Market Misbehavior with David Keller, CMT

Dave Keller, CMT
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On the Market Misbehavior Podcast, host Dave Keller, CMT, keeps things real as he breaks down what’s moving the markets and why it matters to investors. With a genuine, down-to-earth approach, Dave chats with top investment experts about what they’re seeing in the markets and digs into the psychology that shapes our investing choices. It’s not just market talk—it’s about helping you understand the bigger picture and avoid common pitfalls. Whether you’re a seasoned investor or just market-curious, tune in for straightforward discussions and actionable tips for upgrading your investing game.

  1. 2H AGO

    Price Follows Expectations: Navigating Earnings Gaps and Market Momentum feat. Alex Carteau

    In this episode of the Market Misbehavior podcast, Dave is joined by Alex Carteau, president and co-founder of EPSMomentum. Recorded 3/12/26. Alex shares what he’s learned from years of analyzing stock performance, including his firsthand experience working with institutional investors and analysts during his time at Bloomberg. We dig into the true relationship between price and earnings, the critical difference between raw earnings and earnings acceleration, how to navigate the intense volatility of earnings gaps, and why understanding post-earnings drift and technical indicators like Average True Range matters so much in a tricky 2026 macro environment. 🎓 Take Dave’s FREE course on behavioral investing: https://www.marketmisbehavior.com/freecourse 📘 Check out Dave’s recommended reading list: https://www.marketmisbehavior.com/readinglist 👉  Follow Dave on X: https://x.com/DKellerCMT 👉  Follow Dave on Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/dkellercmt.bsky.social 👉  Follow Dave on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/marketmisbehavior 👉  Follow Dave on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/marketmisbehavior The content in this presentation should not be considered as a recommendation to buy or sell any security. All information is intended for educational purposes only and in no way should be considered as investment advice.

    38 min

  2. 6D AGO

    CANSLIM in a Sideways Market: What Changes and What Doesn't feat. Justin Nielsen

    In this episode of the Market Misbehavior podcast, Dave is joined by Justin Nielsen, Market Research Director at Investor’s Business Daily. Recorded 3/10/26. Justin shares what he’s learned from years of applying the William O’Neil methodology, including his firsthand experience working with Bill O’Neil himself. We dig into market awareness, idea generation, the challenge of sideways markets, how CANSMLinvestors think about market direction, and why flexibility, humility, and disciplined risk management matter so much in a tricky 2026 environment. 🎓 Take Dave’s FREE course on behavioral investing: https://www.marketmisbehavior.com/freecourse 📘 Check out Dave’s recommended reading list: https://www.marketmisbehavior.com/readinglist 👉 Follow Dave on X: https://x.com/DKellerCMT 👉 Follow Dave on Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/dkellercmt.bsky.social 👉 Follow Dave on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/marketmisbehavior 👉 Follow Dave on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/marketmisbehavior The content in this presentation should not be considered as a recommendation to buy or sell any security. All information is intended for educational purposes only and in no way should be considered as investment advice.

    42 min

  3. MAR 6

    Ignore the Noise: Lindsey Bell on Earnings, Inflation, and What Investors Should Watch

    In this episode of the Market Misbehavior podcast, Dave is joined by Lindsey Bell, Chief Investment Strategist at 248 Ventures. We dig into one of the most important themes for investors in 2026: why earnings still matter more than headlines. Lindsey explains how market narratives around AI, inflation, and geopolitics can distract from the evidence that really drives long-term returns—revenue growth, margins, productivity, and consumer behavior. We also explore the rotation from AI producers to AI users, why consumer staples are quietly improving, and how logistics, transportation, and selected retail names may be telling a stronger story than many investors realize.  Recorded 3/5/26. 🎓 Take Dave’s FREE course on behavioral investing: https://www.marketmisbehavior.com/freecourse 📘 Check out Dave’s recommended reading list: https://www.marketmisbehavior.com/readinglist 👉 Follow Dave on X: https://x.com/DKellerCMT 👉 Follow Dave on Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/dkellercmt.bsky.social 👉 Follow Dave on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/marketmisbehavior 👉 Follow Dave on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/marketmisbehavior The content in this presentation should not be considered as a recommendation to buy or sell any security. All information is intended for educational purposes only and in no way should be considered as investment advice.

    39 min

  4. MAR 4

    George Noble: Regime Change, Gold to $7,000, and Why the AI Trade Is Breaking

    In this episode of the Market Misbehavior podcast, Dave is joined by legendary investor George Noble. George began his career as an intern for Peter Lynch at Fidelity and later managed the Fidelity Overseas Fund, which at one point was the number one mutual fund in the world. We dig into what George sees as a major regime shift in 2026: rotation over recession, real assets over liquidity trades, and valuation over narrative. We discuss the unwind of the AI euphoria, why price is not the same as value, the case for energy and precious metals, and George’s strong views on gold versus Bitcoin. Along the way, he shares timeless lessons on humility, conviction, and avoiding the trap of emotional attachment to positions. Check out George Noble's newsletter https://georgenoble.substack.com/ and also sign up for his upcoming event on March 11th at https://noble-capevents.com/. 🎓 Take Dave’s FREE course on behavioral investing: https://www.marketmisbehavior.com/freecourse 📘 Check out Dave’s recommended reading list: https://www.marketmisbehavior.com/readinglist 👉 Follow Dave on X: https://x.com/DKellerCMT 👉 Follow Dave on Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/dkellercmt.bsky.social 👉 Follow Dave on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/marketmisbehavior 👉 Follow Dave on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/marketmisbehavior The content in this presentation should not be considered as a recommendation to buy or sell any security. All information is intended for educational purposes only and in no way should be considered as investment advice.

    54 min

  5. FEB 28

    Forget Predictions | Price, Price, Price Is All You Need in 2026! featuring Clint Sorenson

    In this episode of the Market Misbehavior podcast, Dave is joined by Clint Sorenson, CMT, Co-Founder of Ascentis Asset Management. We dig into how Clint uses technical analysis as a complete decision-making and communication system—from his “price, price, price” philosophy to his GRIP framework (Growth, Risk appetite, Inflation, Policy). Clint explains why market indices don’t always “confirm” economic data, why factor rotation often tells the story better, and how intermarket relationships (credit, commodities, global equities, crypto, and more) help identify regime change.  We also explore the weekly/monthly routines that keep him consistent—and how advisors can use technical tools to build trust and communicate more clearly with clients.  Recorded 2/25/26. You can learn more about Clint's work at https://www.linkedin.com/in/csorensoncfacmt/ and https://ascentisasset.com. 🎓 Take Dave’s FREE course on behavioral investing: https://www.marketmisbehavior.com/freecourse 📘 Check out Dave’s recommended reading list: https://www.marketmisbehavior.com/readinglist 👉 Follow Dave on X: https://x.com/DKellerCMT 👉 Follow Dave on Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/dkellercmt.bsky.social 👉 Follow Dave on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/marketmisbehavior 👉 Follow Dave on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/marketmisbehavior The content in this presentation should not be considered as a recommendation to buy or sell any security. All information is intended for educational purposes only and in no way should be considered as investment advice.

    42 min

  6. FEB 28

    AI Is Real—But Is the ROI? Tom Martin on Earnings Signals, CapEx, and Market Valuations

    In this episode of the Market Misbehavior podcast, Dave is joined by Tom Martin, Senior Portfolio Manager at Globalt Investments. Recorded 2/18/26. We dig into what’s driving markets in early 2026—why the S&P has gone “flat at the highs,” what elevated valuations mean in a screen-based, highly connected economy, and how AI CapEx is shifting the conversation from hype to ROI. Tom also shares how an active manager navigates a highly concentrated benchmark, what he looks for in earnings to validate secular themes, and why real assets (including gold) and supply-chain security are back in focus. We close with Tom’s perspective on international equities after a long base-building phase—and why the U.S. dollar may be the swing factor. 🎓 Take Dave’s FREE course on behavioral investing: https://www.marketmisbehavior.com/freecourse 📘 Check out Dave’s recommended reading list: https://www.marketmisbehavior.com/readinglist 👉 Follow Dave on X: https://x.com/DKellerCMT 👉 Follow Dave on Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/dkellercmt.bsky.social 👉 Follow Dave on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/marketmisbehavior 👉 Follow Dave on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/marketmisbehavior The content in this presentation should not be considered as a recommendation to buy or sell any security. All information is intended for educational purposes only and in no way should be considered as investment advice.

    38 min

  7. FEB 19

    The S&P “Duck” Market: Gina Martin Adams on Concentration Risk, Earnings & Sector Dispersion

    In this episode of the Market Misbehavior podcast, Dave is joined by Gina Martin Adams, Chief Market Strategist at HB Wealth. Recorded 2/17/26. We dig into what’s driving markets in early 2026—why leadership has shifted away from large-cap growth, how earnings season changed the outlook (even as Q4 results beat expectations), and why price-to-sales ratios may be the most “bubble-like” signal in the market today. Gina also explains why consumer staples strength can be a warning sign, what small caps need to finally lead, why financials matter so much right now, and why 2026 may look calm on the surface while churning underneath—like a duck gliding across a pond. 🎓 Take Dave’s FREE course on behavioral investing: https://www.marketmisbehavior.com/freecourse 📘 Check out Dave’s recommended reading list: https://www.marketmisbehavior.com/readinglist 👉 Follow Dave on X: https://x.com/DKellerCMT 👉 Follow Dave on Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/dkellercmt.bsky.social 👉 Follow Dave on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/marketmisbehavior 👉 Follow Dave on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/marketmisbehavior The content in this presentation should not be considered as a recommendation to buy or sell any security. All information is intended for educational purposes only and in no way should be considered as investment advice.

    44 min

  8. FEB 17

    Rob Haworth: 2026 Macro Momentum, Fed Uncertainty, Tariffs & the 10-Year Risk

    In this episode of the Market Misbehavior podcast, Dave is joined by Rob Haworth of U.S. Bank Asset Management. We dig into what’s driving markets in early 2026—economic momentum vs headline risk, the real story behind consumer strength, how tariffs have filtered through inflation and earnings, the role of the Fed amid data uncertainty, and why elevated valuations make the 10-year Treasury yield the most important risk signal to watch. Rob also shares why midterm election years are often misunderstood—and why the economy, not politics, tends to matter most. 🎓 Take Dave’s FREE course on behavioral investing: https://www.marketmisbehavior.com/freecourse 📘 Check out Dave’s recommended reading list: https://www.marketmisbehavior.com/readinglist 👉 Follow Dave on X: https://x.com/DKellerCMT 👉 Follow Dave on Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/dkellercmt.bsky.social 👉 Follow Dave on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/marketmisbehavior 👉 Follow Dave on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/marketmisbehavior The content in this presentation should not be considered as a recommendation to buy or sell any security. All information is intended for educational purposes only and in no way should be considered as investment advice.

    43 min
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Ratings & Reviews

3.7
out of 5
3 Ratings

About

On the Market Misbehavior Podcast, host Dave Keller, CMT, keeps things real as he breaks down what’s moving the markets and why it matters to investors. With a genuine, down-to-earth approach, Dave chats with top investment experts about what they’re seeing in the markets and digs into the psychology that shapes our investing choices. It’s not just market talk—it’s about helping you understand the bigger picture and avoid common pitfalls. Whether you’re a seasoned investor or just market-curious, tune in for straightforward discussions and actionable tips for upgrading your investing game.

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