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Toad
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Hi, I am Toad. I am an autistic sports bettor with no regard for my well-being! I provide daily detailed analysis of all of the major sports and give out my best plays. It's free gold, baby. Find me on YouTube at ToadStool Sports and Instagram and Twitter at LearnToToad.

  1. 6h ago

    Friday BEST BETS | Friday Focus | MLB & WNBA & NFL Preseason | 8/21/26

    My links www.linktree.com/learntotoad www.patreon.com/learntotoad MLB LAA/TEX Under 7.5 -118 CHC -105 Friday MLB Bets (Aug 21): Angels/Rangers Under 7.5 + Cubs Moneyline | Toadstool Sports Toad returns for Friday, August 21st after a Braves win, recaps some NFL preseason notes, then breaks down a wide MLB slate with situational and pitching analysis, including Atlanta–Milwaukee (elite starters, very low total), Cardinals–Phillies (Luzardo vs Dobbins uncertainty), Blue Jays–Yankees (Toronto bullpen game vs Schlittler), Giants–Red Sox (Webb vs Gray), Nationals–Marlins (Washington bullpen game, leans over), Rays–Orioles (Peralta vs Rogers rematch), Mets–White Sox (rest edge and pitching form), A’s–Astros (Ginn vs Wesneski), Tigers–Royals (Melton vs Cameron), and other late games. His two official plays are Angels–Rangers under 7.5 and Cubs moneyline vs Seattle. He also briefly discusses WNBA spots and tonight’s preseason NFL games. 00:00 Cold Open Verse 01:28 Show Intro and Recap 02:48 Braves Brewers Pitching Duel 08:47 Cards Phillies Price Problem 15:14 Jays Yankees Bullpen Game 22:08 Giants at Red Sox Breakdown 31:58 Nats Marlins Ugly Matchup 37:39 Rays Orioles Rematch Read 45:27 Mets White Sox Spot 47:29 Manaea vs Burke Breakdown 53:24 A's Astros Bounce Back 55:05 Ginn vs Wesneski Angles 59:32 Tigers Royals Handicapping 01:03:13 Cameron vs Melton Doubts 01:07:10 Official Play Under 7.5 01:11:08 Detmers Gore Deep Dive 01:15:23 Slump Rant Reset 01:16:56 Guardians Rockies Coors 01:22:06 Reds Dbacks First Five 01:29:02 Travel Spot Breakdown 01:29:40 Bullpen Offense Edges 01:29:59 Prelip Scouting Report 01:31:02 Vasquez Red Flags 01:32:14 Totals And Market Read 01:33:30 Cubs Fade Seattle Spot 01:38:38 Boyd Vs Hancock Matchup 01:43:24 Dodgers Pirates Lean 01:48:35 WNBA Slate No Plays 01:57:03 NFL Preseason Notes 02:08:41 Final Picks And Wrap #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba

  2. 1d ago

    Thursday BEST BETS | Light Thursday | MLB & WNBA & NFL Preseason | 8/20/26

    My links www.linktree.com/learntotoad www.patreon.com/learntotoad MLB ATL -106 Toadstool Sports Picks (Thu, Aug 20): One MLB Bet + Full Board Breakdown (Braves vs White Sox) Toad recaps a 2-0 day and breaks down Thursday’s slate across MLB, WNBA, and NFL preseason, noting market splits, bullpen usage, and situational angles. He discusses Cardinals–Reds (lean St. Louis/possible F5 under), Giants–Guardians (Cleveland should win but price too high; possible under), Blue Jays–Rays (leans Toronto value depending on Shane Bieber), A’s–Royals (likes A’s first five behind Gage Jump vs Randy Dobnak), Mariners–Brewers (leans first five under), and Yankees–Orioles (leans under/possible Baltimore F5). His only official play is the Atlanta Braves full game over the White Sox in a makeup spot, citing bounce-back motivation, bullpen edge, and matchup vs Anthony Kay. He also reviews Rangers–Nationals (F5 under lean), Angels–Astros (leans Houston but stays off), three WNBA games, and two NFL preseason games. 00:00 Cold Open Verse 01:28 Show Intro and Recap 03:28 Cardinals Reds Breakdown 08:38 Giants Guardians Preview 15:25 Blue Jays Rays Spotlight 22:20 As Royals First Five Angle 28:49 Mariners Brewers Leans 34:54 Best Bet Braves Pick 41:05 Braves Moneyline Breakdown 42:35 Yankees Orioles Total Talk 44:28 Cole vs Bradish Matchup 49:29 Slump Rant Interlude 51:02 Nationals Rangers Analysis 57:25 Angels Astros Edges 01:03:28 WNBA Prime Doubleheader 01:06:40 Vegas Connecticut Mismatch 01:09:06 Atlanta LA Travel Spot 01:12:09 NFL Preseason Leans 01:16:59 Final Card and Wrap #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba

  3. 2d ago

    Wednesday BEST BETS | Sued by Jayden Daniels | MLB & WNBA | 8/19/26

    My links www.linktree.com/learntotoad www.patreon.com/learntotoad MLB SEA F5 -102 WSH F5 +105 MLB Betting Breakdown (Aug 19): First 5 Road Dogs — Seattle & Washington Picks + Full Slate Leans Toad runs through Wednesday, Aug. 19’s baseball slate after a 3–0 day, recapping Yankees, Detroit–Pittsburgh first-five under, and Arizona–Boston over. He breaks down multiple matchups with bullpen, offense, starter form, and market ticket/cash splits, including Tigers–Pirates (Jobe vs. Skeens), Padres–Mets (King vs. Stock), Braves–Twins (Smith-Shawver vs. Bradley), Cubs–White Sox (bullpen game vs. Holmes), D-backs–Red Sox (Pfaadt vs. Tolley), Marlins–Phillies (Alcantara vs. Nola), Yankees–Orioles (Warren vs. Bassitt over lean), Giants–Guardians (Wilkinson debut vs. Messick), Cardinals–Reds (Burns edge), and Jays–Rays (Rasmussen vs. Scherzer). His official plays are Seattle first five and Washington first five, with additional leans toward A’s first five if Gage Jump starts and Angels first five; he briefly touches two WNBA games and closes with show plugs and upcoming football previews. 00:00 Cold Open Verse 01:32 Show Intro and Recap 04:54 Tigers Pirates Breakdown 10:25 Padres Mets Pitching Edge 15:20 Braves Twins Sweep Spot 20:25 Cubs White Sox Bullpen Game 25:28 Dbacks Red Sox Under Talk 33:33 Marlins Phillies Starters 39:02 Miami Philly Market Read 40:22 Yankees Orioles Over Lean 42:24 Warren vs Bassitt Breakdown 46:07 Giants Guardians Pitching Debut 49:34 Messick Edge First Five Under 52:21 Cards Reds Burns Advantage 57:30 Blue Jays Rays Price Problem 01:04:10 Slump Rant Reset 01:06:07 As Royals Jump Watchlist 01:12:41 Seattle Bounce Back First Five 01:15:27 Gilbert Road Edge 01:17:39 Fading Dustin May 01:20:37 Washington Bounce Back 01:22:29 Cavalli Versus Rocker 01:27:15 Anaheim Live Dog 01:33:38 Dodgers Rockies Over 01:39:25 WNBA No Bet Night 01:45:42 Plays Recap Outro #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba

  4. 3d ago

    Tuesday BEST BETS | Splash the Board, Go on Tilt | MLB & WNBA | 8/18/26

    My links www.linktree.com/learntotoad www.patreon.com/learntotoad MLB NYY -110 DET/PIT F5 Under 4.5 -122 ARI/BOS Over 8 -112 MLB Best Bets (Aug 18): Yankees ML, Tigers/Pirates F5 Under & D-Backs/Red Sox Over | Toadstool Sports Toad recaps a rough previous slate and discusses recent Red Sox/Arizona bullpen usage and lineup notes, then delivers three MLB best bets for August 18: Yankees moneyline vs. Orioles (citing rest and situational edges, bullpen advantage, and Rodón vs. Baz matchup history), Tigers–Pirates first five under 4.5 (trusting Montero’s road form and Ashcraft’s current command while avoiding Pittsburgh’s bullpen), and Diamondbacks–Red Sox over 8 (based on shaky starter matchups with Merrill Kelly and Suárez’s poor history vs. Arizona plus Boston bullpen injuries/usage). He also runs through other games with leans (including thoughts on Miami/Philly, Guardians/Giants, Cardinals/Reds, Jays/Rays, Mets/Padres, A’s/Royals, Mariners/Brewers, and more), briefly touches WNBA matchups with a lean toward Toronto +10.5, and plugs upcoming football previews and show links. 00:00 Cold Open Lyrics 01:29 Show Intro and Recap 03:39 Best Bets Setup 04:26 Pick 1 Yankees Moneyline 11:52 Pick 2 Tigers Pirates F5 Under 18:45 Phillies Marlins Breakdown 25:40 Giants Guardians Handicap 31:34 Cards Reds Doubleheader Angle 37:06 Blue Jays Rays Rest Edge 37:22 Bullpen and spot edge 38:31 Soriano scouting report 40:15 Martinez matchup breakdown 42:24 Market read and total lean 43:54 Dbacks Red Sox over case 46:34 Pitcher matchup red flags 50:05 Padres Mets under vibes 50:57 Ray vs Thornton leans 55:40 A's Royals bullpen chaos 59:57 Mariners Brewers under debate 01:08:27 Slump rant reset 01:09:59 Braves Twins preview 01:14:27 Minnesota Urgency Angle 01:14:59 Cubs White Sox Breakdown 01:20:01 Wrigley Total And Team Total 01:21:04 Nationals Rangers First Five 01:27:05 Angels Astros Confusing Market 01:33:01 Dodgers Rockies Coors Over Talk 01:38:36 WNBA Leans And Stayaways 01:40:52 Best WNBA Spot Toronto 01:46:43 Vegas Atlanta Time Zone Spot 01:50:18 Card Recap And Closing #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba

  5. 4d ago

    Monday BEST BETS | Everything Sucks | MLB & WNBA | 8/17/26

    My links www.linktree.com/learntotoad www.patreon.com/learntotoad MLB ARI +131 MLB Picks & Betting Breakdown (Aug 17) | One Official Play: Diamondbacks +131 vs Red Sox Toad returns on Monday, August 17th after a rough losing stretch, recapping bad beats (including Tampa Bay and a Dodgers/Brewers under) and then breaking down a full MLB slate with market/ticket-money notes, situational angles, bullpen usage, and starting pitching matchups. He covers the Cardinals/Reds doubleheader (including a possible first five under in Game 2), Orioles/Rays with Shane McClanahan returning, Marlins/Phillies with a potential first five under lean, Tigers/Pirates leaning Detroit, Padres/Mets leaning Mets first five, A’s/Royals with over and underdog angles, Braves/Twins leaning Twins first five, White Sox/Cubs leaning over, and Dodgers/Rockies with run line/team total considerations. He also briefly discusses Dallas vs Golden State in the WNBA but makes no play. His one official bet is Arizona +131 full game vs Boston, citing a Red Sox bullpen game, injuries, and a negative return-home spot. 00:00 Cold Open Poem 01:29 Brutal Betting Recap 02:41 Cards Reds Doubleheader 05:20 Game Two Under Angle 08:59 Orioles Rays Sweep Spot 14:07 Marlins Phillies Return Home 19:52 Tigers Pirates Breakdown 25:00 Best Bet Dbacks Over Sox 30:52 Padres Mets Pitching Edge 35:54 A's Royals Series Setup 36:08 Royals A's Breakdown 37:03 Barnett vs Wacha Matchup 38:54 First Five and Over Angles 40:55 Slump Rant Reset 42:30 Braves Twins First Five 47:45 Cubs White Sox Pitching 53:15 Wrigley Total Lean 54:20 Dodgers Rockies Coors 56:45 Snell vs Sugano Deep Dive 01:02:16 WNBA Dallas Golden State 01:06:27 Final Card and Signoff #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba

  6. 5d ago

    Sunday BEST BETS | Selective Sunday | MLB & WNBA | 8/16/26

    My links www.linktree.com/learntotoad www.patreon.com/learntotoad MLB TB -138 MIL/LAD Under 7.5 -110 Sunday MLB Picks (Aug 16) | Tampa Bay ML + Brewers/Dodgers Under 7.5 | Toadstool Sports Toad (Toadstool Sports) recaps going 1-1 the prior day (Tigers loss, Brewers win) and presents two MLB bets for Sunday, August 16: Tampa Bay moneyline vs. Baltimore (citing a bounce-back spot, home edge, bullpen/offense rankings, and pitcher matchup trends with Peralta improving and Rogers struggling vs. Tampa) and Brewers–Dodgers under 7.5 (or under 7 if the line moves), backing Logan Henderson vs. newly acquired Tarik Skubal plus solid bullpens and prior low-scoring games in the series. He briefly analyzes other MLB matchups and market/public betting splits, discusses WNBA games as leans only (Chicago, Atlanta, Phoenix), notes no NFL preseason games Sunday, and closes with plugs for social channels, podcasts, and upcoming football preview content. 00:00 Cold Open Verse 01:28 Show Intro Recap 02:41 Tampa Bay Pick 09:39 Braves Sweep Spot 15:04 Red Sox Pirates Total 23:30 Yankees Jays Preview 29:44 Tigers White Sox Breakdown 34:31 Marlins Reds Pitching 38:05 Reds Marlins Debate 39:51 Padres Guardians Breakdown 41:19 Mize vs Bibee Matchup 45:05 Nationals Mets Sweep Spot 50:09 Phillies Twins Avoid Sweep 55:36 Cardinals Cubs TV Game 01:01:50 Slump Rant Reset 01:03:23 Rockies Giants Unpredictable 01:09:40 Rangers Athletics Preview 01:13:19 Texas Lean and Total 01:15:26 Royals Angels Breakdown 01:17:45 KC First Five Play 01:19:26 Brewers Dodgers Under 01:21:11 Henderson vs Skubal 01:26:56 Seattle Houston Nightcap 01:34:56 WNBA Slate Quick Hits 01:37:55 Fever Dream vs Dream 01:40:56 Mercury vs Wings Angle 01:43:32 Final Card and Wrap #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba

  7. 6d ago

    Saturday BEST BETS | Oversimplify | MLB & WNBA & NFL Preseason | 8/15/26

    My links www.linktree.com/learntotoad www.patreon.com/learntotoad MLB DET -134 MIL -123 MLB Picks for Aug 15: Tigers ML & Brewers ML | Full Slate Breakdown + WNBA/NFL Preseason Leans Toad returns for Saturday, August 15th after a 1-1-1 day, recapping a first-five under win in Reds–Marlins and a frustrating Royals first-five push plus a WNBA loss. He gives two official MLB plays based on pitching matchups: Detroit Tigers moneyline (-134) behind Troy Melton against Anthony Kay, and Milwaukee Brewers moneyline (-123) behind Jacob “deGromski” Mizejewski versus Justin Wróblewski, noting both plays go against market movement. He also breaks down numerous other MLB games with situational angles, bullpen usage, and team totals, including thoughts on Yankees–Blue Jays, Nationals–Mets (lean over), Orioles–Rays (lean first-five under), and more. He passes on WNBA bets, discusses Minnesota–Vegas (lean under), and runs through NFL preseason matchups and quarterback rotations without giving official plays. 00:00 Cold Open Pep Talk 01:27 Show Intro and Recap 02:06 Kansas City Bullpen Pain 03:05 WNBA Loss Breakdown 04:55 Today’s Card Setup 05:25 Pick Detroit Moneyline 11:43 Cubs vs Cardinals Angle 16:40 Yankees vs Jays Dilemma 21:52 Rockies vs Giants Upset Lean 27:08 Nationals vs Mets Total Talk 34:44 Orioles vs Rays Spot Analysis 37:26 Bradish Walk Trouble 38:11 Seymour Opener Warning 39:29 First Five Under Angle 41:38 Miami Cincinnati Over 42:33 Gusto vs Singer Breakdown 47:03 San Diego Cleveland Spot 50:22 Cantillo vs Padres Starter 53:48 Philly Minnesota Pitching 55:07 Luzardo Road Dominance 58:54 First Five Under Pick 01:01:24 Seattle Houston Under Lean 01:07:42 Quick Podcast Break 01:10:29 Fox Games Preview 01:10:52 Arizona Atlanta Bounce Back 01:11:24 Braves vs Diamondbacks Breakdown 01:11:54 E Rod vs Grant Holmes 01:15:16 Under and Side Leans 01:16:29 Red Sox Spiral Rant 01:18:24 Gray vs Jones Matchup 01:23:06 Brewers Pick vs Dodgers 01:25:22 DeGromski Edge and Market 01:30:49 Royals vs Angels First Five 01:35:17 Rangers vs As Betting Angles 01:41:40 WNBA Quick Pass 01:43:29 Connecticut Game Pass 01:43:58 WNBA Gender Rant 01:45:18 Mystics vs Sparks Breakdown 01:47:56 Lynx vs Aces Primetime 01:50:53 No WNBA Today 01:51:30 NFL Preseason Chaos 01:51:39 Panthers vs Bills Angle 01:54:22 Browns vs Bears QBs 01:57:35 Vikings vs Giants New Coach 02:00:11 Rams vs Chiefs Depth 02:03:53 Jaguars vs Saints Lean 02:06:13 Eagles vs Ravens Read 02:09:05 Cowboys vs Seahawks 02:10:46 Preseason Totals Theory 02:12:18 Baseball Plays and Wrap #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba

  8. Aug 14

    Friday BEST BETS | Treading Water | MLB & WNBA & NFL Preseason | 8/14/26

    My links www.linktree.com/learntotoad www.patreon.com/learntotoad MLB MIA/CIN F5 Under 4 -120 KC F5 -110 WNBA SEA -2.5 Toadstool Sports Betting Picks: MLB 1st 5 Under (MIA/CIN), Royals 1st 5 ML, WNBA Storm -2.5 + Slate Breakdown Toad recaps going 1-1 the prior day, highlighting a Pirates win and a frustrating WNBA loss blamed on free-throw disparity and a half-point miss. He breaks down multiple MLB matchups with a situational and pitching-based approach, passing on Cubs/Cardinals, Red Sox/Pirates, and several others while discussing travel/rest spots, bullpen usage, public vs. sharp money, and pitcher splits/matchups. His official MLB plays are Miami–Cincinnati first five under 4 (minus juice) behind Sandy Alcantara vs. Chase Burns, and Kansas City first five moneyline vs. Anaheim to back Seth Lugo over a struggling Grayson Rodriguez while avoiding the Royals bullpen. In WNBA, he leans Dallas plus points but plays Seattle minus 2.5 vs. Portland, citing Portland’s emotional near-comeback vs. Minnesota and Seattle ending a long losing streak. He also briefly discusses NFL preseason angles around coaching changes and quarterback rotations. 00:00 Cold Open Pep Talk 01:30 Yesterday Recap Pirates Win 02:50 WNBA Bad Beat Rant 05:20 Cardinals Cubs Breakdown 11:37 First Five Under Pick 20:48 Red Sox Pirates Preview 29:03 White Sox Tigers Bullpen Game 35:32 Rays Return Home Spot 35:58 Fade Rays Spot 37:20 Bradish Breakdown 38:51 Tampa Bullpen Game 41:10 Run Differential Talk 42:26 Padres Guardians Under 46:09 King vs Williams Matchup 51:16 Nats Mets Angles 55:08 Fade Robert Stock 57:37 Dbacks Braves Sale 01:04:16 Yankees Jays Apple TV 01:05:44 Cole vs Bieber 01:08:35 Yankees Jays Breakdown 01:09:47 Betting Angles Totals 01:11:21 Slump Rant Reset 01:12:54 Mariners Astros Preview 01:14:59 Kirby Lambert Totals 01:19:18 Royals Angels First Five 01:20:34 Lugo vs Rodriguez Fade 01:27:00 Rangers Athletics Chaos 01:32:24 Dodgers Brewers Spotlight 01:38:38 Rockies Giants Setup 01:40:25 Freeland vs Giants Breakdown 01:41:06 Roupe Walk Trouble 01:42:03 Rockies Giants Betting Lean 01:43:20 Dallas vs Indiana Preview 01:45:57 Seattle Minus Points Pick 01:51:10 Preseason Betting Basics 01:52:57 Broncos Falcons Lean 01:59:08 Bucs Jets Confusing Line 02:06:03 Dolphins Commanders Angle 02:11:04 Final Card and Signoff #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba

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About

Hi, I am Toad. I am an autistic sports bettor with no regard for my well-being! I provide daily detailed analysis of all of the major sports and give out my best plays. It's free gold, baby. Find me on YouTube at ToadStool Sports and Instagram and Twitter at LearnToToad.

Information

  • Creator
    Toad
  • Years Active
    2025 - 2026
  • Episodes
    484
  • Rating
    Explicit
  • Copyright
    © Copyright learntotoad
  • Show Website
    Toadstool Sports