东谈西论

联合早报 Lianhe Zaobao
  • 4.3 (12)
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纵观天下，监测中国心跳，由《联合早报》副总编辑韩咏红主持的国际时事播客《东谈西论》，每周探讨国际热点话题，分析国际政治动态。

  1. 2d ago

    柔森州选：安华的大选压力测试？ Will Johor shape Malaysia’s next general election?

    马来西亚柔佛州的选举，将在星期六（6月27日）提名。由首相安华领导的希望联盟，星期一晚上在东甲举行造势大会，公布希盟柔佛州选56名候选人的完整名单。 较早前，希盟在柔佛州的最大对手，国民阵线已经宣布，将角逐全部56个州议席，但未公布候选人名单。 希盟与国阵，都是安华领导的中央团结政府的成员党。国阵宣布竞选柔佛州的全部议席，标志着这两个政治阵营全面竞争。 柔佛州选被视为马来西亚全国大选的前哨战、风向标。这次州选的结果，会如何影响团结政府的运作以及存续？马来西亚全国大选会在什么时候举行？由安华的公正党前署理主席拉菲兹的团队接管的同心党等“第三势力”，是否有可能掀起新风潮？ 这期的早报播客《东谈西论》，听主持人韩咏红与马来西亚政治观察者、华社研究中心学术董事潘永强博士深入解析。 延伸阅读： 安华腹背受敌 马国大选还能拖多久？| 世界大解说 胡逸山：柔佛州选与安华的大选算盘 Malaysia's Johor snap election is shaping up as a major stress test for Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim's federal unity government. With nominations set for June 27 and polling on July 11, the southern state has become a critical battleground, as Pakatan Harapan (PH) and Barisan Nasional (BN) are federal partners but direct rivals in Johor, where BN holds power as the incumbent state government. BN has announced it will contest all 56 state seats, with party leaders framing Johor as a launchpad for a broader national comeback. Perikatan Nasional is also contesting all 56 seats, setting up fierce multi-cornered fights across most constituencies. Adding further disruption is Parti Bersama Malaysia (Bersama), a minor party taken over in May 2026 by former Economy Minister Rafizi Ramli and former minister Nik Nazmi Nik Ahmad, which is running independently and contesting a selection of seats. Widely viewed as a bellwether for the next general election, the result could determine whether BN's aggressive push fractures the unity government and whether local state results accelerate a nationwide vote. In this episode of Global Heartbeat, host Han Yonghong is joined by Dr. Phoon Wing Keong, political observer and chairperson of the Huayan Policy Institute, to unpack the stakes on this episode of Global Heartbeat. Hosted by Lianhe Zaobao’s Associate Editor, Han Yong Hong, Global Heartbeat is a Mandarin weekly news and current affairs podcast that is updated every Tuesday, 7.00 PM SGT. It is available on zaobao.sg, Apple Podcast, Spotify and other podcast platforms. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

    33 min

  2. Jun 16

    印尼盾“跌跌不休” 普拉博沃新政从“蜜月期”到深水区 The rupiah's plunge

    随着百物价格上涨，印尼雅加达的街边小食店据说也出现了变化。有报道称，如今食品分量少了，辣椒也没以前辣。 经济学家将这种现象称之为“缩水式通胀”。《雅加达邮报》早在2024年就曾报道，有半数受访者表示能感觉到商品缩水，其中最明显的是零食。 如今，由于中东局势推高国际能源价格，加上外资撤离，印尼的通胀问题更为严重。2026年第一季度，印尼经济增长达到5.61%，创下自2022年第三季度以来的最高增速，但人民却切身感受不到增长带来的好处。 与此同时，印尼货币持续贬值。今年以来，印尼盾对美元汇率下跌了8%，成为亚洲表现最差的货币。货币贬值与能源价格上涨，让当地中产阶层首当其冲。 印尼货币为何跌跌不休？去年8月，印尼爆发席卷全国的大规模示威并导致10人死亡；最近，学生又再次走上街头，印尼社会是否正重新酝酿动荡的因子？下一步它又会何去何从？ 这期的早报播客《东谈西论》，听主持人韩咏红与《联合早报》驻雅加达特派员蓝云舟详细解析。 延伸阅读： 印尼盾再探新低 政府每日砸2万亿救货币  印尼大学生抗议政府政策 与警方爆发冲突  Jakarta’s street food stalls offer a glimpse into broader economic strain. Vendors are quietly reducing portions or even skipping chilli, a sign of “shrinkflation” that many Indonesians say they are already noticing in everyday purchases. These pressures are tied to wider global and domestic challenges. Rising energy costs, driven in part by geopolitical tensions, have weighed on Indonesia as a net oil importer, while a weakening rupiah has made imports more expensive. In response, Bank Indonesia has tightened monetary policy, and fuel prices for non-subsidised categories have increased, adding to household costs. Although Indonesia’s economy continues to grow at a steady pace, many in the middle class feel squeezed by higher living costs and currency pressures. Recent student protests over economic issues reflect growing public unease. This episode of Global Heartbeat explores what is driving these pressures, how policymakers are responding, and what it means for everyday Indonesians, featuring host Han Yong Hong and Lianhe Zaobao’s Indonesia correspondent Nam Yunzhou. Hosted by Lianhe Zaobao’s Associate Editor, Han Yong Hong, Global Heartbeat is a Mandarin weekly news and current affairs podcast that is updated every Tuesday, 7.00 PM SGT. It is available on zaobao.sg, Apple Podcast, Spotify and other podcast platforms. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

    26 min

  3. May 26

    《给阿嬷的情书》的华南情义 Inside China’s surprise hit “Dear You”

    中国潮州电影《给阿嬷的情书》在中国走红。它以1400万人民币的小成本制作，票房却冲破10亿，创下奇迹。 “我上次寄的咸猪肉，你有收到吗？好吃我就再寄些” 。电影播出这一幕时，不少观众破防泪奔。有人说，这句台词注定将成为华语电影史的百年经典。 这部电影为何能跨越语言与地域的隔阂，打动全中国？电影中的“华南性”对海外华人又有什么启示？ 这期的早报播客《东谈西论》，听主持人韩咏红与新加坡佛学院副教授、教务主任纪赟为你解析。 延伸阅读： 纪赟：侨批、阿嬷的信与方言文化  南洋侨批题材潮州话电影《给阿嬷的情书》走红中国 Set in 1940s China, the surprise box-office hit Dear You is an intimate drama centred on qiaopi — the remittance letters sent by overseas Chinese to their families at home. The film follows Zheng Musheng, who leaves Chaoshan for work in Thailand, and Xie Nanzhi, a woman of Chaoshan descent who keeps sending letters and money to his family in his name for nearly two decades after his death. Made on a budget of just over 14 million yuan and featuring largely unknown actors, this Teochew-dialect indie has become a major success on word of mouth, crossing 1 billion yuan at the box office. In this episode of Global Heartbeat, host Han Yonghong speaks with Associate Professor Ji Yun, Deputy Dean of Academic Affairs at the Buddhist College of Singapore, about the film’s emotional resonance and the lasting legacy of qiaopi among overseas Chinese. They also discuss the proverb, “When a leopard dies, it leaves its skin,” which is a recognised variant of the saying about leaving one’s name behind. Hosted by Lianhe Zaobao’s Associate Editor, Han Yong Hong, Global Heartbeat is a Mandarin weekly news and current affairs podcast that is updated every Tuesday, 7.00 PM SGT. It is available on zaobao.sg, Apple Podcast, Spotify and other podcast platforms. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

    24 min

  4. May 19

    你赢你的我赢我的——中美新双赢 2026 Trump-Xi summit: Stability or stalemate?

    美国总统特朗普对中国的两天访问在上个星期五落幕。访问结束前，特朗普和中国国家主席习近平在中南海茶叙，并一同在媒体镜头前发言。 特朗普说，他与习近平达成了非常美好的贸易协议；两人也谈了伊朗，都觉得战争必须结束，伊朗不能拥有核武器，霍尔木兹海峡必须打开。中国方面则称，中美双方都赞成将“构建中美建设性战略稳定关系”作为中美关系的新定位。双方都表达了对这次峰会的肯定，但是彼此公布的具体协议其实寥寥可数。 该如何评价这次特朗普访华以及中美元首峰会的成果？中美各自得到了什么？ 这期的早报播客《东谈西论》，听主持人韩咏红与中国清华大学战略与安全研究中心副研究员孙成昊详细解析，中美关系的下一步，会走向战略稳定，还是冷和平？ 延伸阅读： 王伟男、周文星：值得期待的中美关系新定位 陈婧：史上最富访华团收获了什么？ US President Donald Trump’s two-day visit to China ended with striking symbolism but few concrete results, leaving analysts divided over what was actually achieved. At Zhongnanhai in Beijing, Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping held a private meeting and exchanged warm remarks, with Xi describing a new vision of a “constructive China-U.S. relationship of strategic stability”. Trump called the visit “very successful” and said the two sides had “signed a number of agreements”, although Chinese readouts gave little detail and some reported deals were still preliminary. The leaders also discussed Iran, saying it could never obtain a nuclear weapon and that the Strait of Hormuz must remain open. But no public joint plan was released, and the China–US readouts offered no detailed, binding commitments. Meanwhile, tensions over technology, security and Taiwan remain unresolved, with Xi warning that mishandling the Taiwan issue could lead to conflict. This episode of Global Heartbeat examines what Trump and Xi agreed, what was left unsaid, and how the visit fits into the wider China–US rivalry. Host Han Yonghong is joined by Dr Sun Chenghao, Senior Fellow and head of the US–EU programme at the Centre for International Security and Strategy (CISS), Tsinghua University, for analysis of the summit’s significance. Hosted by Lianhe Zaobao’s Associate Editor, Han Yong Hong, Global Heartbeat is a Mandarin weekly news and current affairs podcast that is updated every Tuesday, 7.00 PM SGT. It is available on zaobao.sg, Apple Podcast, Spotify and other podcast platforms. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

    25 min

  5. May 12

    人民币在加速国际化以取代美元吗？From petrodollar to petroyuan: Hype or turning point?

    自从今年2月底美国与以色列对伊朗发动战争以来，国际油价飙升，全球能源供应链陷入动荡。 在高油价压力下，美国放宽了对伊朗石油的部分制裁，并延长对俄罗斯石油的制裁豁免。有观点认为，这一局势有力地推动了人民币成为中东石油的交易货币，为人民币国际化创造了契机。 中东主要产油国阿拉伯联合酋长国（阿联酋）不久前宣布退出欧佩克（OPEC），有关“石油人民币”的话题再次引发热议。 伊朗战争是否正加速人民币国际化的进程？中国政府是在有意识地推动这一议程，还是这仅仅是自媒体博主为吸引流量而炒作的话题？ 这期的早报播客《东谈西论》，听主持人韩咏红与新加坡管理大学李光前商学院副教授傅方剑为您深度解析。 延伸阅读： 特稿：伊朗战事助推人民币国际化 能源多元化挑战美元霸权 韩咏红：美伊战争中国得利？ Global oil markets are at the centre of a deepening geopolitical crisis. The US-Israel military campaign against Iran, which began in late February 2026 and killed Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, prompted Iran to close the Strait of Hormuz, sending oil prices to record levels. Washington issued temporary sanctions waivers for Iranian and Russian oil in March, though these have since expired. Against this backdrop, debate has revived over whether China's renminbi (RMB) is gaining traction in energy trade. Some oil transactions involving China have been settled in RMB, and Beijing has expanded cross-border payment systems and bilateral currency swap arrangements. Yet the US dollar continues to dominate global reserves, trade invoicing and oil pricing, with wider RMB adoption constrained by capital controls, limited financial market depth and transparency concerns. This episode of Global Heartbeat examines the reality behind the "petro-renminbi" narrative. Host Han Yonghong speaks with Associate Professor of Finance Fu Fangjian from Singapore Management University's Lee Kong Chian School of Business on how sanctions, great-power rivalry and energy security are reshaping the global monetary system. Hosted by Lianhe Zaobao’s Associate Editor, Han Yong Hong, Global Heartbeat is a Mandarin weekly news and current affairs podcast that is updated every Tuesday, 7.00 PM SGT. It is available on zaobao.sg, Apple Podcast, Spotify and other podcast platforms. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

    31 min

  6. May 5

    赖清德“借机”访非 是战术突围还是被矮化？Stowaway or state visit? Taiwan president’s Eswatini trip

    经过一番波折，台湾总统赖清德于刚过去的周末（5月2日），在事前未公开行程的情况下，搭乘斯威士兰（Eswatini，台湾称史瓦帝尼）副总理的返国专机，抵达该国进行访问。 斯威士兰是承认“中华民国”国家地位的12个邦交国之一。赖清德原定于4月22日搭乘专机出访，出席斯威士兰国王加冕40周年庆典，但因专机航线必须途经的塞舌尔、模里西斯及马达加斯加临时取消飞行许可，导致行程暂缓。台湾官方表示，上述三国是受到了北京的施压。 赖清德最终抵达目的地并强调“台湾有权利走向世界”。针对此次改变方式的出访，台湾官方将其定调为“外交突破”，而中国大陆方面则批评此举为“偷渡”与“窜访”，大陆评论人胡锡进更形容他是“越狱”。 这次成功出访，算是台湾的一次外交突破，还是预示台湾面临更严峻的国际空间限缩？赖清德的返程路线将面临哪些现实挑战？此事又将如何影响即将登场的中美元首峰会？ 这期的早报播客《东谈西论》，听主持人韩咏红与台湾政治大学兼任教授严震生，以及《联合早报》驻台北记者缪宗翰为您深度解析。 延伸阅读： 胡锡进：赖清德以令人瞠目结舌方式从台湾越狱  赖清德从斯威士兰返台经过五国上空 包括印马菲  Taiwan President Lai Ching-te has completed a closely watched visit to Eswatini, the island’s only remaining diplomatic ally in Africa, underscoring Taipei’s shrinking international space amid pressure from Beijing. The trip, tied to celebrations marking King Mswati III’s 40th year on the throne, also drew sharp criticism from China, which derided it as a “stowaway-style” visit. Travel arrangements were reportedly complicated by airspace constraints, which Taiwan attributed to external pressure by China, though details remain unclear. During the visit, Lai met King Mswati III, reaffirmed bilateral ties, and witnessed the signing of cooperation agreements. He emphasised Taiwan’s determination to maintain its international presence despite diplomatic isolation. China reiterated its opposition to any official exchanges with Taiwan, while the United States expressed support for Taiwan’s international engagement. The episode highlights how Taiwan’s limited diplomatic relationships are increasingly shaped by broader geopolitical tensions. Join host Han Yonghong with Yen Chen-shen, Adjunct Professor at National Chengchi University, and Lianhe Zaobao journalist Zong-Han Miaw as they examine what Lai’s African trip signals for Taiwan’s global standing. Hosted by Lianhe Zaobao’s Associate Editor, Han Yong Hong, Global Heartbeat is a Mandarin weekly news and current affairs podcast that is updated every Tuesday, 7.00 PM SGT. It is available on zaobao.sg, Apple Podcast, Spotify and other podcast platforms. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

    27 min

  7. Apr 21

    欧盟“刺头”匈牙利变天 全球极右翼受挫 Hungary's vote: A bellwether for global populism?

    欧洲中部国家匈牙利于4月12日举行了国会选举。律师出身的青年政治人物彼得·马扎尔（Peter Magyar），领导蒂萨党（Tisza Party）取得压倒性胜利，一举推翻了原总理欧尔班长达16年的统治。 马扎尔是谁？他凭借什么创造了这次胜利？ 在欧洲，匈牙利不过是人口不足1000万的小国，这次选举却引起举世关注。它是否代表着全球右翼势力和民粹主义的一次挫折？美国副总统万斯在选前还专程到匈牙利为欧尔班助选，但欧尔班依然败阵，这又说明了什么？ 这期的早报播客《东谈西论》，听主持人韩咏红与旅欧中国作家、国际政治研究者王庆民深度解析。 延伸阅读： 王庆民：意识形态与国际博弈下的匈牙利大选  毕达：匈牙利变天 邻国庆幸 In a stunning political upset, Hungary’s parliamentary election on April 12, 2026, ended Viktor Orbán’s 16-year rule. The opposition Tisza Party, led by Peter Magyar, won a landslide victory that is set to reshape Hungary’s political future and reverberate across Europe. The result came despite last-minute campaigning in Orbán’s favor by U.S. Vice President JD Vance, underscoring the international attention surrounding the race. For more than a decade, Orbán has been seen as the standard-bearer of Europe’s illiberal right, reshaping Hungary’s constitution, media landscape, and institutions. In 2022, the European Parliament described Hungary as a “hybrid regime of electoral autocracy,” arguing that it could no longer be considered a full democracy. Against that backdrop, Magyar’s rapid rise and Tisza’s breakthrough have stunned observers and raised broader questions about the direction of right-wing politics in Europe and beyond. Join us on this episode of Global Heartbeat, where host Han Yonghong and Europe-based political analyst and freelance writer Wang Qingmin examine what this historic result means for Hungary, the future of right-wing politics, and democracy in Europe. Hosted by Lianhe Zaobao’s Associate Editor, Han Yong Hong, Global Heartbeat is a Mandarin weekly news and current affairs podcast that is updated every Tuesday, 7.00 PM SGT. It is available on zaobao.sg, Apple Podcast, Spotify and other podcast platforms. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

    20 min

  8. Apr 14

    “习郑会”落幕 谁是赢家？Cheng Li-wun's China trip: Sweet deals or sugar-coated poison?

    台湾最大在野党中国国民党主席郑丽文于星期天结束了为期六天的大陆行，并带回了来自北京的“十项惠台政策大礼包”。 此趟行程，郑丽文先后走访上海、江苏与北京，不仅拜谒了南京中山陵、参访北京故宫及知名企业，更与中国大陆国家主席习近平举行会谈，全程受到高规格礼遇。 执政的民进党政府对此严厉抨击，批评郑丽文此行是迎合中共叙事，并指这十项惠台政策实为“糖衣毒药”，行政院院长卓荣泰更批郑丽文此举是“玩火玩过头”。 本次大陆行，对郑丽文究竟是加分还是减分？这场政治博弈中，最终谁是赢家，又有哪些输家？郑丽文“登陆”的最终结果，又将对年底的台湾地方选举产生什么影响？ 这期的早报播客《东谈西论》，听主持人韩咏红与台湾致理科技大学国际贸易系副教授张弘远及《联合早报》中国新闻记者缪宗翰深入解析。 延伸阅读： 特稿：习郑会民族叙事前置 北京柔性论述重塑对台框架 【视频】“习郑会” 谈中华与和平：两岸关系要“牢牢掌握在中国人手中” A high-stakes political visit has just concluded, with Taiwanese opposition leader Cheng Li-wun wrapping up her six-day trip to mainland China, including a high-profile meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping, the first such visit by a sitting Kuomintang (KMT) chairperson in a decade. Her itinerary included Shanghai, Nanjing and Beijing, with stops at Sun Yat-sen’s Mausoleum and the Palace Museum, as well as visits to Chinese companies. During the trip, Beijing announced 10 cross-strait measures aimed at boosting exchanges, trade and people-to-people ties, including support for tourism, transport, and Taiwanese farm and fishery products. Chinese state media described the package as a goodwill gesture for ordinary Taiwanese, while Taiwan’s Cabinet and Mainland Affairs Council warned that it was designed to deepen dependence and expand Beijing’s leverage. The response in Taiwan was sharply divided. The ruling Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) accused Cheng of echoing Beijing’s narrative and recasting cross-strait relations on Beijing’s terms, while officials described the measures as “sugar-coated poison.” Taiwan’s government also stressed that any matters involving public authority must be handled through official, equal negotiations rather than party-to-party channels. The key question now is whether Cheng’s visit will strengthen the KMT’s claim that it can stabilise cross-strait ties, or instead deepen voter mistrust of engagement with Beijing ahead of Taiwan’s local elections. That debate will be explored in this episode of Global Heartbeat with host Han Yong Hong, Associate Professor Chang Hung Yuan from Chihlee University of Technology, and Lianhe Zaobao China News journalist Zong-Han Miaw. Hosted by Lianhe Zaobao’s Associate Editor Han Yonghong, Global Heartbeat is a weekly Mandarin news and current affairs podcast published every Tuesday. It is available on Lianhe Zaobao website and app, Apple Podcasts, Spotify and other podcast platforms. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

    34 min
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4.3
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12 Ratings

About

纵观天下，监测中国心跳，由《联合早报》副总编辑韩咏红主持的国际时事播客《东谈西论》，每周探讨国际热点话题，分析国际政治动态。

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