Competent Man Podcast

Tom Bodrovics

This isn’t just another podcast—it’s a movement for thinkers, doers, and anyone ready to step up and become the best version of themselves, one skill at a time. Bringing you a wide range of content so come with an open mind and a sense of adventure!

Episodes

  1. 1 DAY AGO

    Rory Johnston: 13 Million Barrels Per Day Missing, Why Aren’t Markets Reacting?

    In this podcast, Tom Bodrovics interviews Rory Johnston, a commodity market researcher specializing in oil and gas, to discuss the current state of the oil market. Johnston highlights the unprecedented situation where OPEC+ output reached an all-time low last month, and the significant impact of the closure of the Strait of Hormuz on global oil supplies. Johnston notes that over 90 Very Large Crude Carriers (VLCCs) are headed to the US Gulf Coast to pick up crude, a situation that has gained attention, including from former President Trump. This influx of tankers is due to the Middle East being functionally offline and China banning the export of refined products, making the US and Canada the most energy-secure areas. Johnston explains that the current market dynamics are driven by a significant backwardation in the futures market, where the price of oil for immediate delivery is much higher than for future delivery. This is due to the acute shortages in areas that previously relied on Middle Eastern fuel, leading to a scramble for available supplies. He emphasizes that the market is not creating new oil but rather shuffling existing supplies to areas willing to pay more. The discussion also touches on the potential for the US to supply the global shortfall and the implications of tapping into the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR). Johnston believes that some of the SPR releases will likely be exported, given the high demand and the need to balance global supplies. He also notes the potential for resource nationalism and the political considerations that could influence oil trade policies. Johnston warns that if the Strait of Hormuz remains closed, the global oil market could face severe shortages, leading to significant price increases and potential demand destruction. He highlights the importance of understanding the physical market dynamics versus the futures market, which often moves much faster. The interview concludes with Johnston emphasizing the need to follow the crisis closely, as the physical impact on the oil market will continue to worsen as long as Hormuz remains closed.

    55 min
  2. 3 DAYS AGO

    London Paul: Energy Shocks, Silver Crisis, Food Shortages & Financial Collapse Ahead

    During a podcast discussion between Tom Bodrovics and London Paul, publisher of 'The Sirius Report,' they delved into the complexities and implications of the ongoing war, focusing on the missteps and strategic failures of the U.S. and its allies. Paul critiqued the initial decision to assassinate Iran's Supreme Leader, Ali Kamehni, arguing that it was a strategic blunder that galvanized Iranian resistance rather than ending the conflict. He highlighted the U.S.'s underestimation of Iran's capabilities, both defensively and offensively, and the failure to achieve stated objectives such as regime change, destruction of nuclear facilities, and control over strategic waterways like the Strait of Hormuz. The discussion touched on the U.S.'s desperate search for an "off-ramp" to exit the war without appearing defeated, particularly in light of upcoming midterm elections. Paul noted that the U.S. has failed to achieve any of its stated objectives and is now scrambling to find a way to declare victory. He also discussed the broader geopolitical implications, including the strengthening of the IRGC, Iran's control over the Strait of Hormuz, and the potential for a prolonged conflict that could have catastrophic global consequences. Economically, Paul warned of the potential for severe energy shortages and food disruptions, which could lead to hyperinflation and social unrest. He emphasized the need for coordinated global action to mitigate these risks and prevent a prolonged conflict that could destabilize the entire Middle East and beyond. The conversation also touched on the potential for a silver shortage and the impact on precious metals markets, given silver's critical role in industrial applications and its potential as a monetary metal. Paul advised listeners to be cautious of misinformation and to prepare for potential disruptions in energy and food supplies. He also highlighted the broader geopolitical shifts, including the potential decline of U.S. influence in the Middle East and the strengthening of Iran's regional power. The discussion concluded with a call for a balanced perspective on the conflict, acknowledging the serious risks while hoping for a swift resolution.

    1hr 16min
  3. 9 APR

    Simon Hunt: This Peace Plan isn’t Acceptable to Trump and isn’t Durable

    Simon Hunt, a consultant on the global economy, China, and the copper industry, discussed the geopolitical implications of a ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran, and its potential impact on the global economy. The ceasefire, Hunt argues, is unlikely to be durable due to the unacceptable terms proposed by Iran, which include control over the Strait of Hormuz and the withdrawal of U.S. forces from the region. Hunt suggests that the U.S.'s motivation for the conflict is to support its donors and to control energy prices, thereby controlling the world. However, Iran's resilience and backing from China and Russia make it a formidable opponent. The potential economic consequences of a durable ceasefire include rising inflation, increased ten-year yields, and market volatility. Hunt predicts that Europe is poised to enter a recession, while China and Russia may emerge stronger due to their strategic planning and resource reserves. The conflict also highlights the intensifying rivalry between the U.S. and China, with copper being a key battleground. Hunt suggests that the global economy is entering a period of uncertainty, with resource nationalism and geopolitical tensions likely to intensify. Hunt also discusses the potential for an inflation-led recovery or recession, the role of gold as a secure asset, and the importance of monitoring capital flows and political changes in the Gulf region. He notes that the conflict has exposed the U.S.'s lack of diplomatic skills and reliance on threats of brute force. The conversation concludes with Hunt's insights on the copper market, which he sees as a race between demand destruction and supply destruction, and the potential for an inflation take-off followed by a crash.

    44 min
  4. 8 APR

    Jaime Carrasco: Gold Wins No Matter What in the Coming Monetary Reset

    In a podcast hosted by Tom Bodrovics, Jaime Carrasco, a Senior Portfolio Manager and Senior Investment Advisor at Harbourfront Wealth Management, discusses the geopolitical and economic landscape in light of the escalating tensions with Iran. Carrasco emphasizes the importance of being defensively positioned in the markets amidst such uncertainty. He highlights the long-term shift away from the US dollar as the global reserve currency, drawing parallels to historical events like the Russian Revolution. Carrasco argues that regardless of the outcome of the conflict, gold will be a winner due to the need for infrastructure rebuilding and the potential for inflationary pressures. Carrasco stresses the significance of holding physical gold and investing in gold producers as a hedge against economic instability. He notes that the current geopolitical situation is redrawing the monetary map and signals a loss of trust in the US dollar. Carrasco advises clients to have a significant portion (up to 30%) of their net worth in physical gold and gold producers, citing the potential for a monetary reset and the destruction of fiat currencies. He also discusses the impact of rising interest rates and the potential for a credit derivative swap crisis, drawing parallels to the 2008 financial crisis. Carrasco expresses concern about the economic and human costs of the conflict but sees opportunities in sectors like energy, pipelines, and utilities. He believes that the current situation is accelerating a transition to a sound money system and that gold will be a key component of any future monetary reset. Carrasco also touches on the social and political implications of the conflict, emphasizing the importance of empathy and understanding in rebuilding societies. He concludes by advising investors to allocate a significant portion of their assets to precious metals and to focus on the long-term trends shaping the global economy.

    56 min
  5. 3 APR

    Rick Rule: What I’m Buying When Commodities Go On Sale

    Stijn Schmitz welcomes Rick Rule to the show. Rick Rule is Investor, Speculator, Founder & CEO of Rule Investment Media. In this comprehensive interview, Rule discusses several critical economic and investment insights, focusing on potential risks and opportunities in the current global landscape. Rule emphasizes the potential for a liquidity squeeze and credit crisis, advising investors to maintain liquidity and be prepared for potential market downturns. He highlights the ongoing trend of resource nationalism and geopolitical tensions, which are reshaping global energy and commodity markets. Specifically, he sees significant opportunities in uranium and nuclear energy, noting that countries like Japan are rapidly reconsidering nuclear power as a reliable, low-carbon energy source. Regarding investment strategies, Rule critiques retail investors' common mistakes, including insufficient research, following outdated recommendations, and lacking patience with long-term investment theses. He advocates for thorough due diligence, understanding company valuations, and being psychologically prepared for market volatility. Rule is particularly critical of proposed wealth taxes, arguing that such policies punish productivity and would not meaningfully address government debt. He points out that the top 1% of taxpayers already pay 42% of applicable taxes and that confiscating billionaires' wealth would only fund government spending for a few years. In the resources sector, Rule sees potential for significant mergers and acquisitions in the next five years, particularly in gold equities. He recommends companies like Cameco in the nuclear sector and suggests investors focus on strategic, well-managed companies with clear investment theses. Rule also warns about risks in high-yield ETFs, describing potential credit contagion scenarios that could create significant market disruptions. Throughout the interview, he emphasizes the importance of understanding underlying assets, being contrarian, and maintaining a long-term perspective in investment strategies. Ultimately, Rule encourages investors to stay informed, maintain liquidity, and be prepared to take advantage of market opportunities when they arise.

    57 min
  6. 2 APR

    Chase Taylor: Policy Disasters and Miscalculations – The Options for Ending the War?

    Chase Taylor, a Global Macro Strategist and Editor at Pinecone Macro, joined Tom Bodrovics on the Confident Investor podcast to discuss the geopolitical implications of the ongoing war and its impact on global markets. Taylor, with a background in geospatial intelligence and a deep interest in history and geopolitics, emphasized the importance of asking the right questions rather than seeking immediate answers in the midst of conflict. Taylor highlighted the significant delta between public narratives and the reality on the ground, noting that many decision-makers underestimated Iran's capabilities. He discussed the strategic miscalculations by the US and Israel, which have led to a situation where Iran holds considerable leverage, both operationally and economically. Taylor predicted that the US may have to accept unfavorable terms to exit the conflict, given Iran's escalation dominance and economic leverage. The conversation touched on the potential domestic risks in the US from Iran, with Taylor suggesting that while direct military attacks are unlikely, there could be retaliatory actions against US assets in the region. He also delved into the downstream effects of the conflict, including disruptions in oil and gas supplies, particularly from Qatar, which supplies 20% of the world's LNG. Taylor estimated that it could take up to six months for some LNG facilities to resume operations and up to three years for a full recovery. The discussion also covered the potential return to coal usage and the acceleration of green energy transitions in response to supply disruptions. Taylor noted that countries heavily invested in renewables, like solar, would be better positioned to weather the storm. He also highlighted the potential for increased resource nationalism and the complexities of global interdependencies, using the example of a pencil to illustrate how interconnected global supply chains are. Taylor concluded by discussing investment opportunities in commodities like sugar and cocoa, which are likely to be affected by fertilizer shortages and climate events like El Niño. He also mentioned the potential for gold to act as a financial safety net during times of crisis. Overall, Taylor's insights provided a nuanced view of the geopolitical landscape and its implications for investors.

    1hr 5min
  7. 27 MAR

    Don Durrett: 2026 is the Last Year of American Greatness Which Brings a New Gold All-Time High

    During the podcast, host Tom Bodrovics and guest Don Durrett, an author, investor, and founder of Goldstockdata.com, discussed the current state of the metals and mining markets, with a particular focus on gold and silver. Durrett emphasized his strategy of buying during market dips, which he has applied successfully in recent months. He noted that gold experienced a significant correction, dropping from $5,600 to around $4,100, and has since rebounded to nearly $4,600. Durrett attributed this volatility to the geopolitical tensions and the U.S. economy's struggles, including high debt levels and inflation. Durrett expressed his belief that the U.S. economy is on a declining trajectory, heavily reliant on foreign investment, and heading towards a recession. He predicted that gold and silver prices will rise significantly due to the U.S. government's potential inability to service its debt and the fragility of the bond market. He set a target of $7,000 for gold and $200 for silver within the next 24 to 36 months, citing the unsustainable debt levels and economic management practices as key drivers. The conversation also touched on the potential impacts of an energy crisis, with Durrett noting that while higher oil prices pose risks to gold mining operations, the industry has margins that can withstand increases up to a certain point. He also discussed the potential for a digital currency reset, which could devalue the U.S. dollar and lead to a quasi-default on U.S. debt. Durrett highlighted the importance of monitoring the geopolitical situation, particularly the tensions in the Middle East, which could impact oil prices and global economies. He expressed pessimism about the likelihood of a swift resolution to the conflicts and the potential for Iran to gain leverage over oil prices. Despite these challenges, Durrett remains bullish on gold and silver, expecting new all-time highs by the end of June and viewing any corrections as buying opportunities.

    45 min
  8. 26 MAR

    Francis Hunt: Global Debt System is Crashing, Gold and Silver are the Only Assets to Own

    During a recent podcast, host Tom Bodrovics and guest Francis Hunt, a renowned trader and analyst, delved into the current economic landscape, focusing on the intersection of energy, inflation, and debt. Hunt emphasized that the ongoing conflicts and disruptions in energy infrastructure, particularly in the Middle East and Russia, are driving a broader inflation story. He argued that the world is experiencing an extreme version of stagflation, characterized by economic stagnation and high inflation, which erodes household purchasing power. This scenario is exacerbated by excessive debt and the need for central banks to manage the debasement of fiat currencies. Hunt discussed the historical context of stagflation, comparing the current situation to the 1970s when OPEC's actions pushed up oil prices, leading to a similar economic environment. He highlighted that the recent explosions and disruptions in energy infrastructure are not isolated incidents but part of a larger strategy to engineer inflation and manage debt. This strategy involves manipulating commodity prices, particularly oil, to control the cost of goods and services, ultimately affecting global economies. The discussion also touched on the role of digital price tags in supermarkets, which allow for real-time price adjustments, reflecting the immediate impact of inflation on consumer goods. Hunt warned that this technology could lead to sudden and significant price increases, further straining household budgets. He also mentioned the potential for shortages in food and other essential commodities due to disruptions in global supply chains, exacerbated by geopolitical tensions and energy price volatility. Hunt criticized the mainstream media and financial institutions for misrepresenting economic data, such as the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and unemployment rates, to paint a rosier picture of the economy. He argued that these misleading narratives are part of a broader effort to control the narrative and maintain public trust in financial systems. He also highlighted the potential for social unrest and economic instability as a result of the current economic policies, warning that the world is on the brink of a global depression. The conversation also covered the implications of the current economic environment for different countries, with a focus on Japan and the United States. Hunt argued that Japan, despite its high debt levels, is in a better position than the United States due to its lower energy dependence and more stable economic policies. He also discussed the potential for a reset of the global financial system, which could involve a shift away from fiat currencies towards more stable assets like gold. In conclusion, Hunt emphasized the importance of preserving wealth and maintaining a high standard of living in the face of economic uncertainty. He advised listeners to focus on self-reliance, community building, and personal freedom, while also being prepared for potential social unrest and economic instability. He ended the conversation on a positive note, encouraging listeners to live fulfilling lives and pursue their passions, regardless of the economic challenges they may face.

    1hr 3min
  9. 19 MAR

    Adrian Day: The Next Leg of the Gold Market Will be Explosive in the Miners

    Adrian Day, CEO of Adrian Day Asset Management and Manager of EuroPacific Gold Fund, shared his insights on the mining industry and gold market during a podcast with host Tom Bodrovics. Day attended the Prospectors & Developers Association of Canada (PDAC) conference, noting an initial positive sentiment among investors, particularly junior companies, although this declined as gold did not respond as expected to geopolitical events like the bombing in Iran. Day explained that gold tends to move ahead of such events but then drops in the immediate aftermath due to various factors, including the strength of the U.S. dollar and interest rates. Day expressed a bullish outlook on gold for the next six to twelve months, citing persistent inflation, fiscal deficits, and central bank policies as driving factors. He also highlighted the significant buying of gold by central banks and Tether, a stablecoin organization, which is price-agnostic and buys gold to back its stablecoin. Day noted that individual investors in the U.S. are largely absent from the gold market, and institutional capital has not yet significantly driven the market. Day discussed the U.S. stock market's complacency and the role of 401(k) plans in maintaining a steady flow of money into the market. He also touched on the disconnect between global and regional gold and oil prices, attributing this to liquidity crunches and regional supply issues. Regarding the broader commodity market, Day sees value in other commodities like copper, oil, and agricultural products, which have lagged behind gold and silver. He also noted that foreign markets are likely to outperform the U.S. market in the coming years, with good valuations in the UK, Hong Kong, and Brazil. Day predicted a stagnationary environment for commodities, with gold and oil potentially being top performers. He also discussed the Fed's likely response to current economic conditions, expecting rate cuts but not as dramatic as some anticipate, and a continuation of quantitative easing. Looking ahead, Day believes the gold market will remain strong and that the U.S. will lose its dominant reserve currency status within the next decade, transitioning into a bipolar world with different spheres of influence. He also mentioned the potential for a final farewell tour by the Rolling Stones in ten years, with even more expensive tickets.

    1hr 1min
  10. 18 MAR

    Lawrence Lepard: War Means Much Higher Inflation and $15,000 Gold

    During a podcast with Tom Bodrovics, Lawrence Lepard, Founder and Managing Partner of Equity Management Associates, discussed the complex economic and geopolitical landscape, focusing on the impact of the recent war and its potential consequences. Lepard highlighted several key indicators to monitor, including the U.S. 10-year yield, gold, Bitcoin, and the price of oil, which he believes are crucial for understanding market dynamics. Lepard expressed surprise that financial markets have held up relatively well despite significant risks, suggesting potential market manipulation by the federal government to maintain stability. He predicted that the war could lead to a recession and a rollover in the stock market, although he believes the market might be artificially supported. He also discussed the potential for increased inflation due to higher energy costs and supply chain disruptions, particularly from the Strait of Hormuz, which could impact various commodities and goods. Lepard emphasized the importance of holding assets like gold, silver, and Bitcoin, which he views as safe havens in an environment of potential currency debasement. He argued that the current monetary system is unsustainable and that a return to a sound money standard is necessary to prevent further economic and social issues. Lepard also touched on the private credit bubble, comparing it to the housing crisis of 2008, and warned that the unwinding of this bubble could have significant repercussions for the financial system. Throughout the discussion, Lepard stressed the need for investors to stay informed and adaptable, as the economic environment is likely to remain volatile. He predicted that the next leg of the gold and silver bull market is imminent, with silver potentially offering more asymmetric upside due to its industrial uses and lower stock levels. Lepard also highlighted the potential of Bitcoin, particularly in geopolitically unstable regions, as a portable and secure store of value.

    56 min

About

This isn’t just another podcast—it’s a movement for thinkers, doers, and anyone ready to step up and become the best version of themselves, one skill at a time. Bringing you a wide range of content so come with an open mind and a sense of adventure!

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