The Power Of Zero Show

David McKnight
  • 4.6 (145)
  • Investing
  • Updated Weekly

Tax rates 10 years from now are likely to be much higher than they are today. Is your retirement plan ready? Learn how to avoid the coming tax freight train and maximize your retirement dollars.

  1. 5d ago

    Did Suze Orman Just Endorse Annuities?

    David McKnight discusses the Woman's World article Suze Orman Reveals When to Buy an Annuity - and the One Question You Must Answer First. For years, Orman has warned investors away from annuities, often lumping them into the category of expensive financial products that enrich salespeople at the expense of consumers. David has been surprised by what the current views of Orman appear to be, completely in line with what David has been preaching for years. Orman's analysis begins with a key consideration: annuities can be a helpful tool in retirement, but whether they make sense for you depends on one key factor: your income needs. In the Woman's World article, Orman writes that the first step is to figure out how much money you need each month to cover your essential expenses. Next, you should look at your guaranteed income sources like Social Security, a pension, rental properties, interest, or dividends. David paints out the scenario in which you get permission to take more risk in the stock market portion of your portfolio. A recent BlackRock study showed that people whose living expenses are guaranteed spend 22% more than those who rely on their stock market portfolio alone in retirement. David talks about what he refers to as a "piecemeal internal Roth conversion feature" and why it may be a beneficial asset. David sees Orman's approach as short-sided for the fact that guaranteed lifetime income isn't the only mathematically appropriate use of annuities. True, most retirees own bonds because they want stability, but bonds do come with reinvestment risks, interest rate risks, inflation risks, and often low long-term returns. David explains what would happen if you reached into your portfolio, removed bonds, and replaced them with an annuity. According to David, the conversation needs more nuance because "not all annuities are created equal". Remember: retirement planning isn't about one-size-fits-all financial advice; it's about creating a customized approach that will help you wring the most efficiency out of your retirement savings.     Mentioned in this episode: David's new book: The Secret Order of Millionaires David's national bestselling book: The Guru Gap: How America's Financial Gurus Are Leading You Astray, and How to Get Back on Track Tax-Free Income for Life: A Step-by-Step Plan for a Secure Retirement by David McKnight DavidMcKnight.com DavidMcKnightBooks.com PowerOfZero.com (free video series) @mcknightandco on Twitter  @davidcmcknight on Instagram David McKnight on YouTube Get David's Tax-free Tool Kit at taxfreetoolkit.com Suze Orman Woman's World article - Suze Orman Reveals When to Buy an Annuity - and the One Question You Must Answer First  BlackRock Ken Fisher

    8 min

  2. Jun 17

    The Truth About Buy-and-Hold Investing in Retirement

    In this episode, David McKnight addresses one of the biggest myths in retirement planning: once you retire, you need to dramatically reduce your exposure to stocks. The reason why most financial advisors recommend reducing stock exposure in retirement has very little to do with stocks and everything to do with sequence of returns risk. Sequence of returns risk is what happens when you're forced to withdraw money from your investment portfolio during a market downturn. If the market falls 30% and you're simultaneously taking withdrawals to pay for your living expenses, you're locking in losses and permanently impairing your portfolio's ability to recover. According to David, the way to solve this problem is by ensuring that your essential expenses are covered before you ever retire. When you're at least five years out from retirement, David believes that one of the most important decisions you can make is to create the so-called income floor. An income floor is a guaranteed stream of income that covers your basic living expenses regardless of what the stock market is doing. The volatility shield adds a second layer of protection that has to do with discretionary expenses (e.g., a trip around the world, taking the grandchildren to Disney World, etc.). Suze Orman has controversially recommended that retirees keep 3-5 years' worth of living expenses in a savings account, so they don't have to sell investments during a market downturn. While David agrees with the concept, he doesn't see savings accounts as the most efficient place to put that money in. Instead, he'd rather have retirees accumulate that money in a completely separate account (a volatility shield) – which, unlike a savings account, has the potential to grow 5-7% net fees over time. Looking for an alternative volatility shield? Look at cash value life insurance in the form of indexed universal life (IUL), says David. An Ernst & Young study found that retirees who included the volatility shield strategy and a guaranteed lifetime income annuity in the retirement plan were able to dramatically increase the sustainable withdrawal rate on their investment portfolio. Since the early 1990s, the gold standard on sustainable withdrawal rates has been 4%. The 4% Rule says that if you withdraw approximately 4% of your portfolio each year, there's a reasonably high chance that your money will last a full 30-year retirement. However, when retirees had access to a volatility buffer and could avoid taking distributions following market downturns, sustainable withdrawal rates increased dramatically (in some scenarios, up to 8%). David is a believer of the fact that the portfolio that got you into retirement can also take you through retirement – with a recommended 70% in U.S. stock market index funds and 30% in international stock market index funds. For David, the reason why this approach works well is that, with it, you solve the two biggest issues in retirement: income and volatility. Moreover, if you can position these assets inside tax-free accounts through strategic Roth contributions and Roth conversions, you gain protection against yet another threat, tax rate risk. David concludes by stressing that it is not that the buy-and-hold strategy doesn't work, it's that most retirees don't have the protection tools necessary to stay committed to the strategy when markets become turbulent.     Mentioned in this episode: David's new book: The Secret Order of Millionaires David's national bestselling book: The Guru Gap: How America's Financial Gurus Are Leading You Astray, and How to Get Back on Track Tax-Free Income for Life: A Step-by-Step Plan for a Secure Retirement by David McKnight DavidMcKnight.com DavidMcKnightBooks.com PowerOfZero.com (free video series) @mcknightandco on Twitter  @davidcmcknight on Instagram David McKnight on YouTube Get David's Tax-free Tool Kit at taxfreetoolkit.com Suze Orman Ernst & Young

    10 min

  3. Jun 10

    The New Case Against Bonds in Retirement

    David McKnight kicks this episode off by explaining how, for decades, conventional financial wisdom has been saying that, as you approach retirement, you should begin dialing down your stock exposure and increasing your bond allocation. A 60-year-old, for example, would have 40% of their portfolio in stocks and 60% in bonds.  Historically, bonds served three primary functions: They provided income, they reduced portfolio volatility, and they protected retirees from so-called sequence of returns risk. David touches upon how the sequence of returns risk works. Retirees who get hit early often run out of money earlier – in some cases, even 15 years prior to life expectancy. The old approach to retirement planning assumes that bonds could provide meaningful returns while still acting as a stabilizer. However, recent years have shown that bonds are not risk-free. Back in 2022, for instance, the Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Bond Index lost 13%. Long-term treasuries did even worse, as many lost between 25 to 30% due to rapidly rising interest rates. David stresses that an annuity can do something bonds cannot do: It can guarantee income that you cannot outlive. It's important to realize that whenever your basic living expenses are covered, something profound happens psychologically: You stop depending on your investment portfolio to solve every problem. Furthermore, you feel as if you now have permission to spend. Studies show that those who have guaranteed lifetime income spend 22% more than those who rely strictly on a stock bond portfolio. A properly funded IUL can create a pool of tax-free money that's insulated from stock market loss and available during downturns. David unpacks a strategy that can increase the sustainable withdrawal rate on your stock portfolio from 4% to as high as 8% with a 95% success rate. When you combine guaranteed lifetime income from annuities with a volatility shield in the form of IUL, you are no longer reliant on bonds, says David. He also touches upon why retirees who adopt the no-bond power of zero approach begin to take a lot more risk in their stock market allocations. David wraps things up by sharing insights on what retirees should think about and do to increase the likelihood that, in retirement, their money will last as long as they do.     Mentioned in this episode: David's new book: The Secret Order of Millionaires David's national bestselling book: The Guru Gap: How America's Financial Gurus Are Leading You Astray, and How to Get Back on Track Tax-Free Income for Life: A Step-by-Step Plan for a Secure Retirement by David McKnight DavidMcKnight.com DavidMcKnightBooks.com PowerOfZero.com (free video series) @mcknightandco on Twitter  @davidcmcknight on Instagram David McKnight on YouTube Get David's Tax-free Tool Kit at taxfreetoolkit.com Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Bond Index

    9 min

  4. Jun 3

    This Small Trick Could Increase Your Retirement Income by 22%

    A recent landmark study from BlackRock caught David McKnight – he shares what it was all about and why you should care in this new episode of the Power of Zero Show. For decades, Americans were told that if they simply contributed faithfully to their 401(k) and avoided emotional decisions during market downturns, they would have enough money in retirement. According to the BlackRock study, retirees who incorporated guaranteed lifetime income in the form of an annuity into their retirement portfolio experienced an average increase of 22% in potential retirement spending. That number became approximately a 25% increase for lower income retirees! The increase came primarily from giving retirees greater confidence to spend money because a portion of their retirement income was guaranteed for life. David explains that, while 30 or 40 years ago retirees could rely on company pensions that provided predictable monthly income for life, the modern retirement system has shifted enormous responsibility onto the shoulders of ordinary Americans. Employers used to bear the responsibility for generating the income stream and ensuring that retirees did not outlive their money.  Today, however, pensions have all but disappeared, and most Americans now rely on 401(k) or other tax-qualified retirement plans. One of the big problems is the fact that such tax-affirmed accounts can help you build wealth, but don't come with instructions on how to make sure your money lasts a full 30-year retirement. The BlackRock study echoes something that David has stressed several times on the show: retirees spend more when at least a portion of their retirement income is guaranteed. David clarifies that when he talks about guaranteed lifetime income, he does not suggest retirees place all of their assets into annuities or eliminate market exposure altogether. David talks about 100% stock allocation and why you can be much more aggressive in your stock market allocation once you create an income floor in retirement. The current status quo of the American fiscal system – and exploding national debt – appears to be painting a picture where future tax rates will be significantly higher than they are today. David is a strong advocate for tax-free investment accounts in retirement. In particular, he points to six different tax-free income streams: Roth IRAs, Roth 401(k)s, Roth conversions, RMDs up to standard deductions, certain types of cash value life insurance as a volatility shield in retirement and, if you can keep your provisional income low enough, your Social Security can be 100% tax-free. David touches upon a strategy that can give you guaranteed tax-free income for life. The old retirement model gave Americans confidence through company pensions. The modern model requires retirees to create their own personal private pension in the form of an annuity. It's important to understand that retirement isn't just about accumulating wealth, but also about creating a stream of lifetime income that's guaranteed to last as long as you do. David concludes by explaining what retirement planning should accomplish beyond merely maximizing account balances.     Mentioned in this episode: David's new book: The Secret Order of Millionaires David's national bestselling book: The Guru Gap: How America's Financial Gurus Are Leading You Astray, and How to Get Back on Track Tax-Free Income for Life: A Step-by-Step Plan for a Secure Retirement by David McKnight DavidMcKnight.com DavidMcKnightBooks.com PowerOfZero.com (free video series) @mcknightandco on Twitter  @davidcmcknight on Instagram David McKnight on YouTube Get David's Tax-free Tool Kit at taxfreetoolkit.com BlackRock BlackRock's paper Who Benefits From Guaranteed Lifetime Income?

    8 min

  5. May 27

    Should I Do a Roth Conversion in my 60s?

    Today's episode of The Power of Zero Show revolves around a question host David McKnight gets asked all the time: "Should I still be doing Roth conversions in my 60s, even if I'm already retired?" In short, David believes that you should not only do a Roth conversion in your 60s, it's actually one of the most optimal times in your entire life to do it. When doing a Roth conversion, you're choosing to pay the IRS its portion of your IRA now, on your terms, instead of paying it a much larger portion later, on their terms. That's why Roth conversions don't only make sense for younger people but for retired folks too. Remember: with Roth conversions, you're not catching up because you're not behind. You're locking in a lower tax rate today to avoid a much higher tax rate down the road. David explains why the so-called "retirement income valley" is a strategically perfect time to do a Roth conversion. The 32% tax bracket is David's least favorite tax bracket, which he recommends avoiding at all costs when doing Roth conversions. David touches upon the Penn Wharton Budget Model and why 2040, or so, will be the do-or-die date for these matters. What if you don't have extra cash sitting around? Would you still need to pay the taxes on your Roth conversion out of pocket? David illustrates what you can do if you find yourself in that situation. David goes over why you should want to get as much of your IRA into Roth as you possibly can – and what's the beauty of doing that in your 60s.     Mentioned in this episode: David's new book: The Secret Order of Millionaires David's national bestselling book: The Guru Gap: How America's Financial Gurus Are Leading You Astray, and How to Get Back on Track Tax-Free Income for Life: A Step-by-Step Plan for a Secure Retirement by David McKnight DavidMcKnight.com DavidMcKnightBooks.com PowerOfZero.com (free video series) @mcknightandco on Twitter  @davidcmcknight on Instagram David McKnight on YouTube Get David's Tax-free Tool Kit at taxfreetoolkit.com Congressional Budget Office Penn Wharton Budget Model

    8 min

  6. May 20

    The 5 Most Common Objections to Roth Conversions (and Why They're Wrong)

    David McKnight unpacks the five most common objections to Roth conversions and why they simply don't hold up under scrutiny.  The first objection has to do with people not wanting to voluntarily pay taxes before the IRS requires them to. While on the surface, postponing this may sound logical, it ignores a fundamental aspect: the state of the U.S. national debt. It has just passed $39 trillion, and it's slated to grow by $2 trillion per year for the next 10 years, and $3 trillion after that. In other words, interest on the national debt is becoming one of the largest line items in the federal budget.  That means that by refusing to pay taxes today, you're making an insanely risky bet that taxes in the future will be lower than they are right now. All, while your IRA keeps growing and compounding over time. Thus, 10 years from now, not only could tax rates be higher, but your required minimum distributions could be dramatically larger. The second most common objection to Roth conversions revolves around people saying, "If I do Roth conversions, that additional income will force me to pay increasingly higher levels of IRMAA or cause my Social Security to be taxed." David points out that Roth conversions do increase your taxable income, which can trigger those additional expenses during the conversion period.  However, while it's true that you'll pay IRMAA and Social Security taxation in the short term, you'll get rid of those additional expenses for the rest of your life once your conversion period is over. Objection #3 is "There's too much opportunity cost, I won't have time to make up for the taxes I paid".  David explains that, despite sounding sophisticated, this objection is based on a flawed premise. Your IRA is a "business partnership" with the IRS – and every year they get to vote on what percentage of your profits they get to keep. So, when you do a Roth conversion, you're not losing money. You're simply buying out your "silent business partner" at today's historically low tax rates. David highlights that, if taxes double in the future, you'll be glad you bought them out while taxes were still on sale. The fourth objection – "In retirement, I'll be in a lower tax bracket" – is actually one of the most dangerous assumptions in all of retirement planning. People assume that when they retire, their taxes automatically go down. For many Americans, the exact opposite happens, though. Once required minimum distributions kick in, they can force huge amounts of taxable income onto your tax returns. David touches upon an additional issue almost nobody talks about: the so-called widow's penalty. The fifth objection to Roth conversions revolves around the question, "Won't the federal government tax Roth IRAs sometime down the road?" People don't realize that the government loves Roth IRAs because they generate tax revenue today – unlike traditional IRAs, which delay tax revenue. That's why, every time Congress needs money, they tend to pass legislation that makes Roth accounts even more attractive. Remember: Roth conversions are about taking advantage of the tax sale of a lifetime before catastrophic levels of debt force tax rates higher.     Mentioned in this episode: David's new book: The Secret Order of Millionaires David's national bestselling book: The Guru Gap: How America's Financial Gurus Are Leading You Astray, and How to Get Back on Track Tax-Free Income for Life: A Step-by-Step Plan for a Secure Retirement by David McKnight DavidMcKnight.com DavidMcKnightBooks.com PowerOfZero.com (free video series) @mcknightandco on Twitter  @davidcmcknight on Instagram David McKnight on YouTube Get David's Tax-free Tool Kit at taxfreetoolkit.com

    8 min

  7. May 13

    How Roth Conversions Affect Social Security Taxes and IRMAA

    David McKnight dissects a topic that causes a lot of confusion for retirees and pre-retirees: How  Roth conversions affect social security taxation and Medicare premiums (IRMAA). Some warn against Roth conversions in retirement as they can cause your Social Security to become taxable and could also raise your Medicare premiums. While that's true, David believes that the long-term benefits of Roth conversions can far outweigh the temporary, short-term pain they can cause. In order to determine whether your Social Security benefits will be taxed, the IRS tracks the so-called provisional income. If you perform a Roth conversion after you begin collecting Social Security, that additional income can push you above certain thresholds that cause your Social Security benefits to become taxable. Medicare premiums are also influenced by your income through IRMAA (Income-Related Monthly Adjustment Amount), and they look at your income from two years earlier to determine your IRMAA bracket, Remember: A Roth conversion today could trigger higher Medicare premiums two years from now.  David also explains that Roth withdrawals are not included in provisional income. Not only do they not cause your Social Security benefits to become taxable, but they also do not count towards the income thresholds that trigger higher Medicare premiums. As David points out, with the approach discussed in this episode, you're essentially compressing the tax pain into a few years, so you can enjoy decades of tax-free income later on. The national debt continues to spiral out of control to the point where economists are now predicting massive tax increases within the next 10 to 20 years. If such predictions are accurate, the people who will benefit most are those who have already shifted large portions of their retirement savings into tax-free accounts like Roth IRAs. By performing Roth conversions today – while tax rates are historically low – you're effectively locking in today's tax rates and protecting yourself from the possibility of much higher rates down the road. When talking about Roth conversions affecting Social Security taxation and IRMAA, we have to remember that those impacts are temporary, while the tax-free benefits can last for the rest of your life. David touches upon two reasons why it may make sense to delay taking Social Security while you're performing Roth conversions. Increasing the likelihood that your money will last as long as you do should be the #1 goal of every retirement plan.     Mentioned in this episode: David's new book: The Secret Order of Millionaires David's national bestselling book: The Guru Gap: How America's Financial Gurus Are Leading You Astray, and How to Get Back on Track Tax-Free Income for Life: A Step-by-Step Plan for a Secure Retirement by David McKnight DavidMcKnight.com DavidMcKnightBooks.com PowerOfZero.com (free video series) @mcknightandco on Twitter  @davidcmcknight on Instagram David McKnight on YouTube Get David's Tax-free Tool Kit at taxfreetoolkit.com

    8 min

  8. May 6

    How to Protect Against a Market Crash in the First Ten Years of Retirement

    David McKnight addresses one of the biggest threats to your retirement plan: sequence of returns risk. Are you retired or within 10 years of retirement? Sequence of returns risk may be the single most important concept you need to understand if you want to ensure your money lasts as long as you do. Sequence of returns risk refers to the danger of experiencing a market downturn early in retirement while you're simultaneously taking withdrawals from your portfolio. David explains why this risk is most dangerous during your first 10 years of retirement. Early in retirement, your money still needs to last 20 to 30 years – an early blow to your portfolio can significantly impact its ability to do so. To defend yourself in the most dangerous decade of retirement, you need an account that allows you to avoid touching your stock portfolio until the market has recovered. The reason for that is that, historically, most market downturns take 3-5 years to recover back to their previous peak. David discusses the 4% Rule and the "catch" that comes along with it. Some experts, like Suze Orman, recommend having 3-5 years' worth of expenses accumulated in an emergency fund. David goes over why it may not be a good idea.  David brings Indexed Universal Life insurance (IUL) and the concept of volatility buffer into the conversation. Remember: if you're within 10 years of retirement, now is the time to start thinking seriously about how you'll create a volatility buffer.     Mentioned in this episode: David's new book, available now for pre-order: The Secret Order of Millionaires David's national bestselling book: The Guru Gap: How America's Financial Gurus Are Leading You Astray, and How to Get Back on Track Tax-Free Income for Life: A Step-by-Step Plan for a Secure Retirement by David McKnight DavidMcKnight.com DavidMcKnightBooks.com PowerOfZero.com (free video series) @mcknightandco on Twitter  @davidcmcknight on Instagram David McKnight on YouTube Get David's Tax-free Tool Kit at taxfreetoolkit.com Suze Orman

    8 min
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About

Tax rates 10 years from now are likely to be much higher than they are today. Is your retirement plan ready? Learn how to avoid the coming tax freight train and maximize your retirement dollars.

Information

  • Creator
    David McKnight
  • Years Active
    2018 - 2026
  • Episodes
    398
  • Rating
    Clean
  • Copyright
    © The Power Of Zero
  • Show Website
    The Power Of Zero Show

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