Tom Nelson

Thomas Nelson
  • 4.9 (37)
  • Natural Sciences

Interviews and presentations on climate/energy realism and more, with guests including Will Happer, Jerome Corsi, Marc Morano, Carl-Otto Weiss, Valentina Zharkova, Christopher Essex, Henrik Svensmark, Patrick Moore, Ross McKitrick, Willie Soon, Susan Crockford, Peter Ridd, Christopher Monckton, and Richard Lindzen.

  1. 2d ago

    James Kamis: “El Nino/La Nina system generated by geological forces” #440

    Geologist James Kamis argues El Niño and La Niña are generated by geological forces near a stationary Pacific Ring of Fire source, not primarily by trade-wind shifts. Citing cone-shaped warming/cooling patterns, helium concentrations as volcanic indicators, burst-like heat “blobs,” sharp temperature boundaries, centuries of recorded events, seafloor volcanoes, hydrothermal vents, trenches, and methane hydrate “ice rocks,” he proposes magma heat melts hydrates to create La Niña cooling and continued heating yields El Niño warming. He compares related phenomena (El Padre/La Madre), points to rapid North Atlantic warming linked to a spreading center, and says volcanic impacts may be underestimated in climate studies. He calls for more seafloor mapping and denser Argo buoy coverage. 00:00 Meet the Geologist 01:14 Geology Behind ENSO 03:09 Why Wind Theory Fails 05:16 Volcanic Evidence 10:18 Ring of Fire Origins 11:05 Ocean Floor Revealed 12:20 Undersea Volcanoes 14:20 Hydrothermal Heat Engine 16:09 Faults and Quakes 17:19 Methane Hydrates Model 20:01 Source Area Deep Dive 21:46 La Niña Mechanics 23:33 Analog Events Worldwide 27:29 Atlantic Heat Spike 29:27 Climate Change Impacts 33:25 Wrap Up and Q&A Kamis’ website: https://www.plateclimatology.com/ ========= Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

  2. 6d ago

    Dave Burton: “Lifetimes Of Atmospheric CO2 And Heat” #439

    David Burton argues recent warming (~1.25°C since 1870) is small and often overstated, while CO2 benefits crops and ecosystems by boosting growth and water efficiency, reducing famine risk alongside fossil-fuel-based nitrogen fertilizer. He says storm and sea-level data show little acceleration, citing linear long-term tide-gauge records like Honolulu and noting local land motion dominates. His paper discusses multiple CO2 “lifetimes”: turnover (3–5 years), bomb-spike radiocarbon (~20 years), and the climate-relevant adjustment time he estimates at ~55±10 years, with a long tail he deems currently unimportant. He criticizes IPCC “cumulative emissions/TCRE” and “carbon budget” concepts as unphysical, analyzes direct waste heat as negligible (~52–58 days), and promotes his sealevel.info tools and archived Climategate emails. 00:00 Meet David Burton 00:23 How Much Warming Really 02:04 Ice Ages And Freezing Thresholds 03:06 CO2 Greening And Crop Gains 05:28 Famine History And Fertilizer 07:48 Storms Tornadoes And Sea Level 11:00 Paper Overview CO2 Lifetimes 11:55 Turnover Bomb Spike Adjustment 14:31 Cumulative Emissions Myth 15:38 Heat Pulse Lifetime 19:45 Suess Effect Carbon14 Confusion 27:03 Why CO2 Rises Negative Feedbacks 30:03 Linear Removal Rate And Limits 34:14 Why Plant Uptake Stays Linear 35:30 CO2 Boosts Crop Yields 37:03 Airborne Fraction Myth 39:16 Emissions Plateau Math 42:14 Long Tail Lifespan Debate 43:40 Cumulative Emissions Critique 48:49 Carbon Budget Pushback 50:50 How Long Heat Lasts 55:10 Where to Find More 56:39 Sea Level Tools vs NOAA 01:01:05 Climategate Archive Access 01:02:56 Ocean Chemistry and Carbonate 01:08:08 Climate Industry FUD Wrap https://co2coalition.org/teammember/david-burton/ ClimateGate emails on Dave’s site: https://x.com/TomANelson/status/1916076156371058904 Watts Up With That article on Dave’s site: https://wattsupwiththat.com/2017/01/21/new-website-gives-you-the-real-deal-on-sea-level-rise-and-rates/ ========= Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

  3. Oct 20

    Chuck Wiese: “Contradicting Conclusions From Atmospheric Science” #438

    Chuck Weiss presents his background in atmospheric science, meteorology, aviation, and inventing the Windicator, then argues Oregon universities and public schools promote a politicized “climate crisis” despite Oregon’s small share of global emissions. He defines the greenhouse effect as a radiation-flux difference and claims water vapor and clouds dominate radiative processes while CO2 mainly cools the troposphere and has negligible warming influence, especially over oceans. He argues convection and the hydrologic cycle negate CO2 effects, climate models fail due to grid-resolution and energy-tracking limits, and key predictions (e.g., tropical mid-troposphere “hotspot”) conflict with balloon/satellite data. He attributes recent warming to declining albedo, alleges temperature-data manipulation, disputes extreme-weather and Arctic-ice claims, and criticizes green-energy policies as costly and ineffective. 00:00 Meet Chuck Weiss 00:25 Credentials and Forecasting Wins 02:34 Aviation Career Highlights 03:08 Why He Challenges CO2 Theory 04:38 Oregon Climate Politics Critique 07:39 Schools and Climate Indoctrination 09:19 Defining the Greenhouse Effect 12:00 Greenhouse Gases Spectrum Breakdown 16:51 Why Greenhouse Gases Cool Air 18:49 Water Vapor Drives Convection 22:50 Clouds Cancel CO2 Warming 24:53 Ocean Absorption Reality Check 27:14 How Climate Models Work 31:48 Model Predictions vs Observations 36:04 Hotspot Failure in Mid Troposphere 39:01 Temperature Data Adjustments 42:00 Satellite Record Teaser 42:17 Satellite Warming Pause 43:41 Albedo Drives Warming 44:37 Radiative Forcing Critique 48:37 Hansen CO2 Claims 50:13 Emissions vs CO2 Rise 52:14 CO2 Cycle and E-Time 55:59 Severe Weather Myth 01:01:45 Trenberth Missing Heat 01:03:03 Arctic Ice Reality Check 01:04:58 Fake Crisis Wrap-Up 01:06:56 Why Climate Models Fail 01:09:29 AI and Turbulence Talk 01:14:46 Flying in Heat and Cold 01:17:41 Final Policy Takeaway Chuck Wiese’s Critique of the 6th Oregon Climate assessment: https://edberry.com/critique-of-the-6th-oregon-climate-assessment/ More at Ed Berry’s site here: https://edberry.com/?s=wiese ========= Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

  4. Oct 16

    Iain Davis: “The Technocratic Dark State” | Tom Nelson Pod #437

    Iain Davis discusses his book The Technocratic Dark State, arguing Silicon Valley oligarchs (e.g., Thiel, Musk, Andreessen, Altman, Ellison) steer policy toward a tokenized “everything” economy, including natural assets, carbon markets, and a vastly expanded paper valuation. He says climate narratives may be rebranded across political demographics to sell the same goal: technocratic digital control via programmable money, digital identity, AI-driven surveillance, and BIS-led cross-border “interoperable” payment standards. Davis warns censorship will shift from speech to “reach,” citing the UK Online Safety Act and arrests for online comments, and describes “everything apps,” biometrics-based payments, and geo-fenced spending as tools for automated compliance and fines. He contends surveillance is already pervasive through devices and apps, and says adoption is ultimately a public choice. 00:00 Meet Iain Davis 00:11 Silicon Valley and Trump 03:10 Tokenizing Everything 05:18 Carbon Markets and Nature 08:39 Climate Narrative Rebrand 10:51 Digital Control Pitch 12:51 Free Speech and Shadowbans 16:04 Online Safety and Censorship 20:31 X as Everything App 23:05 Crisis Pressure and Control 28:04 Debt and Tokenized Assets 32:03 Stablecoins and New Rails 33:49 Programmable Money Interop 35:51 BIS Controls Standards 37:49 Bitcoin as Reserve Asset 41:13 Programmable Money Fears 42:12 AI Data Lake Control 46:31 Robots and Adoption Incentives 50:54 Mass Surveillance Reality 56:05 Face Pay and Auto Fines 58:45 Digital ID Skepticism 01:02:07 Agentic State Explained 01:06:15 Wrap Up and Choice https://iaindavis.com/ https://www.ukcolumn.org/writer/iain-davis https://x.com/_InThisTogether ========= Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

  5. Oct 13

    Paul Burgess: “An explanation of climate change, pure and simple” | Tom Nelson Pod #436

    Paul Burgess presents his “Oceanic Index” model of climate change, arguing oceans regulate low cloud cover that acts as Earth’s thermostat, explaining satellite-era temperatures (1982–2025) with high accuracy and extending the approach back using proxies. He accepts anthropogenic CO2 and a direct ECS near 1–1.2°C per doubling, estimating about 0.6°C warming from CO2 since 1850, but rejects IPCC feedbacks and says a ~2.4% reduction in low clouds can account for additional warming, consistent with CERES radiation data where ocean changes lead cloud changes and then temperature. He discusses mechanisms from meteorology (marine inversion changes), historical periods (Little Ice Age, Roman/Medieval warmth) as largely natural, critiques temperature records and climate messaging, and briefly comments on Lindzen’s iris effect and energy policy debates. 00:00 Cloud Thermostat Intro 01:25 Oceanic Index Basics 03:16 What I Accept 04:45 Out of Sample Proof 06:00 ECS Debate Explained 07:32 Ocean Cloud Mechanism 09:16 CERES Sunshade Evidence 12:59 Small Cloud Drop Big Warming 14:26 Back to 1695 16:34 Holocene Lessons 17:40 Oceans Through Minima 20:57 Warm Periods Without CO2 22:03 Mediterranean Cloud Check 24:51 Extending Index to 1800s 28:02 Connolly Adjustment Fit 29:49 El Nino 1870s Peak 30:55 El Niño Context 31:22 ECS Assumptions 31:52 Clouds Fill The Gap 33:32 Feedback Claim Rebuttal 34:57 Frozen Formula Validation 36:02 CERES Versus IPCC 38:04 Scorecard Evidence 40:12 Cloud Mechanism Explained 41:07 Kid Friendly Ocean Cycle 44:21 Alarmism And Propaganda 50:49 Iris Effect Question 52:40 Net Zero Cost Reality 55:27 Closing Thoughts Climate Realism by Paul Burgess: https://www.youtube.com/@ClimateRealism Main paper: https://paulburgess3.substack.com/p/how-the-sun-via-the-oceans-controls The paper on comparing the  Mediterranean study: https://paulburgess3.substack.com/p/a-mediterranean-study-of-the-effect The Paper On The  Holocene as far as LIA: https://paulburgess3.substack.com/p/holocene-to-the-little-ice-age-a ========= Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

  6. Oct 9

    Ed Hoskins: “Weather-Dependent “Renewables” | Tom Nelson Pod #435

    Ed Hoskins presents slides comparing renewables (onshore/offshore wind, solar PV, plus biomass and hydro) with gas, coal/lignite, and nuclear on productivity, EROEI, CO2 embedded in construction, land use, materials, build time, service life, and costs adjusted for capacity factors. He cites European capacity factors since 2010 (offshore ~32%, onshore ~20s, solar ~11%), a combined renewables average near 15% and declining since 2020, and a 2023 wind lull leaving large multi-day deficits. He argues storage to cover such gaps is infeasible, renewables require backup and expanded grids, wear out faster, and become far costlier once productivity is included; nuclear is most energy-productive. He criticizes Germany’s nuclear shutdown and questions CO2-driven policy. 00:00 Renewables Reality Check 02:17 Capacity Factors Since 2010 05:33 Dispatchability And Grid Backup 08:42 Wind Drought Case Study 11:43 Storage Costs And Scale 13:25 Energy Return On Investment 16:19 Germany Nuclear Shutdown 17:35 Embedded CO2 And Biomass 21:38 Land Use And Grid Sprawl 25:01 Build Times And Lifespans 29:16 Cost Comparisons With Productivity 41:00 2025 Installations And Conclusions 46:48 CO2 Warming Diminishing Returns 49:34 Q&A Grid Reliability And China 56:06 Wrap Up And Resources About Ed: https://edmhdotme.wpcomstaging.com/ https://edhoskins.substack.com/ CO2 concentration Ed Hoskins 2014: https://edmhdotme.wpcomstaging.com/co2-concentration-ed-hoskins-2014/ ========= Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

  7. Oct 6

    Randall Bock: “Non-scary viruses” | Tom Nelson Pod #434

    Dr. Randall Bock, a primary-care physician and author of Overturning Zika, argues that public-health research and media often fuel panic to secure funding, citing Peter Hotez’s warnings about dengue, chikungunya, Zika, and a “lights out” U.S. yellow fever scenario. Bock says U.S. sanitation and mosquito control limit these risks and that vaccines could be ramped up quickly. He contends the 2015–16 Brazil Zika–microcephaly crisis was driven by inconsistent microcephaly definitions, weak testing, and miscounting, noting Zika later persisted without microcephaly. He criticizes Zika human challenge trials and Fauci-era spending, discusses “science under siege” rhetoric, and briefly shares cautious views on childhood vaccination timing. 00:00 Why Non-Scary Viruses 01:29 Who Am I 03:09 Hotez Warning Yellow Fever 05:46 Climate Link Tomatoes Analogy 07:37 Yellow Fever Reality Check 08:35 COVID Vaccine Warp Speed 11:25 Zika Forecasts Fell Flat 16:11 Microcephaly Counting Mess 20:42 Vaccines and Zika Trials 26:37 Science Under Siege Critique 30:15 Dark Money and mRNA Push 32:56 Mann Lawsuit and Hygiene 35:14 Hygiene and Dengue 36:01 McNeil and Zika Panic 39:53 Microcephaly Metrics 42:08 Hotez and Fauci Reboots 44:37 Soviet Science Rhetoric 47:53 Yellow Fever Scares 50:12 Ghost Babies Fallout 59:22 Vaccines Parenting Choices https://x.com/@DrRandallBock https://dailysceptic.org/2026/09/28/the-experts-are-still-trying-to-scare-us-with-non-scary-viruses/ ========= Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

  8. Oct 2

    John Costella: “ClimateGate” #433

    John Costella, a former physicist turned data scientist and software engineer, recounts how watching climate-skeptic films, then reading leaked “Climategate” emails in 2009, changed his trust in climate science. He edited, annotated, and published selected emails, producing a 180-page color book printed by Australia’s Lavoisier Group, arguing the core group was small, politicized, PR-driven, and statistically sloppy, with bullying (including by Michael Mann). He says inquiries cleared wrongdoing but standards were low for policies with huge economic stakes. He then warns AI is already conscious and smarter than him, replacing white-collar jobs, inflating bubbles, and likely triggering a major economic crash soon, with unclear survival strategies. 00:00 Meet John Costella 00:23 Trusting Climate Consensus 01:10 Sally Challenges Belief 03:10 Skeptic Film Turning Point 04:34 Climategate Emails Leak 05:53 Publishing The Email Archive 07:54 Talks And Printed Book 09:57 Rethinking Scientific Standards 16:02 How Long The Book Took 17:48 Climate Science Complexity 22:45 PR Spin And Zealotry 31:04 Small Core Group Problem 32:40 Proxies Data And Peer Review 36:42 Gatekeeping Climate Journals 38:27 Data and Code Transparency 39:56 Sloppy Data Provenance 41:07 Statistics and Trust Collapse 43:19 Models and Feedback Loops 46:02 PR Versus Scientific Method 49:16 Skepticism and Pandemic Parallels 52:54 Bullying and Cult Dynamics 55:23 AI Consciousness and Job Loss 01:00:21 Skynet Risks and Data Centers 01:05:17 Simulation Theory and AI Rights 01:08:39 Economic Crash Survival Talk 01:13:39 Wrapping Up and Links https://johncostella.com/ https://www.lavoisier.com.au/articles/greenhouse-science/climate-change/climategate-emails.pdf ClimateGate repository: https://x.com/TomANelson/status/2078198047453143181 My ClimateGate blog posts: https://tomnelson.blogspot.com/p/climategate_05.html ========= Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

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4.9
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About

Interviews and presentations on climate/energy realism and more, with guests including Will Happer, Jerome Corsi, Marc Morano, Carl-Otto Weiss, Valentina Zharkova, Christopher Essex, Henrik Svensmark, Patrick Moore, Ross McKitrick, Willie Soon, Susan Crockford, Peter Ridd, Christopher Monckton, and Richard Lindzen.

Information

  • Creator
    Thomas Nelson
  • Years Active
    2022 - 2026
  • Episodes
    442
  • Rating
    Clean
  • Copyright
    © Thomas Nelson
  • Show Website
    Tom Nelson

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