AIB Market Talk

AIB Market Talk
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AIB Market Talk features a bi-weekly discussion including our Economists and Treasury experts, providing you with specialist insight into the prevailing topics impacting Financial Markets. Our full legal disclaimer can be viewed here https://aib.ie/fxcentre/podcast-disclaimer. You can subscribe to the series or download individual episodes via iTunes, Android and Soundcloud.

  1. 2H AGO

    Ireland’s Economic Outlook 2026: Markets, Tourism and Consumer Trends

    Join Jane Kavanagh from AIB’s Corporate Treasury desk, AIB Chief Economist David McNamara, and Jonathan Clarke, Head of Hospitality, Tourism & Leisure with AIB Business Banking, for the first Market Talk podcast of 2026. In this wide‑ranging episode, the panel reflects on how the Irish economy and key sectors performed through a challenging 2025 and shares their outlook for 2026 amid ongoing geopolitical uncertainty and shifting market dynamics. Tune in for: A deep dive into Ireland’s hospitality and tourism sector, including a slow start to 2025 followed by a strong rebound in visitor numbers and consumer spendingInsights into changing consumer behaviour, premiumisation trends, and the challenges facing pubs, restaurants, and rural hospitality businessesAn overview of Ireland’s domestic economic resilience, labour market strength, and how Ireland compares with global peersGlobal market perspectives covering the US, Eurozone, UK, and Asia, with a focus on growth trends, equity markets, and investor sentimentCentral bank outlooks for the ECB, Bank of England, and Federal Reserve, including expectations for interest rate cuts in 2026Currency market analysis, including euro/dollar and euro/sterling forecasts and what exporters should watchDiscussion on US trade policy, tariffs, and what recent developments mean for Ireland and European tradeA forward-looking view on tourism demand, hotel supply, cost pressures, and why the sector remains cautiously optimistic for the year aheadStay informed with expert analysis and practical outlooks for the new year. Subscribe to AIB Market Talk for ongoing financial market insights. AIB Economic Analysis - https://aib.ie/fxcentre AIB Business Banking Hospitality - https://aib.ie/business/sector-expertise/hospitality Visit our website and subscribe to receive AIB's Economic Analysis direct to your inbox. Our full legal disclaimer can be viewed here https://aib.ie/fxcentre/podcast-disclaimer. Registered in Ireland: No: 24173 Allied Irish Bank p.l.c is regulated by the Central Bank of Ireland AIB Customer Treasury Services is a registered business name of Allied Irish Banks, p.l.c. Registered Office: 10 Molesworth Street, Dublin 2

    30 min

  2. 12/23/2025

    Year in Review: Markets, Central Banks & Currencies – AIB Market Talk 2025 Finale

    Join Jane Kavanagh from AIB’s Corporate Treasury desk and AIB Senior Economist John Fahey for the final Market Talk podcast of 2025. In this special year-end episode, they reflect on a year dominated by uncertainty, trade tensions, and shifting central bank policies. Tune in for: A recap of 2025’s biggest market themes, including the impact of US tariffs and global trade agreements.Insights into central bank decisions: Fed, ECB, and Bank of England rate moves and what’s next for 2026.Currency market highlights: Dollar weakness, euro resilience, and sterling’s rollercoaster year.Forward-looking views on economic growth, inflation, and what could shape the markets in the year ahead.Quick-fire predictions for euro/dollar and euro/sterling pairs.Stay informed with expert analysis and practical outlooks for the new year. Subscribe to AIB Market Talk for ongoing financial market insights. Visit our website and subscribe to receive AIB's Economic Analysis direct to your inbox. Our full legal disclaimer can be viewed here https://aib.ie/fxcentre/podcast-disclaimer. Registered in Ireland: No: 24173 Allied Irish Bank p.l.c is regulated by the Central Bank of Ireland AIB Customer Treasury Services is a registered business name of Allied Irish Banks, p.l.c. Registered Office: 10 Molesworth Street, Dublin 2

    21 min

  3. 12/09/2025

    From Slump to Surge? The Construction Sector’s Big Question

    Join host Jason Rehill from the AIB Treasury Services team, alongside AIB Senior Economist John Fahey, and special guest Pat O’Sullivan, Head of AIB Real Estate Finance Research, as they discuss the final Construction PMI survey reports for 2025 in this special episode of AIB Market Talk. Tune in as they discuss:  The key aspects of the construction index number with commercial and residential construction falling below 50 in November with activity losing momentum. The Irish CRE market which has fallen by both 30 - 40% giving a significant decline seen since the 1970s.Employment growth and firms pushing to return to high-quality office space are supporting selective demand, particularly for prime assets. However, vacancy rates remain elevated, and financing conditions are still tight.Ireland’s commercial property offering some of the highest yields in Europe, attracting renewed investor interest after recent value corrections.A review into what the construction sector should look like in 2026.Visit our website and subscribe to receive AIB's Economic Analysis direct to your inbox. Our full legal disclaimer can be viewed here https://aib.ie/fxcentre/podcast-disclaimer. Registered in Ireland: No: 24173 Allied Irish Bank p.l.c is regulated by the Central Bank of Ireland AIB Customer Treasury Services is a registered business name of Allied Irish Banks, p.l.c. Registered Office: 10 Molesworth Street, Dublin 2

    17 min

  4. 12/03/2025

    Back in Business: Irish Manufacturing & Services on the Rise

    Join host Jonathan Weir from AIB Treasury and AIB Chief Economist Dave McNamara for the latest PMIs edition of AIB Market Talk. In this episode, they delve into the November AIB Ireland Manufacturing and Services PMI data, exploring: How both sectors bounced back, with manufacturing and services posting robust growth after a softer patch earlier in the year.The key drivers behind the manufacturing recovery, including renewed export orders and the easing of tariff uncertainty.What’s fuelling the fastest expansion in services sector activity since April 2022 and why employment trends are diverging between sectors.The first rise in transport, tourism, and leisure in 10 months, and the evolving impact of AI on technology, media, and telecom employment.Insights into inflation pressures, input costs, and what the latest PMI figures signal for Ireland’s economic outlook as we head into 2026.  Tune in for expert analysis, forward-looking business sentiment, and all the latest market insights, only on AIB Market Talk. Visit our website and subscribe to receive AIB's Economic Analysis direct to your inbox. Our full legal disclaimer can be viewed here https://aib.ie/fxcentre/podcast-disclaimer. Registered in Ireland: No: 24173 Allied Irish Bank p.l.c is regulated by the Central Bank of Ireland AIB Customer Treasury Services is a registered business name of Allied Irish Banks, p.l.c. Registered Office: 10 Molesworth Street, Dublin 2

    12 min

  5. 11/17/2025

    AI has rapidly reshaped markets, is the economy next? - A Special Episode on the Economic Outlook Report

    Join host Cormac Cunnane from the AIB Treasury team and AIB Chief Economist David McNamara as they break down the latest Economic Outlook report: Ireland’s growth forecast is revised up, with strong domestic demand and resilient multinationals.Tariff risks have eased, with effective rates lower than expected and key sectors shielded.Labour market growth is slowing, but wage growth remains solid.Risks are more balanced, with inflation and global events still in focus.This edition’s theme: AI’s early impact on growth, jobs, and productivity.  Stay informed and subscribe for more expert insights on Ireland’s economy and financial markets. Visit our website and subscribe to receive AIB's Economic Analysis direct to your inbox. Our full legal disclaimer can be viewed here https://aib.ie/fxcentre/podcast-disclaimer. Registered in Ireland: No: 24173 Allied Irish Bank p.l.c is regulated by the Central Bank of Ireland AIB Customer Treasury Services is a registered business name of Allied Irish Banks, p.l.c. Registered Office: 10 Molesworth Street, Dublin 2

    12 min

  6. 11/12/2025

    Dovish or Not? Central Banks Set the Tone for Year-End

    In this episode of AIB Market Talk, host Joanne McCabe from AIB’s Customer Treasury Services team is joined by Senior Economist John Fahey to unpack the latest developments in global financial markets. Tune in as they discuss: The outcomes of recent ECB, Bank of England, and Federal Reserve meetings, including policy decisions and market surprises.Why the ECB remains steady, the Fed delivered a rate cut but with less dovish guidance, and the Bank of England signals a possible cut in December.The impact of the US government shutdown on monetary policy and market data, and how its resolution could influence the Fed’s next move.Currency market trends, with a focus on the US dollar’s renewed momentum, euro-dollar forecasts, and the factors shaping sterling’s outlook ahead of the UK budget.Insights into interest rate expectations for the eurozone, US, UK, and Japan, and what these mean for investors and businesses as we approach year-end.Whether you’re a business leader, investor, or simply keen to stay informed, this episode delivers expert analysis on the forces driving today’s markets. Subscribe to AIB Market Talk for regular updates and insights from AIB’s team of specialists. Visit our website and subscribe to receive AIB's Economic Analysis direct to your inbox. Our full legal disclaimer can be viewed here https://aib.ie/fxcentre/podcast-disclaimer. Registered in Ireland: No: 24173 Allied Irish Bank p.l.c is regulated by the Central Bank of Ireland AIB Customer Treasury Services is a registered business name of Allied Irish Banks, p.l.c. Registered Office: 10 Molesworth Street, Dublin 2

    20 min

  7. 11/05/2025

    Ireland’s Services Surge as Manufacturing Stalls

    Join host Sarah McGinley from AIB Treasury and AIB Chief Economist David McNamara for the latest PMIs edition of AIB Market Talk. In this episode, they unpack the latest AIB Ireland Manufacturing and Services PMI data for October, exploring: Why services sector activity has rebounded to its strongest level this year, and what’s driving the surgeThe shift in manufacturing trends, with growth easing after a strong start to 2025Insights into export markets, including the impact of weaker demand in Europe and ongoing tariff uncertaintiesSector highlights: robust growth in business, financial, and technology services, and the evolving role of AI in employment trendsForward-looking business sentiment and what the latest PMI figures signal for Ireland’s economic outlookVisit our website and subscribe to receive AIB's Economic Analysis direct to your inbox. Our full legal disclaimer can be viewed here https://aib.ie/fxcentre/podcast-disclaimer. Registered in Ireland: No: 24173 Allied Irish Bank p.l.c is regulated by the Central Bank of Ireland AIB Customer Treasury Services is a registered business name of Allied Irish Banks, p.l.c. Registered Office: 10 Molesworth Street, Dublin 2

    8 min

  8. 10/16/2025

    Navigating Volatility: What’s Driving FX and Central Banks this Autumn?

    Join host Mark McKevitt from AIB’s Customer Treasury Team and AIB Senior Economist John Fahey for the October Market Moves edition of AIB Market Talk. In this episode, they break down the latest developments in the financial markets, including: Recent shifts in the euro, dollar, and yen, and the drivers behind currency movementsThe impact of political events, such as the resignation of the French Prime Minister and leadership changes in JapanWhat to expect from the upcoming UK and Eurozone budgets, and their implications for fiscal sustainabilityCentral bank outlooks: ECB, Bank of England, and US Federal Reserve rate expectations for the coming monthsKey forecasts for EUR/USD and EUR/GBP through year-end and into 2026  Whether you’re a business leader, investor, or simply interested in market trends, this episode offers clear, expert insights to help you stay informed. Visit our website and subscribe to receive AIB's Economic Analysis direct to your inbox. Our full legal disclaimer can be viewed here https://aib.ie/fxcentre/podcast-disclaimer. Registered in Ireland: No: 24173 Allied Irish Bank p.l.c is regulated by the Central Bank of Ireland AIB Customer Treasury Services is a registered business name of Allied Irish Banks, p.l.c. Registered Office: 10 Molesworth Street, Dublin 2

    13 min
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About

AIB Market Talk features a bi-weekly discussion including our Economists and Treasury experts, providing you with specialist insight into the prevailing topics impacting Financial Markets. Our full legal disclaimer can be viewed here https://aib.ie/fxcentre/podcast-disclaimer. You can subscribe to the series or download individual episodes via iTunes, Android and Soundcloud.

Information

  • Creator
    AIB Market Talk
  • Years Active
    2019 - 2026
  • Episodes
    311
  • Rating
    Clean
  • Copyright
    © 2026 AIB Market Talk
  • Show Website
    AIB Market Talk