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  1. 3h ago

    Grading Texas' Dramatic Win Over Ohio State

    Video notes: Grading Texas’ dramatic win over Ohio State TexasVOCFB | Hosts: Matthew Miller & Thomas “Tommy” Bresee Sponsored by Fandle Historic comeback win. Position-by-position grades after the game. Intro 0:00–0:18 Welcome to grading the Texas Longhorns. Historic comeback. Straight to QB. Quarterback — Arch Manning Grades: Tommy B+ | Matthew C+ Range they land on: C+ to B+ 0:18–3:42 Tommy (B+): Incredible down the stretch. Deserves all the respect. Take the drops away and you’re looking at ~270 yards, 2 TDs, 0 INTs. Could have been 350–370 with how many guys were wide open. Sark scheme got people open consistently. Missed Spencer Shannon (scrambled instead), Ryan Wingo over the middle, Emmett Mosley over the middle. Film room with Sark and A.J. Millwee won’t be kind on accuracy. Adjusted completion % around 68% after drops. Numbers are fine; leftover tape issues. Matthew (C+): Tale of two halves. First half pretty bad. Down-to-down play still an issue. Explosive throws he will hit — Cam Coleman catch (Coleman should have just run under it instead of the weird almost-dive; it was a C throw). Wingo drop would have been another explosive. Trouble reading the middle of the field; outside is easy, checkdowns come quick. Has to rip the middle more. Fourth quarter: A++. Best fourth quarter by a Texas QB since Vince Young. Better than any Colt McCoy fourth quarter they remember. Big-play guy who can make all the throws, but the “boring QB stuff” isn’t all the way there yet. If supporting cast doesn’t drop balls, the conversation is glowing with only nitpicks. Running backs Grades: Matthew B- | Tommy B+ 3:42–5:22 Matthew (B-): Really good three quarters. First quarter rough because of Relique Brown fumble. Can’t give the ball away in a game like that. Lucky to lose the turnover battle and still win. Without the fumble it’s A-. Hollywood Smothers and Relique Brown really good down the stretch. Relique’s physicality in the second half — running people over — was fun. Reminiscent of Super Bowl snap-over-the-head moment; demons exercised. Tommy (B+): Two big mistakes — Relique running out of bounds on 3rd down (should have put his head down for the extra yard and avoided 4th down) and the fumble. Outside of that, lights out. Smothers consistent all day. Relique’s physical runs late. Duo they went out and got in the offseason made the difference. Wide receivers Grade: Both C+ (Matthew could have gone C-) 5:22–7:50 Lowest unit grade of the game. Did not help Arch enough. Cam Coleman: Has to run under the ball or the play cannot end in an INT (one-in-a-billion play, but still). Made three big catches down the stretch. Ryan Wingo: Ball hits him in the hands. Always drops the 40–50 yard / TD plays, never the 2–3 yarders. Had the TD catch later. Emmett Mosley: Face ran through on the Relique fumble (60/40 Relique’s fault, but Timmons in his face immediately). Biggest WR down the stretch. All three of the “big three” had a massive mistake. They bounced back enough. Unit going forward is still elite if they clean up the small stuff. Ohio State took Coleman and Wingo away at times. Tight ends Grades: Matthew A | Tommy A- 7:50–10:09 Best unit on the team. Matthew (A): Blocked really well. Emery Winston second-leading receiver + the biggest 4th-down conversion of the game (biggest play of the game). Needs to lose 10–15 lbs to become a real receiving threat, but he’s a good player and will play a lot. Spencer Shannon one drop (6-7 guy has to catch it when he’s going to get hit). Nick Townsend injury sucks — he would have taken some of Winston’s snaps. Georgia-level blocking. Receiving can improve but they don’t need it. Tommy (A- only because of Townsend injury): Three guys who can block at an incredibly high level. If Winston is 40 yards a game that’s plenty. Will need TEs more as teams key Coleman/Wingo. Worst-case Saturday: elite blocking, not a ton of receiving — liveable with the weapons around them. Offensive line Grades: Matthew A- | Tommy A 10:09–12:02 Matthew (A-): Only negative is first-half interior push. After that, good. Pass pro amazing — two sacks (one on OL, one 100% on Arch getting flustered). Fine vs Ohio State. Will face better DLs (LSU, others) but they’ll have more reps. Tommy (A, on a curve): Didn’t think they would push Ohio State off the ball at any point. They did in the fourth quarter. Drives of 15, 13, and 12 plays don’t happen without interior push. 3.4 YPC including sack yardage. Pass pro very good against a group that can create problems even if not elite. Two weeks in, as good as they could feel about this unit. Solid OL is all they asked for in the offseason to win a title. Defensive line Grades: Matthew B+ | Tommy B 12:02–14:42 Matthew (B+): Good, not great. Driven off the ball for a quarter and a half, then turned it around. Colin Simmons a lot of pressures + caused the hold that essentially ended the game. Several uncalled holds (Ian Jafar on Sayin, another on the broken play). Run-fit and tackling concerns at times. Tommy (B): Group that can take over games. Simmons sack + 2 TFLs + ton of pressures. Hero Kanua and Maraud Watson lived in the backfield in the second half. Occasional run-game spurts because Muschamp plays light boxes. A+ performance is six sacks and taking over a game — maybe next week at Tennessee vs a young QB. Lance Jackson quiet except one sack; need a second-side guy besides Biles looping up. Expectations for a 5-star second-year guy were 6–8 sacks and flashes; hasn’t shown that yet. Ethan Burke-level is acceptable, but Jackson has a higher ceiling. Linebackers Grades: Matthew A | Tommy A- 14:42–17:00 Matthew (A): Justin Cryer and Raheem Biles really good. Cryer good on blitzes, getting to the QB, everything. Coverage vs RBs (hip flip) will be interesting later. Great portal find from FSU tape that didn’t scream star. Tommy (A-): Cryer the best defensive player on the field. Communication late after all the halftime adjustments. Three or four plays in a row in Sayin’s face — throwaways and dirted balls. Creative with LBs in pass rush. Biles quieter but no insane mistakes. Brad Spence flash plays. Freshmen not ready for this moment; the three who played were high-level. Weakest group on paper in the offseason, best of the three levels vs Ohio State. Should get better as Atkinson and freshmen get comfortable (Atkinson on the field at LSU). Secondary Grades: Tommy B- | Matthew C+ 17:00–22:00 Tommy (B-): Playing Jeremiah Smith is the hardest calculus course in college — every test is curved. One of the 10 best WRs who will ever play. Dominated by Smith. Arthur Smith moved him to the slot a lot (hard to double without taking a safety out of the middle). Other OSU WRs: 2 catches, 24 yards. That’s enough. Devin McEwen, Brandon Ennis, Chris Henry Jr. are high-level but not Cornell Tate / Mecca Bucca. Alignment issues + young guys (Warren Roberson, Cade Phillips) making mistakes. Bo Masco didn’t give up a catch. Feel pretty good given the caliber of WR they faced. Matthew (C+): Early Muschamp feeling it out with different man coverages — didn’t work. Cade Phillips got beat the most. Bo Masco best of the group. Warren Roberson: physical tools, but he is who he is — penalties, biting on routes. Third-and-long double move by Smith before the sticks; Roberson bites, lucky he only made the tackle by kicking Smith’s legs (could have been a flag). “I’ve seen enough. Need freshmen/sophomores instead.” Jelani McDonald insanely quiet (second-leading tackler but not involved in coverage). Second half better; started putting a safety over the top of Smith. Next time: let Smith get his and shut everyone else down (McEwen is a 3rd/4th-round talent). Indiana will probably do exactly that with their man coverage. Coaching Overall staff: Tommy B+ Jeff Banks A | Kyle Flood B/B+ | Muschamp B-/C+ | Sark same range as Muschamp 22:00–28:09 Matthew: Banks’ position groups (TEs + ST) great. Flood solid. Muschamp first-half adjustments too slow, second half good. Sark: run Arch early. Get him hit, get him out of the pocket. He loves it and he’s great at it. 3–5 designed “just go do what you want” plays in the first half. Michigan game last year — once he said “f**k it” and stopped trying to be something he’s not, he was great. Vince Young documentary parallel: they incorporated what he liked instead of forcing him to be something else and won a title. Tommy (B+ staff): Second-half adjustments boxed a really good Ohio State staff. Fourth-down call and early Smith plan were issues (everyone has the Smith problem). Biggest piece moving forward: balance between letting Arch be Arch and running the offense. Arch missed open guys that would have made Sark look better. Give him the middle ground early so he’s comfortable, then the offense can take over. Best version of the offense is the clean pocket version Sark wants — that’s not the QB they have right now. By Game 12 it might be. Third-string QB is probably the closest thing to the point-guard / Mac Jones type Sark’s offense wants. Arch missed spring; reps will help both the spectacular and mundane. Outro / plugs 28:09–end Like, subscribe, drop your grades. Back Tuesday 7 p.m. ET and Thursday 6:30 p.m. ET. National Live 365 show tonight 8 p.m. ET (they’ll let others recap this game and talk the insane weekend). Hook ’em. Unit Matthew Tommy QB C+ B+ RBs B- B+ WRs C+ C+ TEs A A- OL A- A DL B+ B LBs A A- Secondary C+ B- Coaching mixed B+ overall Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

  2. 1d ago

    TEXAS-Ohio State Postgame LIVE

    TexasVOCFB Postgame LIVE: Texas 24, Ohio State 23 Hosts: Thomas Bresee & Matthew Miller Format: Immediate reaction after Texas’ largest comeback since 2007 and first win over a No. 1 team since 2008. Opening / Tone (0:00–2:30) Thomas welcomes viewers after laptop issues delaying Matt. Frames the game as one “every other Steve Sarkisian team loses.” Texas trailed 23-3 (or 20-3) entering the fourth and won 24-23. Matt calls it possibly his favorite Texas win as a fan. Both agree it was a “weird” game full of random plays that likely wouldn’t repeat: Cam Coleman tip-INT, Relique Brown first-half fumble, Ohio State missed FG after already making a longer one. Fourth-Quarter Arch Manning (0:40–2:10, 6:20–7:30, 24:50) Arch was “downright incredible” in the fourth. Two huge fourth-down conversions: Escapes pressure (Collier-Weiler), finds Amari Winston for the first down. Deep-middle throw to Emmitt Mosley that keeps the drive alive. Hosts said all week Texas needed special fourth-quarter Arch. He delivered after a shaky first half in which he missed some middle-of-the-field looks (Mosley, Wingo) and held the ball too long on some sacks. Once it clicked after the fourth-and-8, it snowballed. Second-half Arch was the best player on the field. Running Game & Skill Players Hollywood Smothers and Relique Brown were Texas’ two best offensive players. Smothers is the unofficial offensive MVP; the line bullied Ohio State’s interior on the winning TD run so thoroughly Smothers “could have walked in.” Brown atoned for the early fumble. Mosley led Texas in receiving and made the critical fourth-down catch plus a key block (though one play he got his face run through). Ryan Wingo dropped an early TD but bounced back with big catches including a score. Offensive line was “incredible” in pass pro and run blocking. Several sacks attributed more to Arch holding the ball than protection failures (Kenyatta Jackson sack cited as mostly on Arch). Defense & Second-Half Flip (3:30–5:00, 12:20–14:20) Ohio State dominated the first half; Texas dominated the second. Julian Sayin had a poor second half (overthrows, behind throws; one near-INT if Jeremiah Smith doesn’t get a hand on it). Colin Simmons disruptive with a sack and late holding call. Third-down defense improved after a rough start (Ohio State finished 6-of-14 after starting 5-of-8). Will Muschamp’s adjustments on Jeremiah Smith were a big talking point—only real Smith win came when Warren Roberson bit on a play he shouldn’t have. Bo Masco strong in man vs. Smith. Grayson Littleton and Kate Phillips had solid reps. Hosts credit Muschamp not just for scheme but for the fight/will in the locker room. “Something different about this football team.” Sarkisian vs. Ryan Day / Arthur Smith (13:20–19:20, 24:40) Sark “had every answer” after a messy first half. Play-calling after the early fourth-down misfire was strong; bubble screens that frustrated fans set up the Mosley slant that put Texas inside the 5. Late, Sark leaned on the run game when he had time. Ryan Day/Arthur Smith criticized for taking the foot off the gas. Notable conservative punt from Texas’ 39 with ~11:55 left in the third (fourth-and-4 range) instead of going for the kill shot. Earlier fourth-down decision also second-guessed. Hosts say once Ohio State “turned the light switch off,” they couldn’t turn it back on—classic Day-team complaint. Ohio State kicker miss in a huge spot (Georgia fans reminded of Noah Ruggles). Super chat joke: Day spends millions on receivers and “Arby’s coupons” on the kicker. Randomness & “What Ifs” Coleman drop/tip that became a pick. Brown fumble. Wingo early drop that could have made it a statement win instead of a comeback. Ohio State FG miss. Multiple Texas fumbles/loose balls (three hits the turf mentioned late). If two or three of those go the other way, it’s a comfortable Texas win or a blowout loss. Hosts refuse to use them as excuses. Historical Context & Psyche Largest Texas comeback since 2007. First win over No. 1 since 2008 (Red River vs. Oklahoma). Comparison to the Georgia game in Austin a couple years ago (similar 20-3 type hole, Texas fought back but fell one play short then; this time they finished it). Red-zone demons vs. Ohio State from recent years exercised on the final smash-mouth TD. Win is a massive locker-room and confidence boost. “Springboarded.” Team now “scares people when they get off the bus,” which hasn’t been true under Sark. Ohio State Evaluation Still a very good team, but more questions than hosts expected even when OSU was up 20. Weapons beyond Jeremiah Smith and Bo Jackson look thin (Devin McEwen and Brandon Inniss “fine,” not special). Defense more Patricia scheme than star power this year—no obvious first-round pick on that side; Riley Pettibon budding. Contrast drawn to last year’s Texas talent margins (Wingo vs. Coleman type differences matter in these games). Ohio State 1-3 in last four games vs. quality (Indiana, Miami, Texas). Playoff path conversation starts now: can 9-3 get in if losses look like this? Hosts think yes unless there’s an embarrassing one. Looking Ahead Next: UTSA. Hosts want a first-half burial to prove mentality (contrast to sleepy Wyoming game after Alabama last year). Then Tennessee (Peyton/Brandon? “kid in phase on Brandon” who can give fits), later Mississippi State, Missouri, etc. One bad loss at the wrong time and Texas is the 9-3 team doing PR stunts again. Georgia still picked over Texas if they played tomorrow, but Texas and Georgia viewed as the two best teams right now. AP likely bumps Texas to 3 or 4. Broader Saturday Context Oregon loss to Oklahoma State, Michigan over Oklahoma (John Mateer not impressing vs. good defenses; completion % vs. quality competition ~60%; fifth-year QB who still can’t set feet and throw over the middle). Texas fans get a clean weekend plus Sixth Street. Closing (35:00–end) Enjoy it. Grades and nitpicks (turnovers, Arch middle-of-field reads, first-half third-down D) come tomorrow/Tuesday. “Hook ’em.” Like and subscribe. Clip-friendly moments Arch fourth-down escapes and Mosley throw (~1:00, 6:20) “Every other Sark team loses this game” open Smothers walk-in TD / OL bullying Day punt / “turned the light switch off” Largest comeback + first #1 win since 2008 stats “Sark was the best person on the field in the second half” Nitpicks saved for the grades show: early turnovers, Arch hesitation over the middle, first-half third downs, a few safety communication issues. Everything else they called solid-to-excellent once the second half started. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

  3. 3d ago

    Best Bets For Texas Vs Ohio State/ Best Bets 2 LIVE CALL IN SHOW

    TexasVOCFB Best Bets — Texas vs Ohio State Best Bets 2 LIVE CALL-IN SHOW Hosts: Matthew Miller & Thomas “Tommy” Bresee Sponsor: FanDuel Show open: ~00:00 Last Week’s Record Tommy: 4-1 (argues Derek Cooper injury cost him a 5-0; “would have gotten in the end zone”) Matthew: 3-1 Consensus: Week 1 was easier to read. This week is about winning the game, not scheme tells. Host Bets 1. Tommy — Texas 1H −1.5 (~00:50) Sark has said all week Texas has not started fast vs Georgia/Ohio State and has played from behind. OSU (Arthur Smith) will feel out Will Muschamp early; Texas has more urgency. Expect a lower-scoring first half that opens later. Score lean: 14–10 or 13–10 at half. Matthew agrees: first quarter / quarter-and-a-half is feel-out time. Texas should jump it. 2. Matthew — Emmett Mosley over 34.5 rec yds (~01:55) Coleman and Wingo will be the keys. Matchup: Mosley vs freshman Jay Timmons is one of the few mismatches. Mosley was underused vs Texas State. Also likes Nick Townsend / TEs (Spencer Shannon shout). Tommy: almost a must-hit. Attention on the outside forces the middle. Lean 35+ receiving. 3. Tommy — Texas team rush over 103.5 (FanDuel ~114) (~03:27) Opened 99.5 earlier; still likes it barely over. Won’t look pretty (Texas State spit-and-sputter), but Sark has to stay on the run. Expect 20-yard bursts from Hollywood Smothers, Relique Brown, and Arch. Avoid sacks and they land 115–120. Matthew: Texas went over this vs OSU last year and should have stuck with it. Combined rush vs Georgia in those three games likely didn’t even hit this number. Between-the-tackles was dead Week 1; stretch zone, read option, Wingo end-around should work better. Matthew add-on: If they hit this number, they win pretty easily. 4. Matthew — Hollywood Smothers over 38.5 rush yds (~05:40) Surprised the number is that low. Needs 75–95 total yards (rush + rec). Projects 45–55 rushing plus checkdowns. Tommy: two or three one-on-one vs safety/corner = explosives for Smothers and Brown. Expected closer to 50. Market still figuring the Smothers/Brown split after Week 1. 5. Tommy — Arch Manning over 1.5 passing TDs (~07:15) Run game and red zone not fully fixed. Scored on 6-of-7 red-zone trips Week 1; hard to repeat without Arch’s arm. One chunk to Wingo/Coleman, one goal-line (Coleman, TE, or touch pass like last week). Slow start, then two passing TDs down the stretch. Matthew: Arch probably needs 3 total TDs (any mix of pass/rush) for Texas to win. 6. Tommy — Cam Coleman anytime TD (~08:40) That’s why they paid him. Hunt Devin Sanchez (future 1st-rounder, but early for this caliber). Even if he’s not wide open, they will keep throwing it. Could also be a decoy to move the safety and hit Wingo/Mosley opposite. Matthew: Have to feed No. 1. Same logic as OSU forcing Jeremiah Smith. Shared bet — Arch over 27.5 rush yds (~11:50) Both on it. One 20–25 yard scramble plus a few 5–10 yard keepers. Sacks are the risk; OSU has pocket-collapsers, not a Dylan Stewart/Colin Simmons-level edge. Need designed QB runs (power from gun — Josh Allen comp), read option early to freeze Kenyatta Jackson and the edges. Last year: first-half Arch stayed in the pocket and Texas struggled; third/fourth quarter when he created, they moved. More confident now. NFL-style lock if sacks stay short. Jeremiah Smith / Coverage Chess (~09:59) Tommy: Smith could match his career Texas receiving yards in the first half alone. In OSU’s few losses the last 3 years, Smith still went 100+ and scored — everyone else disappeared. Two paths: Key No. 4 or he wrecks you. Let Smith be Smith (120 and a score) and erase Devin McEwen / Chris Henry Jr. / the supporting cast. Matthew: Texas tried doubling Smith twice and got killed by Carnell Tate / Emeka Egbuka. This supporting cast is not that. Fine starting doubled and adjusting. Question of the night: can McEwen do what Tate/Egbuka did? Depth / Usage Notes (~13:57) Derek Cooper out (ankle). Interested in Michael Terry, James Simon (bigger, short-yardage), Nick Townsend, Jermaine Bishop. Bishop: one catch could be 60 and a score. Need more diverse run game: Wingo/Bishop end-arounds, not just Smothers/Brown on 3rd-and-3 inside. Last year’s dagger: Arch pick. Can he stay clean? Other Game: Michigan vs Oklahoma (~15:47) Line swing: Michigan −4.5 pre-Week 1 → Michigan −2 after kickoff → Oklahoma −5.5/−6.5 now. 8–9 point Vegas move. Tommy: Aggressive, but Michigan cannot play that poorly again. Whittingham / Jay Hill too good. Still: no QB = nothing vs Brent Venables. Bryce Underwood not there yet. Hard to see Michigan scoring more than 13–14. Matthew: Underwood’s two Hail Marys = the whole player — one sails out the back, one 65 yards off back foot while getting hit. Talent without the intricacies. “This is basically his first year.” Wouldn’t be shocked if he’s benched / not at Michigan next year; Tommy Carr next up, but not a savior. Matthew lean: Michigan +points because John Mateer throws picks in big games and the Hill defense played well. Tommy: Close to selling Underwood stock; next stop is Group of 5 if it keeps going. Caller: Caden (~19:13) — OSU/Georgia heat Long anti-Arch rant: national title / Heisman / “chosen one” talk, Georgia INTs, OSU sacks (4, “could have been 10”), Cotton Bowl relief appearance did nothing. Prediction: Ohio State 56–7 (up from 45–7 last year). Texas’ only score late or with the backup. Hosts make him take the wager: if Texas wins, Caden comes back next Thursday and apologizes to Arch. If OSU wins, hosts stop calling Arch “the chosen one.” Caden accepts. Hosts’ pushback: oddsmakers have Texas better than 50%; they’d call it a toss-up. Caden: “We ain’t losing.” CFP / G5 / Big Ten structure (~mid-show, ~36:00) Don’t give playoff spots to teams that can’t win a title. Iowa “will never win a national championship the way they currently play.” G5 only if truly one of the 12 best (Boise + Ashton Jeanty year = fine; JMU last year = no). Alternate: top 11 + one G5. Big Ten schedules are tiered: USC/Oregon/OSU/Indiana bloodbath vs Iowa/Penn State soft slates. 10–2 Iowa or PSU is not a playoff résumé; 9–3 OSU on that schedule might be a better team. Committee may not see it. ACC/Duke title-game mess cited as the “leagues are too big / schedules are broken” problem. Ohio State guest segment (Sean) (~39:20) Goosby will play (played Week 1). Matt Patricia’s D looked great vs Ball State; Wingo/Coleman/Arch are a different animal. Secondary questions: Jermaine Matthews late 2025, Devin Sanchez was a bad nickel last year (may be a good outside CB). Nickel not solidified. Agrees Mosley vs Timmons is a real look. If Patricia out-coaches Sark like last year, talent gap may not save Texas. Sark has to be better. Texas offense much improved: OL, Smothers/Brown >> Weisner/Baxter, Coleman >> last year’s Wingo role, Wingo slides to Livingston spot, Arch +1 year. OSU D lost three “aliens” (Arvel Reese, Sonny Styles, Caleb Downs — all top-13 picks). Christian Alliegro (Wisconsin) is the Styles-ish Mike; Peyton Pierce next to him. Not the same exotic flexibility. Riley Pettijohn (true soph) will play 30–50 snaps; surprise he wasn’t named a starter. Linebacker room comfortably OSU’s (Pierce, Alliegro, T.J. Alford/Pettijohn) even if Raheem Biles is the best single LB in the game. Tight ends lean Texas. Texas secondary Week 1: minor issues (Cade Phillips beat, miscommunication, new Muschamp system + Brad Jackson scrambling). Not a panic for Tommy; Matthew more worried about Phillips on Smith — wants safety help. Trusts Grayson Littleton most in man. Muschamp vs Kowalski: more man, more islands, light boxes (5–6). Explosives vs the run are the tax. Chess match of two NFL coordinators + Sark/Muschamp. Atmosphere: Not Death Valley every Saturday, but this one will be elite. Will Anderson (2022 Bama) called DKR the toughest environment he’d played in. Second-tier with OSU/Georgia; can hit the top tier. CDC renovations, cheaper experience, parking. Hottest/loudest in 20 years — 2006 OSU game comp. Kickoff heat: “100 degrees at 6:30 p.m.” Austin as a city plug. Small coaching edge to OSU, not massive. Caller: Daryl (~51:09) Picking Ohio State until Texas actually beats this matchup. “If not now, when?” Home, QB advantage, even coaching, Ryan Day 1–4 as an underdog — still needs to see it. Replace OSU with anyone but Georgia (maybe Oregon) and he’d pick Texas. That’s the 1% problem. Stakes: win and you’re a lock for the CFP / top-4 seed (bye’s value debated after how byes have gone except Indiana). Lose and the mental edge flips to OSU/Georgia the next time, because conditions will never be this good again. Fan-base trust in Sark is on the line until a title or this win. Loved Coleman-Arch chemistry Week 1. Floor: 10–2 and in the field. Arch should be the Heisman favorite. Metrics they want Saturday Arch: ~65–67% (74% vs Texas State won’t repeat vs this D) Arch’s legs a factor (20–30 scramble/design) Smothers + Brown in the pass game more than Jaden Blue was in the Cotton Bowl Colin Simmons finally gets a sack vs OSU (has one vs almost everyone else) Totals / scores Market ~49.5 — Daryl thinks way too high. Lean 21–17 type game. Tommy: 27–24 Texas (in between). Slow first half, QBs find it late, maybe not over 49.5. Matthew: first to 30; 31–23 Texas. Heat + weapons = it opens. Louisville–Ole Miss pacing comp (slow, then scores). Style: Texas can win ugly or in a 42–35. Arch slinging it all night is the worse path. SEC vs Big Ten this weekend (~1:01:00) Three games. Hosts: SEC 2–1. Lean Oklahoma over Michigan Lean Mississippi State (small favorite after Minnesota opened −2.5/−3.5; Kamario Taylor hype afte

  4. 5d ago

    Biggest Regular Season Game Of Sark ERA? / Texas Longhorns LIVE 118

    Texas Longhorns LIVE 118 — “Biggest Regular Season Game of the Sark Era?” Hosts: Matthew Miller & Thomas “Tommy” Bresee Guests: Garrison Gaddy & Riley Burnett (OhioStateVOCFB) Sponsor: FanDuel Intro / framing (0:00–1:20) 118th edition of Texas Longhorns Live (VOCFB). Title question: is this the biggest regular-season game of the Steve Sarkisian era? Sixth Ohio State–Texas meeting in ~25–26 years. Garrison: college football fans should be excited just to get this game. Sark comment referenced: could draw close to 20 million viewers — “NFL-type regular-season game.” Betting line (1:21–2:14) FanDuel: Texas -1.5 (flip of last year’s Ohio State -1.5 at kick). Pearson/Tommy: pick’em on a neutral field; home in Austin justifies Texas as a slight favorite. No problem with the number. Consensus: two of the best teams in the country; either side as a pick’em is defensible. Texas offense vs Ohio State defense Ball State takeaways for OSU D (2:16–3:31) Garrison: almost nothing translates. Ball State is not Texas. Secondary barely heard from (good). Happy nothing went wrong; this is a completely different animal. Would have preferred a Texas State-type opponent. Corners / Cam Coleman & Ryan Wingo (3:32–5:55) Texas hosts ask: lock Devin Sanchez on Cam Coleman and let the rest handle Wingo, or protect Coleman first? Garrison: Sanchez will not travel. Trust Jermaine Matthews on the other side; Dominic Kelly (Georgia transfer, 6-2) as a option. Traveling one corner doesn’t neutralize Wingo. Garrison publicly walked back earlier skepticism of Wingo after last year’s 100+ yard game and a strong Texas State outing. Hands, routes, confidence all looked better. Wingo or Raheem Biles were Texas’s two best players vs Texas State in his view. Hosts: Wingo entered the year as a trusted No. 2, not a No. 1. That tape raised the bar. Emmitt Mosley vs Jay Timmons (5:56–7:34) Projected slot/nickel matchup: freshman Jay Timmons on Mosley. Garrison trusts Timmons after a clean first college game, but this is not Ball State. Depth options: Terry Moore (Duke), slide Matthews inside. Hosts later flag this as a primary key (see Keys section). OSU worry vs Texas offense / Texas worry vs OSU D (7:35–10:00) Garrison’s worry: tackling. Can’t miss Arch Manning. Can’t miss Hollywood Smothers. Cites last year’s Wingo jet sweep that only Caleb Downs’ ankle tackle saved. Riley (at Ball State in person): first-half OSU offensive line was sloppy; second half cleaned up. That first-half version in Austin would be a problem. Riley’s OSU advantage: Matt Patricia’s scheme variety — nickel looks, boundary/middle disguises. Test of how much Arch has grown vs a pro-style, film-guru DC after last year’s first start. Patricia wrinkles vs last year (10:00–11:06) Riley: feeling-out process. Could be 50/50 last year’s plan, 70%, or 10%. First drive or two will tell. Ohio State offense vs Texas defense Julian Sayin vs Texas pass rush (11:06–14:33) Both QBs making second career starts in this matchup after being eased in last year. Riley: experience is the word. Favorite Week 1 play was Sayin stepping up, finding space, scrambling for a TD — stay in structure rather than hero-ball off-platform throws. Texas covers ground and doesn’t leave many soft spots deep. Garrison: Sayin’s issue last year was seeing it late more than arm talent. Faster processing + quick release helps vs Colin Simmons (cites last-year play where Simmons was in his face and the ball still came out). Garrison likes Lance Jackson as a complementary rusher who also affects the run more than Simmons. Will Muschamp / Texas D vs Ryan Day (14:33–16:10) Garrison to Texas fans: if Muschamp plays man vs a Ryan Day offense, he’s in trouble. Must mix. Pressure is smart vs Sayin; the question is what happens when it doesn’t get home. Man coverage also invites one-on-ones with Jeremiah Smith. Suggestion: borrow from the previous DC’s plan rather than going full old-school Muschamp. Devin McEwen as WR2 (16:10–18:59) Last two Texas–OSU games, the WR2 (Carnell Tate, Emeka Egbuka) changed the game. Riley: raw talent maybe not quite Tate/Egbuka yet, but Arthur Smith is already using him in similar combo/corner concepts. Could get 4–5 impact catches. Garrison: McEwen truther since the commit. 4.3 speed, good routes. This is the stage to prove he can be “the guy” when Smith is bracketed. Took McEwen 50+ yards as a prop. Phillip Daniels / right tackle (18:59–20:16) Hosts: Daniels struggled vs Ball State; Zach Smith and others noticed. Garrison joke tweet: “two things can be true — Daniels played badly Saturday and still owns Colin Simmons.” His actual recommendation: kick Austin Siereveld to RT. Wants the All-American-level player on Simmons even if Daniels had been average. OSU players Texas fans may not know yet (20:16–22:33) Riley: Jalen McLean — interchangeable, hard-hitting, short tackler, can drop or play high. Model for stopping this Texas offense. Garrison: linebacker depth — TJ Alford (Florida) and Riley Pettijohn (Texas kid). Faster sideline-to-sideline than Peyton Pierce / Christian Lagra if Smothers or Relique Brown get to the edge. Doesn’t think OSU has settled starting LBs yet. If/then and score predictions (guests) (22:33–27:30) Garrison OSU wins if they hold Texas’ run game. OSU loses if they can’t find Jeremiah Smith. Score lean: 7–13 point OSU win (late score, not a blowout). Interested in Texas DT room and how Biles holds up vs Montgomery-sized backs. Best interior three in the country if they can keep Siereveld at guard (Siereveld–Montgomery–Hensman). Line of 1.5 is correct. Riley Higher scoring than last year. 31–27 Ohio State. New kicking/special-teams personnel is a wildcard. First to 30 wins. Hosts later: first to 30 is the right frame. Both defenses a step back from last year; both offenses loaded with NFL talent. Plugs OhioStateVOCFB: Saturdays/Tuesdays 7 p.m. ET; Friday call-in 7 p.m. ET. Open invite if Texas wins. After guests: Texas players to watch & keys (hosts) (~39:20–51:16) Texas players RBs: Hollywood Smothers (run game) / Relique Brown (pass game, wheels, dump-offs). Need escape valves so Arch isn’t 2nd-and-12. Sark has used this with Jaydon Blue before. Isolate younger/less athletic OSU LBs. Emmitt Mosley: Hosts’ No. 1 Texas skill matchup. Veteran route adjuster vs true freshman Timmons. Slot/TE (Nick Townsend) seams when LBs blitz or run with backs. Eric Noland All-22: TEs were open vs Texas State and just weren’t needed. Colin Simmons: 0 sacks in two games vs OSU (pressures in the CFP game; almost nothing Week 1 last year). Needs 5–7 pressures, a sack or two, TFLs. Late-season Simmons, not early-season no-show. If he wrecks it, OSU has to change the plan. Complementary rush from Lance Jackson / Zeno Mosley-Owusu matters so Day can’t just chip Simmons every snap. Kobe Black: Likely the safety over the top of Jeremiah Smith. Has to win some 50/50s vs a 6-4, 225 WR or dislodge the ball. Path from “Texas fans know him” to national name. Keys Who runs it slightly better. Not dominance — 3.3–4.0 YPC and stay committed (Alabama road win template: ~27 carries, 80–90 yards, enough for play-action). Sark cannot abandon the run. Smothers consistently got positive yards vs Texas State; Relique’s negative plays were more space/scheme. Arch in the fourth quarter. Will not walk in with the game already won. Two late third-down moments. Use his legs early (he was coached not to run much vs Texas State). 65%+ completion is the floor they want. Heat. Kick ~6:30 p.m., forecast ~104°. Field temp could be 115–120°. Favors Texas if the game is still close in the fourth. Ohio humidity ≠ Austin triple-digit heat. Middle of the field / TEs and Mosley when No. 1s are bracketed. Is this the biggest regular-season game of the Sark era? (51:16–58:10) Arguments it is Perception is reality: “Sark can’t win a big regular-season game.” Win and that talk dies for the year. Lose and it feeds. 0–2 vs Ryan Day (don’t want 0–3). Already 0–3 vs Kirby Smart. Out-of-conference, national window, ~20 million viewers. Fork-in-the-road for whether Texas joins the “1%” (Ohio State, Georgia, Indiana) or stays the team that beats everyone else. Bigger than the old Bama game because of where the program/Sark tenure sits now. Proof-of-concept game. Next similar chance might be Georgia in the SEC title or a playoff game. LSU on the road would be huge but wouldn’t fully rewrite the “can’t beat the elite” narrative (Lane Kiffin questions too). Arguments it isn’t / caveats Everything is still on the table after one loss. Last year’s Georgia game in Athens had more immediate CFP/hottest-team-in-the-country stakes. Season doesn’t go off the rails with a loss — roster is too talented — but locker-room psyche and fan noise will leak in. Indiana’s win over OSU last year was that kind of confidence swing. Consensus of the hosts: it is the biggest regular-season game of the Sark era, and the biggest out-of-conference game of it. Variance is enormous either way (bowling-ball-downhill vs creeping doubt). Host score predictions (58:56–1:00:23) Tommy Bresee: Ohio State 27–24. Plenty of football reasons Texas can win; he needs to see Sark/Muschamp beat this tier once. Happy to be wrong. Matthew Miller: Texas 31–23. Believes in this roster and Arch having a special night. First to 30, and only Texas gets there. Both: regardless of winner, two of the best QBs in the country on the same field; scouts will leave wanting one of them. Potential game of the year. Side debate: best WR duo of the Sark era? (1:00:23–1:03:00) Cam Coleman = most talented single WR Sark has had. Ri

  5. Sep 4

    Best Bets For Texas State/ Best Bets TEXAS LONGHORNS LIVE CALL IN SHOW 1

    Texas Longhorns Live — Best Bets vs. Texas State + Thursday Call-In Hosts: Thomas Bresee & Matthew Miller | Caller: Darrell Special Thursday best-bets edition (FanDuel sponsor). First of the weekly in-season series. Wi-Fi drops on Matt early; show still covers the slate, process goals, Ohio State week, and a live call. 00:00–04:00 — Open + Tommy’s main-game bets Weekly Thursday best-bets show for Texas (and Texas State) throughout the season. Week 1 slate is thin on film; more juice later. Texas -29.5 (-110 FanDuel). Tommy feels very good. Sark has stressed scoreboard/CFP optics; home openers under Sark average ~35-point wins (Sam Houston last year). Texas State is better and faster (high-pace team) and could backdoor late, but Texas defense should create sacks, INTs, TFLs, and fumbles that keep TXST from settling in. Bo Sparks and Chris Donwell will have spurts; Texas should answer with a big play every time. Over 59.5 (-110). Both sides pedal-to-metal. Texas State was one of the fastest teams last year. Texas will hit explosives even if down-to-down efficiency isn’t perfect (Relique Brown, Ryan Wingo, Cam Coleman). Tommy can see Texas scoring 50 by itself against a rebuilt TXST defense that struggled a year ago (four one-score losses). Lean ~28-0 at half, then keep rolling. 04:00–07:15 — Matt joins; run-game emphasis + 3Q bet Matt likes a team rushing over (main backs) more than the team passing over. Goal of the game/season: take it off Arch Manning’s shoulders. Relique Brown, Hollywood Smothers, Derek Cooper should tell the story—not Arch scrambling. TXST gave up ~180 rush YPG last year; if Texas can’t clear 200, OL questions linger. Texas -7.5 3rd quarter (+130 FanDuel). Sark home-opener 3Q point differential: 80–6 across five games (stat via Tyler Horka / Inside Texas). Expect TXST to want the ball first to avoid playing from behind; that would give Texas the second-half open. Plus-money hook at 7.5 is appealing. 07:15–12:20 — Anytime TDs, 1Q, Wingo, TXST team total Hollywood Smothers anytime TD (Matt). Six–seven guys could hit; wealth should be spread; wouldn’t shock if all three main backs score. Look down the depth chart too. Derek Cooper anytime TD (+310 FanDuel) (Tommy). Red-zone/run-game emphasis; extra snaps for second-line guys. Trevor Goosby will play but come out early; Andre Kojo gets the bulk. Cooper has popped all offseason. Texas -6.5 1st quarter (Matt). Shocked the number is that low—a 7–0 first quarter cashes. Sark has talked tempo and starting faster after past slow starts. Ryan Wingo over 48.5 receiving yards (Tommy). Could hit on the first play (Vandy-style screen/swing). TXST will have to account for Cam Coleman; Wingo should see a lot of singles. Sark praised him Thursday. Last year a high share of opening plays were Wingo screens. One catch can clear the number. Texas State under 14.5 team total (both; Tommy’s least favorite). Tommy’s score prediction was 41–13. Red-zone questions: Greg Burrell dismissed in April; Terrence Burgess Jr. and Jalen Jenkins now the run group. Short TXST WRs (5-11 / 5-9) are better in space than in tight. Could be a FG-fest (12 points after multiple stalled trips). 12:20–16:50 — Recap of the card + what “winning” this game actually means Tommy’s card: Texas -29.5 | Over 59.5 | Texas -7.5 3Q | Wingo o48.5 rec | Cooper ATD Matt’s card: Team rush over (main backs / ~200+ implied) | Texas -6.5 1Q | TXST u14.5 | Smothers ATD Process over final score (USC–San Jose State reminder): Rebuilt run game + OL look right vs. a defense they should dominate. Fast start. Cleaner penalties. Arch high completion %; Wingo/Coleman drops ≤1 over 2–3 quarters. Defense: get to the QB, stop the run. Fun later: KJ Lacey, Diabell first snaps, who is at LG with the ones. If it’s not put away by half (~28-3 / 28-7), Ohio State week gets nervy. 16:50–21:20 — Call-in open, Week 1 viewing, Ohio State notes StreamYard open until 7 p.m. CT tonight (test night); longer windows once Ohio State / Oklahoma / LSU / A&M weeks hit. Postgame Saturday ~6:45–7:00 p.m. ET, earlier if it’s a blowout. Week 1 nationally is weak. Ohio State–Ball State is 12:30 p.m. ET at the Shoe (odd window). Watch Arthur Smith’s first OSU offense vs. last year’s version; won’t show the full Week 2 package. Keldrick Luster (Ball State, listed ~2.50 QB) is a name Tommy likes. Other stray games: Houston–Oregon State, Alabama–ECU (Keelan Russell / Duncanville angle). Texas–Ohio State preview flavor: new OSU OC (Arthur Smith, two-TE guy) vs. new Texas DC (Patricia). Sark has seen Patricia before. OSU TEs are not a strength; Smith’s Falcons run-game identity will test Texas’s front. 21:20–29:50 — Darrell’s call Playbook vs. Texas State (Ohio State next): Matt: Expect deep shots and basics (Coleman gos/posts), establish the run, no trickery. If they have to get cute, that’s a problem. Tommy: Weekly plan looks similar on the surface; wrinkles are tiny (route depths, screen angles). Keep it vanilla. Ohio State has seen Sark. In-game / season metrics: Arch 65%+ completions (UTSA last year was 11-of-24 and messy; opponent doesn’t excuse it). Zero turnovers (camp was noisy; don’t know if it was O or D). Fewer than five penalties; no pre-snap / 3rd-and-3-to-8 killers. Discipline required if they’re chasing 15–16 wins and a title. Magnificent Seven title contenders (Darrell’s list; both hosts agree): Texas, Georgia, Notre Dame, Oregon, Ohio State, Indiana, Miami. Tommy: not personally “title or bust,” but the people writing the checks may be. Realities exist where falling short isn’t the end. Matt: Notre Dame / Oregon / Texas are the three most talented rosters. Next step is getting to a national championship (two recent Final Fours; goal-line stands vs. Washington and Ohio State). Must leave with a championship of some kind—SEC title and/or CFP title game. Beating Georgia (SEC or playoff) is the priority “have-to.” Winning the SEC then losing a semi to a clearly better Indiana would still feel like a success to both hosts; check-writers may disagree. Sark bulletin-board material: Rutgers 7, UMass 14 in the second quarter (after it had been 7–7). Cheap motivation without reaching back to App State. 29:50–end — Close See how the card hits. Postgame Saturday. “We’ll see you on Saturday.” Clip-friendly timestamps 00:45–02:30 Texas -29.5 rationale + Sark home-opener history 02:45–03:30 Over 59.5 / pace + explosives 06:15–07:10 Texas -7.5 3Q + 80–6 stat 07:20–08:00 Smothers ATD 08:00–09:05 Cooper ATD + Goosby/Kojo 09:15–09:45 Texas -6.5 1Q 09:50–11:00 Wingo o48.5 + opening-play prediction 11:00–12:15 TXST u14.5 / red-zone / Burrell dismissal 14:50–16:40 Process checklist heading into Ohio State week 21:20–22:50 How much playbook to show 23:10–24:30 Arch 65% / zero TOs / penalties 24:35–28:50 Magnificent 7 + title vs. SEC vs. beat-Georgia debate Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

  6. Sep 2

    Texas vs Texas State Game Preview / Texas Longhorns LIVE 117

    Texas Longhorns LIVE 117 — Texas vs. Texas State Game Preview Hosts: Matthew Miller & Thomas “Tommy” Bresee | TexasVOCFB | FanDuel sponsored Game: Texas vs. Texas State at DKR. Texas -29.5. Intro & Line (0:00–0:43) Welcome, likes/subs, FanDuel. Game week vs. Texas State. Tommy calls 29.5 roughly fair: Texas State defense was poor last year and should not keep up. Texas State Snapshot (0:43–1:22) 7-6 last year, won final four, 3-5 Sun Belt. 36.5 PPG with QB Brad Jackson and HC G.J. Kinney. 29 PPG allowed — bottom-third defense. 73rd in returning production: Jackson, Bo Spears (offense), safety Ryan Nolan (leading tackler). Texas Offense vs. Texas State Defense (1:22–8:50) What they need to see Clean football: no turnovers, few penalties, stay ahead of the chains. Offensive line push and short-yardage conversion (3rd/4th-and-1). Trevor Goosby and Lawrence Seymour practiced Monday. If Goosby is 50/50, sit him; if 90/10, play him so the line gets full-game reps after camp injuries. Run game takes it off Arch Manning’s shoulders. Target ~6 YPC vs. a bottom-third unit. Explosives are the identity, but this game should not require them. Arch should not need more than 20–25 attempts. Down-to-down consistency. Under 35 points is a problem; 45–50+ feels right. Arch 65% completion, cleaner mechanics/accuracy/on-time throws (last year’s issues were often mechanical, not just talent). Clean hands from Ryan Wingo and Cam Coleman (one drop between them is fine; consistent drops/bobbles are not). Emmitt Mosley healthy. Explosive runs from Hollywood Smothers or Relique Brown — last year it took 6–7 games for a 20+ yard run. Need 2–3 of those or one 40+. O-line assignment soundness; no free rushers at Arch. Pre-snap penalties: one is tolerable, more is a red flag heading into Ohio State. Don’t need to see too much of Coleman/Arch/the backs late — that would mean the game is tighter than it should be. Watch Seymour–Dylan Sikorski split. Nick Townsend: 4-catch, 60-yard, TD-type game would unlock the middle of the field and take attention off Coleman/Wingo. Both hosts think he can surpass Jatavian Sanders/Gunnar Helm with reps and confidence. Texas Defense (8:50–14:08) What they need to see Big-time plays from Raheem Biles. How rotations take shape at LB, safety, corner, and edge. First freshman on the field and in what situations (pass-rush only vs. all three downs). Justin Cryer as communicator. Aggressive/attacking but smart — balance is hard. Corner: Kobe Black vs. Cade Phillips (Grayson Littleton and Bo Masco lock two of three spots). Safety opposite Jelani McDonald: Jonah Williams, Derek Williams, possibly Black if Phillips takes the corner. Young LBs flash: Rocky Cummings, Kosi Akpala, or Tyler Atkinson. Will Muschamp approach vs. Texas State: more blitz/man expected. Get home; don’t get burnt. 4–6 sacks in play for the DL. Richard Wesley “pop” — Colin Simmons called him more talented. Should be in on multiple sacks. Line up four DL and beat their five; sprinkle in LB/nickel blitzes. Some early miscommunication is expected and should be cleaned up. Game Prediction (14:08–15:47) Tommy: 48–13 Texas (covers). Comfortable, not perfectly clean; enough sloppy clips for OU/A&M fans. Offense does what it wants in the first half, then depth. Miller: 41–13 (Texas State covers). Two-and-a-half to three quarters of starters. Shared view: easy win unless Texas State’s two WRs and Brad Jackson get an early groove. Viewer Questions (15:47–17:21) Cole Hudson: expected to play, not start (Seymour starts if healthy; Sikorski also listed). Sark will play any OL he thinks can contribute — Jackson Christian, Jordan Coleman, Jaden Chapman, others. Rice-game comparison: fewer bodies this year (~90 vs. 110), so not as many unique players, but more meaningful snaps for young pieces Sark trusts long-term. Richard Wesley could see 20+ snaps (used to be 5–15). Anyone who needs to play vs. Ohio State should get 15–20 snaps. 2026 Record & Playoff Predictions (17:21–33:47) Both take Texas State and UTSA as wins. Ohio State (Texas -1.5): Tommy takes Ohio State — needs to see Sark out-scheme Matt Patricia (what beat them last year). Miller takes Texas: Ohio State has more defensive replacements; last year’s scheme advantage faded as the year went on. Tennessee (road): Both take Texas, close (within 10). Faison Brandon’s first SEC start vs. Muschamp; high variance. Red River: Both take Texas. Sark has consistently gotten the better of Brent Venables; last year’s win was efficient. Florida: Both take Texas, potentially comfortably after last year’s embarrassment. Buster Faulkner has answers for Kirby Smart-style defenses (similar to Muschamp). Ole Miss: Both take Texas. Don’t trust Pete Golding without Charlie Weiss Jr. and last year’s momentum. Mississippi State: Both take Texas. Kamario Taylor is elite-level talent but they won’t pick the upset yet. Missouri: Both take Texas. Vegas win total ~6–6.5; Ahmad Hardy timeline (late September rumors) and nine-game SEC slate point to regression. LSU (Death Valley night): Both take LSU. Miller’s first (and only) regular-season loss → 11-1. Tommy 10-2. Lane Kiffin + environment. Arkansas: Both take Texas. Texas A&M: Both take Texas (same logic as Oklahoma: defensive HC + QB arm questions vs. Texas). Regular season: Miller 11-1, Tommy 10-2. SEC title: Both have Texas in and losing to Georgia. CFP path Tommy: Texas beats Miami and Oregon, loses national title to Notre Dame. Miller: Texas beats USC/Miami-type teams, beats Oregon in the title game. First time he has picked Texas to win the national championship on the channel — talent gap over Notre Dame/Oregon is small but real. What Can Go Right (33:47–41:25) Sark lets personnel dictate scheme and adapts in-game (last year he called what he wanted instead of what the OL could execute until the Mississippi State comeback). Muschamp’s defense plays smart, not just fast — doesn’t overcommit. Coleman + Wingo cut drops and complement each other like Xavier Worthy/AD Mitchell. Coleman develops into a more complete route-runner (ceiling: George Pickens/A.J. Green traits). Arch plays “boring”: accurate and efficient. Big plays and legs will come; timing and completion percentage make the offense nearly unstoppable. Relique Brown and Hollywood Smothers hit home-run runs (sputter-then-explode room). That opens play-action and takes pressure off Arch. Derek Cooper as bruiser later. Elite safety play opposite McDonald so Muschamp can stay aggressive. What Can Go Wrong (41:25–45:00) Linebacker depth: injury to Biles or Cryer (Ty Anthony Smith gone). Cryer is also a key communicator. Top-priority health names: Biles, Cryer, Arch, Coleman. Locker-room connectivity/egos with a heavy portal roster and many new faces. First loss will bring the “turmoil” questions. Self-inflicted wounds: pre-snap penalties, turnovers, failing to get 1–2 yards in key spots, shotgun/self-destruct plays (Arizona State memory). First TD & Closing Philosophy (45:00–end) First Texas TD guesses: Miller — Emmitt Mosley; Tommy — Hollywood Smothers (or Cam Coleman as fan-service jump ball). Philosophy: start fast every game. Talent on both sides of the ball should make opponents nervous early. Tommy’s extra notes: Do you trust Sark after the portal/staff swings? He does — ride him. Enjoy the process and the fun players instead of only measuring the season by a title. New Thursday 6:30 p.m. ET best-bets/call-in show added; Tuesday 7 p.m. ET remains. Hook ’em. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

  7. Aug 26

    Drama In Austin! How Concerned Should Texas Fans Be? | Texas Longhorns LIVE 116

    Drama In Austin! How Concerned Should Texas Fans Be? | Texas Longhorns LIVE 116 Hosts: Matthew Miller & Thomas Bresee (TexasVOCFB) Sponsored by FanDuel Intro & Heisman Odds (0:00–1:35) Welcome to the 116th edition of Texas Longhorns Live. Like/subscribe reminders. Arch Manning +850 to win the Heisman (behind CJ Carr at +700; ~150-point gap). Tommy: Roughly how he sees the top of the board. Carr benefits from a manageable schedule and better WR weapons than Notre Dame has had recently. Arch remains locked into the top 2–3/5 odds even with an uneven start. Matthew: Odds should have fallen some based on recent reports. Texas can still contend for a national title, but Arch needs a strong season for Heisman contention. Would not bet him now; might after a cold Ohio State game if odds drop further while remaining big-game opportunities exist. Second Scrimmage Breakdown – Defense & Freshman LBs (1:35–4:30) Turnovers created: Interceptions by Kosiak-Paula, Grayson Littleton, Jamari on Carlton (and others). Jamari on Carlton INT likely a batted/shovel pass blown up by the DL that fell into his hands (not typical coverage drop). Kosiak-Paula continuing to make plays throughout camp/scrimmages. With Ty Anthony Smith out, the young LBs (Kosiak-Paula, Rocky Cummings, Tyler Atkinson) must step up. Body types are ready; question is on-field translation and processing speed at a heady position. Tommy: Freshman LBs were one of the two biggest things to watch (alongside clean Arch performance). Kosiak-Paula tipped a pick to himself and returned it for a TD; can play Mike or some Will. All three freshmen fit the physical prototype (Rocky ~6-4, nearly 230). Talent exists to replace Smith; early softer games (Texas State, UTEP) can accelerate development. Expect at least two of the three to look special by season’s end or heading into 2027. Rotation discussion: LB and WR rotations are the two biggest questions. LB depth expansion is more necessity than preference (hard to run only three all year). Arch Manning Scrimmage Performance (4:30–11:30) Arch had two INTs; team total four turnovers (sloppy). Defense expected to create takeaways and already knows the playbook. Rough estimate: ~50 plays, maybe 20–25 true pass attempts → turnover rate not good. Not spinning it positively. Matthew: Arch has history of struggling in practice but elevating in games (partial Vince Young parallel—VY was not a good practice player). Consistency still needs work. Worry level ~5/10 (issue but not overwhelming). Tommy: Season-long not concerned at all—expects strong play start to finish with growth into more consistency late. Worth monitoring short/intermediate throws and mechanics, especially heading into Ohio State. Learned last year not to overreact before games are played (was too aggressive early on Arch previously). Turnovers were not an issue a year ago. Scrimmages limit leg use (pocket-only, no hits). Arch often needs to feel the game/hits to fully lock in. Sark teams are 27-1 when leading after the first quarter (only loss was 3-0 lead vs. Georgia in SEC title game). Process-oriented cleanliness vs. Texas State can ease Ohio State nerves. Worry level overall 3–4; higher pre-Ohio State but erasable by Texas State performance. Both: UTEP example (11/25) showed struggles even vs. weak competition when not locked in; Mississippi State relief appearance was excellent. Need ~70% completion or better vs. Texas State. Overblown by some, downplayed by others—middle ground. Arch has shown ability to improve and self-correct. Offensive Line (11:30–16:00) Andre Kojo taking first-team reps at left tackle (positive development; competed at RT last year, potential Goosby fill-in). Tommy: Massive that Kojo is comfortable there with limited drop-off expected. Doesn’t sound like moving him inside to guard is a priority for Sark—value in having a true third tackle (Goosby precedent in 2024 at both spots). Interior options appear solid enough. Lawrence Seymour did not practice (limited live starter reps previously). Cole Hudson’s return helps. Concerns about OL cohesion. Tommy: Healthy Monday but slow-played; staff appears confident in him as the long-term left guard and is managing workload for the mock game + full first-team week. Could also be Dylan Sikorski playing well. Cohesion is the real worry heading into Ohio State (solid but not terrifying DL; Kenyatta Jackson overrated per hosts). Expect clarity vs. Texas State—Seymour likely settles as clear No. 1 LG. Kojo flexibility is a big safety net. Other Positives & Will Muschamp (15:00–18:00) Sark on Grayson Littleton and Emmitt Mosley as hardest-working players. Slot receiver dirty work and nickel glue (Jordan Whittington precedent; Jade Barron-type nickel) are massive for this offense/defense. Outside recent drama, signs point up: confident team, Sark demanding greatness from a talented offense he knows can be special. Hold offense to high standard because it’s “his” side. Let them play before overreacting to expectations/last year. Will Muschamp hire growing in confidence (gamble given time away from play-calling). Colin Simmons: strength of the defense is the DC. Report that offense didn’t run the ball well Saturday because of Muschamp. Expected more havoc, turnovers, blitzes, and similar/more sacks. One observer: if this offense can score consistently on this defense, it can score on nearly anyone. Hosts previously projected top 10–15 defense; staff sounding top-10 confident. All pieces in place. Comments Quick Hits (18:00–21:00) Vince Young magic comparison: mostly off-script legs (not practiced in scrimmages). Arch will use mobility in games, ideally less than last year. Jet Walker (freshman RB): Ahead of schedule but behind Michael Terry and James Simon—unlikely to play much (possible special teams). Power back with future upside; 2026 class adds more competition. KJ Lacey: Feeling good. If Arch is out short-term (not vs. Ohio State/LSU/Oklahoma), Texas can still win most games. Offense may need to be more conservative/point-guard style (less deep shots, fewer extended plays), but KJ can execute the necessary throws and the supporting cast is strong. Drama in Austin – Ty Anthony Smith & Hayward Howard Jr. (21:00–30:00) Ty Anthony Smith: Not playing; Inside Texas reported off the team. Others talked around it. Sark cited flu (real for other players, convenient cover). Critical LB with NFL tools if he adds weight. Multiple reported reasons (on/off field). Hayward Howard Jr.’s father tweeted tagging reporters that he would “expose” what’s going on at Texas. Never helpful when a parent goes public (especially low on the depth chart—7th/8th QB). “Politics” language usually signals playing-time complaints. Likely already handled internally by staff. Howard had an INT in practice; can develop. Inconsequential overall. Tommy: Extra noise the program didn’t need (Arch hype, Sark push to elite, high-cost roster already enough). Parent tweet not a big deal long-term. For Smith: hope he gets back on his feet as a talented player. Football-wise, not ideal at a thin position, but talent exists to cover. If reports about buy-in/distraction are accurate, likely addition by subtraction—good culture polices itself and removes what won’t fit after attempts to help. Matthew: Culture discussion—keeping a problem after efforts to correct it would be the real culture issue. Nick Saban view on working with players first; ultimately both parties must want it (dating analogy). Rooting for Smith (good kid/player from recruiting reports and spring interactions; solid Michigan Bowl game). Howard situation overblown given depth-chart status—fodder for rivals, not a starter-level issue. Football path forward: Jordan Johnson-Rubell getting some LB reps (extra body). Freshmen (Atkinson, Kosiak-Paula, Rocky Cummings) expected above him. Need them to accelerate vs. Texas State and give situational help (pass rush, long third downs) to ease load on Raheem Biles, Justin Cryer, Brad Spence in September. Expect consistent high-level contributions from the young group later. More Comments (30:00–32:30) KJ vs. Arch styles different (Stockton-like vs. big-play seeker); offense flexible enough to adjust concepts. Wish Texas had kept Bo Barnes (and Christian Clark). Only two clear “day they left felt like big losses” in Sark era (Logan Parr later proved more valuable than expected). Nick Brooks also mentioned (portal era reality; bizarre off-field episode; now competing at RT for Alabama—raises questions about Bama OL if true). Opponent QB Decisions & Texas Implications (32:30–42:30) Tennessee – Faison Brandon over George McIntyre (expected after earlier discussion with Tucker) Raises volatility. High ceiling (size, arm, athleticism; potential top-3/5 future QB in league). Gets early runway (Furman, Kennesaw State, Georgia Tech). Tennessee offense historically good with first-year QBs. Hosts still lean Texas, but Muschamp can confuse a young QB. Catch him cold and he can go for 300+ total yards/4 scores. Possible both extremes (hot game or multi-INT blowout) during the season. Watch rush-lane discipline (issue last year) and early conservatism vs. blitz-heavy approach. Florida – Aaron Filo over Tramell Jones (expected with Buster Faulkner/Jon Sumrall influence) Steady, accurate, pocket presence, every throw. Facilitator/point-guard style fits the offense perfectly (space the playmakers). High-school Georgia records; can develop into genuine NFL prospect. Reduces valleys compared with a younger/less experienced option. Florida remains a high-variance, talented, dangerous team; Philo is a plus for consistency. Hosts still like the matchup at home but respect the pieces. Arkansas – KJ Jackson over AJ Hill Essentially irrelevant. Arkansas among the SEC’s

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