Zhang was allowed to stay in his post, even as other military officials were disappearing. That is, until he, too, was suddenly gone. Celia Hatton investigates why Zhang was purged and looks inside and outside China for answers. She discovers there's a kind of pattern that dictators and autocratic rulers use to hold on to power. And this, she argues, can be a useful tool in predicting global military aggression.

  • Willy Wonka: Aaron Goes on What Went Wrong

    Season 1, Episode 13

    Willy Wonka: Aaron Goes on What Went Wrong

    How do you turn a beloved but prickly children's book into a candy colored fever dream that outlives everyone who made it? Aaron is the guest on What Went Wrong, the fantastic, hit podcast unpacking the improbable origin story of a single movie. This time it's the 1971 classic, Willy Wonka and the Chocolate Factory. Listen to more episodes of What Went Wrong wherever you get your podcasts. We're huge fans. https://www.whatwentwrongpod.com/ And if you've loved The Secret World of Roald Dahl, be the first to hear what's next!: https://www.listentoparallax.com/contact   Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/secretworldpod/ See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

  • Ep. 1: Strange Things Are Happening

    9 Jun

    Ep. 1: Strange Things Are Happening

    A new breed of worker is quietly clocking in across the United States. They’re writing code. Managing your passwords. Training the next generation of AI models. They’re gaining trust. And access.  On paper, they’re the dream hire. Skilled. Low maintenance. Always remote and often affordable. And by most accounts, they’re doing the work. But strange things are happening. In a new season of To Catch a Thief, host and former lead cybersecurity and digital espionage reporter for The New York Times, Nicole Perlroth, investigates how North Korean agents are infiltrating the global workforce. How did a nuclear-armed regime worm its way onto the payroll of international companies – and why is it so difficult to get them off?  To Catch a Thief is co-produced by Nicole Perlroth and Rubrik in partnership with Pod People. To Catch a Thief was written and produced by Nicole Perlroth, along with Khrista Rypl, T. J. Raphael, Rebecca Chaisson and Sam Gebauer. Additional thanks to Allie Pinel, Fendall Fulton, Krissy Clark, Cai Lee, Eunice Park and Aimee Machado. Editing and Sound Design by Erica Huang. Art direction and design by Ben Long, Gareth Strange and Sarah Burley at the John & Jane Agency, and support from John Leestma.

  • Penunggu Hotel | Cerita Hantu Seram S2EP5

    02/10/2023

    Penunggu Hotel | Cerita Hantu Seram S2EP5

    Shazreen Shaharum berkongsi kisah seram di hotel. Setelah anda mendengar kisah ini, anda mungkin mulai merasa ketakutan, adakah anda benar-benar sendirian atau sesuatu selalu mengawasi. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

  • Can we live without our phones?

    2 days ago

    Can we live without our phones?

    For many of us, our phones are the first thing we look at in the morning and the last thing we put down at night. But with growing pressure over screen time and concerns about the impact of social media, tech companies like Meta have agreed to restrictions. In our conversations, we bring together three people who have received treatment for tech addiction. We also hear from those have decided not to use smartphones at all. “To me what’s weird is when a couple go on a date, instead of looking at each other and talking to each other, they’re staring at their own phones and texting people and doing whatever,” Loren in Los Angeles tells us.

  • Misteri Sekolah Agama | Cerita Hantu Seram S5EP34

    4 Sept

    Misteri Sekolah Agama | Cerita Hantu Seram S5EP34

    Sekolah agama yang biasanya dipenuhi suasana tenang dan aktiviti pembelajaran menyimpan kisah yang berbeza apabila malam menjelma. Bilik darjah yang kosong, koridor sunyi dan bunyi-bunyi aneh mula menjadi bahan cerita dalam kalangan pelajar. Ada yang terdengar suara dari ruang yang tidak berpenghuni, ada pula yang terserempak dengan kelibat yang sukar dijelaskan. Di sebalik rutin harian sekolah, tersimpan misteri yang membuatkan tempat ini tidak lagi terasa seperti biasa. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

  • Searching for Soldier Dad: 5. Answers

    Season 12, Episode 5

    Searching for Soldier Dad: 5. Answers

    Cathy and Peter are now speaking with their dads. But are the new relationships all they hoped for? Lawyer James Netto has a “day in court like no other” when a father makes a shock appearance. And we travel to a barracks in the South of England to ask pressing questions of the British Army. Searching for Soldier Dad is a BBC Long Form Audio production for the BBC World Service. Presenter: Ivana Davidovic Series producer: Josephine Casserly Sound design: Tom Brignell Executive producer: Matt Willis Commissioning senior producers: Katy Davis and Anne Dixey Commissioning editor: Jon Manel

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