Straight Outta Vegas AM

Pregame.com

Start your day off with a winner! The Pregame.com team breaks down the games, the stories & the bets you need to know every morning. With contributions from Pregame’s RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik & More!, SOV AM is your daily destination for sports conversation with a Vegas lean!

  1. 2d ago

    NFL Weekend Preview - Week 4

    Munaf Manji, SleepyJ and Dave Essler talk NFL betting for Week 4 and much more. Munaf Manji, Dave Essler and Sleepy J deliver a full NFL Week 4 weekend preview on the Straight Outta Vegas AM feed, with five deep dives, the key injury news, Survivor pool strategy and a handful of best bets. At 2:02 Munaf runs through the injuries that move the board, including DeVonta Smith and Dallas Goedert out for the Philadelphia Eagles, Justin Jefferson out for the Minnesota Vikings, Puka Nacua back for the Los Angeles Rams with Terrance Ferguson and Aaron Donald sidelined, Christian Gonzalez out for the New England Patriots and Marcus Mariota starting again for the Washington Commanders in place of Jayden Daniels. At 3:33 the crew heads to London, where the Indianapolis Colts are 4.5 point favorites with a total of 47.5. Sleepy loves Tyler Warren over 46.5 receiving yards in a concentrated Colts attack, Dave notes that Washington blitzes at the second highest rate in the league yet has only five sacks and leans over, and Munaf would take the Commanders plus the points if forced to choose. At 7:17 Munaf brings a striking trend to Jacksonville at Cincinnati, where the Jaguars are 1 and 24 straight up since 1999 when the total is 49 or higher. Dave jokes that the trend reaches back to Mark Brunell and still backs the Jaguars in a last possession game fueled by Liam Coen and the Travis Hunter storyline, while Sleepy and Munaf pass on the side and lean over 51.5. At 13:12 the panel lands its strongest opinion of the week on the Rams at the Eagles. Sleepy says sell Philly, arguing that Jalen Hurts struggles without Goedert, the offensive line cannot pass block and the Eagles may not reach 10 points. Munaf adds that the Rams are 10 and 3 straight up and against the spread as a road favorite off a loss since 2018, and Dave believes the Rams should be favored by six. At 21:40 the Denver Broncos visit the San Francisco 49ers at three with a total of 47.5, and with Nick Bosa out and Mike Evans and Dre Greenlaw banged up, Dave likes Denver and the under, Sleepy teases the Broncos up to 8.5 and Munaf joins the under. At 28:50 Sunday Night Football brings the Detroit Lions to Carolina as 3.5 point favorites, and with Jaycee Horn and Mike Jackson on injured reserve and Xavier Legette and Damien Lewis out, the crew backs the Lions team total over 27.5 along with Sam LaPorta and Amon Ra St. Brown overs, while watching a rainy forecast that could move the total. At 37:29 Sleepy shares Pregame.com code SCREEN15 for 15 dollars off anything. At 39:31 the Survivor conversation warns against the Minnesota Vikings, highlights the Miami Dolphins as a sharp underdog, makes a case for the Arizona Cardinals and the Rams, and Sleepy commits to the Buffalo Bills on the advice of Dave. Dave closes at 50:26 with the Kansas City Chiefs over the Las Vegas Raiders, citing Patrick Mahomes and his 13 and 2 career record against Las Vegas, before Munaf previews the Monday weekend rewind and the Atlanta Falcons at the New Orleans Saints. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

  2. 4d ago

    CFB Week 5 Preview + Best Bets !!

    Lonte Smith and Dave Essler talk betting for CFB Week 5 Lonte Smith and Uncle Dave Essler return for the Week 5 edition of RJ Bell's Dream Preview, College Football Edition, determined to bounce back from the first 0 and 2 week of the season while keeping the overall best bet record in the black, with Lonte at 2 and 2 and Dave at 3 and 1. At 1:58 the show opens with number 7 Alabama visiting Mississippi State at Davis Wade Stadium, where the Tide opened 6.5 point favorites before the line dipped to 5.5 or 6 and the total climbed to 60.5. Dave warns against recency bias after Alabama scored 50 on Florida State, pointing out that the Seminoles also scored 36 and piled up nearly 500 yards on that defense, and with Georgia coming to Tuscaloosa next week he takes the Mississippi State team total over. Lonte backs the Bulldogs in the first half, citing their first 4 and 0 start since 2014, a defense allowing 3.2 yards per carry, three straight 100 yard games from Fluff Bothwell and the blitz chess match between Kane Wommack and Kamario Taylor. At 6:53 the hosts turn to Virginia at Florida State, and both like the home underdog, with Lonte projecting a 23 to 20 grinder fueled by Ashton Daniels running the football and Dave calling it a potential career defining game for Mike Norvell ahead of trips to Louisville and Miami. At 10:14 Alex Golesh returns to Neyland Stadium as the Auburn head coach to face Josh Heupel, and Dave takes the Tennessee team total over after the Vols managed only 2.9 yards per play against Texas, while Lonte breaks down the North Carolina quarterback duel between Byrum Brown and Faizon Brandon and notes Auburn ranks among the worst coverage teams in the Power 4. At 15:06 Baylor at Arizona State gets labeled a volatile game, sharp money has pushed the line toward the Bears and the total down from 51 to 49.5, and both hosts land on the under while Dave admits he cannot get behind DJ Lagway. At 19:59 number 8 Florida visits Missouri laying 4.5, Dave calls the Tigers a paper tiger after they allowed almost 500 yards to Mississippi State and goes back to the Florida team total over after cashing it last week, and Lonte highlights Jadan Baugh and more than 600 rushing yards with 11 touchdowns before leaning to the over. At 25:20 Dave delivers his best bet, Wake Forest minus 12.5 over a Stanford team traveling east for the second time in three weeks, and at 27:34 Lonte answers with UConn plus 6.5 against Syracuse, pointing to the strong underdog record of Jason Candle, a power rating closer to 4 and deep familiarity between the two coaching staffs. The episode closes with a rapid fire round at 29:52 covering Notre Dame at North Carolina, Minnesota and Michigan, Ohio State at Iowa, Pitt and Virginia Tech, Louisville at NC State and Miami against Clemson, with team total unders, a Louisville and NC State over and a blunt verdict on whether Clemson can keep it close. Bet responsibly, shop for the best number and catch every weekly college football betting breakdown from the Pregame.com crew. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

  3. Sep 28

    NFL Week 3 Recap + Week 4 Lookahead

    SleepyJ and Dave Essler talk NFL Week 3 recap. Sleepy J and Dave Essler of Pregame.com break down every Week 3 Sunday game in the NFL, separating the real results from the misleading ones and flagging the Week 4 numbers worth attacking, with Munaf Manji away tending to family. At 1:00 the show opens with Jacksonville routing New England 35 to 6, a game Uncle Dave had as his best bet, and at 1:33 he declares that Drake Maye 3.0 is not Drake Maye 2.0, pointing to failures on special teams, in tackling, and with penalties. At 2:35 Sleepy asks whether injuries to A.J. Brown, TreVeyon Henderson, and the offensive line explain the slide, and Dave says it is all of the above, adding cluster injuries in the secondary. At 4:20 the box score shows New England actually outgained Jacksonville 317 to 315, but the Jaguars went 8 for 12 on third down and won the turnover battle, and by 6:49 the sold sign is officially up on the Patriots ahead of their trip to Buffalo. At 7:31 Sleepy explains why the Bills 24 to 16 win over the Chargers was not as close as it looked, since Buffalo committed five turnovers and still won, and Dave calls it a C game victory that shows the gap between a good team and a mediocre one while floating the 0 and 3 Chargers as a live dog at Seattle. At 14:13 the hosts dissect Washington stunning Seattle 33 to 31, with Sleepy arguing Marcus Mariota is worth less than three points below Jayden Daniels and questioning the Seahawks for benching rookie running back Jadarian Price after an early fumble, while Dave at 18:29 counters with adjusted score and EPA data that favored Seattle 28 to 17. At 23:14 Deshaun Watson rallies Cleveland past Carolina 21 to 18, but Dave sees a Panthers downgrade more than a Browns upgrade after Bryce Young threw 48 times and Tetairoa McMillan managed just 17 yards. At 30:09 Pittsburgh tops Cincinnati behind 400 yards of offense, Sleepy says the Bengals beat themselves, and both hosts believe Cleveland could be live on Thursday night. At 35:59 Dave eyes Jacksonville and the over against Cincinnati, and at 37:18 the crew covers Kansas City beating Miami 24 to 10, with Sleepy crediting a feisty Dolphins effort and Dave labeling Minnesota the most paper 3 and 0 team in the NFL, making Miami a sharp look at plus 10. At 48:21 Baltimore walks off against Dallas, at 51:14 Indianapolis edges Houston 19 to 17 behind a comfortable Daniel Jones while C.J. Stroud struggles without Nico Collins, and both hosts lean Dallas at Houston. At 57:23 the Giants grind past Tennessee 12 to 7 with Jameis Winston replacing an injured Jaxson Dart, and at 1:01:28 Sleepy cashes the over as San Francisco outlasts Arizona 36 to 30, with both hosts backing Jacoby Brissett and the Cardinals against the Giants. At 1:06:21 the Raiders top a turnover prone Saints team, at 1:09:58 Denver beats the Rams with what Dave calls smoke and mirrors, and at 1:12:41 Detroit holds off Geno Smith and the Jets 31 to 24 as the market downgrades the Lions. The recurring lesson all episode is simple, the team that makes the fewest mistakes keeps winning, and at 1:15:00 the hosts tease their Monday Night Football plays on Eagles at Bears with Case Keenum expected to start for Chicago, available now at Pregame.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

  4. Sep 24

    CFB Week 4 Predictions + Best Bets !!

    Lonte Smith and Dave Essler talk college football betting for Week 4. Lonte Smith and Dave Essler return with the College Football Edition of the Dream Preview from RJ Bell, riding a perfect 2 and 0 Best Bet week into a loaded Week 4 card. At 0:31 Lonte recaps the run, with Dave still unbeaten on Best Bets and Lonte cashing an outright winner on West Virginia. At 1:51 the show heads to SECU Stadium, where UCLA opened as a 2.5 point favorite at Maryland before the market moved toward the Terrapins and the total dropped from 59.5 to 56.5. At 3:06 Dave weighs the sharp money against the eye test, citing the cross country trip, an Oregon look ahead and the points UCLA allowed to Purdue, and he leans Maryland and the over. At 4:26 Lonte backs Malik Washington, a Maryland pass rush that ranks top 10 nationally in sacks and receiver Chris Durr Jr., while noting the record pace of UCLA running back Wayne Knight. At 5:27 the spotlight turns to Neyland Stadium, where Texas lays 4.5 at Tennessee in a noon kickoff. At 6:54 Dave explains why he refuses to follow the herd onto the Longhorns and why he has never trusted Steve Sarkisian in big spots. At 8:46 Lonte breaks down freshman quarterback Faizon Brandon, a Tennessee ground game averaging 7 yards per carry with 11 rushing touchdowns, and the blitz packages Jim Knowles could throw at Arch Manning, then takes Tennessee plus 5.5 and the under. At 10:49 the crew moves to Athens, where Georgia is laying roughly two touchdowns to Oklahoma. At 12:18 Dave calls the Georgia defense the best in the nation and takes the under, and at 13:16 Lonte explains how the injury to David Stone, a struggling John Mateer and a Sooner run game averaging 3.6 yards per carry point toward a 17 to 13 type of final. At 15:52 the hosts preview Texas A and M at LSU in Tiger Stadium, with Marcel Reed and the Aggies missing key weapons. At 17:47 Dave points to the Aggies allowing Kentucky 7.6 yards per play at home and grabs the LSU team total over, and at 19:37 Lonte sees blowout potential under the lights. At 20:59 the old Pac 12 rivalry arrives at the Coliseum as Oregon lays 3 at USC with a total of 62.5. At 21:44 Dave notes that USC allowed Rutgers 460 yards and Oregon lost at Oklahoma State, and both hosts land on the over, with Lonte planning a live bet on the Trojans. At 26:22 the pair debates whether Oregon can climb back into the playoff race, and Dave admits he would rip up an Oregon national title ticket. At 27:39 Lonte shares the Weekend All Access offer at Pregame.com with promo code PASS20. At 28:31 Dave delivers his Best Bet on Iowa State plus 8.5 at home against an undefeated Utah team that has yet to face a real defense. At 29:33 Lonte fires his Best Bet on Indiana minus 21 against Northwestern, citing Josh Hoover and a defense with back to back shutouts. At 31:19 the show closes with quick hits on Florida against Ole Miss, Boise State at Western Michigan, Wisconsin against Penn State and Minnesota against Washington. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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Start your day off with a winner! The Pregame.com team breaks down the games, the stories & the bets you need to know every morning. With contributions from Pregame’s RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik & More!, SOV AM is your daily destination for sports conversation with a Vegas lean!

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