Reviewing Chinese history with systems analysis

Vincent Yuanyi Chang
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Understand the big picture for the sake of ourselves email：vychang@alumni.ucdavis.edu B.A. in History and Political Science, University of Claifornia, Davis, 2003 PMP, Project Management I institute， since2007 MBA， Fu-Jen Catholic University， 2008 Powered by Firstory Hosting

  1. Blood, Silk, and the "Great Emptiness": The Brutal Realism of China’s Middle Ages

    1D AGO

    Blood, Silk, and the "Great Emptiness": The Brutal Realism of China’s Middle Ages

    What happens when a civilization's moral compass (Confucianism) snaps, and the only thing left standing is the sharp edge of a general’s sword? In Volume 16 of the Bo Yang Edition of Zizhi Tongjian, titled sarcastically "The Day the Imperial Army Recaptured the North," we uncover a 400-year cycle of chaos that transformed the Chinese DNA forever. Here are the three pillars of that transformation: 1. The "Honorable" Lie: Liu Yu and the Birth of the Usurper The title of this era is a masterpiece of irony. General Liu Yu claimed he was "unifying the North" to restore the glory of the Han people. But as Bo Yang reveals, this wasn't a mission of liberation—it was a PR campaign for a coup. The Reality: Liu Yu used the prestige of military victory to silence his critics in the South. On the very day the "Imperial Army" supposedly won, the Eastern Jin Emperor was being forced to abdicate. The Lesson: If you have a dream, you must be the one in charge of it. If you let someone else "help" you achieve your vision, you aren't the leader—you're just their stepping stone. 2. The Great Mental Escape: From Rituals to Xuanxue With the North in constant flux and the South trapped in a "Veto-Government" (where elite families held more power than the Emperor), society broke. The Death of Logic: Confucianism—a philosophy of order—fails when there is no order. As Hegel noted, it became a "book of tactics" rather than a philosophy. The Birth of the "New Thought": People turned inward. By blending Taoism (nature), Buddhism (the afterlife/emptiness), and Confucianism (social mask), they created Xuanxue (玄學). Cultural Explosion: This wasn't just "talk." It birthed a colorful, diverse, and "impure" art scene. Cave paintings and Buddhist grottoes became the only places where the common man could find a "peace" that the warlords couldn't steal. 3. "Might is Right": The 400-Year Warlord Shadow The era of the Wei, Jin, Southern, and Northern Dynasties (221–589 AD) taught China a cold lesson: Words don't matter; military strength does. The General-Emperor Model: From Liu Yu to the founders of the Sui and Tang Dynasties, every successful leader was a warlord first. Even the Tang royal family (the Li and Yang families) were intermarried military elites from the Northwest. The Cycle of Violence: This "Might is Right" mentality created a 700-year shadow (extending through the Five Dynasties) where every prince needed his own private army just to survive. The Final Fix: It wasn't until the Song Dynasty that a founder (Zhao Kuangyin) finally realized the system was broken and "restricted the power of the generals" to stop the cycle of blood. The Bottom Line This period reminds us that when politics become a "mess," the elite hide in philosophy while the strong take the throne. It was a time of Merritocracy's decline and the General’s rise. Which part of this cycle do you see repeating in history? The rise of the "Hero-Usurper" or the retreat of the intellectuals into "Pure Talk"? Powered by Firstory Hosting

    34 min
  2. The Legend of Murong Chao: A Rise and Fall for the Ages

    FEB 17

    The Legend of Murong Chao: A Rise and Fall for the Ages

    The Historical Backdrop The story of Murong Chao is one of extreme contrasts: a legendary rise followed by a catastrophic fall. Set during the chaotic Sixteen Kingdoms period (specifically the 4th and 5th centuries), Murong Chao was a member of the Xianbei ethnic group. After the decline of the Xiongnu (Huns), the Xianbei became the dominant force in Northern China and Mongolia, eventually splintering into various "Yan" dynasties (Former, Later, Western, and Southern). Murong Chao’s father, Murong Na, was the brother of the Southern Yan founder, Murong De. While power typically flows from father to son, the politics of the era were fluid and brutal. Murong Chao eventually maneuvered his way into power, using military might to secure the throne of Southern Yan. The Fatal Mistake At the height of his power, Murong Chao faced a delicate geopolitical balance with the Eastern Jin Dynasty to the south. To maintain peace, he entered a treaty promising not to harass Jin territory. However, driven by a desire to "civilize" his court and emulate Han Chinese culture, he broke his promise. He launched raids to kidnap craftsmen, artists, and musicians from the south. This betrayal enraged the powerhouse of the Eastern Jin, Liu Yu. In a swift and decisive military campaign, Liu Yu crushed the Southern Yan regime, marking the dramatic end of Murong Chao’s reign and life. Modern Lessons from an Ancient Fall Murong Chao’s story isn't just a history lesson; it’s a cautionary tale for today: The Danger of Autocracy: Without a balance of power (unlike our modern republics), one leader's whim can destroy an entire nation. The Weight of Credibility: In both ancient diplomacy and modern business, your word is your bond. Once Murong Chao lost his credibility, he lost his shield. Cultural Shifts Require Diplomacy: He wanted to refine his people's culture, but he chose kidnapping over diplomacy. Great goals do not justify reckless methods. The "Step-by-Step" Rule: Rapid, "legendary" rises often lead to legendary falls. Stability is built slowly and thoughtfully. Summary The narrative follows the rise of Murong Chao, the last emperor of Southern Yan. Despite securing the throne through military and political maneuvering, his reign collapsed after he betrayed a peace treaty with the Eastern Jin. By kidnapping Southern artists and craftsmen to forcefully "Han-ify" his court, he provoked the legendary general Liu Yu, leading to the total destruction of his regime. His life serves as a timeless lesson on the importance of interpersonal relationships, credibility, and the dangers of unchecked power. Powered by Firstory Hosting

    15 min
  3. The "Playhouse" Emperor: Why Huan Xuan’s Usurpation Was a Deadly Farce

    FEB 10

    The "Playhouse" Emperor: Why Huan Xuan’s Usurpation Was a Deadly Farce

    History often repeats itself, but in 4th and 5th-century China, it repeated itself as a dark comedy. The historian Bo Yang famously labeled Huan Xuan’s brief reign a "farce" (Chuànwèi Nàojù). It wasn't just a failed coup; it was the definitive turning point that plunged China into nearly two centuries of chaotic turnover. 1. The Broken Balance: North vs. South During the Eastern Jin Dynasty, power wasn't absolute; it was a "co-governance" between the Royal Sima family and various elite immigrant families from the North (like the Wang and Xie clans) and the local Southern aristocrats. Huan Xuan, a Northern elite himself, broke this "scary balance." Unlike Wang Mang, Cao Pi, or Sima Yan, who spent decades (or generations) building a consensus among the elite, Huan Xuan relied solely on military pressure. By trying to place himself above everyone without earning their support, he turned everyone—North and South—against him. 2. The "Privatization" of the Mandate Confucius once said, "The world belongs to the public" (天下為公), but as Bo Yang points out, Chinese rulers treated the empire as private property. Huan Xuan treated the throne like a "playhouse" or a drama. He saw the emperorship as a prize to be grabbed rather than a heavy responsibility to the public. Because he lacked a "public" mindset, he didn't bother with the careful political groundwork his predecessors used. He thought controlling the army was enough. He was wrong. 3. A Chain Reaction of Chaos Huan Xuan’s "shortcut" to the throne backfired instantly. Within months of forcing the Emperor to abdicate in 403/404 AD, the general Liu Yu rose against him. Huan Xuan was defeated and killed, but the damage was done. Huan Xuan proved that the Emperor was "fair game." Liu Yu followed the same path shortly after, ending the Jin Dynasty and starting the Southern and Northern Dynasties period. This cycle of "saving the empire just to steal it" kept China divided until the late 6th century. The Takeaway: The Weight of Action Huan Xuan’s failure offers a timeless lesson: If your actions only affect yourself, do as you wish. But if your actions affect the Public, they require deep consideration and thorough preparation. Without "public" legitimacy, you aren't a leader—you’re just a footnote in a long, bloody farce.   Powered by Firstory Hosting

    26 min
  4. The Tragedy of Emperor Fu Jian: A Visionary’s Fall

    FEB 3

    The Tragedy of Emperor Fu Jian: A Visionary’s Fall

    The Visionary’s Curse: 1,600 Years Ahead of ScheduleThe story of Fu Jian (苻堅) is not a simple tale of military defeat; it is the tragedy of Radical Idealism. Ruling in the 4th century, Fu Jian was the closest any leader came to reunifying China during the chaotic Six Kingdoms period. However, he attempted a "Great Leap Forward" in social engineering that the world wasn't ready for: Ethnic Integration.He sought to melt the barriers between the Han Chinese and the various "barbarian" tribes, a concept that wouldn't become a global ideal until the late 20th century. By trying to force this assimilation, he created a "moral overreach." He ignored the deep-seated prejudices of his era, leaving him as a man without a true base—regarded as an outsider by the Han and a traitor to his own roots.The Genius Trap: Systems vs. IndividualsFu Jian’s reign serves as a timeless warning about the fragility of a regime built solely on the brilliance of one man. This is the "Great Man" trap: The Delegation Failure: Being a military and intellectual genius himself, Fu Jian suffered from a lack of "Envisioning Capability" regarding others. He assumed his subordinates were as capable and high-minded as he was. The Flattery Loop: In a system centered on an absolute individual, truth dies. Subordinates become "pleasers" to gain power. You noted a profound psychological truth: those who degrade themselves to please a superior are often the harshest tyrants to those below them. Institutional Fragility: Unlike modern systems that rely on the Rule of Law and standardized procedures (SOPs), Fu Jian’s empire was a "Personal Union." It had no institutional safety net. When his personal judgment failed at the Battle of Fei River (淝水之戰), the entire state apparatus collapsed because it was tied to his individual ego, not a resilient system. The Psychological Collapse at Fei RiverHistory rhymes; just as Cao Cao faced his greatest failure at the Red Cliffs, Fu Jian met his end due to Overconfidence (Hubris). The Battle of Fei River was a psychological defeat before it was a physical one. Because Fu Jian had rushed his integration policies, his massive army lacked a common soul. In the era of cold weaponry and hand-to-hand combat, morale is everything. Once the front line—composed of men who were there out of fear or flattery—wavered, a domino effect occurred. The "Psychology of the Comeback" was impossible because there was no systemic trust to hold the men together. They didn't just lose a battle; they lost the will to exist as a unified force.Final Conclusion: Wisdom in RealityTrue leadership requires the wisdom to balance a Grand Vision with Practical Reality. 1. Step-by-Step Progress: Radical leaps often lead to human disasters. A leader must have the patience to move with the "system" of human nature rather than against it. 2. Self-Knowledge: We must gain the wisdom to know our own limits and the character of those we ask for help. 3. The Right Helpers: Delegation is not just giving orders; it is the ability to see through flattery and find those with the spine to tell the truth.Fu Jian was a hero of high ideals, but his story reminds us that even the greatest genius cannot outrun the reality of the people they lead. Powered by Firstory Hosting

    30 min
  5. The Glass Ceiling of Heroism: Why Zu Ti’s Patriotic Dream Was a "Mission Impossible"

    JAN 27

    The Glass Ceiling of Heroism: Why Zu Ti’s Patriotic Dream Was a "Mission Impossible"

    In the annals of Chinese history, General Zu Ti (祖逖) is the ultimate symbol of determination. We’ve all heard the legend: crossing the Yangtze, beating his oar against the water, and vowing to never return until the North was reclaimed. But if you look past the propaganda, you find a story of systemic sabotage and the brutal physics of 4th-century warfare. 1. The "Geography of Failure": A Logistic Nightmare We often hear the phrase "Easy to Defend, Hard to Attack" (易守難攻). For the Eastern Jin Dynasty, the Yangtze River was a double-edged sword. The Snail’s Pace of War: In 310 AD, long before steam engines, crossing the river was a death trap. Boats moved so slowly that 70% of the crew had to row, leaving only 30% to fight. They were sitting ducks for northern defenders.The Cavalry Gap: The North was the land of nomads; for them, riding a horse was as natural as drinking water. The South, meanwhile, had a tiny population of horsemen. Sending southern infantry to fight northern cavalry on the open plains was like bringing a knife to a tank fight.The Supply Chain Trap: You can jump off a sinking boat, but your grain can’t. One lost supply ship meant a starving army.2. The "Rot of the Elite": Why Peace Was More Profitable Than Victory The most heartbreaking part of Zu Ti’s story wasn't the strength of his enemies, but the apathy of his peers. The Comfort Zone: The southern elites had already "made it." They had their lands, their villas, and their easy money. Why risk everything on a high-stakes war? To them, status quo was a "comparative benefit"—victory offered little, but defeat cost everything.The Second-Class Citizen Problem: If Zu Ti succeeded and reclaimed the North, the northern refugees (who were currently "guests" in the South) would regain their status and land. The southerners would lose their social superiority. They didn't want the North back because it would make them less "precious."3. The "Ugly" Politics: The Sabotage of Success Ancient Chinese politics—much like modern corporate life—has a dark side: If I can’t do it, I won’t let you do it either. Zu Ti was an Idealist. His peers were Realists. If Zu Ti actually succeeded, he would expose everyone else as cowards or traitors. To protect their own reputations, the court "unified" not to fight the enemy, but to "troubleshoot" Zu Ti until he failed. The Modern Takeaway: Negotiating with the "Ghost" As the military classic Gui Guzi (鬼谷子) suggests, greatness isn't just about having the best soldiers; it’s about neutralizing your saboteurs. To achieve a significant goal, you must make deals with those most likely to act against you. Zu Ti’s tragedy was that he had the heart of a lion but lacked the political "diplomacy" to pacify the snakes back home. Summary of the Reflection Zu Ti’s story is a "bitter sarcasm" of history. It proves that determination alone cannot overcome a corrupt system. Whether in an ancient dynasty or a modern company, the greatest threat to a high-performer isn't the competitor across the street—it's the colleague in the next office who is terrified of your success.   Powered by Firstory Hosting

    28 min
  6. China messy and five ethnic groups: Reflections on Mr. Bo Yang's Reinterpretation of Chinese History

    JAN 20

    China messy and five ethnic groups: Reflections on Mr. Bo Yang's Reinterpretation of Chinese History

    This reflection examines historian Bo Yang's revisionist work on the "Five Barbarians" period (五胡乱华), which he deliberately retitled as 华乱五胡 ("China in Chaos, Five Ethnic Groups") to challenge traditional Chinese historical narratives. Bo Yang's Two Main Arguments: Chinese ethnocentrism: Confucianist historians wrongly viewed Chinese civilization as superior and labeled surrounding peoples as "barbarians." Bo Yang argues all humans are equal, and ironically, the Chinese themselves exhibited the most barbaric behavior throughout history—a pattern he sees continuing in modern events in Taiwan and China. Misplaced blame: Traditional histories blamed external ethnic groups for China's chaos, but Bo Yang insists the Chinese brought disaster upon themselves. Using the principle of personal responsibility, he argues that peaceful, well-governed regions don't invite invasion. The surrounding peoples only took advantage of China's self-inflicted chaos—rational behavior akin to "free-riders" exploiting an unguarded system. Historical Context: The chaos began even before Emperor Wu of Jin's death when Empress Jia Nanfeng killed the crown prince, triggering rivalries among royal family members. During this 3-decade period of instability, five (actually more) ethnic groups established regimes in northern China. Rather than merely raiding, many settled permanently, finding it easier to stay than constantly travel. Bo Yang's Provocative Conclusion: He argues there are no "pure" Han Chinese—ethnic integration occurred extensively during and even before the Jin Dynasty. Those who claim Han purity are simply uneducated. The Chinese are among the most ethnically mixed peoples on earth. The Western Jin Dynasty collapsed because royal family members fought exclusively for power, ignoring governance entirely. Eventually, powerful ministerial families from the scholar-gentry class (士族) unified to support Sima Rui, dynasty co-founder Sima Fu’s youngest son, establishing the Eastern Jin Dynasty in Hangzhou—but only after securing veto power over imperial decisions for themselves and future generations. Powered by Firstory Hosting

    32 min
  7. The War of the Thirteen Princes: How Royal Infighting Destroyed the Western Jin Dynasty

    JAN 13

    The War of the Thirteen Princes: How Royal Infighting Destroyed the Western Jin Dynasty

    The War of the Thirteen Princes during the early Jin Dynasty illustrates the dangers of concentrated power without proper checks and balances. Among the thirty royal princes granted territories, Thirteen became especially powerful. However, they were not properly appointed officials but rather royal family members competing for supremacy—a characteristic flaw of autocratic systems where ultimate power enables anyone to do whatever they want, no matter how brutal or ridiculous. This conflict stemmed from decisions made during the dynasty's founding. When Emperor Yuan of Jin (司馬睿) moved the capital south across the Yangtze River to establish the Eastern Jin, it marked a critical turning point. The establishment of the Jin Dynasty itself was built on the foundation laid by Sima Yi (司馬懿) and his descendants. Sima Yi, though highly educated and from a distinguished family, initially lacked strong military control compared to predecessors like Cao Cao. His political success depended heavily on support from his younger brother, Sima Fu (司馬孚)—often considered the true gentleman of pure reputation during that era. Without Sima Fu's support, Sima Yi could never have achieved political dominance, nor could his sons Sima Shi and Sima Zhao have eventually seized power. When Sima Yan (司馬炎) became emperor and founded the Jin Dynasty, he faced a dilemma: how to reward supporters and pacify the realm. He granted enormous territories to his uncles and cousins—in some cases, more land than to his own brothers. This created an unsustainable power structure where royal family members controlled vast military and territorial resources. The tragic irony is that the Jin Dynasty fell into the same trap that allowed them to replace the Cao family: most Cao family members lacked military authority, but the Sima family granted it freely to relatives. Empress Jia Nanfeng's seizure of power and subsequent execution of rival princes triggered a cascade of rebellions among these lord-kings. For nearly three decades, self-proclaimed claimants fought one another while emperors changed rapidly. This internal conflict, confined entirely within the royal family, eventually weakened the dynasty so severely that when the capital moved south under Emperor Yuan, they could only control territories south of the Yangtze River, surrounded by minority ethnic groups in the north. This period demonstrates why republican democracy, electoral systems, and balance of power matter—concepts that may seem difficult to imagine from the perspective of people seventeen hundred years ago, yet their absence led to precisely this kind of destructive chaos. Support this show: https://ckeiik73n1k6i08391xamn9ho.firstory.io/join Leave a comment and share your thoughts: https://open.firstory.me/user/ckeiik73n1k6i08391xamn9ho/comments Powered by Firstory Hosting

    29 min
  8. Reflections on Mr. Bo Yang's Account of the Rebellion of the Thirteen Kings

    JAN 6

    Reflections on Mr. Bo Yang's Account of the Rebellion of the Thirteen Kings

    This essay explores Mr. Bo Yang's unique approach to the "Rebellion of the Eight Kings" in his work Tongjian Jishi Benmo (通鑒紀事本末). Unlike most historians who write from imperial perspectives, Bo Yang reveals deeper truths about why the Western Jin Dynasty collapsed so quickly after its establishment. Two Major Points of Bo Yang's Analysis: 1. The Problem of Official Historiography Traditional court historians were obligated to write history from the emperor's standpoint, creating an inherent bias. For example, officials serving the seventh emperor faced an impossible dilemma when writing about previous rulers—how could they honestly criticize the fifth or sixth emperor without implying disloyalty? This constraint meant that official histories obscured the real causes of dynastic collapse, particularly during chaotic periods like the Rebellion of the Eight Kings. 2. The Commoner's Perspective Bo Yang writes from the common people's viewpoint, applying modern principles of human rights, republicanism, and democracy. Instead of focusing solely on elite power struggles, he examines what drove ordinary people to rebellion. The threshold for rebellion was extraordinarily high. Commoners were occupied with farming—essentially, one household's labor supported another household working in government or military service. People had no spare time and were naturally risk-averse. Even when suffering reached unbearable levels, organizing rebellion was difficult: commoners lacked weapons, training, and the ability to gather sufficient numbers against better-equipped local government guards. The Western Jin Dynasty's Unique Failure: The Western Jin Dynasty was remarkably short-lived compared to previous dynasties—lasting only about 51 years before collapsing into chaos again. This occurred despite the dynasty being established by a powerful family (Sima clan) who had carefully consolidated power over generations. The root cause was systemic hypocrisy within Confucian governance. The principle of "tianxia wei gong" (天下為公—"the world belongs to everyone") was merely rhetoric. In reality, the elite class—officials and aristocrats—exploited common people for their own benefit. They lacked any concept of the nation-state; their only concern was personal gain and family interests. The Military System's Fatal Flaw: During the Western Jin period, there were no professional soldiers. Most guards were recruited from those who could read and write but didn't want to farm—essentially people seeking easy employment. Military service was looked down upon, so connections and family background determined appointments rather than merit. This created an army with no loyalty to the common people and no hesitation about harming them. Conclusion: Bo Yang's analysis reveals that the Western Jin's collapse was not merely about the Rebellion of the Eight Kings, but about a fundamentally flawed system. The transition from pure Confucianism to multiple belief systems (including Buddhism and Daoism) contributed to ideological instability, which, combined with exploitative governance, led to complete chaos just two or three decades after the dynasty's establishment. We should appreciate living in an era with concepts of nation-states, republics, democracy, and human rights—governments genuinely accountable to the people, by the people, and for the people. This is the essential lesson history teaches us.   Powered by Firstory Hosting

    31 min
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Understand the big picture for the sake of ourselves email：vychang@alumni.ucdavis.edu B.A. in History and Political Science, University of Claifornia, Davis, 2003 PMP, Project Management I institute， since2007 MBA， Fu-Jen Catholic University， 2008 Powered by Firstory Hosting

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