The Sportsbook Sharps

Andy Reust
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  • UPDATED WEEKLY

Your edge in sports betting.  New episodes weekly.

  1. DEC 13

    Notre Dame Didn’t Make The Playoff And Somehow It’s Everyone Else’s Fault

    Send us a text Cold streaks don’t scare us; they sharpen the edges. We open with a hard look at last week’s 1–7 thud and why process, timing, and line movement matter more than one ugly card. From there, we light up our Stay Frosty segment with Kevin Stefanski’s job security and a deeper critique of talent evaluation in Cleveland, including how the Shadur decision became a public mess that bled into on-field results. College football brings shock and opportunity. Indiana’s rise from decades of losing to Big Ten champions is more than a feel-good headline; it’s a case study in the right hire, NIL alignment, and cultural overhaul. Then we turn up the heat on Notre Dame’s playoff complaints. Head-to-head results, two losses, and the tight squeeze created by SEC and Big Ten weight tell a simple truth: join a conference or own the at-large gamble. If you care about futures and value, understanding these structural levers is the difference between chasing noise and owning the window. The NFL slate is where market memory gets punished. The Chiefs look broken, the Bengals are effectively out, and the Bears lose by the hook in classic fashion. We break down why the Chargers plus the points in Kansas City has merit, why the Rams number still feels short, and why Miami offers sneaky value in Pittsburgh. We even entertain a delicious theory: Phillip Rivers’ comeback as a Hall of Fame clock reset while chasing Big Ben on the yardage list. Whether you buy it or not, narratives move numbers. Bowl season strategy lands with a clear heuristic: fade the name brands when opt-outs and coaching churn sap motivation, and back programs like Boise State that treat the stage like a prize. We close with the card: New England as a live home dog, Miami to spoil a streak, group locks on totals and sides, and our flag-plant pick—Denver on the moneyline at altitude behind an elite defense. Ride the edges, not the logos. If this breakdown helped, follow, share with a friend who bets Sundays, and drop your lock in the comments so we can sweat it together.

    43 min

  2. DEC 6

    We Break Down CFP Rankings Shifts, Coach Firings, Betting Angles, And Why X Is Broken

    Send us a text A six-and-two heater while we were off set the tone: momentum, superstition, and a leaderboard that might be decided by a San Francisco win total. We open with the contest math and then barrel into college basketball’s early reality checks—Kentucky wobbling, Purdue covering, and Tom Izzo’s group looking like a problem. Louisville over IU, Michigan State’s home edge, Illinois catching points at Tennessee, and an Arizona team crushing numbers all land on the betting radar, with clear reasons rooted in tempo, defense, and coaching adjustments. Then the temperature drops. Stay Frosty targets Penn State AD Pat Kraft for a mid-season firing without a fast, airtight hiring plan ahead of signing day. The fallout—recruits bolting, rival momentum, and a torpedoed class—turns into a larger lesson about how athletic departments should handle timelines, staff continuity, and recruiting bridges. The carousel keeps spinning: Lane Kiffin to LSU, with a frank take on playoff math and big-program patience in a world of limited at-large bids. We rewind the biggest results and the biggest myths. Ohio State methodically solved its Michigan problem. Texas A&M and Texas catch a reality check on soft résumés. The NFL swings from Cowboys whiplash to an AFC North mudfight to Kansas City’s identity crisis—fatigue, complacency, or just roster entropy around Mahomes. The prescription is familiar: keep the elite core, refresh the edges, and find hungry pieces who change the team’s urgency. CFP chaos looms if a few underdogs bite, and we map the spicy routes versus the boring chalk. On the betting sheet, we focus on actionable edges: Michigan State’s home advantage, Arizona’s depth against the number, underdog value where the pass rush travels, and a conviction play that jumps off the screen—Bears +6.5 at Green Bay. When a spread feels wrong against form and matchup, we don’t overthink it. If this mix of sharp angles, unvarnished rants, and clear picks hits your brain just right, subscribe, share with a friend, and drop a review. Tell us your lock and the line you think the market got wrong.

    1h 6m

  3. NOV 21

    From SEC Bias To Cincinnati’s Wild Sports Weekend

    Send us a text Cold streaks make the best audits. We opened the books on a rough run, admitted the dog is beating most of our crew, and then got to the real work: finding small edges with oversized impact. From college hoops pricing to NFL coaching heat, this one moves fast and hits where the lines are soft. We dig into Purdue’s rank whiplash, Houston’s steady covers, and why neutral-site tournaments twist perception. Then it’s Stay Frosty time: Brian Daboll is out, the Bengals’ defense needs a reset, and Jonathan Gannon lands on the hot seat as Arizona slides. If you bet futures or weekly sides, this is where coaching, context, and personnel combine into a cleaner read. The NFL landscape is pure chaos: Denver dethrones its boogeyman, Kansas City flirts with desperation, the Colts’ record hides a brutal stretch ahead, and Chicago’s surprising push shakes up the NFC North. We also take a real-world detour through Cincinnati’s sports weekend—from high school playoffs in an NFL stadium to college hoops and MLS—and why venue design and crowd flow can tilt live-betting moments. Our best value play comes with a simple operational fix: Jaguars -3 at Arizona. Trevor Lawrence finally embraced the play-call wristband, shaving precious seconds, reducing penalties, and boosting tempo. Books price star returns; they’re slower to price process upgrades. Pair that with a Cardinals team underperforming expectations, and the mismatch emerges. If you’re here for sharp angles without the fluff, you’ll leave with a tighter card, a better read on market narratives, and a lock we’re willing to stamp. Follow and subscribe for weekly edges, share with a friend who needs sharper bets, and drop your take: does the dog get the trophy if he wins?

    1h 1m

  4. NOV 7

    Tortillas, Turnovers, And Tears: A Gambler’s Guide To A Weird Sports Week

    Send us a text Ratings boomed for a World Series that delivered nearly everything—pinch-hit heroics, extra-inning drama, and a gut-punch walk-off—while our betting ledger took its lumps and the Bengals’ defense veered into the history books for all the wrong reasons. We connect the dots between spectacle and strategy, translating the Dodgers’ repeat and the NFL’s chaos into practical edges you can actually bet. We kick off with the cold reality of last week’s card and why clinging to overs burned value, then pivot to a sharper approach built on matchups and coaching memory. Purdue anchors our quick college basketball preview with veteran guards and a bruising non-conference slate that sets up real March edges, plus early reads on Alabama, UNC, and Arkansas. From there, we lay out the college football board: Oregon’s must-win trip, BYU catching a generous number, and how venue rules and tradition can shape momentum and field position. The middle third gets spicy: Zach Taylor’s seat turns frosty as Cincinnati becomes a case study in how not to manage staff when the numbers scream change. We flag market traps from last week’s NFL scores, outline why home dogs deserve a second look, and revisit the Shanahan–McVay ledger to frame San Francisco’s value. Then we widen the lens: the ESPN–YouTube standoff throttles how fans watch, the ESPN Bet exit highlights product trust issues, and regulators flag abnormal wagering in UFC fights—proof that integrity risk should affect your stake sizing and market selection. To cap it off, we share the group’s picks and a lock built on ATS data, form, and matchup logic rather than hype. If you want fewer headaches and more closing-line value, this is your roadmap: ignore the noise, price the coaching, respect the travel, and lean into dogs with real structural advantages. If that’s your kind of card, follow the show, share it with a friend who bets Saturdays and Sundays, and leave a quick review so more sharp listeners can find us.

    42 min

  5. OCT 31

    Why ESPN’s and YouTube's Standoff Broke My Football Weekend

    Send us a text A Halloween hangover, a blacked-out playbook, and a slate that still pays. We open with the chaos of ESPN’s split from YouTube TV, including the surreal moment a DVR’d show vanished mid-episode, then pull the lens back to what it means for fans and bettors: more subscriptions, more logins, fewer live looks. If you’ve felt the pain of app-hopping on a college Saturday, you’re not alone—and yes, it’s costing you edges in live-betting and line reads. From there, we regroup and sharpen the card. We revisit last week’s college calls—BYU as a rat-line hammer and Vandy’s cover—before setting new positions with a simple rule: if we can’t watch it, we won’t bet it. That narrows the board and heightens conviction. On the NFL front, we parse matchups, not helmets: why Seattle should handle Washington, why Detroit can punish a shaky QB situation, and why Carolina’s big number is ripe for a cover. Short dogs with real defense, bloated favorites with hollow resumes—this is where prices get interesting. The centerpiece is our Lock of the Week: Cowboys–Cardinals Over 53.5. Dallas pairs a bottom-tier defense in third-down stops, red-zone resistance, and yards per play with a top-tier scoring offense. Add Arizona’s recent trend toward overs and the explosive play profiles on both sides, and you get a total that scares the public but rewards the prepared. High numbers exist for a reason; this one has multiple paths to cashing early. If the streaming wars are wearing you down, consider this your reset. Bet what you can watch, use metrics that matter, and let the market misprice reputation. If you found value here, tap follow, share the show with a friend, and drop your weekend pick or fade in the comments. Your best angle might start with a cleaner screen—subscribe now and stay sharp.

    42 min

  6. OCT 24

    Hey Lane Kiffin, Hot Yoga Won’t Cover The Spread!

    Send us a text Unexpected wins, FBI headlines, and one very loud half point. That’s how our week went, and we’re breaking down every pivot—from college stumbles to NFL saves—so you can spot value before the market wakes up. We start with a wild recap: an under that lived by inches, college favorites that fizzled, and a 33-point fourth quarter that rewrote the record books. Then we zoom out to the story shaking pro sports: federal raids, alleged injury leaks, and how inside info distorts player props and team lines long before the public notices. We don’t stop at headlines. The coaching hot seat heats up with firings at Florida and Colorado State and a hard look at Brian Kelly’s future at LSU as a brutal run against Texas A&M, Alabama, and Oklahoma looms. On the board, we flag mispriced college lines—BYU as a live dog at Iowa State, skepticism on Ole Miss’s staying power, and a potential letdown for Arizona State after a statement win. In the NFL, we highlight real edges: Mike Tomlin’s elite record as a home underdog, Chicago’s underrated ground game against a leaky Baltimore defense, and why the Chargers may finally be off the no-bet list. We also take aim at the streaming squeeze. When leagues tuck games behind fragmented paywalls, attendance drops, casual discovery fades, and betting liquidity suffers. MLS is the cautionary tale, and it matters to anyone who wants sharper prices and healthier markets. We wrap with our favorite angles and a confident lock on San Francisco as a short dog at Houston, leaning into defense, run-game certainty, and matchup leverage. Tail the picks, challenge the ones you hate, and tell us where you see the number drifting next. If you’re enjoying the show, follow and subscribe, share it with a friend who bets, and drop a quick review. It helps more sharp listeners find us and keeps the locks coming.

    56 min

  7. OCT 17

    We Track Chaos Across College And The NFL So You Can Bet Smarter

    Send us a text Sports betting swings hard when coaches fall and narratives crack, and this week had both. We open with accountability on our 4–4 slate and a strong NFL ATS clip, then dive straight into the college football earthquake: Penn State dumps James Franklin after back-to-back losses as huge favorites, the carousel spins at UCLA and Oregon State, and NIL-era expectations push boosters to chase instant turnarounds. We unpack how those moves actually shift spreads, influence tempo, and create one-week sugar highs that the market rarely prices correctly. From there, we spotlight Indiana’s transformation—speed, discipline, and a statement win over Oregon that hints at sustained value while legacy brands still get priced on reputation. The SEC’s middle looks wobbly, with narrow escapes and home-cooked schedules propping up rankings. That opens doors for measured contrarian plays: Georgia Tech value spots, Notre Dame overvaluation, and stay-aways where risk outruns the number. Our take: ignore helmets, trust current form, and follow opponent-adjusted metrics. The NFL section punches just as hard. Jets fans might want earmuffs: nine completions, nine sacks, and a coaching staff refusing to pivot. We press the Bills on defense under Sean McDermott and talk about why rookie QB success has warped owner patience and distorted market expectations. Add in London kickoffs and double Monday nighters, and you’ve got totals that depend on travel, timing, and coaching choices on fourth down. We break down the best angles on home dogs, why the Chargers remain a fade in tight spreads, and where rest advantages quietly move the needle. Two locks anchor the card with clear logic. First, Dolphins at Browns under 37.5 on the back of heavy rain and 50–60 mph gusts that erase field goals and force turnover-on-downs. Second, Seahawks-Texans over 40.5, boosted by competent QB play and a loud prime-time environment. Sprinkle in sharper leans—USC +9.5 at Notre Dame, skepticism on Georgia vs Ole Miss—and you’ve got a focused roadmap instead of a shotgun ticket. If you like data-backed edges, smart fades of public myths, and a few spicy rants about schedule creep, you’ll feel right at home. Subscribe, drop a review, and tell us your most confident play this week—we’ll feature our favorite takes on the next show.

    1h 2m

  8. OCT 9

    Congress vs Private Equity, Loud Ads, and the Wildest NFL Collapse You’ll Hear This Year

    Send us a text Chaos had a busy week. We kick off with a sharp look at who’s trying to buy into college sports—and why a new bill in Congress aims to slam that door on private equity, hedge funds, and sovereign wealth funds. If you care about how conferences are run, what gets prioritized, and how non-revenue sports survive, this fight matters. Then we pivot to a quality-of-life win for fans: California’s SB576, which forces streaming platforms to match ad volume to program volume. If you’ve ever jumped for the remote mid-game, you know exactly why this fix could spread beyond one state. On the field, the college landscape turned inside out. Texas and Penn State tumbled from preseason royalty to unranked, UCLA stunned in a half-empty stadium, and we make the case for delaying polls until teams actually play a few games. We assess real contenders, false signals, and how to bet responsibly when the transitive property lies. The NFL wasn’t calmer: the Titans-Cardinals meltdown had everything—dropped ball before the goal line, a fumble-six off an interception, and a prevent defense that prevented nothing. Add New England’s shocker over Buffalo and Jacksonville’s gritty finish against Kansas City, and you get a market that’s ripe for overreactions. We also put Bill Belichick’s college venture on the Stay Frosty seat, not for the résumé but for the fit—recruiting, availability, and alignment matter. Picks and leans follow: Ohio State to roll Illinois, Alabama over Mizzou’s “paper mismatch,” and an Oklahoma moneyline stance in the Red River Rivalry. In the NFL, Jacksonville edges Seattle at home, San Francisco plus the number in Tampa feels right, and we plant a flag on Rams -7.5 at Baltimore with Lamar likely out and the Ravens defense leaking explosives. If you enjoy sharp angles without the fluff—real talk on policy, practical betting edges, and a few superstitions we won’t mess with—hit follow, share with a friend who lives for Saturday and Sunday, and drop your hottest upset call in the reviews.

    1h 1m
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Your edge in sports betting.  New episodes weekly.

Information

  • Creator
    Andy Reust
  • Years Active
    2023 - 2025
  • Episodes
    85
  • Rating
    Clean
  • Copyright
    © 2025 The Sportsbook Sharps
  • Show Website
    The Sportsbook Sharps