Doug Casey's Take

Matthew Smith
  • 5.0 (1)
  • Investing

Best-selling author, world-renowned speculator, and libertarian philosopher Doug Casey has garnered a well-earned reputation for his controversial insights into politics, economics, and investment markets. Doug literally wrote the book on profiting from periods of economic turmoil. *Crisis Investing* spent weeks as #1 on the New York Times bestseller list and became the best-selling financial book of 1980. He has been a featured guest on hundreds of radio and TV shows, including David Letterman, Merv Griffin, Charlie Rose, Phil Donahue, Regis Philbin, Maury Povich, NBC News, and CNN; has been the topic of numerous features in periodicals such as Time, Forbes, People, and the Washington Post; and is a regular keynote speaker.

  1. 2 days ago

    Trump's $250 Billion Dollar Bill, CIA Gold Hoard & More

    Find us at www.crisisinvesting.com Matt and Doug take subscriber questions for Crisis Investing while reacting to current events: a reported new $250 bill featuring Trump (and claims about a "gold note"), Trump imagery in passports, and the impact on Americans abroad. They discuss a raid on a CIA supervisor found with 303 kilos of gold, $20 million in cash, and luxury watches, raising concerns about CIA controls and corruption. The conversation turns to the Iran conflict and the Strait of Hormuz, arguing U.S. actions have repeatedly tightened shipping despite talk of wanting the strait open, with tolling, sanctions, and 1,500–1,700 ships reportedly stuck. They answer questions on inflation, Polymarket vs investing, how oil pricing works, what could invalidate their worldview, AI/robotics investing (favoring China/robots), OPEC weakening, skepticism on SpaceX/OpenAI/Anthropic IPOs, oil stocks and dividends, and preferred older vehicles to avoid surveillance tech. 00:00 Subscriber Q&A Setup 00:25 Trump 250 Dollar Bill 03:36 Passports and Global Backlash 05:15 Venezuela 51st State Post 07:00 CIA Gold Hoard Scandal 12:28 Iran War Fog and Losses 13:56 Hormuz Strait Toll and Sanctions 22:40 Energy Prices in Uruguay Argentina 25:38 Inflation Deficit and Collapse Risks 26:51 Betting Versus Investing 27:04 Polymarket And Market Corruption 29:03 Oil Futures Versus Physical 31:24 When The Worldview Breaks 38:12 AI Robots Real Edge 41:52 OPEC Control And Breakup 43:37 SpaceX IPO Bubble Bells 45:55 Why Own Oil Stocks 48:14 Cars Surveillance And Sweet Spot 51:09 Wrap Up And Next Week

    51 min

  2. 22 May

    "This Ends Badly" – Doug Casey on America's Breaking Point

    Matt and Doug discuss signs of consumer strain in the U.S.—record-low sentiment, rising delinquencies, and high prices—alongside a stock market at all-time highs, comparing the disconnect to historical episodes like Germany's 1923 hyperinflation. They argue official inflation measures are unreliable, deficits and money printing persist, foreign holders are cutting U.S. Treasuries, and gold benefits while mining stocks remain cheap; Doug remains long gold, oil, and commodities and warns the AI/data-center boom may be a debt-fueled bubble. The conversation turns to widening inequality, debt-based consumption tools, weaker job prospects even for top graduates, and fears of social unrest and potential civil conflict. They criticize what they describe as escalating corruption under Trump, including a DOJ settlement structure and extensive trading disclosures suggesting insider activity, then discuss elections, AIPAC/Israel influence, speech taboos, and rising generational and ethnic tensions. 00:00 Everybody Wants Love 00:08 Economy vs Market Highs 01:34 Sticker Shock in America 04:28 Inflation Numbers Doubt 05:57 Treasuries to Gold Rush 07:12 Mining Stocks and ESG 08:36 AI Data Center Bubble 10:32 Haves and Have Nots 12:08 Buy Now Pay Later Living 13:23 Decades of Debt Warnings 17:10 Trump Corruption Claims 17:50 DOJ Settlement Slush Fund 24:25 Insider Trading Allegations 25:50 Epstein and Ukraine Talk 28:59 Elections and Voter Trust 32:17 Israel Influence and AIPAC 36:38 Hate Speech and Taboo Topics 40:32 Tribalism and Protected Classes 44:22 Civil War and Generational Rift 47:22 Wrap Up and Next Guest

    49 min

  3. 24 Apr

    Trumps Next Move

    Find us at www.crisisinvesting.com Matt promotes the Crisis Investing newsletter and VIP private placements, citing past returns and highlighting Midnight Sun's gains and the free Experts Roundtable featuring Arizona Eagle Mining. Doug and Matt discuss Spirit Airlines' bankruptcy and criticize a proposed government bailout as state capitalism, then argue the FAA and TSA should be abolished or privatized. They question Trump's claims about saving eight Iranian girls from execution, debate marijuana reclassification, and emphasize personal responsibility and cultural causes of drug use. In listener Q&A, they cover the importance of economics and psychology, skepticism about modern psychiatry, the value of intrapreneurship, risks of invading Iran, defining the deep state, best healthcare abroad (Switzerland, Thailand, Argentina), where private gold is concentrated (China), property vs self-investment, Roth IRA asset choice, private placement minimums, border interrogation, shareholder voting, helium investing limits, tungsten's strategic value, skepticism on South Africa REITs, and the film Barnum World's critique of political rhetoric.  00:00 Newsletter Pitch and Returns 01:21 VIP Deals and Roundtable 02:50 Spirit Airlines Bailout 04:44 Abolish FAA and TSA 05:48 Iranian Girls Tweet Controversy 08:12 Marijuana Rescheduling Debate 12:02 Economics vs Psychology Discipline 16:28 Intrapreneurship at Work 17:47 Invading Iran and Deep State 19:40 Best Healthcare Abroad 21:22 US Healthcare Reality 21:55 Where Gold Is Hoarded 23:33 Property Or Self Investment 27:06 Roth IRA Asset Choices 29:45 VIP Deal Minimums 30:27 Border Tech And Customs 31:55 Shareholder Voting Skepticism 33:13 Helium And Supply Limits 34:40 Tungsten And Critical Metals 36:56 South Africa REITs Debate 40:05 Barnum Statements In Politics 41:58 Wrap Up And Next Week

    42 min

  4. 17 Apr

    The Strait "Reopens" and Gold Keeps Climbing

    In today's episode: Good news broke this morning: the Strait of Hormuz is officially open again — assuming you believe what you read in the papers, which Doug emphatically does not. Oil dropped toward $80, gold crept toward $5,000 (a combination Doug calls "a little bit counterintuitive"), and meanwhile C-130s keep flowing into the Middle Eastern theater around the clock. As Doug puts it, "chances are this is just a pause in hostilities — everybody's taking the opportunity to reload." From there the conversation goes exactly where you'd hope it would. We get into Pete Hegseth's now-infamous "prayer breakfast," where the Secretary of Defense appears to have lifted Samuel L. Jackson's Ezekiel 25:17 monologue from Pulp Fiction and delivered it to a room of bewildered military brass as scripture. Doug's review was not kind: "It was kind of weak and mealy-mouthed the way Hegseth delivered those lines." His proposed fix? "Next time he ought to put a red bandana around his forehead à la Rambo, strip his shirt off to expose his war-like tattoos, and then deliver it with proper fervor." Elsewhere in a wide-ranging episode: Why coin collecting is dead and what that says about how we think about money Doug's characteristically diplomatic take on Ireland's troubles The Argentine citizenship-by-investment program that was, then wasn't Whether traveling as an American is about to get uncomfortable again (Doug remembers the Vietnam-era Canadian-flag-on-the-backpack trick) Human cloning, Multiplicity, and the curious case of Adolfo Cambiasso cloning his best polo ponies — which rather settles the question of whether someone, somewhere, has tried it on people An honest look at our private placement track record: the big winners, and the ones that aren't As Doug reminds us near the end: "We're just leaves drifting down the river of time. We shouldn't concern ourselves with these things — they're above our pay grade anyway." Have a great weekend, Matt

    30 min

  5. 15 Apr

    Narrative Warfare, Iran, and the Looming Energy Shock

    Doug and the host discuss how a gloomy zeitgeist has flipped inspirational "hard work pays off" stories into reminders that most people aren't Will Smith, reflecting young people's uncertainty and widening social division that could escalate beyond clashing ideas. They argue an "information war" now relies less on narrative control than flooding the public with competing, plausible, comforting, and gratifying stories that can't be proven, deepening confusion and polarization. The conversation centers on the escalating conflict with Iran, heated disagreements among investors and military professionals, and the market implications of a U.S. blockade and a Strait of Hormuz shutdown, which they warn could trigger fuel shortages, rapid economic contraction, bankruptcies, more money printing, inflation, and a potential bond-market panic, while noting potential geopolitical winners like Israel and possibly China. 00:00 Confusing Times Setup 01:05 Pop Culture Gloom Shift 03:05 Youth Outlook And Civil Strife 05:57 Iran Conflict Sparks Division 07:19 Markets View And Escalation Risks 11:40 Narrative Warfare Flooding 14:18 Why We Believe Stories 18:12 Extraordinary Claims Need Proof 20:31 Iran Narratives And Religion 22:25 No Shared Western Story 23:13 Heroes and Moral Vacuum 24:19 Drug Boats and Rules 25:48 Iran Blowback and Propaganda 30:36 Blockade Escalation Scenarios 33:38 Strait Closure Economic Shock 35:40 Markets Mispricing the Crisis 38:23 Trump Knew the Stakes 41:01 China Advantage and Bond Panic 43:44 Wrap Up and Prepare

    44 min

  6. 10 Apr

    Space Aliens, Disappearing Scientists, and the Coal Comeback

    Aliens, Energy Shocks, Migration, and Crisis Investing Q&A with Doug Doug and the host pivot from Iran to UFOs, discussing reports of nine connected people disappearing and a clip of Congressman Tim Burchett reacting to Matt Gaetz's claim of an alien-human hybrid breeding program and calling for disclosure, while the hosts debate the odds of alien visitation and mention alleged underwater craft reports. They then take subscriber questions on energy, arguing coal is undervalued, natural gas is extremely cheap versus oil (about $2.50 vs $100, shifting the usual 6:1 ratio to ~40:1), and explaining LNG's transport constraints and EQT's sensitivity to gas prices. They discuss mass migration into the U.S. from Latin America, speculate on motives, criticize Canadian political "wokeness," address nuclear-war risk and Argentina/Israel relocation rumors, touch on pensions' fragility, explain their Crisis Investing newsletter process, mention a VIP private placement called NAQI (earbud control tech), and share views on trusts. 00:00 Aliens and Disappearances 01:05 Art Bell Memories 02:23 Congress UFO Clip 04:47 Disclosure Day Hype 05:29 Do the Math on Life 08:23 Sci Fi and TV Picks 10:45 Energy Question Coal 12:51 Coal Gas and LNG 15:33 Migration Debate 20:33 Canada NDP Clip Setup 21:12 Canada Genocide Claim 22:52 Trans Surgery And Suicide 24:00 WEF Momentum And War Fears 25:31 Israel To Argentina Rumor 27:26 Technocracy Rabbit Holes 28:04 EQT Natural Gas Selloff 29:03 Shipping Insurance And Straits 31:28 Oil Shock And Australia 33:14 Rebel Vocalists Talk 34:56 Pensions And Dependency Risks 37:25 Newsletter Workflow And Picks 38:19 Private Tech Placement 40:16 Trusts Pros And Cons 42:43 Closing Thoughts And Farewell

    44 min

  7. 7 Apr

    TACO Tuesday? Trump's Iran Ultimatum, Energy Shock Fears, and Dubai's Fragile Future

    Doug and Matt discuss escalating tensions with Iran, criticizing Trump's social media threats of "civilization" ending and calling his behavior unstable, with one suggesting the 25th Amendment. They argue U.S. involvement benefits Israel, dispute the "47 years" framing by citing the 1953 coup, and warn that threatening to cut power to Iran amounts to mass death. They anticipate potential Iranian retaliation against U.S. Gulf interests and infrastructure, triggering oil disruptions, diesel price spikes, global shortages (especially in Asia), and broader financial stress amid high debt and risky junk lending. They consider knock-on effects like reduced civilian air travel, then pivot to refuges and isolated places like Tristan da Cunha's small, lobster-based community. Finally, they assess Dubai's vulnerability in war and financial downturns, noting falling transaction volumes, possible car abandonments, and the city's artificial, hard-to-maintain nature. 00:00 D-Day Iran Threats 01:30 Trump Unhinged Turn 04:27 Bonkers Tweets Read 05:44 Iran History Context 07:21 Blowback and Terror Risk 09:42 Oil Shock Global Fallout 11:02 Debt Markets Unraveling 14:14 Invoke 25th Amendment 16:04 Escape Plans and Islands 17:04 Tristan da Cunha Life 20:42 Dubai Warzone Real Estate 28:25 Nuclear War Fears 29:31 Waiting for Taco Tuesday

    30 min

  8. 3 Apr

    Americas Economic Future

    Find us at www.crisisinvesting.com Doug and Matt discuss a podcast featuring MIT professor Ted Postel, agreeing the Iran war is an escalating catastrophe with unavoidable, chaotic economic consequences driven by higher petroleum prices. They answer subscriber questions on how rising diesel impacts mining all-in sustaining costs (estimated 10–25%), how to identify viable new business ideas by solving real problems, and how Doug would start investing today by focusing on currently cheap resource stocks while avoiding becoming a one-trick pony. Doug recounts a few tense travel encounters (Haiti and Congo), outlines private placement risks (illiquidity and funding needy companies) and rewards (discounts and warrants), and says no clear asymmetric trade exists without reliable on-the-ground information. They cover music royalties, Brazil travel and bureaucracy, vaccine skepticism, corn's subsidies versus a bullish ag view, draft avoidance uncertainty, 401(k) dilemmas, dollar devaluation and gold, numismatics demand issues, and Hydrograph as a high-risk speculation where taking a "Casey Free Ride" is prudent. 00:00 Subscriber Q&A Kickoff 00:37 Podcast Takeaways on War 02:20 Economic Shock and Energy Reality 05:11 Mining Costs vs Diesel Spike 06:23 Finding a Business Pain Point 07:42 Starting Investing Today 09:18 Dangerous Travel Stories 13:42 Private Placements Risks 15:23 Asymmetric Bets in Iran War 18:08 Professor Jiang on Long War 21:11 Music Royalties and Dire Straits 22:17 Brazil Outlook and Regions 23:10 Brazil Travel Reality 24:23 Visas And Travel Tightening 25:16 Covid Vaccine Skepticism 27:29 Corn Subsidy Machine 30:08 Corn As Investment 32:05 Draft Avoidance Talk 33:45 Protecting 401k Savings 35:39 Dollar Devaluation And Gold 39:10 Numismatics Exit Strategy 40:40 Women And Preparedness 41:39 Buying Hydrograph Shares 42:52 Hydrograph Buy More Guidance 44:24 Free Ride Speculation Lesson 45:30 Wrap Up And Next Week

    46 min
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About

Best-selling author, world-renowned speculator, and libertarian philosopher Doug Casey has garnered a well-earned reputation for his controversial insights into politics, economics, and investment markets. Doug literally wrote the book on profiting from periods of economic turmoil. *Crisis Investing* spent weeks as #1 on the New York Times bestseller list and became the best-selling financial book of 1980. He has been a featured guest on hundreds of radio and TV shows, including David Letterman, Merv Griffin, Charlie Rose, Phil Donahue, Regis Philbin, Maury Povich, NBC News, and CNN; has been the topic of numerous features in periodicals such as Time, Forbes, People, and the Washington Post; and is a regular keynote speaker.

Information

  • Creator
    Matthew Smith
  • Years Active
    2020 - 2026
  • Episodes
    100
  • Rating
    Explicit
  • Show Website
    Doug Casey's Take

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