We Kalled It

Phillip Kall

An astrophysicist, former college football player, and actuary put their heads together to give you the insights needed to beat the books!

  1. 3d ago

    Dallas Defense DOES NOT EXIST 😳 NFL Week 4 Betting Picks & Breakdown

    NFL Week 4 is here, and we're breaking down every matchup with predictions, betting insights, and hot takes. From Thursday Night Football in Cleveland to Monday Night in New Orleans, we cover team performance, key players, injuries, and the coaching decisions that will swing these games. In this episode: 🏈 Pittsburgh at Cleveland: Thursday Night preview 🇬🇧 Indy vs Washington in London: why international games matter 🔥 Is Dallas' defense real? (Spoiler: no) 🐯 Joe Burrow's return vs Jacksonville ⚔️ Chiefs vs Raiders: battle of the unbeatens 📉 Is Arizona's offense overhyped? 📈 Atlanta's offense bouncing back on Monday Night Drop your Week 4 picks in the comments and let us know who you think we got wrong. Subscribe and hit the bell so you never miss a pick. ⏱️ Chapters 00:00 Intro and Week 4 NFL Overview 02:00 Pittsburgh at Cleveland Thursday Night Preview 07:20 Indy at Washington in London 10:57 Giants vs Cardinals: Jameis Winston and QB Battles 15:10 Dallas at Houston: Defense and Offense Breakdown 19:59 Arizona at New York: QB Trades and Team Outlooks 25:03 Jacksonville at Cincinnati: Joe Burrow's Return 29:55 Rams at Philadelphia: Key Matchups and Predictions 35:48 Kansas City vs Raiders: Battle of Unbeaten Teams 41:50 Seattle vs Chargers: Rebound and Performance 47:53 Monday Night Preview: Atlanta at New Orleans #NFL #NFLPicks #SportsBetting #Week4 #NFLPredictions For entertainment purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

  2. Sep 26

    Browns Hot Takes, Cam Ward & Drake Maye QB Check + NFL Week Picks | We Kalled It

    Coaching can make or break a season, and this week we're breaking down who's getting it right and who's costing their team games. We dig into Sean Payton and Dan Quinn's big decisions, late-game management, and how injuries (including Malik Nabers') are reshaping the fantasy landscape. Plus: start/sit calls on Nabers and Brock Bowers, QB evaluations on Cam Ward and Drake Maye, JSN and Alvin Kamara outlooks, hot takes on the Browns and the Dolphins' schedule, and our picks for Rams vs. Broncos, Seahawks vs. Commanders, Lions vs. Jets, and more. 🏈 Subscribe for weekly NFL analysis, fantasy football advice, and predictions. Chapters 00:00 Intro & episode overview 02:26 Malik Nabers injury & recovery 03:02 How coaching changes impact NFL teams 05:00 Coaching decisions: Sean Payton & Dan Quinn 07:01 Game management in critical moments 10:00 Fantasy start/sit: Malik Nabers & Brock Bowers 12:00 Injuries and game outcomes 15:01 Predictions: Rams vs. Broncos, Seahawks vs. Commanders 17:02 Lions vs. Jets breakdown 19:59 Hot takes: Browns outlook & Dolphins schedule 21:56 QB play & team strategy 25:04 QB evaluations: Cam Ward, Drake Maye & more 27:06 Defensive schemes that are working 29:57 Coaching adjustments on both sides of the ball 32:07 Play-calling trends 34:54 Player evaluations: JSN, Alvin Kamara & more 37:00 In-game adjustments & adaptability 40:02 Bold season predictions 41:58 Upcoming game picks & betting tips 45:02 Wrap-up #NFL #FantasyFootball #NFLPicks

  3. Sep 17

    NFL Week 2 Picks: Are the Giants Legit? Bears Score 59?!

    Week 2 is where the overreactions either cash in or collapse. Phillip and Ken break down the biggest fantasy and betting takeaways from a wild opening week, then turn to the matchups that can reshape the entire board—from Buffalo's first game in the new stadium to whether the Bears' explosive new offense is actually sustainable. The conversation starts with the teams that changed the most after Week 1. The Giants' defense looks fast, physical, and mean. The Rams' early stumble gets reexamined through the lens of overseas travel and Kyle Shanahan's game planning. The Saints' comeback potential, the Lions' defensive red flags, the Cowboys' collapse, and the Browns' disaster all get put under the microscope. You'll also hear sharp, opinionated takes on the teams that matter most for fantasy and spreads this week: Why the Saints might be a buy despite a brutal first halfWhy Buffalo vs. Detroit could get ugly fastWhy Cincinnati at Houston is one of the most telling games of the slateWhy the Browns, Titans, and Dolphins are already showing the signs of a long seasonWhy the Bears' offense may be historic even if the fantasy passing production isn'tWhy Green Bay, Minnesota, Philadelphia, Pittsburgh, Jacksonville, the Chargers, the Raiders, Seattle, Washington, and Kansas City all present sharp Week 2 betting anglesPhillip and Ken don't just hand you picks—they explain what the film, the usage, the coaching, and the game environment are actually telling you. They debate whether the early heat on teams like the Rams, Lions, Chargers, and Colts is real, and whether bounce-back spots for squads like the Vikings, Broncos, Eagles, and Seahawks are being mispriced. This one is perfect if you want smarter fantasy edges, stronger betting logic, and a clearer read on which Week 1 results actually mean something. If you only listen to one Week 2 preview, make it this one.

  4. Sep 9

    Our Week 1 NFL Picks Are In: Biggest Upsets, Fantasy Breakouts & Must-Watch Matchups

    Get ready for Week 1 of the NFL season with game predictions, fantasy football draft strategies, team performance analysis, player updates, and betting insights. In this episode, we break down key matchups including Seattle vs. New England, San Francisco vs. the Rams, Cincinnati vs. Tampa Bay, Baltimore vs. Indianapolis, Detroit vs. New Orleans, the Jets vs. Tennessee, the Giants vs. Dallas, Pittsburgh vs. Atlanta, Green Bay vs. Minnesota, the Chargers vs. Miami, and Kansas City vs. Denver. We also discuss how injuries, offseason moves, coaching changes, and player outlooks could impact the opening week. Whether you are setting your fantasy lineup, making picks, or following your favorite team, this episode offers practical insight for the start of the season. Chapters00:00 Introduction and Week 1 NFL Picks 02:09 Seattle vs. New England Analysis 04:03 Monitoring Patriots' Offseason Moves 06:12 San Francisco vs. Rams Preview 08:40 Bengals vs. Buccaneers Matchup 12:12 Baltimore vs. Indianapolis Breakdown 15:36 Detroit vs. New Orleans Preview 18:48 Jets vs. Titans Fantasy Outlook 22:33 Giants vs. Cowboys Analysis 25:46 Pittsburgh vs. Atlanta Insights 29:21 Green Bay vs. Minnesota Predictions 32:33 Chargers vs. Dolphins Game Expectations 35:45 Dallas vs. New York Preview 38:45 Chiefs vs. Broncos Key Matchup 40:45 Closing Remarks and Final Predictions Subscribe for more NFL predictions, fantasy football advice, matchup breakdowns, and weekly football analysis. #NFL #FantasyFootball #NFLWeek1 #FootballPredictions #SportsBetting

  5. Sep 5

    2026 NFL Bold Predictions: Jayden Daniels MVP, Seahawks Miss the Playoffs | We Kalled It

    It's the last week before real football, so we're throwing out every bold prediction we can defend for roughly nine seconds. Phillip has Jayden Daniels winning MVP, Ken went with the most reasonable pick anyone has ever made, and Connor built an entire MVP case out of a math problem instead of a quarterback. Along the way: the Seahawks miss the playoffs, the Cardinals somehow win five or six games, two NFC South teams sneak in, the Lions score a ton and still watch January from home, and the Browns start enough quarterbacks to fill a depth chart twice. Also Ken continues to refuse to prescribe Connor anything, no matter how many times he says the word peptides. Timestamps (approximate) 00:00 – Ken's medical license, allegedly revoked 02:30 – MVP: Jayden Daniels 05:00 – Ken's pick and the Jacksonville offense 07:30 – Connor's case for Caleb Williams and the Ben Johnson math problem 10:10 – Jordan Love and the pace argument 12:45 – Viewer question: does Burrow survive the season? Bengals O-line ranked 17th 16:30 – Bold: Seahawks miss the playoffs 18:15 – Cardinals win five or six games, and Carson Beck slander 23:00 – Jacoby Brissett throwing it 50 times a game 24:30 – Ravens make a deep playoff run 25:45 – Browns talk nobody asked for 30:05 – How we profited on prediction markets betting Watson to start 32:45 – Denzel Boston leads all rookies in receiving 36:10 – Deshaun Stribling, Carnell Tate and checkdown city 37:20 – Two NFC South teams make the playoffs 39:30 – Egbuka's turf toe and Connor's IR strategy 41:00 – Peptides, TRT and Dr. Jesse Morse 41:25 – Lions miss the playoffs but set scoring records 44:15 – Should Micah Parsons be on IR? 47:20 – Surprise top-five running back in yards and touchdowns 50:35 – Jonathan Brooks, Chuba Hubbard and Rico Dowdle 52:20 – Rhamondre over TreVeyon, Chase Brown over McCaffrey 54:10 – Vikings hot seat, JJ McCarthy and Kyler Murray's value contract 56:30 – Do the Browns start four quarterbacks? The Joe Milton pitch 59:40 – Mike Evans touchdown crown, jump balls vs. one-yard slants 1:03:00 – Keenan Allen's climb up the all-time catch list 1:04:00 – We're picking every game this season Nothing in this episode is medical advice. Ken has said so repeatedly and we have ignored him repeatedly. Like and subscribe so Phillip can charge $29.95 for the picks spreadsheet with a straight face. #NFL #FantasyFootball #BoldPredictions #NFL2026 #FantasyFootballPodcast

  6. Sep 5

    Rookie Sleepers, Hot Seat Coaches & Sleeper Offenses — 2026 Fantasy Football Preview

    Connor is finally back, which means Phillip and Ken get to outsource every rookie take they don't have. We go through the 2026 rookie class, dynasty buy-lows, which coaches are already cooked, and the offenses that will pile up fantasy points purely because their defense can't stop anybody. Also: Ken casually mentions he brought someone back from cardiac arrest in a parking lot, Connor explains why the 49ers' electrical substation is quietly the most important fantasy variable of the season, and we close with a heated debate about whether buying a car from Carvana is a crime. Timestamps (approximate) 00:00 – Connor returns + Ken saves a life in a parking lot 02:00 – Rookie rankings when you don't watch college football 05:45 – KC Concepcion and Denzel Boston 06:30 – Jonah Coleman, JK Dobbins and the RJ Harvey age problem 07:35 – Deshaun Stribling and the 49ers substation theory 10:20 – Dolphins rookie WRs: Chris Bell, Caleb Douglas, Kevin Coleman 13:30 – Damon Claiborne, dart throws and Dollar Tree comps 15:50 – Garrett Wilson is a dynasty steal 18:00 – Drake London buy-low, Tua concerns 19:45 – Slow drafts are ruining our lives 24:00 – Hot seat coaches: Aaron Glenn, Nick Sirianni 32:10 – Did the Lions miss their window? 35:35 – The NFL is set up to break: two-shell, 12 personnel and heavy motion 38:00 – Ken explains George Kittle's Achilles speed bridge repair 40:40 – Deshaun Watson, Shedeur Sanders and the Browns' 2027 plan 46:20 – Why the Chargers are always injured (it's the left guard) 47:55 – Sleeper offenses: Cardinals, Bengals, Commanders, Bucs and Saints 49:15 – Marvin Harrison Jr., Michael Wilson and Trey McBride 50:10 – Ravens pass catchers: Zay Flowers, Bateman, Mark Andrews 55:10 – Najee Harris, Cam Skattebo and Kimani Vidal 58:00 – Is Carvana actually fine? Ken bought a car mid-episode Want in on a dynasty league with us? Drop a comment. We're targeting a Thanksgiving start and a February finish, apparently. Like and subscribe. Ken says nobody clicks on the life-saving episodes, so we're testing that theory. #FantasyFootball #NFL #DynastyFantasyFootball #FantasyFootball2026 #NFLRookies

  7. Aug 24

    The Shootout Index: Which NFL Teams Should You Draft in Fantasy Football?

    Can a simple scoring model make fantasy football drafting easier? In this episode, Phillip and Ken break down the “Shootout Index,” a Claude AI-built ranking system that combines projected game totals, expected scoring, defensive performance, and win totals to identify the NFL offenses most likely to produce fantasy points. The discussion covers which teams and players are worth targeting, where the model may be wrong, and which offenses could deliver the most value on draft day. They debate the fantasy outlooks for the Rams, Packers, Chargers, Bills, 49ers, Commanders, Saints, Raiders, Bengals, Cowboys, Ravens, Lions, Colts, Buccaneers, Jaguars, Chiefs, Patriots, Eagles, Panthers, Cardinals, and more. YouTube Chapters00:00 — Intro and the Shootout Index 01:46 — Cowboys: the top-ranked offense and CeeDee Lamb 06:37 — Bengals: elite talent and injury concerns 09:19 — Rams: value across a high-powered offense 16:08 — Lions: coaching, offensive line, and regression concerns 18:18 — Bills: Josh Allen, James Cook, and DJ Moore 24:01 — Bills coaching continuity and offensive outlook 26:23 — Ravens: Lamar Jackson, Mark Andrews, and concentrated value 28:58 — 49ers: trusting Kyle Shanahan and the running-back pipeline 32:47 — Commanders: Jayden Daniels, Stefon Diggs, and Terry McLaurin 34:11 — Packers, Colts, and Seahawks: disagreement and regression 38:31 — Buccaneers and Jaguars: quarterbacks, weapons, and value 44:02 — Chiefs, Chargers, Patriots, and Eagles: winning teams to target 49:06 — Giants, Saints, and the “one player or nothing” strategy 53:30 — Broncos and JK Dobbins: talent versus injury risk 55:14 — Raiders: garbage-time upside and Brock Bowers 58:12 — Cardinals: tempting talent and major uncertainty 1:01:22 — Lower-tier teams and surprise breakout candidates 1:05:49 — Wrap-up and final fantasy draft advice Key topics include: Why high-scoring teams create easier fantasy draft decisionsWhether the Cowboys, Bengals, Rams, and Bills are correctly rankedFantasy value from players such as CeeDee Lamb, Joe Burrow, Puka Nacua, Josh Allen, Lamar Jackson, Christian McCaffrey, Brock Bowers, and othersWhy the Packers, Chargers, and Saints may offer strong draft valueWhich teams are best approached with a “one player or nothing” strategyLate-round dart throws, rookie receivers, running-back handcuffs, and best-ball targetsThe risks of relying on preseason projections and training-camp reportsThis episode was recorded before preseason Week 1. Use the Shootout Index as a starting point, then adjust for injuries, depth-chart changes, ADP, and your league’s scoring settings. If you enjoyed the episode, like the video, subscribe, and share your favorite fantasy football targets in the comments.

  8. Aug 13

    Why Patrick Mahomes Still Owns QB Debates

    The conversation begins with an introduction and a recap of a mock draft. It then delves into the distinction between franchise value and fantasy value for quarterbacks, followed by a detailed analysis and ranking of top-tier quarterbacks. The discussion continues with a focus on Burrow and other quarterbacks, and concludes with an exploration of the playoff-annual tier, featuring Caleb Williams and Jordan Love. The conversation methodically evaluates and ranks various quarterbacks, discussing their strengths, weaknesses, and potential. It covers the evaluation of Jalen Hurts, the assessment of Justin Herbert, the discussion of Brock Purdy and CJ Stroud, the ranking of Matt Stafford and other quarterbacks, and the assessment of young quarterbacks. The conversation provides insights into the performance and potential of these quarterbacks, offering a comprehensive overview of their abilities and future prospects. Takeaways Franchise value over fantasy valueQuarterback rankings and analysisPlayoff success and future potential Quarterback rankingsEvaluation of young quarterbacks Chapters 00:00 Introduction and Mock Draft Recap01:07 Franchise Value vs. Fantasy Value02:46 Top Tier Quarterbacks: Mahomes, Allen, and Jackson03:25 Mahomes, Allen, and Jackson Continued06:25 Burrow and Other Quarterbacks15:48 Playoff-Annual Tier: Caleb Williams and Jordan Love21:03 Evaluation of Jalen Hurts22:48 Assessment of Justin Herbert25:27 Discussion of Brock Purdy and CJ Stroud28:10 Ranking of Matt Stafford and Other Quarterbacks39:42 Assessment of Young Quarterbacks

About

An astrophysicist, former college football player, and actuary put their heads together to give you the insights needed to beat the books!