The Ag Commodity Corner+

The Ag Commodity Corner+ Podcast
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Weekly markets podcast focused on Ag commodities and financial markets.

  1. 6 DAYS AGO

    USDA Feb Crop Report a WIN for Soybeans + 1 Year Trade Truce Extension

    *Apologies! In this week's podcast, where we talk about the latest CFTC update as of 10th Feb 2026, managed money funds covered their net short position in canola to the tune of +42,746 week-on-week to flip to net long 145 contracts and not (as we mistakenly said) +90,009 wk/wk to 47,408. Try our Ag marketing program for free: https://riskmanagement.farms.com/?ret...#WIN #soybeans #trade #truce #extension #USDA #Xi #Trump #China #ethanol #45Z #phospahtes #fertilizer #corn #technical #wheat USDA took Trump's comments that China would buy more U.S. soybeans seriously and headline news that the U.S./China trade truce would be extended when Trump/Xi meet in the first week of April was a BIG WIN for soybeans this week! 2026 “Mini” U.S. ethanol boom thanks to 45Z + China’s ban of phosphates from Feb. – August of 2026 will not help lower fertilizer prices anytime soon! 30 mmt of Chinese corn harvest is of poor quality and maybe a technical breakout in wheat futures.

    19 min

  2. 6 FEB

    Making Soybeans Great Again! + A Fools Gold?

    Try our Ag marketing program for free: https://riskmanagement.farms.com/?ret...#Trump #USDA #Xi #farmers #gamechanger #foolsgold #China #soybeans #Bitcoin #digital #tech #Nasdaq #45Z #soyoil #Silver #gold #S&P500 #AI #canola #metals #energies #livestock #india #StatsCanada #ElNino #Enso #CFTC   Trump’s post this week that China would buy an additional 8 mmt of U.S. soybeans was a “game changer” near-term. The plunge in Bitcoin down 50% from the highs may no longer be considered a “digital” gold. It has followed the selling in tech this week with the NASDAQ down 7%.  The 45Z announcement provided more clarity and guidance resulting in higher soy oil futures. Next weeks USDA February crop report is historically a non-event and more.

    21 min

  3. 30 JAN

    Higher Crude Oil Prices due to U S Iran Tensions + Plunge in Metals Market!

    Try our Ag marketing program for free: https://riskmanagement.farms.com/?ret...#crudeoil #Iran #silver #gold #metal #CFTC #Trump #nuclear #China #Russia #middleeast ##kalshi #E15 #Iowa #Australia #heatdome #Tonga Crude oil prices are spiking on concerns that Trump might attack Iran over their nuclear program and China/Russia vowed to protect Iran a large oil producer in the Middle East. Silver plunges 61.4% and gold carters by 19%! Kalshi markets was predicting a U.S. government shutdown again at 87.3% but it was averted last minute. Trump vowed to pass E15 in Iowa this week. Australia seeing a heat dome and record temps of 50 degrees Celsius while the Tonga volcano is erupting again in the Pacific Ocean.

    16 min

  4. 24 JAN

    Increased Geo Political Tensions = SELL AMERICA TRADE + Argentina Dry

    Try our Ag marketing program for free: https://riskmanagement.farms.com/?ret... On YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9P_dz6BaP4w&list=PLw_19gpIg9cQIGriCrrqlZkwr_Mo_5oqo #USDA #geopolitics #America #trade #Argentina #dry #Greenland #Brazil #weather #soybean #wheat #USDA #E15 #framework #MatoGrosso #livestock #cattle #Texas #drought #naturalgas #winterkill #cattleonfeed #CFTC Higher geo-politics from Trump wanting to annex Greenland to conflict with Iran has caused investors to sell everything America. With Mato Grosso Brazil 7% harvested weather has turned wet as harvest progresses but Argentina has turned dry! Both soybean and wheat futures have traded back above the pre-USDA January crop report close a positive technical chart signal. A monster weekly U.S. export report is price supportive but a kick the can down the road on E15 is very disappointing.

    17 min

  5. 19 JAN

    2026 USDA January Crop Report Bearish “Shock” + Canada-China Trade Deal

    Try our Ag marketing program for free: https://riskmanagement.farms.com/?ret... On YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=07Wat9ZrMo0&list=PLw_19gpIg9cQIGriCrrqlZkwr_Mo_5oqo #USDA #january #bearish #canada #china #tradedeal #corn #soybeans #wheat #silverbullet #E15 #biofuel #canola #EV #Iran #crudeoil #geopolitics #soybeanoil #silver #drought #CFTC #parabolic The USDA January crop report shocked the grain trade with a bearish report finding more bushels of corn, soybeans and wheat for 2025. But strong demand and talk of finalizing biofuel and adding E15 in Washington helped forge a low near-term in the grain markets. Canola futures traded higher on news that China and Canada reached a trade deal on canola/EV tariffs. China has finally bought their 12 mmt of U.S. soybean commitment now what? WTI crude oil fell after Trump decided not to attack Iran and silver remained parabolic.

    21 min

  6. 9 JAN

    Will USDA January 2026 Final Crop Report Provide a “Gift” to Farmers

    #USDA #gift #farmers #venezulea #bearish #bullish #crudeoil #christmas#geopolitics #screworm #cattle #cftc #soybeans #corn   Will the USDA provide a late Christmas “gift for farmers inthe final January USDA crop report on Monday?  The U.S. Venezuela attack is long-term bearish crude oil prices but bullish stocks as the Venezuela stock market was up awhopping 123%! But that is not quite as good as Warren Buffets record since 1964 +5 million %, 41 invested in 1964 is not worth $4 million!!! WOW!!!! The reopening of the border to Mexico to cattle could take some time. Stocks hit new recordhighs this week and it was a good start to the week with lost of green on the screen to end the week.

    15 min

  7. 19/12/2025

    The Bull Had His Feast at Thanksgiving, the Bear Will Have His at Christmas

    Try our Ag marketing program for free: https://riskmanagement.farms.com/?ret...#USDA #corn #bushels #soybean #wheat #China #pork #Trump #demand #silver #gold#Argentina #CFTC Fund year-end, end of quarter and end of month selling has weighed on the grain markets. Will the USDA provide a gift in January and do seasonals kick in. Rumors that China was buying U.S. corn could add fuel to the fire.

    12 min
  8. 2025 USDA December Crop Report a “Dud” + Trump $12 Billion U S Farm Aid

    12/12/2025

    2025 USDA December Crop Report a “Dud” + Trump $12 Billion U S Farm Aid

    Try our Ag marketing program for free: https://riskmanagement.farms.com/?ret...#USDA #farm #aid #bearish #surprise #corn #bushels #soybean #wheat #corn #mexico #China #pork #Trump #demand #naturalgas #silver #debassement #dedollarization #technicals#funds #fed ##Powell #Argentina #CFTC The USDA December crop report was friendly corn, neutral soybeans and bearish wheat. The USDA did surprise and increase the 25/26 U.S. corn export forecast to a new record high at 3.2 billion bushels now up 12% vs. last year vs. prior at +9% vs. the export pace to date up 30% the best in 10 years even higher than 20/21! The USDA left the 25/26 U.S. soybean export pace unchanged at 1.635 billion bushels. Higher global wheat supplies will remain a weight and headwind for wheat into year end and start of 2026. Mexico is now the #1 buyer of U.S. corn, soybeans (usually China), wheat and pork! USDA also released its long-term early projections but expect more changes by February of 2026. Trump announces a $12 billion U.S. farmer aid package to be paid out by February 28, 2026. This helps no one but the ag banks, farm equipment companies, seed and fertilizer companies. It does prevent more farmer bushels from being sold near-term but is not bullish grain prices long-term. The Trump administration should focus on increasing U.S. domestic demand and propping up grain futures so farmers can cover their higher costs, up since COVID of 2020. The China U.S. soybean purchase tracker now stands at 4.521 mmt or 38% of the 12 mmt promised by China at year end or is it end of February or the growing season? Why the discrepancy vs. the fact sheet. The optics are poor for the Trump administration. After surging to contract highs U.S. natural gas futures plunged over 30+% in just 5-trading days! Silver traded to new record highs as the debasement and de dollarization trade continued but technicals remain overbought near-term. Soybean futures remained in correction mode after the funds went record long futures on Nov. 19 +233,000 contracts but the $10.80 support should hold into year end when the fund profit taking/liquidation comes to an end from the year end, end of month and end of quarter selling. The U.S. Fed cut interest rates for the 3rd time by 25 basis points to a range of 3.50 – 3.75% and they will only cut one more time in 2026 and once in 20267/ but when Powell is gone next April the replacement is willing to cut more aggressively and we could see U.S. interest rates fall to 2.0% very bullish for ag and stocks as it could reignite inflation into 2027. After 2 months of being drier than normal in Brazil the rains have finally arrived for the 1st half of December, and a record crop is still in the cards but if this pattern continues and verifies it could start to delay the harvest. Argentina after being too wet has turned dry but they are too small, compared top Brazil in the grand picture. The Canadian dollar surged to $0.73 after better-than-expected employment data with 180,000 new jobs in the past 3-months and 3rd quarter GDP at +2.6% but this could be short-lived. The latest CFTC report as of 11-19-25 reported a record long fund position in soybeans at +233,000 contracts when 2026 March soybean futures peaked on 11-19-25 at $11.724/bu.

    29 min
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Weekly markets podcast focused on Ag commodities and financial markets.

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  • Creator
    The Ag Commodity Corner+ Podcast
  • Years Active
    2025 - 2026
  • Episodes
    29
  • Rating
    Clean
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    © The Ag Commodity Corner+ Podcast
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    The Ag Commodity Corner+