Doug Casey's Take

Matthew Smith
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Best-selling author, world-renowned speculator, and libertarian philosopher Doug Casey has garnered a well-earned reputation for his controversial insights into politics, economics, and investment markets. Doug literally wrote the book on profiting from periods of economic turmoil. *Crisis Investing* spent weeks as #1 on the New York Times bestseller list and became the best-selling financial book of 1980. He has been a featured guest on hundreds of radio and TV shows, including David Letterman, Merv Griffin, Charlie Rose, Phil Donahue, Regis Philbin, Maury Povich, NBC News, and CNN; has been the topic of numerous features in periodicals such as Time, Forbes, People, and the Washington Post; and is a regular keynote speaker.

  1. 23 min ago

    Doug Casey's $10,000 Bet: Trump Won't Finish His Term

    War Expands, Trump's Security Fears, and the Case for Commodities as AI Accelerates The speakers discuss the ongoing war and recent reports of Trump appearing fearful, citing images of him golfing behind concertina wire with air-defense systems and an earlier escape in a catering vehicle, alongside a $10,000 bet that he will not finish his term. They warn of potential Iranian retaliation and domestic blowback, arguing MANPADS and simple, hobby-like drones could be used against U.S. targets, and note a pattern of attacks on energy infrastructure, including Libyan oil facilities. They advocate owning gold and commodity/resource stocks, promoting a "Crisis Investing" portfolio and criticizing AI/chip stocks as a bubble. The conversation also covers alleged U.S. attacks on boats at sea, rumors of low morale and cover-ups on U.S. carriers, reflections on My Lai and Seymour Hersh, objections to Trump naming the Kennedy Center after himself, and optimism about SpaceX, AI, robots, and a coming productivity surge despite looming financial risks. 00:00 Trump on the Run 01:10 The $10K Trump Bet 02:42 Golfing Behind Wire 04:03 Iran Blowback Fears 05:32 Homemade Drones Threat 07:57 War Hits Energy Markets 08:59 Crisis Investing Picks 10:55 Drug Boats and Rogue Ops 12:47 Drug War Counterargument 14:27 Carrier Suicides and Mutiny 16:19 Navy Logistics Breakdown 19:05 Society Jobs and Colleges 20:57 My Lai and Military Rot 23:43 Kennedy Center Naming Row 27:05 Elon SpaceX and AI Future 31:45 Singularity vs Collapse 34:48 Be a Creator Not Consumer 35:47 Lifeboat Education and Assets 37:01 Closing Thoughts

  2. 1 day ago

    Special Guest: Colonel Douglas Macgregor

    Find us at www.crisisinvesting.com  Find Col. Douglas MacGregor at www.macgregorwarrior.substack.com https://www.youtube.com/@macgregorwarriordiplomacy  and https://nationalconversation.org/ No Existential Threat from China/Russia—America's Real Crisis Is Internal In a wide-ranging discussion, Col. Douglas MacGregor argues there are no existential military threats to the United States from China or Russia, contending the most serious dangers come from instability and organized crime in Mexico and the Caribbean Basin, weakened social cohesion, mass migration, and loss of American identity. He criticizes U.S. and NATO leadership over Ukraine, predicts Russia will ultimately defeat Ukraine, and calls Ukraine a "zombie state," while disputing portrayals of Putin as Hitler. MacGregor says defending U.S. borders and reducing overseas "forward presence" are essential in an age of precision missiles, and warns financial manipulation is postponing an inevitable economic reckoning driven by massive public and private debt. He claims the U.S. government is acting against Americans' interests, describes "Israel first" influence in Washington, and expects renewed action against Iran that could exhaust remaining U.S. capacity, while forecasting major geopolitical realignments in the Middle East. 00:00 Biggest Threats Today 01:40 No Military Existential Threat 04:17 Ukraine War Reality Check 05:34 Putin Hitler Narrative 06:14 Son Visits Russia 08:22 Why Russia Moves Slowly 11:30 Ukraine as Zombie State 12:49 Border Security Focus 15:15 End Expeditionary Warfare 17:33 Demographics and Migration 18:19 Army on the Border 20:30 American Identity Erosion 23:08 Immigration and Prosperity 24:46 Europe Identity Rebound 30:35 Assimilation or Collapse 31:55 Scarcity and Education 40:29 Government Not Ours 41:12 Israel First Policies 45:19 Rural Urban Civil Strife 48:20 Hybrid American Identity 49:20 Executive Power Creep 50:01 Historic Strongmen Examples 52:48 Trump and Donor Control 55:04 Corruption and Cromwell Fix 56:12 Midterms and ICE Backlash 58:10 Scarcity and Revolution Risks 01:00:52 Institutional Decay and Youth 01:05:31 Debt Reckoning and Vacuum 01:10:40 Iran War Paths and Alliances 01:17:02 Gaza as Regional Catalyst 01:18:02 Where to Follow MacGregor 01:19:08 Military Reform and Four Stars 01:24:57 National Conversation Closing

  3. 31 Jul

    The Camp of the Saints

    Find us at www.crisisinvesting.com Ceuta Migrant Surge, Fauci Senate Testimony, DEI in Nolan's The Odyssey, and Escalation Toward World War III Matt and Doug discuss a sudden influx of about 49,000 Moroccans into Spain's small enclave of Ceuta, questioning how the territory can house and feed them, whether NGOs and Moroccan authorities facilitated the crossing, and how Spain or the EU could respond given asylum rules and limited enforcement. They compare the event to past mass-migration episodes in Europe and the U.S. The conversation shifts to Anthony Fauci's Senate testimony, Rand Paul's questioning, Biden's blanket pardon, and allegations of profiteering and lack of accountability. They then review controversy around Nolan's film The Odyssey, arguing DEI casting choices may have been used subversively while still praising parts of the movie. They also cover U.S. border-device searches and debate whether expanding conflicts around Iran, attacks on energy infrastructure, and U.S. involvement indicate a slide toward World War III, including nuclear or cyber escalation. 00:00 Ceuta Migrant Surge 02:24 Can Spain Stop It 04:40 History and Parallels 09:06 Was It Organized 12:36 Spillover to US Politics 14:10 Fauci Senate Showdown 18:38 Nolan Odyssey DEI Debate 27:03 TSA Phone Wipe Case 28:40 Iran Conflict World War Risk 36:15 Wrap Up and Listener Questions

  4. 31 Jul

    The Camp of the Saints

    Find us at www.crisisinvesting.com Ceuta Migrant Surge, Fauci Senate Testimony, DEI in Nolan's The Odyssey, and Escalation Toward World War III Matt and Doug discuss a sudden influx of about 49,000 Moroccans into Spain's small enclave of Ceuta, questioning how the territory can house and feed them, whether NGOs and Moroccan authorities facilitated the crossing, and how Spain or the EU could respond given asylum rules and limited enforcement. They compare the event to past mass-migration episodes in Europe and the U.S. The conversation shifts to Anthony Fauci's Senate testimony, Rand Paul's questioning, Biden's blanket pardon, and allegations of profiteering and lack of accountability. They then review controversy around Nolan's film The Odyssey, arguing DEI casting choices may have been used subversively while still praising parts of the movie. They also cover U.S. border-device searches and debate whether expanding conflicts around Iran, attacks on energy infrastructure, and U.S. involvement indicate a slide toward World War III, including nuclear or cyber escalation. 00:00 Ceuta Migrant Surge 02:24 Can Spain Stop It 04:40 History and Parallels 09:06 Was It Organized 12:36 Spillover to US Politics 14:10 Fauci Senate Showdown 18:38 Nolan Odyssey DEI Debate 27:03 TSA Phone Wipe Case 28:40 Iran Conflict World War Risk 36:15 Wrap Up and Listener Questions

  5. 24 Jul

    The Saudi Nuke Deal, Section 219, and the "Golden Age"

    Find us at www.crisisinvesting.com Doug and Matt discuss headlines and subscriber questions, starting with a survey claiming 30% of Americans admit to shoplifting and what that says about social trust, morality, and societal decline. They talk about New York's worsening conditions, Trump's announced Saudi nuclear deal and subsequent reversal, and a House-passed NDAA provision (Section 219) calling for deeper US-Israel military/intelligence integration, which they argue signals late-stage empire and foreign influence via AIPAC. They critique Trump's "golden age" claims, note rising yields and escalating Middle East and Ukraine-Russia risks, and comment on Trump family wealth. Q&A topics include Doug's favorite opera (Wagner, Gershwin), sci-fi recommendations (golden-age authors; The Diamond Age), whether digital assets/stablecoins can prolong the debt cycle, a film about vigilantism and mass migration, coal markets and coal's importance, Israel's actions and Gaza/Lebanon, and the possibility of deflation alongside inflation using entropy concepts. 00:00 Shoplifting Shock Stat 01:17 Thieves and Morality 03:58 Luxury Beliefs Debate 04:57 New York Backslide 06:53 Saudi Nuclear Deal 10:05 Israel Military Merger 14:17 America as an Idea 14:59 Trump Golden Age Clip 17:05 War Fears and Disillusion 19:27 Trump Family Windfall 20:30 Subscriber Opera Question 21:16 Wagner and Gershwin 22:33 Sci Fi Reading Picks 24:59 Debt Bubble and Stablecoins 30:19 Vigilante Citizen Talk 33:15 Coal Markets Explained 36:33 Israel Influence and Gaza 40:58 Econophysics and Deflation 45:19 Weekend Sign Off

  6. 17 Jul

    Trump's Price Tag

    Find us at www.crisisinvesting.com Matt and Doug discuss a proposed Trump "$1 gold coin," calling it inappropriate for a sitting president and a sign of "end-stage empire," comparing it to Rome's shift to leaders' faces on coinage. They also cover a plan to sell early access to Trump's Truth Social posts for $100,000/month amid allegations of stock front-running, plus a $500,000-entry private D.C. club tied to Trump's son as legalized influence peddling. The conversation shifts to escalating U.S.-Iran conflict risks, possible boots-on-the-ground odds, Israel's role, parallels to Iraq/WMD claims, and the financial strain of missile-heavy warfare. They argue oil and gold should rise, criticize claims about U.S. gold reserves, note European sentiment turning against the U.S., discuss surveillance "Flock" cameras, disappointment over lack of major prosecutions, market confusion, and potential opportunities in undervalued oil and dividend-paying gold stocks. 00:00 Trump Coin Controversy 04:28 Truth Social Paywall Scheme 06:24 Iran War Fears 08:48 Europe Turns On America 10:11 War Costs And Strategy 13:41 Gold Audit Doubts 15:39 Market Bubbles And Korea 19:28 Inflation Reality Check 21:19 Surveillance Camera State 23:03 No Accountability And Elections 27:13 Influence Peddling Club 29:14 Ukraine War Oil Fallout 32:07 Jones Act And Congress 33:46 Lindsey Graham Legacy 37:49 Betting On What Happens Next 40:10 Wrap Up And Sign Off

  7. 8 Jul

    Looming Economic Cataclysm

    Find us at www.crisisinvesting.com  The hosts discuss Trump saying an Iran MOU is "over" after reported attacks on ships in the Strait of Hormuz area, a major U.S. strike, and Iranian retaliation against U.S. bases in Bahrain and Kuwait, while noting uncertainty about attribution. They argue markets appear complacent despite the potential for a severe real-economy shock from disrupted oil flows, SPR drawdowns, and possible wider chokepoint closures (Hormuz, Bab el-Mandab). The conversation covers Iran's internal backlash after Khamenei's death and the likelihood of escalation, plus spillover risks from Russia-Ukraine strikes on refining assets and Europe's militarization. Doug outlines positioning: long oil via spreads and producers, long grains and gold miners, and considering bearish semiconductor hedges, while warning of bubble valuations and broader systemic financial risks. 00:00 Iran Deal Collapses 01:58 Calm Before Oil Shock 05:06 Oil and Grain Trades 10:02 Hormuz War Scenarios 12:32 Iranian Public Backlash 16:21 Israel and Turkey Risks 19:56 Financial Domino Effects 22:13 Europe Russia Escalation 25:17 Trump Megalomania Talk 29:21 How to Hedge Now 30:36 Bubble Shorts Semis SpaceX 35:18 Market Vibe and Indicators 40:13 World War III Fears 42:05 Wrap Up and Next Episode

  8. 3 Jul

    "Dangerous and Capable of Almost Any Kind of Stupidity" — Doug Casey on America at 250

    Find us at https://www.CrisisInvesting.com  1976 vs Today: Patriotism, Demographics, Tech, and Subscriber Q&A on Capital Controls, Uranium, Cuba, and Milei On the July 3 observed July 4 holiday, Matt and Doug compare America's 1976 Bicentennial mood with today, citing major shifts in demographics, a larger population, widening class divides, the decline of manufacturing, and especially computerization and heavy screen time, alongside reduced patriotism and optimism and more political polarization. They discuss changing race relations and immigration, then pivot to subscriber Q&A about Crisis Investing after Lau Veges' departure, risks of foreign bank accounts amid potential capital controls, gold-backed "goldbacks," whether a US government could compel the Sprott Uranium Trust to sell uranium, possible investment opportunities in a collapsing Cuba, views on the death penalty and abortion, where "renaissance men" are most common, why countries splitting can be beneficial, concerns about Javier Milei's pro-Israel actions and immigration stance, and why they won't track panelists' personal trades from their experts roundtables. 00:00 1976 vs Today 02:06 Population and Lifestyle Shifts 04:09 Middle Class Squeeze 05:50 Computers Change Everything 07:20 Immigration and Identity 11:11 Patriotism and Politics 14:13 Subscriber Q and A Begins 17:52 Foreign Accounts and Controls 20:52 Goldbacks and Gold Money 24:29 Uranium Trust and State Power 29:55 Cuba Collapse and Opportunities 33:02 Cuba Property Outlook 34:19 Death Penalty Rethink 36:21 Abortion Family Choice 40:21 Renaissance Men Today 44:30 When Countries Split 47:15 Milei Zionism Concerns 57:46 Roundtable Stock Followups 01:01:49 Holiday Signoff

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About

Best-selling author, world-renowned speculator, and libertarian philosopher Doug Casey has garnered a well-earned reputation for his controversial insights into politics, economics, and investment markets. Doug literally wrote the book on profiting from periods of economic turmoil. *Crisis Investing* spent weeks as #1 on the New York Times bestseller list and became the best-selling financial book of 1980. He has been a featured guest on hundreds of radio and TV shows, including David Letterman, Merv Griffin, Charlie Rose, Phil Donahue, Regis Philbin, Maury Povich, NBC News, and CNN; has been the topic of numerous features in periodicals such as Time, Forbes, People, and the Washington Post; and is a regular keynote speaker.

Information

  • Creator
    Matthew Smith
  • Years Active
    2020 - 2026
  • Episodes
    100
  • Rating
    Explicit
  • Show Website
    Doug Casey's Take

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