墨卡托计划

头发蓬松羊市长

地理/环境v(oice)log,给变化的人地关系留下快照 在地方语境下,记录你我世界的相似与差异。 欢迎在联邦宇宙关注我: https://todon.nl/@celadevra cgta.substack.com

  1. 12/09/2025

    #14 俄乌能源情报战

    俄乌战争已经持续了近四年,从一开始,俄罗斯就把乌克兰的大型电站特别是核电站作为战略目标,乌克兰也以攻击俄罗斯油气出口设施的方式回敬。这场战争标志着一种前线与后方、军事目标与非军事目标的界线日渐模糊的新战争形态的到来。通过观察双方围绕着能源设施展开的情报攻防,我们将能更清楚地看到现代技术条件和全球化的现实如何重新定义、绘制战场的形态、国家的边界和国民的身份认同。 勘误:17:25左右的“2020年”应为“2022年”。 ///marathon.volcano.chills * 02:07 乌克兰电网小史 * 07:06 俄罗斯如何实现对乌克兰电力设施的搜、打、验 * 16:54 乌克兰的反情报战 * 23:01 总结 北京晴,-5℃~3℃,西南风2级。 音乐 Intro/Interlude Cats Everywhere by A. Cooper / CC-BY 4.0 Interlude Honey by Serge Quadrado / CC-BY-NC 4.0 Outro Big Fire by Greg Kirkelie / CC-BY-NC-SA 4.0 参考资料 * Ukraine’s Energy Future: A Modern Blueprint with American Inspiration * History of Energy in Ukraine * Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 2, 2025 * Attacks on Ukraine’s Electric Grid: Insights for U.S. Infrastructure Security and Resilience * How Ukraine’s Operation “Spider’s Web” Redefines Asymmetric Warfare * Ukraine’s critical infrastructure lacks three-tier protection * Decoys and Deception – Ukraine’s Use of Fake Weapon Systems * How Ukraine’s GUR Is Spying on Russian Bases * Ukraine’s best defence against Putin’s energy war is more attacks on Russia’s oil refining sector This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit cgta.substack.com

  2. 11/25/2025

    #13 南极冰盖命运之问

    南极洲西部的冰盖如果全部融化,将让全球海平面平均上升5米以上。而决定它的命运,同时也决定人类命运的关键,不在它白雪皑皑的表面,却在深邃的海底、神秘的冰层之下。 ///marathon.volcano.chills * 01:36 问题描述 * 07:16 气候变化如何影响冰盖 * 14:12 对南极基岩层的研究 * 19:25 一百年后的答案 北京 0~13℃,晴,西南风2级。 音乐 Intro/Interlude Cats Everywhere by A. Cooper / CC-BY 4.0 Interlude Honey by Serge Quadrado / CC-BY-NC 4.0 Outro Big Fire by Greg Kirkelie / CC-BY-NC-SA 4.0 参考资料 * Naughten, K.A., Holland, P.R. and De Rydt, J., 2023. Unavoidable future increase in West Antarctic ice-shelf melting over the twenty-first century. Nature Climate Change, 13 (11), 1222–1228. 10.1038/s41558-023-01818-x. * Morlighem, M. et al., 2020. Deep glacial troughs and stabilizing ridges unveiled beneath the margins of the Antarctic ice sheet. Nature Geoscience, 13 (2), 132–137. 10.1038/s41561-019-0510-8. * Paolo, F.S., Fricker, H.A. and Padman, L., 2015. Volume loss from Antarctic ice shelves is accelerating. Science, 348 (6232), 327–331. 10.1126/science.aaa0940. “Overall, average ice-shelf volume change accelerated from negligible loss at 25 –+ 64 cubic kilometers per year for 1994–2003 to rapid loss of 310 –+ 74 cubic kilometers per year for 2003–2012. West Antarctic losses increased by ~70% in the past decade, and earlier volume gain by East Antarctic ice shelves ceased.” * Benn, D.I. and Sugden, D.E., 2020. West Antarctic ice sheet and CO2 greenhouse effect: a threat of disaster. Scottish Geographical Journal, 136 (1–4), 13–23. 10.1080/14702541.2020.1853870. * Antarctic oscillation * Southern Annular Mode * Holland, P.R. et al., 2022. Anthropogenic and internal drivers of wind changes over the Amundsen Sea, West Antarctica, during the 20th and 21st centuries. The Cryosphere, 16 (12), 5085–5105. 10.5194/tc-16-5085-2022. * Dinniman, M.S., Klinck, J.M. and Hofmann, E.E., 2012. Sensitivity of Circumpolar Deep Water Transport and Ice Shelf Basal Melt along the West Antarctic Peninsula to Changes in the Winds. Journal of Climate, 25 (14), 4799–4816. 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00307.1. * Hall, R.J. et al., 2025. Variability and Trends of the Amundsen Sea Low Since the Early 20th Century from Seasonal Station-based Reconstructions. [online]. Journal of Climate, 1 (aop). Available at: https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/aop/JCLI-D-25-0159.1/JCLI-D-25-0159.1.xml [Accessed 18 November 2025]. * Dotto, T.S. et al., 2019. Wind-Driven Processes Controlling Oceanic Heat Delivery to the Amundsen Sea, Antarctica. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 49 (11), 2829–2849. 10.1175/JPO-D-19-0064.1. * Reed, B. et al., 2024. Melt sensitivity of irreversible retreat of Pine Island Glacier. The Cryosphere, 18 (10), 4567–4587. 10.5194/tc-18-4567-2024. * Anon., 2017. Marine Ice Sheet Instability “For Dummies” [online blog]. Cryospheric Sciences. Available at: https://blogs.egu.eu/divisions/cr/2016/06/22/marine-ice-sheet-instability-for-dummies-2/ [Accessed 18 November 2025]. * The Hidden Landscape Holding Back the Sea * Fretwell, P. et al., 2013. Bedmap2: improved ice bed, surface and thickness datasets for Antarctica. The Cryosphere, 7 (1), 375–393. 10.5194/tc-7-375-2013. * Pritchard, H.D. et al., 2025. Bedmap3 updated ice bed, surface and thickness gridded datasets for Antarctica. Scientific Data, 12, 414. 10.1038/s41597-025-04672-y. * Garcia, S.M. et al., 2023. Characterizing bed roughness on the Antarctic continental margin. Journal of Glaciology, 69 (278), 2114–2125. 10.1017/jog.2023.88. * Wilson, S.F. et al., 2025. Detection of 85 new active subglacial lakes in Antarctica from a decade of CryoSat-2 data. Nature Communications, 16 (1), 8311. 10.1038/s41467-025-63773-9. * Morlighem, M. et al., 2024. The West Antarctic Ice Sheet may not be vulnerable to marine ice cliff instability during the 21st century. Science Advances, 10 (34), eado7794. 10.1126/sciadv.ado7794. This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit cgta.substack.com

  3. 11/11/2025

    #12 如果地球变成智能体

    谷歌地球应用一直让我们觉得“有点意思”,又不知道到底有什么用处。谷歌几十年来积攒了 90 PB 以上的数据(1 PB 大约能存下 2 亿首歌,可以连续不断听两千年),难道就是为了做一个全息 3D 地球仪吗?现在的谷歌地球应用,其实只是这些数据的呈现方式之一。后台的谷歌地球引擎(GEE),是一个构建在谷歌的机器学习、大数据和云计算平台上的数据挖掘和处理系统。现在,人们可以通过它快速处理海量的遥感影像,在从房屋到城市的各种尺度上提取地理信息,迅速完成地面特征的识别、计数等工作。地信数据和 AI 的结合,正让能回答复杂环境问题的地球智能体变成现实。 北京7~11℃,阴,北风1级。 ///displays.guard.bliss * 3:34 GEE 的能力 * 7:40 数据和算力 * 13:47 对研究者和普通人的意义 * 17:59 GEE 的竞争者和数字地球 音乐 Intro/Interlude Cats Everywhere by A. Cooper / CC-BY 4.0 Interlude Honey by Serge Quadrado / CC-BY-NC 4.0 Outro Big Fire by Greg Kirkelie / CC-BY-NC-SA 4.0 参考资料 * Google Sunroof * Global Fishing Watch * Earth AI: Unlocking Geospatial Insights with Foundation Models and Cross-Modal Reasoning * Yang, Liping, Joshua Driscol, Sarigai Sarigai, Qiusheng Wu, Haifei Chen, and Christopher D. Lippitt. 2022. “Google Earth Engine and Artificial Intelligence (AI): A Comprehensive Review” Remote Sensing 14, no. 14: 3253. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs14143253 * ESA - Working towards a Digital Twin of Earth This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit cgta.substack.com

  4. 10/28/2025

    #11 物种大迁徙

    当熟悉的家园变得不再宜居,许多物种的地理分布会缓慢或迅速地改变。这一现象在生态学中被称为“物种范围迁移”(range-shift),其背后的主要驱动力是气候变化。本期节目将探讨发生在迁移最前沿的深刻进化趋势,哪些因素影响物种范围迁移的方向和幅度,以及普遍的物种范围迁移将给社会-生态系统带来哪些改变。 北京5~11℃,阴有小雨,东风转北风,///公升.神奇.名字 * 02:03 什么是物种范围迁移 * 04:31 物种迁移中的进化 * 10:50 什么在影响物种范围迁移 * 12:40 物种迁移对人类社会的影响 * 19:27 人类需要做什么 音乐 Intro/Interlude Cats Everywhere by A. Cooper / CC-BY 4.0 Interlude Honey by Serge Quadrado / CC-BY-NC 4.0 Outro Big Fire by Greg Kirkelie / CC-BY-NC-SA 4.0 参考资料 * Chen, I.-C., Hill, J. K., Ohlemüller, R., Roy, D. B. & Thomas, C. D. (2011). Rapid Range Shifts of Species Associated with High Levels of Climate Warming. Science, 333(6045), 1024–1026. Retrieved October 22, 2025, from https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.1206432 * Diamond, S. E. (2018). Contemporary Climate‐driven Range Shifts: Putting Evolution Back on the Table (C. Fox, Ed.). Functional Ecology, 32(7), 1652–1665. Retrieved October 22, 2025, from https://besjournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/1365-2435.13095 * Hargreaves, A. L. & Eckert, C. G. (2014). Evolution of Dispersal and Mating Systems along Geographic Gradients: Implications for Shifting Ranges (J. Bailey, Ed.). Functional Ecology, 28(1), 5–21. Retrieved October 22, 2025, from https://besjournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/1365-2435.12170 * HilleRisLambers, J., Harsch, M. A., Ettinger, A. K., Ford, K. R. & Theobald, E. J. (2013). How Will Biotic Interactions Influence Climate Change–Induced Range Shifts? Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences, 1297(1), 112–125. Retrieved October 22, 2025, from https://nyaspubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/nyas.12182 * Madin, E. M. P., Ban, N. C., Doubleday, Z. A., Holmes, T. H., Pecl, G. T. & Smith, F. (2012). Socio-Economic and Management Implications of Range-Shifting Species in Marine Systems. Global Environmental Change, 22(1), 137–146. Retrieved October 22, 2025, from https://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/S0959378011001610 * McInerny, G. J., Turner, J. R. G., Wong, H. Y., Travis, J. M. J. & Benton, T. G. (2009). How Range Shifts Induced by Climate Change Affect Neutral Evolution. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 276(1661), 1527–1534. Retrieved October 22, 2025, from https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/rspb.2008.1567 * Phillips, B. L., Brown, G. P. & Shine, R. (2010). Life‐history Evolution in Range‐shifting Populations. Ecology, 91(6), 1617–1627. Retrieved October 22, 2025, from https://esajournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1890/09-0910.1 * Rubenstein, M. A., Weiskopf, S. R., Bertrand, R., Carter, S. L., Comte, L., Eaton, M. J., Johnson, C. G., Lenoir, J., Lynch, A. J., Miller, B. W., Morelli, T. L., Rodriguez, M. A., Terando, A. & Thompson, L. M. (2023). Climate Change and the Global Redistribution of Biodiversity: Substantial Variation in Empirical Support for Expected Range Shifts. Environmental Evidence, 12(1), 7. Retrieved October 22, 2025, from https://environmentalevidencejournal.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1186/s13750-023-00296-0 * Soifer, L. G. et al. (2025). Extreme Events Drive Rapid and Dynamic Range Fluctuations. Trends in Ecology & Evolution, 40(9), 862–873. Retrieved October 22, 2025, from https://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/S0169534725001776 * Van Petegem, K. H. P., Boeye, J., Stoks, R. & Bonte, D. (2016). Spatial Selection and Local Adaptation Jointly Shape Life-History Evolution during Range Expansion. The American Naturalist, 188(5), 485–498. Retrieved October 22, 2025, from https://www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/688666 This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit cgta.substack.com

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地理/环境v(oice)log,给变化的人地关系留下快照 在地方语境下,记录你我世界的相似与差异。 欢迎在联邦宇宙关注我: https://todon.nl/@celadevra cgta.substack.com