The Smart Betting Club Podcast

Smart Betting Club

Exploring the world of profitable betting and what it takes to generate a long-term edge gambling. Through this series of podcasts, join Pete from the Smart Betting Club as he interviews professional punters and expert tipsters on how they make a profit betting and what lessons we can take from them for our own betting journey.Expect to learn about the strategies or methods they employ to win, the markets they focus on, bookmakers or exchanges they use and much more besides.

  1. MAR 5

    Graeme Acheson: Finding a Rugby Betting Edge & Sunderland Managers

    Pete sits down with Graeme Acheson, founder of Sports4Cast, the data driven modelling platform recently reviewed in SBC Magazine 161. Graeme explains how a background in accountancy and risk analytics evolved into building forecasting models across rugby, football and baseball. What began as a passion project tracking rugby rankings developed into a fully automated betting model designed to identify bookmaker mispricing through probability accuracy. The discussion centres on rugby, where the model has produced a double digit ROI over the past 12 months, and why thinner, less efficient markets can offer opportunity for disciplined bettors. Graeme breaks down the distinction between prediction and probability, how his dynamic system adapts to market movement, and why timing can matter as much as selection. The conversation then moves beyond betting, exploring how the same ranking methodology has been used by football clubs such as Sunderland to help shortlist managers and guide season level decision making. Finally, Graeme outlines plans to expand into further sports, the challenges of modelling sharper markets like football, and why simple principles, applied consistently with good data, can still uncover edges in 2026. Topics covered include From chartered accountant to sports modelling founderHow rugby rankings evolved into a betting modelWhy rugby markets are less efficient than footballWhy early week pricing can offer stronger edgesLiquidity trade offs and closing line efficiencyUsing A, B and C bet gradings to manage riskFully automated modelling and hourly odds updatesWorking with betting syndicates vs retail bettorsApplying ranking systems to football manager recruitmentData driven shortlisting at SunderlandSeason targeting models and decision support for clubsExpanding into football, baseball and future sportsWhy probability accuracy matters more than picking winnersSupport The Podcast You can support the SBC Podcast by visiting our sponsor, Matchbook. Get 150 days commission free via this link  Resources & Mentions Sports4Cast: sports4cast.comSmart Betting Club: https://smartbettingclub.com/Key quotes and pull outs On how it started “I didn’t start doing it for betting. I just enjoyed making the predictions and seeing how accurate they were.” “The first question everybody would always ask was, do you use these for betting?” On rugby as a betting market “There’s always something going on in rugby, and it’s not priced as efficiently as football.” “The mispricings in some of the smaller rugby leagues are almost farcical.” “Three or four days out you’ll see plenty of good opportunities. The trade off is limits.” On Using The Sports4Cast Service "The system is constantly updating. Every hour the recommendations can change.” “Different users will see different opportunities depending on when they log in.” On Syndicates and Scale “I speak to a couple of syndicates who take the responsibility of getting the bets down. That allows you to get some skin in the game without the admin of keeping accounts open.” “If you have the execution in place, there is definitely scale there in rugby.” On working with football clubs “If a manager consistently joins clubs and leaves them at a much higher ranking, they must be doing something right.” “You never blindly follow the data. You match the quantitative with the qualitative.” “It just gives clubs a grounding. You’re not sticking your finger in the air.”

    44 min
  2. FEB 17

    Chris Fawcett on 20 Years As A Sharp Bettor & The Modern Betting Market

    Pete sits down with Chris Fawcett, former full time professional gambler turned model builder and co founder of Sharp Betting. Chris reflects on a 20 year career in betting that began in the late 1990s, from early horse racing speed ratings to automated exchange models, and later high volume football accumulators. He explains how exchanges changed the game, why markets became more efficient, and why staking and risk tolerance evolved as he got older. The conversation then shifts to Sharp Betting, how the models work, why accumulators make sense in today’s soft bookmaker environment, and the challenge of educating bettors to trust process over short term results. Finally, Chris gives a detailed and data driven take on the state of the UK betting market, affordability checks, exchange decline, black market growth, rising taxation, and what he believes needs to change. Topics Starting as a full time pro in the late 1990sHow Betfair transformed his betting careerFrom manual betting to fully automated modelsWhy market efficiency forced constant adaptationMoving from high variance gambling to lower risk tradingThe evolution of staking as experience grewWhy price matters more than opinionThe logic behind using accumulators in soft marketsLessons from making six figures before account closuresHow Sharp Betting models football and racingEducating users to trust process over short term runsNFL and NBA modelling and the rise of prediction marketsExchange liquidity decline and what it means for bettorsAffordability checks, black market growth, and unintended consequencesPractical advice for serious UK bettors in 2026Support The Podcast You can support the SBC Podcast by visiting our podcast sponsor, Matchbook. Get 150 days commission free via this link: https://welcome.matchbook.com/SBC150 Resources & Mentions Sharp betting: https://sharpbetting.co.uk/Chris on Twitter: https://x.com/chrisgambler247Smart Betting Club: https://smartbettingclub.com/ Key Quotes Why Business Feels Riskier Than Gambling “Doing business actually feels riskier than gambling ever did. Every decision is costly.”The Betfair Turning Point “Betfair was a complete game changer. Once you could automate bets, everything changed.”Models Must Adapt “Early on I trusted the model completely. Later I learned you have to adjust to the market.”Why Accumulators Make Sense “If you want to survive with soft bookmakers today, you have to bet where they expect to make money, and that often means accumulators.”Where Did The Money Go “We have a situation now where the regulated betting market is shrinking and that money has gone somewhere.”Culture Change First “The only way we go back to a healthier market is a culture shift. It cannot be the operator’s job to decide what someone can or cannot afford to gamble.”Punishing The Majority “It feels like we are punishing the whole population to protect a minority, without measuring whether harm is actually being reduced.”Adapt, Do Not Exit “I would not tell people to leave the UK. There are still opportunities, but you have to adapt.”

    47 min
  3. 12/19/2025

    Inside a Modern Bookmaker, Restrictions, Tax, Compliance & More With Anthony Kaminskas

    In Episode 97 of the Smart Betting Club Podcast, I am joined for the third time by Anthony Kaminskas, founder of AKBets and a former professional punter turned bookmaker. Nearly three years on from the launch of AKBets, this conversation takes stock of how the business has grown, how the betting industry has shifted, and why life as a modern bookmaker is far tougher than most punters realise - including a healthy discussion on betting restrictions. AK speaks candidly about operating under UK regulation, handling restrictions, managing compliance risk, and absorbing rising costs at every level of the business. He also lifts the lid on the real economics of running a sportsbook, sharing hard numbers on payroll, data feeds, duties, levies, payment processing and platform fees. This is not a marketing interview. It is an honest look at why betting markets look the way they do, why margins are tightening, and why both punters and bookmakers are being squeezed by the same pressures. Topics covered include • The early chaos of launching AKBets just before Cheltenham and surviving the first year  • Growing from a one man operation to a licensed bookmaker with close to 30 staff  • Why compliance now outweighs trading as the biggest business risk and team  • How and why bookmakers limit or restrict certain betting patterns  • The reality behind social media narratives around account closures  • The impact of rising UK betting and casino duties on prices and offers  • Why higher taxation almost always leads to worse odds for customers • The true monthly cost of running a UK sportsbook  • Why horse racing is becoming harder and harder to offer sustainably  • The growing risk of black market operators as regulation tightens  • Whether the future still holds opportunity for sharp bettors  • Why professional gambling skills transfer well outside betting If you want to understand how bookmakers actually think, why markets behave the way they do, and where the pressure points now sit in UK betting, this is essential listening. Support The Podcast You can support the SBC Podcast by visiting our podcast sponsor, Matchbook. Get 150 days commission free via this link: https://welcome.matchbook.com/SBC150 Resources & Mentions AKBetsSmart Betting Club

    58 min
  4. 12/09/2025

    Inside the Mind of a Live Betting Pro with Andrew Pace of inplayLIVE

    In this episode, Pete speaks with Andrew Pace, founder of inplayLIVE, a live betting platform built around real time wagering and repeatable edges. Andrew shares his journey from early losing punter to profitable live bettor, then into building one of the most active live betting communities around today. Andrew explains how watching games in real time revealed repeatable pricing errors, why mindset is the foundation of long term success, how his field goal strategy kickstarted six figure profits, and why tracking and data now shape everything he does. He also gives a candid look at the realities of getting on, dealing with limits and non payments, and why offshore and crypto books are both a risk and a necessity at scale. The conversation also covers the evolution of inplayLIVE, the role of its education system, how the community compounds edges, and the adjustments needed as markets shift and tighten.  For those wanting to learn more about inplayLive, you can read a full independent review and take advantage of a 25% saving on both the Light and Pro packages (the latter worth over £450) in Issue 158 of the Smart Betting Club magazine. Key Talking Points Andrew’s transformation: From gambling on instinct to building a structured live betting approach that actually winsThe lightbulb moment: How spotting repeatable patterns during games led to his first major edgeField goals to full markets: The simple live angle that grew into hundreds of 1000's in profitWhy watching games beats models: Real time information, fast reactions, and knowing when prices are wrongDiscipline over bravado: How mindset, loss management and volume control separate winners from the restThe power of community: Members uncovering edges that became more profitable than Andrew’s own playsInside the live stream setup: Why fast feeds matter and how to avoid being picked off by delaysGetting on and staying on: Over 500 hundred account closures, six figure non payments, and how he still navigates today’s booksRisk and reward offshore: What he looks for before trusting a new crypto or grey market bookmakerMarket evolution: Why edges shift, how corrections happen, and the process Andrew uses to find what comes nextEducation first: How the inplayLive masterclass became the backbone of their entire systemBetting as a vocation: Why Andrew would still watch every game even without money on the lineKey Quotes  On getting started live betting... "My first parlay won, and the next day I was on Craigslist buying TVs so I could watch every game.” On learning where the edges lay... “I watched everything with the sportsbook open, and I started to notice patterns. That’s when things changed.” On the psychological battles bettors face... “The biggest edge in betting long term is always mindset.” On the inplayLIVE community... “We’ve had members find edges that became more profitable than anything I’d been betting before.” On not getting paid by bookies... “I’ve been cut off from well over 500 sportsbooks and stiffed for more than $400,000 dollars.” Support The Podcast You can support the SBC Podcast by visiting our podcast sponsor, Matchbook. Get 150 days commission free via this link: https://welcome.matchbook.com/SBC150 Resources & Mentions inplayLIVE website  Recent SBC magazine feature (Issue 158) reviewing inplayLIVE Listen to the inplayLIVE podcast 'Behind The Lines'

    51 min
  5. 11/10/2025

    Real Edges, Real Profits: The Sharp Betting Method with David Hipkin

    In this episode, Pete speaks with Sharp Betting co-founder David Hipkin, who started out as a boxing trader before pivoting into professional betting, using the same data-led methods that would later form the basis of Sharp Betting to generate over £200,000 in profit from soft bookmakers alone. David shares his journey from early days in spread betting alongside the likes of Mike Tyson and Lennox Lewis, to betting with AI edge models and the launch of the Sharp Betting platform in 2024. You’ll learn real-world strategies to beat the bookmakers, insights into how to operate like a sharp bettor and what it really takes to escape the limitation trap most punters find themselves in. We also explore Sharp Betting’s curated tools and member community, including the explosive growth of David’s Daily - a free Telegram tipping feed showing 12.54% ROI from more than 2,600 bets. And if you're an SBC member, you can currently secure a full 12 months of Sharp Betting Premium for just £150 - saving £78 compared to the regular price (offer valid until 30 November 2025). Key Talking Points David’s origin story: From betting with family at the Grand National to trading Vegas title fightsTurning data into money: How "Frog the Gambler" evolved into Sharp Betting’s global football modelWhy sharp betting isn’t about staking big - it’s about winning small, consistentlyGrabbing value quietly: How multiples (accas, Yankees, Lucky 15s) act as camouflage for sharp bettors“If it works, why sell it?” - The real answer behind productising a winning betting modelVariance vs edge erosion: How to spot the difference and stay profitableDealing with restrictions: Camouflage tactics, priming accounts, and making yourself look like a mugWhy betting exchanges don't suit every model - Sharp Betting’s experience on BetfairCommunity impact: Why helping everyday bettors build £1–3K banks is as rewarding as six-figure winsSharp Betting Highlight: David’s Daily (Free) -  2,600 bets logged and verified at 12.54% ROILive Model Access (Premium) - Bet alongside the data in real-time on soft booksCurrent SBC member offer: £150 off a 12-month subscription (until 30 Nov, 2025)Support The Podcast You can support the SBC Podcast by visiting our podcast sponsor, Matchbook. Get 150 days commission free via this link: https://welcome.matchbook.com/SBC150 Resources & Mentions Sharp Betting website  Recent SBC magazine feature (Issue 157) profiling Sharp BettingFollow Sharp Betting on X (Twitter)  Follow David on X (Twitter)

    52 min
  6. 10/14/2025

    How Elite Bettors Master the Mental Game With Elliot Roe & Samm Hunter

    In this episode, Pete speaks with Elliot Roe and Samm Hunter, two leading performance and mindset coaches who specialise in helping elite performers from poker champions and traders to professional bettors reach their potential. Fresh from their Bet Bash 2025 seminar “From Emotion to Execution: The Champion’s Mindset for Sports Betting”, Elliot and Samm break down what separates consistent winners from those trapped by emotion, ego, and poor habits. Together, they unpack how to build emotional regulation, discipline, and resilience in a world driven by variance and risk. This is one of those episodes that will make you rethink how you approach betting, pressure, and performance both on and off the computer screen.   In This Episode Why emotional control and self-awareness are key to long-term betting successThe difference between being the casino and being the gamblerTools to reset your mindset after wins or lossesHow subconscious beliefs about money, self-worth, and luck impact performanceWhy lifestyle habits, sleep, exercise, and relationships directly affect betting resultsHow to identify and stop destructive patterns like chasing losses or over-staking after a winPractical exercises to improve focus, resilience, and emotional recoveryKey Quotes “You need to see yourself as the casino, not the gambler. The casino doesn’t care about one spin, it cares about the long-term results.” - Elliot Roe “Our subconscious beliefs around money, worth, and success shape everything - even how we bet.” - Samm Hunter “Most bettors aren’t aware how much edge they give away through emotion. Tracking those moments is the first step to real improvement.” - Elliot Roe About the Guests Elliot Roe is a mindset and performance coach who has worked with world champions, elite athletes, and top-level traders. He is also the creator of the Primed Mind app elliotroe.com/success-storiesSamm Hunter is a performance and transformation coach helping individuals break through subconscious barriers to unlock their potential primedmind.com/sammhunterDownload the Primed Mind app at www.primedmind.comApply for a coaching consultation: https://elliotroe.pro.typeform.com/to/rl0svgYSSupport The Podcast You can support the SBC Podcast by visiting our podcast sponsor, Matchbook. Get 150 days commission free via this link: https://welcome.matchbook.com/SBC150

    35 min
  7. 09/26/2025

    From Square Bettor to $200k Profit: Franco’s Success Story Aged Just 22

    In this latest SBC Podcast episode, we shine a spotlight on a North American bettor who has turned software into serious profit. Franco, known online as Raid_Prints, joins me to share how he went from casual square punter to making over $200,000 profit in just two years. His story is not theory, it’s a real-life example of what’s possible when you combine the right tools, discipline, and mindset. Fresh from our major SBC review of Pinnacle Odds Dropper and the Episode 92 discussion with its creator, this episode flips the perspective. Franco explains how he uses Pinnacle Odds Dropper (POD) in practice to beat the soft books, where he finds value, and the secrets to sustaining long-term success. We cover: His journey from square to sharp - how he discovered arbitrage, EV betting and eventually Pinnacle Odds Dropper.The daily routine of a steamer bettor - why volume is king, how he runs 6,000+ bets, and why priming accounts matters.Secrets behind his $200k profit - what sports and markets he targets, managing variance, and coping with restrictions.How others can do it too - practical insights into priming, choosing soft vs sharp books, and using POD effectively.The North American betting boom - why Franco calls this the “golden age” of betting in the US and how bonus offers, sweepstake books and offshore options fit in.The mindset required - tracking bets, handling losing months, and building a long-term edge.This is not just theory, it’s a showcase of sharp betting in practice. Whether you’re in North America or elsewhere, Franco’s story provides invaluable lessons on discipline, software, and the modern betting environment. You can also support the SBC Podcast by visiting our podcast sponsor, Matchbook. Get 150 days commission free via this link: https://welcome.matchbook.com/SBC150 For more on the topics explored in this podcast Franco (Raid Prints) on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@raid_prints Website: https://pinnacleoddsdropper.com

    44 min
  8. 09/12/2025

    Sports, Strategy, Edges & Steam Moves - Sharp Betting Unpacked With Dylan From Pinnacle Odds Dropper

    In the latest SBC Podcast episode, I sit down again with Dylan, co-founder of Pinnacle Odds Dropper, to take a deep dive into sharp betting, market efficiency, and the results of our detailed August 2025 review of POD. We explore how the software helps advantage bettors track steam moves, why Pinnacle remains the barometer for bookmakers, and the lessons from analysing 345,000+ logged bets. Dylan and I also share insights on CLV, market limits, niche sports, and the growing challenges facing US bettors under new tax rules. HOW POD WORKS & WHY IT MATTERS The evolution of Pinnacle Odds Dropper as a top-down “chasing steam” alert serviceHow the in-built bet tracker has logged over 450,000 bets since launchWhy tracking results and filters is critical for advantage bettorsIndependent SBC review: 345,000-bet dataset reveals where edges really lie and on what sportsWHICH SPORTS DELIVER THE BIGGEST EDGES Basketball’s “killer combo” of ROI and strike rateSoccer’s vast sample size, overs vs unders trends, and higher ROI on away sidesTennis as a two-outcome sport and why sharp bettors gravitate toward itHigh ROI surprises in baseball and volleyball vs the pain of betting NFLCLOSING LINE VALUE & MARKET LIMITS Why CLV is the best early indicator of profitabilityAnalysis: positive CLV bets returned +7.7% ROI vs –8.38% on negative CLV betsHow Pinnacle market limits act as a proxy for confidence and edge significanceShould you apply filters or follow Franco’s “bet everything” approach?SHARP BOOKS & MARKET EFFICIENCY Is Pinnacle still the sharpest? Latest data says yes, within 0.24% of perfect efficiencyWhere rivals like FanDuel and Circa are catching up in niche sportsWhy bettors should map out which books are sharp for which marketsThe occasional reality of market manipulation and how to handle itPRACTICAL BETTING STRATEGIES Using POD with soft books, exchanges, and even in-person kiosksCase study: a hedge fund manager using POD to manage exchange exposureHow successful users treat betting as volume-driven and sport-agnosticWhy bankroll growth depends on embracing variance, not avoiding itFUTURE TECH & REGULATION The role AI might play in pricing, advantage betting, and POD’s futureWhy sharp players need to keep experimenting with new tools and marketsUS betting tax changes under Trump’s “Big Beautiful Bill” and the risk of pushing players offshoreHow bettors adapt to regulatory friction, from crypto books to PPH'sDylan also shares why Pinnacle still leads the way for sharp betting, how bettors can avoid leaving money on the table, and why adaptability is the hallmark of long-term winners. You can also support the SBC Podcast by visiting our podcast sponsor, Matchbook. Get 150 days commission free via this link: https://welcome.matchbook.com/SBC150 For more on Dylan & POD  Website: https://pinnacleoddsdropper.comTwitter/X: https://x.com/pinnacleoddsdrop

    53 min

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About

Exploring the world of profitable betting and what it takes to generate a long-term edge gambling. Through this series of podcasts, join Pete from the Smart Betting Club as he interviews professional punters and expert tipsters on how they make a profit betting and what lessons we can take from them for our own betting journey.Expect to learn about the strategies or methods they employ to win, the markets they focus on, bookmakers or exchanges they use and much more besides.

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