State of AI with Nathan Benaich

Nathan Benaich (Air Street Capital)

The State of AI podcast from Nathan Benaich - investor at Air Street Capital and author of the State of AI Report, the most widely read analysis of AI, published every year since 2018. Two things, every week. Short, opinionated breakdowns of what's actually moving in AI: frontier research, the geopolitics, and the capital. And long-form interviews and playbooks with the founders and scientists building the field - the people behind companies like ElevenLabs, Profluent, Synthesia, Wayve, Black Forest Labs and Anthropic. Subscribe to the newsletter at press.airstreet.com and www.stateof.ai

  1. Jul 27

    Black Forest Labs FLUX 3: from video generation to robot control

    Description:Black Forest Labs has launched FLUX 3, a multimodal foundation model that learns jointly from images, video and audio within a single architecture, and mimic robotics has released FLUX-mimic, a video-action model built on that backbone and being tested on real assembly work in Audi's Production Lab. Nathan Benaich of Air Street Capital, an investor in Black Forest Labs, reads his Air Street Press essay on why a model trained to predict how scenes evolve turns out to be a usable robot controller. Covers the FLUX 3 preference results against Runway Gen-4.5, Grok Imagine Video, Kling v3 Pro, Seedance 2.0 and Gemini Omni Flash; how a lightweight action decoder reads the video prediction path without ever generating video; the frozen-backbone ablation against π0.5; the 101-millisecond system reaction time on a single RTX 5090; and what Air Street's own robotics deal flow says about where the constraint really sits. Chapters (estimated at ~150 wpm, slide proportionally against final audio): 0:00 A robot arm in Audi's Production Lab0:40 What Black Forest Labs and mimic released1:20 Early access and open weights1:50 The preference-test results2:40 What a model must represent to predict video3:30 Reading actions off the video path4:20 The frozen-backbone ablation5:00 101 milliseconds, and the Audi tasks5:50 What we see in robotics deal flow6:30 The road to physical intelligenceLinks: FLUX 3 · FLUX-mimic (BFL) · FLUX-mimic (mimic) · Odyssey Series B · BFL Series B ·

  2. Jul 14

    From driving the world to dreaming it

    World models are the bet that AI should learn the world by watching it and acting in it, not just by reading about it. At RAAIS 2026, Odyssey co-founder and CTO Jeff Hawke makes the case: a world model is a neural simulator - an interactive stream of pixels that runs in real time, models physics, and answers back. He walks through Odyssey's four research fronts - streaming interactive pixels (Odyssey-2), joint audio and video (Starchild-1), shared multiplayer worlds (Agora-1, demoed live as a fully generated game of GoldenEye), and PROWL, which sends a reinforcement-learning agent to find and fix a world model's own failures - and argues the field is at its GPT-2 moment: promising, but pre-ChatGPT, with the GPT-3-style commercial unlock still ahead. Recorded at the 10th Research and Applied AI Summit (RAAIS), London, June 2026. Timestamps 00:00 Intro: Nathan on Odyssey and world models 01:05 Jeff Hawke: from self-driving to world models 01:40 The bet — a missing form of intelligence 02:40 Why world models suddenly matter (the late-2025 flip) 03:16 What a world model actually is (and isn't) 04:45 The neural simulator 06:34 Two principles: end-to-end learning and generality 07:19 The "GPT-3 of world models" and four research themes 08:46 Odyssey-2: streaming, interactive pixels 10:33 Starchild-1: generating audio and video together 13:03 Agora-1: multiplayer world models 13:57 Live demo: the room plays GoldenEye 16:20 PROWL: improving the model by breaking it 18:39 Where Odyssey goes next 19:55 Still the GPT-2 era 21:30 Q&A: physics limits, safety, compute cost, merging with LLMs

About

The State of AI podcast from Nathan Benaich - investor at Air Street Capital and author of the State of AI Report, the most widely read analysis of AI, published every year since 2018. Two things, every week. Short, opinionated breakdowns of what's actually moving in AI: frontier research, the geopolitics, and the capital. And long-form interviews and playbooks with the founders and scientists building the field - the people behind companies like ElevenLabs, Profluent, Synthesia, Wayve, Black Forest Labs and Anthropic. Subscribe to the newsletter at press.airstreet.com and www.stateof.ai