Bondcast - The Rates Podcast

NatWest Corporates and Institutions

In this weekly podcast series, Imogen Bachra along with the NatWest Markets team of rates & markets specialists help investment professionals shape their portfolio views on fixed income, learn how the biggest themes, trends, and events affect bond performance, and get deeper insight into rates markets including the latest analysis & research from the NatWest team.

  1. APR 2

    More geopolitics, more inflation and more rate moves

    In this week’s episode of Bondcast, Head of Economics and Markets Strategy Imogen Bachra shares edited highlights from NatWest’s recent client webinar focused on the intersection of geopolitics, economic sentiment and market implications. Joined by Scott Livingstone (NatWest’s International Advisor) and Ross Walker (Global Head of Economics) the discussion covers the ongoing Middle East conflict, its economic impact, and how markets and policymakers may respond. Key discussion points: - Current phase of the Middle East conflict and the shift to “Plan B”. - Three potential US strategies: rapid declaration of victory, compelling Iran to a deal, or a prolonged campaign of military pressure. - Key indicators to watch: US force positioning, US-Israel alignment, and the actions of regional actors like the Houthis - Updated growth forecasts and inflation expectations - Bank of England likely to lean towards modest rate hikes in the second half of the year; limited scope for early cuts. - Markets are pricing in potential rate hikes, but the timing may be later than current expectations. - UK gilt markets remain sensitive to fiscal credibility and geopolitical developments. This episode was recorded on 31 March 2026. Remember to hit subscribe so you can listen to the latest episodes in this series as soon as they're available and get our views on the big themes and events moving markets and shaping the economy. For any terms used please refer to this glossary: https://www.natwest.com/corporates/insights/markets/glossary.html  Please view our full disclaimer here: https://www.natwest.com/corporates/disclaimer.html

    32 min
  2. MAR 5

    What's happening in the Middle East, and how are markets affected?

    This week’s combined episode of Currency Exchange and Bondcast focuses on the ongoing Middle East conflict and its impacts on currency and rates markets. This episode features edited highlights from a client webinar hosted on Tuesday, featuring host Imogen Bachra (Head of Economics and Markets Strategy) and guests Scott Livingstone (International Advisor) and Paul Robson (Co-Head of G10FX Strategy).  They discussed:  - Management of ammunition and defence resources by regional players. - Political pressure on President Trump to conclude this initial phase swiftly. - Expected continuation of heightened military activity over the next few days. - Monitoring Iranian missile, drone, and maritime operations, including possible threats to the Strait of Hormuz. - Indicators for de-escalation: signs of pragmatic politics or regional diplomatic intervention. - Importance of maritime security in global energy markets. - Currency markets responding as expected: dollar strength sterling resilience in cross-currency pairs. - Volatility in bond markets reflecting both safe-haven demand and concerns over defence spending and future inflation. - Key market drivers to watch. This episode was recorded on 3 March 2026. For any terms used please refer to this glossary: https://www.natwest.com/corporates/insights/markets/glossary.html Please view our full disclaimer here: https://www.natwest.com/corporates/disclaimer.html

    20 min

About

In this weekly podcast series, Imogen Bachra along with the NatWest Markets team of rates & markets specialists help investment professionals shape their portfolio views on fixed income, learn how the biggest themes, trends, and events affect bond performance, and get deeper insight into rates markets including the latest analysis & research from the NatWest team.

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