Bondcast - The Rates Podcast

NatWest Corporates and Institutions

In this weekly podcast series, Imogen Bachra along with the NatWest Markets team of rates & markets specialists help investment professionals shape their portfolio views on fixed income, learn how the biggest themes, trends, and events affect bond performance, and get deeper insight into rates markets including the latest analysis & research from the NatWest team.

  1. 5d ago

    From Middle East headlines to central bank decisions

    This week Imogen Bachra is joined by Ian VanderHorn and Oriane Parmentier to discuss some key central bank decisions. They examine the latest developments from the ECB, previews next week’s Fed and Bank of England meetings, and explore how geopolitical tensions, inflation dynamics and politics are shaping market expectations.   Key topics:   * The ECB remains data-dependent but has not closed the door on additional rate hikes. * Strong US labour market data complicates the inflation outlook but does not yet point to a significant inflation reacceleration. * The first Fed meeting under Kevin Warsh will be closely scrutinised for signs of a shift in policy communication. * The Bank of England meeting may appear routine but could influence expectations for July and beyond. * Fiscal and political risks in both the US and UK remain important themes for rates markets in the second half of the year.   This episode was recorded on 11 June 2026.     You can also find this episode of Bondcast on Spotify and Apple Podcasts.   Remember to hit subscribe so you can listen to the latest episodes in this series as soon as they're available and get our views on the big themes and events moving markets and shaping the economy.   For any terms used please refer to this glossary: https://www.natwest.com/corporates/insights/markets/glossary.html   Please view our full disclaimer here: https://www.natwest.com/corporates/disclaimer.html

    27 min
  2. Jun 5

    Hawkish talk, headlines and more tariffs

    This week on Bondcast, the team examines how fading optimism over a potential US-Iran agreement and renewed tariff discussions are influencing rates markets. With major central bank meetings approaching, the discussion also turns to the outlook for the European Central Bank (ECB), Bank of England (BoE), and Federal Reserve.   Key topics:   * ECB rhetoric has become more hawkish, but policymakers are unlikely to commit to a fixed hiking path. * The BoE remains cautious, with centrist policymakers showing little urgency to raise rates. * Fed officials continue to balance inflation and growth risks more carefully than markets may be assuming. * New US tariff proposals could create future headline risk despite limited immediate economic impact. * French political risk is gradually moving back onto investors’ radar ahead of 2027. * Fiscal concerns remain a major structural challenge for the UK, particularly due to high debt servicing costs.   Contributors:   Imogen Bachra (host), Head of Economics and Markets Strategy Oriane Parmentier, European Rates Strategist Ian VanderHorn, Economics and Market Strategy at NatWest Markets   This episode was recorded on 4 June 2026.   Remember to hit subscribe so you can listen to the latest episodes in this series as soon as they're available and get our views on the big themes and events moving markets and shaping the economy.   For any terms used please refer to this glossary: https://www.natwest.com/corporates/insights/markets/glossary.html   Please view our full disclaimer here: https://www.natwest.com/corporates/disclaimer.html

    43 min
  3. May 29

    Is the Fed changing the rules?

    This week on Bondcast, Imogen Bachra, Oriane Parmentier and Stuart Sparks unpack the key macro themes dominating fixed income markets following NatWest’s Official Institutions Conference in Edinburgh. With geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continuing to drive market volatility, the discussion shifts beyond the headlines to explore how investors are thinking about inflation, growth, central bank reaction functions and fiscal risks across the US, Euro area and UK. Key themes discussed US: Affordability versus inflation Stuart outlines NatWest’s view that the Fed could increasingly focus on growth and real incomes rather than maintaining a rigid 2% inflation target. The team discusses whether higher inflation tolerance may become a feature – rather than a failure – of future policy.   Europe: Conditional ECB and structural steepening   Oriane discusses why the ECB’s tightening cycle may become increasingly data dependent, and why long-term funding pressures linked to defence, AI and energy transition spending could support steeper curves across Europe. UK: Inflation persistence and fiscal risk  Imogen explains why the UK faces a uniquely challenging combination of sticky inflation, aggressive QT and elevated fiscal sensitivity. The conversation also explores why political uncertainty continues to matter disproportionately for gilt markets. This episode was recorded on 28 May 2026. You can also find this episode of Bondcast on Spotify and Apple Podcasts.   Remember to hit subscribe so you can listen to the latest episodes in this series as soon as they're available and get our views on the big themes and events moving markets and shaping the economy. For any terms used please refer to this glossary: https://www.natwest.com/corporates/insights/markets/glossary.html Please view our full disclaimer here: https://www.natwest.com/corporates/disclaimer.html

    44 min

About

In this weekly podcast series, Imogen Bachra along with the NatWest Markets team of rates & markets specialists help investment professionals shape their portfolio views on fixed income, learn how the biggest themes, trends, and events affect bond performance, and get deeper insight into rates markets including the latest analysis & research from the NatWest team.

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