Deep Values: Value Investing Deep Dives

DeepValues
  • 2.9 (19)
  • Investing
  • Updated Daily

Value investing and stock analysis, Buffett-style. Each episode audits one company or market story: intrinsic value, discounted cash flow, margin of safety, moats and balance-sheet risk, ending with a clear Bullish, Neutral or Bearish stance. From Deep Value Intelligence, the multi-agent AI analyst at deepvalues.ai. Free research reports on 300+ companies at research.deepvalues.ai; the DeepValues iOS app values any stock. Video: YouTube @TheDeepValues. Chinese edition: 深度价值. Also on Apple Podcasts. Educational content, not investment advice.

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  1. 25m ago

    Ken Griffin: AI Bulldozes Moats, GPUs Echo the 2000 Bust | Investor Playbook

    Ken Griffin says AI is filling in competitive moats with bulldozers, and he compares the GPU build-out to the dark-fiber telecom bust of 2000. We look at what that means for free cash flow, asset lifespans, discount rates and your margin of safety, using a Graham-Buffett lens. Chapters (0:00) The Macro Ledger: AI and Fiscal Reality (1:47) Bulldozing White-Collar Moats (4:43) ROI Tension: Foundation Models vs Efficiency (5:39) Bubble Watch: The Overcapacity Pricing Trap (10:24) The Enduring Value of Fundamental Research (11:23) The Reason Number Ten Sell-Off Framework (15:05) The $40 Trillion Deficit Headwind (16:05) Governance Arbitrage: Miami vs the Old Guard (17:08) The $40 Trillion Deficit Headwind (18:09) Growing Our Way Out (19:30) The DeepValues Playbook (20:49) ROI Tension: Foundation Models vs Efficiency (21:33) Apps for Intelligent Value Investors (21:45) Get the free apps DeepValues toolkit • DeepValues for iOS, intrinsic value and margin of safety for any stock: https://apps.apple.com/us/app/deepvalues/id6775568608 • Is the market overvalued? Track it with Buffett Indicator (iOS): https://apps.apple.com/us/app/buffett-indicator/id6747404614 • The same market gauge on Android, Bubble Watch: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.luluventures.buffett&referrer=utm_source%3Dspotify%26utm_medium%3Ddescription%26utm_campaign%3Dinvestor • Free research reports on 300+ companies: https://research.deepvalues.ai/?utm_source=spotify&utm_medium=description&utm_campaign=investor&utm_content=ken_griffin_on_ai_bulldozing_moats • Deep Value Intelligence, the multi-agent AI analyst: https://deepvalues.ai/?utm_source=spotify&utm_medium=description&utm_campaign=investor&utm_content=ken_griffin_on_ai_bulldozing_moats • Developer API for your AI agents: https://app.deepvalues.ai/developers?utm_source=spotify&utm_medium=description&utm_campaign=investor&utm_content=ken_griffin_on_ai_bulldozing_moats Deep Value Intelligence audits the numbers behind the headlines with a Graham-Dodd / Buffett lens: valuation discipline, cash generation, balance-sheet safety and return on capital. Don't guess. Calculate. • This episode on YouTube: https://youtu.be/v60XsZBDC1E Subscribe: https://youtube.com/@TheDeepValues?sub_confirmation=1 Podcast (Deep Values): Spotify https://open.spotify.com/show/2XDn2NMbbfvrJiqk9xAqR9 · Apple Podcasts https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/id1811057697 Disclaimer: educational and research content only. Not investment advice. Based on public sources that may be revised or interpreted differently. Do your own due diligence.

  2. 41m ago

    Bill Gates on AI: Why a $40B Data Center Kills Moats | Stock Market

    Bill Gates says AI will commoditize both cognitive and physical labor over a 20-year transition, and $40 billion data centers are already being built. We look at which moats get weaker, which ones may get stronger, and what that means for estimating intrinsic value. Chapters (0:00) The 20-Year AI Transition (0:40) From Scarcity to Abundance (1:43) The Numbers and Timelines (4:28) The Engine of Disruption (6:16) Erosion of Labor Moats (8:19) The Numbers and Timelines (8:59) The Near-Term Threat Matrix (11:23) The Regulatory Bottleneck (12:24) Solving the Control Problem (13:44) The Regulatory Bottleneck (14:49) From Scarcity to Abundance (15:32) The 20-Year Bull and Bear Case (15:51) The Numbers and Timelines (16:31) From Scarcity to Abundance (17:32) The Numbers and Timelines (18:33) The 20-Year Bull and Bear Case (19:14) Capital Allocation in the AI Era (20:36) Apps for Value Investors (21:31) Get the free apps DeepValues toolkit • Is the market overvalued? Track it with Buffett Indicator (iOS): https://apps.apple.com/us/app/buffett-indicator/id6747404614 • The same market gauge on Android, Bubble Watch: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.luluventures.buffett&referrer=utm_source%3Dspotify%26utm_medium%3Ddescription%26utm_campaign%3Dmarket • Free research reports on 300+ companies: https://research.deepvalues.ai/?utm_source=spotify&utm_medium=description&utm_campaign=market&utm_content=bill_gates_on_ai_destroying_moats • Deep Value Intelligence, the multi-agent AI analyst: https://deepvalues.ai/?utm_source=spotify&utm_medium=description&utm_campaign=market&utm_content=bill_gates_on_ai_destroying_moats • DeepValues for iOS, intrinsic value and margin of safety for any stock: https://apps.apple.com/us/app/deepvalues/id6775568608 • Developer API for your AI agents: https://app.deepvalues.ai/developers?utm_source=spotify&utm_medium=description&utm_campaign=market&utm_content=bill_gates_on_ai_destroying_moats Deep Value Intelligence audits the numbers behind the headlines with a Graham-Dodd / Buffett lens: valuation discipline, cash generation, balance-sheet safety and return on capital. Don't guess. Calculate. • This episode on YouTube: https://youtu.be/NgPG5TlwTts Subscribe: https://youtube.com/@TheDeepValues?sub_confirmation=1 Podcast (Deep Values): Spotify https://open.spotify.com/show/2XDn2NMbbfvrJiqk9xAqR9 · Apple Podcasts https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/id1811057697

  3. 57m ago

    AI Earnings Up 57%, Cash Payouts at a 20-Year Low | Stock Market

    Using Aswath Damodaran's numbers, we check why the market added $2.5 trillion in the same month the 10-year Treasury jumped to 5.29%, and why AI CapEx is pushing reported earnings well ahead of free cash flow. With the equity risk premium down to 3.70% and payouts at their lowest since 2004, the margin of safety is about as thin as it gets. Chapters (0:00) The AI CapEx Illusion (0:38) The 2026 Market Paradox (1:36) The September Rate Shock (2:15) The Margin of Safety Paradox (3:57) Earnings Concentration and Breadth (4:16) The September Rate Shock (5:00) Earnings Concentration and Breadth (5:41) Builders vs Suppliers (6:42) Earnings vs Free Cash Flow (8:23) How AI CapEx Is Funded (9:25) Payouts Hit a Two-Decade Low (10:26) AI Bull vs Bear Case (11:27) The Margin of Safety Paradox (11:48) AI Bull vs Bear Case (12:48) Markets Lead, Accounting Follows (13:28) Structural Investing Rules (14:09) Investor Pathways in the AI Era (14:31) Financial and Human Capital (14:52) Investor Pathways in the AI Era (15:50) Financial and Human Capital (16:46) Apps for Value Investors (17:46) Get the free apps DeepValues toolkit • Is the market overvalued? Track it with Buffett Indicator (iOS): https://apps.apple.com/us/app/buffett-indicator/id6747404614 • The same market gauge on Android, Bubble Watch: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.luluventures.buffett&referrer=utm_source%3Dspotify%26utm_medium%3Ddescription%26utm_campaign%3Dmarket • Free research reports on 300+ companies: https://research.deepvalues.ai/?utm_source=spotify&utm_medium=description&utm_campaign=market&utm_content=the_hidden_value_trap_in_ai_stocks • Deep Value Intelligence, the multi-agent AI analyst: https://deepvalues.ai/?utm_source=spotify&utm_medium=description&utm_campaign=market&utm_content=the_hidden_value_trap_in_ai_stocks • DeepValues for iOS, intrinsic value and margin of safety for any stock: https://apps.apple.com/us/app/deepvalues/id6775568608 • Developer API for your AI agents: https://app.deepvalues.ai/developers?utm_source=spotify&utm_medium=description&utm_campaign=market&utm_content=the_hidden_value_trap_in_ai_stocks Deep Value Intelligence audits the numbers behind the headlines with a Graham-Dodd / Buffett lens: valuation discipline, cash generation, balance-sheet safety and return on capital. Don't guess. Calculate. • This episode on YouTube: https://youtu.be/600IAPWYz4g Subscribe: https://youtube.com/@TheDeepValues?sub_confirmation=1

  4. 1h ago

    The AI Hardware Value Trap: Why 3x Earnings Can Lie | Stock Market

    Memory chipmakers post 80-90% gross margins and trade at two to four times forward earnings, and that cheap multiple may be a textbook cyclical value trap. We follow the money from a $60B gigawatt down to the $20B raw cost underneath and show where margin of safety really sits, and where it doesn't. Chapters (0:00) From Unconstrained Growth to Capital Reality (1:46) How AI Compute Is Financed (3:05) The Economics of a Gigawatt (4:10) From Unconstrained Growth to Capital Reality (5:52) The Pricing Power Spectrum (9:58) The Value Defense Equation (11:42) AI-Assisted Commoditization Risk (12:44) The Economics of a Gigawatt (14:07) Enterprise ROI and Token Consumption (15:51) The AI Constraint Stack (19:15) The Pricing Power Spectrum (19:56) The Economics of a Gigawatt (21:05) AI-Assisted Commoditization Risk (21:44) Apps and Resources for Value Investors (22:18) Get the free apps DeepValues toolkit • Is the market overvalued? Track it with Buffett Indicator (iOS): https://apps.apple.com/us/app/buffett-indicator/id6747404614 • The same market gauge on Android, Bubble Watch: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.luluventures.buffett&referrer=utm_source%3Dspotify%26utm_medium%3Ddescription%26utm_campaign%3Dmarket • Free research reports on 300+ companies: https://research.deepvalues.ai/?utm_source=spotify&utm_medium=description&utm_campaign=market&utm_content=the_value_trap_in_ai_hardware • Deep Value Intelligence, the multi-agent AI analyst: https://deepvalues.ai/?utm_source=spotify&utm_medium=description&utm_campaign=market&utm_content=the_value_trap_in_ai_hardware • DeepValues for iOS, intrinsic value and margin of safety for any stock: https://apps.apple.com/us/app/deepvalues/id6775568608 • Developer API for your AI agents: https://app.deepvalues.ai/developers?utm_source=spotify&utm_medium=description&utm_campaign=market&utm_content=the_value_trap_in_ai_hardware Deep Value Intelligence audits the numbers behind the headlines with a Graham-Dodd / Buffett lens: valuation discipline, cash generation, balance-sheet safety and return on capital. Don't guess. Calculate. • This episode on YouTube: https://youtu.be/WQs7F-5qoEI Subscribe: https://youtube.com/@TheDeepValues?sub_confirmation=1 Podcast (Deep Values): Spotify https://open.spotify.com/show/2XDn2NMbbfvrJiqk9xAqR9 · Apple Podcasts https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/id1811057697 Disclaimer: educational and research content only. Not investment advice. Based on public sources that may be revised or interpreted differently. Do your own due diligence. #StockMarket #ValueInvesting #BuffettIndicator

  5. 1d ago

    AI Bubble's Hidden Liabilities: 75¢ of Every $1 Is Circular

    We trace how 75 cents of every AI dollar circles between VC-backed startups and closed-model giants, then add the two liabilities the market ignores: agentic cyber risk and sovereign debt. With French yields above 5% and US deficits worse, the discount rate that anchors every valuation is moving. Deep Value Intelligence audits the numbers behind the headlines with a Graham-Dodd / Buffett lens: valuation discipline, cash generation, balance-sheet safety and return on capital. Don't guess. Calculate. • Deep Value Intelligence (multi-agent AI analyst): https://deepvalues.ai • DeepValues for iOS (intrinsic value of any stock): https://apps.apple.com/us/app/deepvalues/id6775568608 • Buffett Indicator for iOS (is the market overheated?): https://apps.apple.com/us/app/buffett-indicator/id6747404614 • Bubble Watch for Android: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.luluventures.buffett Podcast & channel • Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/2XDn2NMbbfvrJiqk9xAqR9 • Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/id1811057697 • YouTube: https://youtube.com/@TheDeepValues Disclaimer: educational and research content only. Not investment advice. Based on public sources that may be revised or interpreted differently. Do your own due diligence. #valueinvesting #stockmarket #WarrenBuffett #investing #DeepValues

  6. 1d ago

    15% Debt Yields Are Breaking the AI Data Center Math

    Steve Eisman's market wrap, read through a Graham-Buffett lens: why CoreWeave's jump to 15% debt yields, Meta's $825B of commitments and SpaceX's $29.6B quarterly capex mean tech is no longer capital-light. With rates stuck high, the fixed-income math now decides which moats survive, from AI data centers to telecom and housing. Deep Value Intelligence audits the numbers behind the headlines with a Graham-Dodd / Buffett lens: valuation discipline, cash generation, balance-sheet safety and return on capital. Don't guess. Calculate. • Deep Value Intelligence (multi-agent AI analyst): https://deepvalues.ai • DeepValues for iOS (intrinsic value of any stock): https://apps.apple.com/us/app/deepvalues/id6775568608 • Buffett Indicator for iOS (is the market overheated?): https://apps.apple.com/us/app/buffett-indicator/id6747404614 • Bubble Watch for Android: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.luluventures.buffett Podcast & channel • Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/2XDn2NMbbfvrJiqk9xAqR9 • Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/id1811057697 • YouTube: https://youtube.com/@TheDeepValues Disclaimer: educational and research content only. Not investment advice. Based on public sources that may be revised or interpreted differently. Do your own due diligence. #valueinvesting #stockmarket #WarrenBuffett #investing #DeepValues

  7. 2d ago

    10 Stocks Drove 60% of Gains: Is Your Index Fund Safe?

    Just 10 stocks drove 60% of 2024's market gains. Passive funds now make up 60% of the market, and the Shiller PE sits at 42. We look at what that means for index-fund diversification, for the AI chip cycle and for three fallen compounders, judged by intrinsic value rather than momentum. Deep Value Intelligence audits the numbers behind the headlines with a Graham-Dodd / Buffett lens: valuation discipline, cash generation, balance-sheet safety and return on capital. Don't guess. Calculate. • Deep Value Intelligence (multi-agent AI analyst): https://deepvalues.ai • DeepValues for iOS (intrinsic value of any stock): https://apps.apple.com/us/app/deepvalues/id6775568608 • Buffett Indicator for iOS (is the market overheated?): https://apps.apple.com/us/app/buffett-indicator/id6747404614 • Bubble Watch for Android: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.luluventures.buffett Podcast & channel • Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/4pkWVzv9g4msNzlYLUhnm5 • Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/id1813017485 • YouTube: https://youtube.com/@TheDeepValues Disclaimer: educational and research content only. Not investment advice. Based on public sources that may be revised or interpreted differently. Do your own due diligence. #valueinvesting #stockmarket #WarrenBuffett #investing #DeepValues

  8. 2d ago

    Spotify at $583: Great Business, But Priced for Perfection?

    We put Spotify's Q3 2026 numbers through a Graham-Dodd and Buffett audit: a record 33% gross margin, $3.46B in trailing free cash flow, no funded debt, and a two-stage DCF range from $345 to $601 per share. With shares near $583, we show what the market already prices in and how far that sits from a 30% margin of safety on conservative assumptions. Deep Value Intelligence audits the numbers behind the headlines with a Graham-Dodd / Buffett lens: valuation discipline, cash generation, balance-sheet safety and return on capital. Don't guess. Calculate. • Deep Value Intelligence (multi-agent AI analyst): https://deepvalues.ai • DeepValues for iOS (intrinsic value of any stock): https://apps.apple.com/us/app/deepvalues/id6775568608 • Buffett Indicator for iOS (is the market overheated?): https://apps.apple.com/us/app/buffett-indicator/id6747404614 • Bubble Watch for Android: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.luluventures.buffett Podcast & channel • Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/4pkWVzv9g4msNzlYLUhnm5 • Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/id1813017485 • YouTube: https://youtube.com/@TheDeepValues Disclaimer: educational and research content only. Not investment advice. Based on public sources that may be revised or interpreted differently. Do your own due diligence. #valueinvesting #stockmarket #WarrenBuffett #investing #DeepValues

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About

Value investing and stock analysis, Buffett-style. Each episode audits one company or market story: intrinsic value, discounted cash flow, margin of safety, moats and balance-sheet risk, ending with a clear Bullish, Neutral or Bearish stance. From Deep Value Intelligence, the multi-agent AI analyst at deepvalues.ai. Free research reports on 300+ companies at research.deepvalues.ai; the DeepValues iOS app values any stock. Video: YouTube @TheDeepValues. Chinese edition: 深度价值. Also on Apple Podcasts. Educational content, not investment advice.

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