RiskMasters | Trailblazing Risk Leadership

Julien Haye | Strategic Risk Leadership Expert | Author of The Risk Within

Join Julien Haye, Chief Risk Officer and author of The Risk Within, a groundbreaking book on psychological safety and decision-making in risk management, for insights on risk management from leaders and board directors. RiskMasters is the CPD-accredited podcast for risk managers and business leaders navigating strategic risk, enterprise risk and leadership challenges. The show explores how senior executives build strong business foresight and lead with purpose. In collaboration with Risk.net, each episode delivers thought-provoking conversations on leadership, resilience, and governance.

  1. 3d ago

    ISO 31000, Risk Management & Better Decision-Making with Grant Purdy

    In this episode of RiskMasters, I speak with Grant Purdy about risk management, uncertainty and the relationship between risk and better decision-making. Grant has spent almost five decades working in risk and decision-making. He was a nominated expert involved in the development of ISO 31000, contributed to ISO Guide 73 and helped shape ISO/IEC 31010. He is also co-author, with the late Roger Estall, of Deciding, a practical guide designed to help people make better decisions. Our conversation examines how risk management has evolved, why Grant believes parts of the profession have become disconnected from decision-making, and what boards, executives and risk professionals can do differently. “Certainty is a total illusion. It can never be achieved. Sufficient certainty is as good as we can get.” – Grant Purdy 🎯 What You Will Learn Why risk management should ultimately improve decision-making How to make decisions without waiting for impossible certainty Why identifying and monitoring assumptions strengthens governance Where risk matrices and risk appetite can create false confidence How AI can support judgement without replacing accountability 🕒 Episode Highlights 01:23 - What ISO 31000 was originally trying to achieve Grant traces the development of ISO 31000 from AS/NZS 4360 and explains why creating useful information for decision-making was central to the original approach. 06:03 - Where risk management lost its way We discuss the different philosophies that emerged around risk management and why Grant believes the profession needs to reconnect risk with decision support. 10:29 - Uncertainty, assumptions and sufficient certainty Grant explains why decisions require clarity about purpose, opportunity, desired outcomes and the assumptions on which they depend. 16:08 - The danger of seeking certainty Why waiting for complete information can produce analysis paralysis, missed opportunities and delayed action. 21:10 - What risk matrices can and cannot tell us Grant explains why a useful prioritisation tool can become misleading when organisations treat it as a form of quantitative analysis. 24:20 - Governance, regulation and decision-making A provocative discussion about the relationship between standards, regulation and consultancy, and why governance should ultimately be concerned with how decisions are made. 32:49 - Why well-governed organisations still make poor decisions We explore unclear purpose, hidden assumptions, predetermined outcomes, insufficient challenge and weak monitoring. 36:49 - AI and the future of decision support Grant considers how AI can broaden context, challenge bias and surface assumptions, alongside the dangers of allowing technology to substitute for human judgement. 41:01 - The future of the risk profession Why Grant believes risk professionals should broaden their capabilities and become facilitators of better organisational decisions. 44:02 - Better decisions begin with purpose Grant closes with the principle at the heart of his approach to decision-making. 🎧 Listen now on: Apple Podcasts: [ADD LINK] Spotify: [ADD LINK] Other platforms available 👤 About Grant Purdy Grant Purdy has almost five decades of experience working in risk management and decision-making. He chaired the Standards Australia and Standards New Zealand risk management committee for ten years and was a nominated expert involved in developing ISO 31000. Grant on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/grant-purdy-4ba1925/ Learn more about Deciding: https://www.sufficientcertainty.com/book 📚 Related Resources From Approval to Impact: Repositioning Risk Appetite  Strategic Uncertainty Governance  Risk Impact Assessment: What Actually Drives Decision Quality  When Delay Changes the Decision Itself  🎓 Download your CPD certificate: The CPD Group - Accreditation: [ADD ACCREDITATION NUMBER]

    ISO 31000, Risk Management & Better Decision-Making with Grant Purdy
  2. Sep 5 ·  Bonus

    Navigating the Gray Rhino: 5 Stages of Risk

    How do leaders move from recognising a Gray Rhino to actually doing something about it? In this RiskMasters — The Download, Michele Wucker, author of The Gray Rhino and You Are What You Risk, explains the five stages of the Gray Rhino framework and how they can help leaders assess where they are in responding to visible, high-impact risks. The five stages are denial, muddling, diagnosing, panic and action. Michele explains why diagnosing represents an important shift. Rather than simply acknowledging the risk, leaders begin asking how quickly it is developing, how significant it could become, what solutions are available, what resources are required and who needs to be involved. The framework also considers where other stakeholders sit within those five stages. A response may depend on people who have not yet recognised the urgency of the risk or who lack the authority to act. The conversation explores why panic can be a double-edged sword. It can finally create momentum, but it can also lead to poor decisions. Having a plan matters, but so do the mechanisms and decision authority required to implement it. Michele also introduces the idea of a “crash of rhinos”, where several significant risks interact or arrive together, alongside smaller “baby rhinos” that may develop into larger threats. The five stages of the Gray Rhino framework How leaders move from recognition and diagnosis to action Why stakeholders may be at different stages of responding How panic can lead to action but also poor decisions Why multiple risks can develop into a “crash of rhinos” The Gray Rhino framework provides a practical way for risk leaders to assess not only the risks they face, but how prepared their organisations and key stakeholders are to respond. Effective action requires diagnosis, planning, decision authority, and continued tracking and adjustment. This extract is taken from the full RiskMasters conversation with Michele Wucker on the Gray Rhino, risk management, behavioural risk and strategic decision-making. Listen to the full RiskMasters episode on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or at aevitium.com.

    Navigating the Gray Rhino: 5 Stages of Risk
  3. Aug 8 ·  Bonus

    Applying the Gray Rhino: From Recognition to Action

    How can risk leaders apply the Gray Rhino framework to risks their organisations already recognise? In this RiskMasters — The Download, Michele Wucker, author of The Gray Rhino and You Are What You Risk, explains how she applies the Gray Rhino concept to risk management, risk identification and decision-making. Her starting point is straightforward: organisations usually already know what their Gray Rhinos are. They may involve succession, organisational culture, competitive pressures, finance and liquidity, regulation or other strategic risks. Michele’s approach starts by taking a fresh look at those known risks and assessing honestly how effectively the organisation is responding. She explains how applying the Gray Rhino framework moves beyond identifying risk. Decision-makers need to understand who is affected, who has the power to act, how different risks interact and whether information flows effectively between frontline teams, management and the board. The conversation also explores psychological safety, behavioural risk and risk culture. Michele explains why organisations need channels that allow people throughout the business to communicate what they see and ensure important risk signals reach those empowered to act. The discussion then considers the relationship between quantitative risk management and behavioural factors, including how risks are interpreted, communicated and priced. How Michele Wucker applies the Gray Rhino frameworkMoving from risk identification to actionHow stakeholders and interconnected risks shape risk decisionsWhy psychological safety strengthens information flowHow behavioural risk complements quantitative risk management The Gray Rhino concept provides a practical framework for addressing high-probability, high-impact risks that are already visible. Michele shows how leaders can use it to examine organisational responses, improve risk communication and move from recognising a threat towards informed action. This extract is taken from the full RiskMasters conversation with Michele Wucker on the Gray Rhino, risk management, behavioural risk and strategic decision-making. Listen to the full RiskMasters episode on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or at aevitium.com.

    Applying the Gray Rhino: From Recognition to Action
  4. Aug 3

    Risk Management, Leadership & Organisational Resilience with Freddy Gielen

    What determines whether an organisation remains resilient when it comes under real pressure? In this episode of RiskMasters, Julien Haye is joined by Freddy Gielen, Executive Partner at Reply, to explore why organisational resilience is fundamentally a leadership and organisational design challenge rather than simply a matter of governance frameworks or regulatory compliance. Drawing on more than three decades advising financial institutions, regulators and boards across Europe, Freddy shares the recurring patterns he observes across organisations, explaining why resilience rarely fails through a single decision but instead erodes through rational trade-offs, fragmented accountability and unnoticed ambiguity. Together, they discuss the relationship between risk management, operational resilience, governance, leadership, and organisational resilience, challenging conventional thinking about how resilient organisations are built. In this episode, you'll learn: Why resilience is a leadership capability rather than simply a control functionWhy governance frameworks can appear robust yet struggle under stressThe difference between documented capability and operational capabilityHow weak signals become diluted as they move through organisationsWhy transformation often relocates organisational friction instead of removing itWhy ambiguity in ownership, data and governance creates systemic riskHow regulatory change exposes organisational capacity constraintsWhy resilience often competes with growth, speed and short-term performance Whether you are a Chief Risk Officer, risk leader, operational resilience professional, compliance executive, board member or governance practitioner, this episode offers practical insights into strengthening resilience in complex organisations. ⏱️ Episode Highlights 01:15 – Why organisational resilience is a design choice, not a technical problem 08:39 – The gap between documented capability and operational resilience 17:53 – Why transformation relocates organisational friction 23:53 – How weak signals become diluted through escalation 29:57 – When mature governance frameworks fail under stress 39:31 – Why ambiguity creates systemic organisational risk 45:19 – Why resilience competes with organisational success 📚 Related Resources Organisational Silos: The Hidden Cost of Fragmented Governance Discover how fragmented accountability, disconnected decision-making and organisational silos create hidden vulnerabilities that only emerge under stress. How Functional Silos Weaken Risk Identification and Escalation Explore why weak signals become diluted as they move through organisations and how governance structures influence escalation and decision-making. Psychological Safety in Risk Management Learn why challenge, escalation and speaking up are essential to organisational resilience and effective risk leadership. 🎓 Download your CPD certificate: ⁠The CPD Group – Accreditation:⁠ #501296

    Risk Management, Leadership & Organisational Resilience with Freddy Gielen
  5. Jul 11 ·  Bonus

    Organisational Resilience Beyond Frameworks: Why Design Matters More Than Documentation

    Organisational resilience is often associated with governance frameworks, policies, and documented controls. These remain essential. However, resilience is rarely determined by documentation alone. In this RiskMasters: The Download, Frédéric Gielen explains why organisational resilience depends on organisational design, decision-making, and behaviours that continue to operate effectively under pressure. Drawing on decades of experience advising regulators and financial institutions across Europe, he argues that resilience rarely disappears through a single failure. Instead, it gradually weakens through rational trade-offs that appear reasonable when viewed individually but collectively reduce organisational control. The discussion also explores the difference between documented capability and operational capability. Many organisations develop comprehensive governance frameworks, recovery plans, and resilience documentation. Under stress, however, those same organisations often discover that decision-making, escalation, and accountability do not operate as expected. Another key insight is that resilience should be viewed as a design choice rather than a technical exercise. Governance frameworks provide structure, but organisational resilience depends on transparency, redundancy, accountability, and the ability of the organisation to adapt when disruption occurs. The extract covers: Organisational resilience and governanceRisk frameworks and governance frameworksOrganisational design and resilienceDocumented versus operational capabilityDecision-making under stressRational trade-offs and organisational fragilityThis extract is taken from the full RiskMasters conversation with Frédéric Gielen discussing organisational resilience, governance, leadership, and the structural choices that determine how organisations perform under pressure. This episode will be released on August 1st 2026.

    Organisational Resilience Beyond Frameworks: Why Design Matters More Than Documentation

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Join Julien Haye, Chief Risk Officer and author of The Risk Within, a groundbreaking book on psychological safety and decision-making in risk management, for insights on risk management from leaders and board directors. RiskMasters is the CPD-accredited podcast for risk managers and business leaders navigating strategic risk, enterprise risk and leadership challenges. The show explores how senior executives build strong business foresight and lead with purpose. In collaboration with Risk.net, each episode delivers thought-provoking conversations on leadership, resilience, and governance.

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