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Hi, I am Toad. I am an autistic sports bettor with no regard for my well-being! I provide daily detailed analysis of all of the major sports and give out my best plays. It's free gold, baby. Find me on YouTube at ToadStool Sports and Instagram and Twitter at LearnToToad.

  1. 12h ago

    CFB Week 9 BEST BETS | Georgia Blowout Coming?!

    College Football Week 9 best bets for Halloween Saturday. Four plays on the card: Maryland +2.5 vs Illinois, Rutgers +16.5 vs Michigan, Temple +4.5 at East Carolina and Georgia Southern -5.5 vs App State. Fired-coach spots, a Michigan offense that hasn't topped 21 points outside of UTEP, and a role flip in the American. Plus a side on every TV game, including Georgia vs Florida in Atlanta, Ohio State at USC and Miami at North Carolina. ✅ BEST BETS (Sat 10/31, all times ET) 🏈 Maryland +2.5 vs Illinois (Noon FS1): Maryland fired its coach and comes out of a bye with extra time under the interim guy, off a 5-game losing streak. Illinois is off the Oregon upset, and this is the least impactful game left on its schedule. Shop for +3. 🏈 Rutgers +16.5 vs Michigan (12:30 BTN): Outside of UTEP, Michigan hasn't scored more than 21 points in any game this season. It should be flat off the punishing overtime loss to Indiana, and this is only its second true road game (it lost the first one at Minnesota). Rutgers is off an embarrassing loss, and the total is low. Wait to see if 17 shows up. 🏈 Temple +4.5 at East Carolina (3:00 ESPN+): Temple went into its bye off a loss to Charlotte as a 17.5-point favorite. East Carolina flips roles, from the underdog that took Memphis to overtime in Memphis to the favorite here. 🏈 Georgia Southern -5.5 vs App State (6:30 ESPN+): Georgia Southern is the better team, even though the records say otherwise. Its only conference loss is by 3 to James Madison, and the public won't want to lay points here. Strongest leans (not plays): Georgia -12.5 vs Florida, Auburn +11.5 at Ole Miss, UTEP +24.5 at North Dakota State, North Carolina +14 vs Miami. Other leans: Navy, Texas Tech, Syracuse, Iowa, NC State, Duke, South Florida, Bowling Green, Colorado, Louisville, Arizona State, Oregon, TCU, FIU, Cincinnati, Virginia, Nevada, Oklahoma, Purdue, Iowa State, Clemson, Washington State, USC, Mississippi State, Pitt, Arkansas, Washington, Memphis, Texas State, Northern Illinois, Fresno State. 0:00 Halloween Eve open + Baylor win from the morning show 2:40 CFB Week 9 show starts 3:12 #5 Notre Dame vs Navy (Foxborough) 7:27 #22 Arizona at #13 Texas Tech 10:51 #19 SMU at Syracuse 14:28 #25 Wisconsin at Iowa 17:58 Cal at NC State (fired-coach spot) 21:58 Boston College at Duke 24:22 BEST BET: Illinois at Maryland 30:29 UAB at South Florida 33:25 Bowling Green at Western Michigan 35:38 BEST BET: Michigan at Rutgers 42:05 Auburn at #12 Ole Miss 45:54 Kansas State at Colorado 49:28 BEST BET: Temple at East Carolina 53:40 Stanford at Louisville 56:23 #17 Florida vs #3 Georgia (Atlanta) 1:02:56 Minnesota at #4 Indiana 1:07:30 Arizona State at #8 BYU 1:10:22 #20 Northwestern at Oregon 1:15:01 Hydration break 1:17:25 Kansas at TCU 1:19:40 Colorado State at Utah State 1:23:20 UTEP at North Dakota State 1:28:39 FIU at Liberty 1:30:44 #6 Utah at Cincinnati 1:33:38 Virginia at #14 Wake Forest 1:38:40 New Mexico at San Jose State 1:39:20 Nevada at #7 UCLA 1:41:31 South Carolina at Oklahoma 1:44:32 Purdue at Penn State 1:47:05 BEST BET: App State at Georgia Southern 1:52:05 #24 Oklahoma State at Iowa State 1:53:47 Clemson at Florida State 1:55:40 Washington State at San Diego State 1:58:16 #1 Miami at North Carolina 2:02:21 #2 Ohio State at USC 2:09:38 Mississippi State at #11 Texas 2:12:09 Georgia Tech at Pitt 2:13:26 #23 Missouri at Arkansas 2:15:14 Washington at Nebraska 2:17:27 Army at Memphis 2:19:15 Texas State at #20 Boise State 2:22:05 Northern Illinois at UNLV 2:23:55 Oregon State at Fresno State 2:26:58 Best bets recap + strongest leans 2:28:43 Go-for-2 video + wrap Games covered: Notre Dame vs Navy, Arizona vs Texas Tech, SMU vs Syracuse, Wisconsin vs Iowa, Cal vs NC State, Boston College vs Duke, Illinois vs Maryland, UAB vs South Florida, Bowling Green vs Western Michigan, Michigan vs Rutgers, Auburn vs Ole Miss, Kansas State vs Colorado, Temple vs East Carolina, Stanford vs Louisville, Georgia vs Florida, Minnesota vs Indiana, Arizona State vs BYU, Northwestern vs Oregon, Kansas vs TCU, Colorado State vs Utah State, UTEP vs North Dakota State, FIU vs Liberty, Utah vs Cincinnati, Virginia vs Wake Forest, New Mexico vs San Jose State, Nevada vs UCLA, South Carolina vs Oklahoma, Purdue vs Penn State, App State vs Georgia Southern, Oklahoma State vs Iowa State, Clemson vs Florida State, Washington State vs San Diego State, Miami vs North Carolina, Ohio State vs USC, Mississippi State vs Texas, Georgia Tech vs Pitt, Missouri vs Arkansas, Washington vs Nebraska, Army vs Memphis, Texas State vs Boise State, Northern Illinois vs UNLV, Oregon State vs Fresno State. Best bets today and free college football picks from Toadstool Sports. 🔗 www.linktree.com/learntotoad | www.patreon.com/learntotoad X/IG/TT: @LearnToToad #BestBets #CFBPicks #CollegeFootball #Week9 #SportsBetting #GeorgiaFlorida

  2. 18h ago

    Why NFL Teams Should Go For 2 Down 8 | If You Disagree, You Don't Understand Math

    (00:00:00) Why NFL Teams Should Go For 2 Down 8 | If You Disagree, You Don't Understand Math (00:01:15) The simplified assumptions (2-pt = 50/50, PAT = 100%, OT = 50/50) (00:02:29) Go for 2 on the first touchdown: 50/50 to win right there (00:02:56) Kick both extra points: tie game, overtime coin flip (00:03:14) Why going for 2 first beats playing for overtime (00:04:03) Miss the first one? Still a 25% path to win (00:04:45) 50% to 62.5% in the simplified example (00:05:05) Real world: still about a 3-4% edge (00:05:38) The "mental state" argument Why NFL teams should go for 2 when they're down 8 late. Carolina went for 2 on Thursday Night Football against the Packers after scoring to make it 27-19 with 5:37 left, and the debate is back. I break down, as simply as I can, why going for two on the first of the two touchdowns gives you a better chance to win than kicking and playing for overtime. Simplified example: the team scores both touchdowns, every 2-point try is 50/50, the extra point is 100%, overtime is 50/50. Kicking both gets you a 50% shot in OT. Going for 2 first takes it to 62.5% in this extreme example. In the real world it's not that clean, but it's still roughly a 3-4% boost to your chances to win. Full video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?... X/IG: @LearnToToad | www.linktree.com/learntotoad

  3. 20h ago

    College Basketball Preview 2026-27 | Duke Is OVERVALUED?! | NCAAB Futures Picks

    (00:00:00) Season starts Sunday: hunting futures value (00:02:34) Show open: College Basketball Preview (00:03:31) ACC: Duke -136, Louisville +425 value, Clemson falling off (00:05:56) Big 12: Arizona, Kansas, Houston, Texas Tech long shot (00:10:42) Big East: UConn, St. John's, Marquette +640 (+ UNC aside) (00:14:50) Providence +1800 and how to hedge futures (00:16:40) Big Ten: Illinois, Michigan State +465 value (00:19:16) Defending champ Michigan, UCLA, Ohio State, Purdue (00:23:20) SEC: Florida +112, Alabama, Texas +850 value (00:26:12) Vanderbilt, Kentucky +1950, Auburn long shot (00:27:51) National title odds vs KenPom preseason top 10 (00:30:28) Duke and UConn overvalued? Florida 6-1 (00:32:08) Title value: Michigan State 18-1, Texas 19-1 (00:33:13) Houston, Kansas 30-1, Gonzaga, Kentucky (00:34:57) Iowa State + defending champ Michigan at 40-1 (00:36:44) March Madness expansion rant: "64 teams is perfect" (00:37:24) Wrap-up: Sunday college hoops + CFB show tonight College basketball preview 2026-27: NCAAB futures picks and value plays before the season tips off Sunday. I go conference by conference through the power-conference odds (ACC, Big 12, Big East, Big Ten, SEC), then the national championship odds against KenPom's preseason rankings. Is Duke overvalued as the title favorite? Is UConn? Why is defending champ Michigan 40-1? Plus where the value is on Texas, Michigan State, Kansas, Marquette and Providence, and a rant on March Madness expansion. Heads up: I'm a game-by-game handicapper, so take futures with a grain of salt. Odds are the ones on screen during the show (Fri 10/30) and will move. 💰 FUTURES VALUE PICKS Conference winners: 🏀 Texas to win the SEC +850 🏀 Michigan State to win the Big Ten +465 🏀 Marquette to win the Big East +640 🏀 Providence to win the Big East +1800 🏀 Big 12: Houston +350 or Texas Tech +840 🏀 ACC: Louisville +425 for value (I still think Duke wins it) Long shots I don't hate: Kentucky SEC +1950, Ohio State Big Ten 13-1, maybe some value on Auburn SEC +2450 National championship: 🏀 Michigan State 18-1 🏀 Texas 19-1 🏀 Kansas 30-1 Florida 6-1 is fine too. Fades: Duke +550, UConn 12-1, Illinois 14-1. KenPom value flags: Houston 28-1, Iowa State 37-1, Michigan 40-1. CHAPTERS 00:00 Season starts Sunday: hunting futures value 02:34 Show open: College Basketball Preview 03:31 ACC: Duke -136, Louisville +425 value, Clemson falling off 05:56 Big 12: Arizona, Kansas, Houston, Texas Tech long shot 10:42 Big East: UConn, St. John's, Marquette +640 (+ UNC aside) 14:50 Providence +1800 and how to hedge futures 16:40 Big Ten: Illinois, Michigan State +465 value 19:16 Defending champ Michigan, UCLA, Ohio State, Purdue 23:20 SEC: Florida +112, Alabama, Texas +850 value 26:12 Vanderbilt, Kentucky +1950, Auburn long shot 27:51 National title odds vs KenPom preseason top 10 30:28 Duke and UConn overvalued? Florida 6-1 32:08 Title value: Michigan State 18-1, Texas 19-1 33:13 Houston, Kansas 30-1, Gonzaga, Kentucky 34:57 Iowa State + defending champ Michigan at 40-1 36:44 March Madness expansion rant: "64 teams is perfect" 37:24 Wrap-up: Sunday college hoops + CFB show tonight 🎧 Audio: Spreaker, Spotify & Apple Podcasts 🔗 www.linktree.com/learntotoad | www.patreon.com/learntotoad X/IG/TT: @LearnToToad #CollegeBasketball #NCAAB #MarchMadness #NCAABPicks #SportsBetting

  4. 1d ago

    Best Bets Today | NBA Cup Tips Off Tonight?! | NBA, NHL & CFB Picks Friday

    (00:00:00) Best Bets Today | NBA Cup Tips Off Tonight?! | NBA, NHL & CFB Picks Friday (00:02:17) Today's card: NBA Cup begins (00:03:25) Show open / intro (00:04:51) NHL: Devils @ Golden Knights (lean New Jersey) (00:06:58) Jets @ Panthers (lean Winnipeg) (00:10:24) Kraken @ Flames (prefer Calgary, pass) (00:11:57) NBA Cup: how to handicap Cup games (00:13:00) Hornets @ Wizards (slight lean Washington) (00:15:54) Bulls @ Celtics (lean Boston -15.5) (00:19:54) Pistons @ Nets (BEST BET Detroit -8.5) (00:22:45) Knicks @ 76ers (lean Knicks) (00:27:27) Magic @ Raptors (lean Orlando +5.5) (00:31:13) Hydration break (00:33:33) Pacers @ Heat (BEST BET Miami -8.5) (00:37:46) Rockets @ Mavericks (lean Houston) (00:42:05) Clippers @ Timberwolves (lean Clippers +pts) (00:44:39) Lakers @ Warriors (lean Lakers) (00:47:49) Nuggets @ Suns (lean Denver) (00:49:11) CFB: Tulane @ Charlotte (slight lean Tulane) (00:53:48) Baylor @ UCF (BEST BET Baylor -1.5) (01:03:23) Kent State @ Sacramento State (lean under / Sac State) (01:09:52) Wrap-up: three best bets NBA Cup best bets today: the NBA Cup group stage tips off with two NBA favorites on the card, Detroit Pistons -8.5 at Brooklyn and Miami Heat -8.5 vs Indiana, plus a college football best bet on Baylor -1.5 at UCF after the Bears fired their coach. Also a 1-2 recap of Thursday (Dream cashed, Blackhawks and Panthers lost), all 10 NBA Cup games, three NHL games and three Friday night CFB games. ✅ TODAY'S BEST BETS 🏀 Pistons -8.5 at Nets (NBA Cup, 7:30 PM ET): major flat spot for Brooklyn after taking Boston to overtime as a 12-point dog and falling just short; Detroit is still way better even without Duren, and comes off an ugly-looking win over Charlotte. 🏀 Heat -8.5 vs Pacers (NBA Cup, 8 PM ET): Indiana's second game without Haliburton, off a huge effort in a near-upset of the Sixers; Miami finally got its first win. Nobody wants to lay 8.5 with a 1-4 team, and that's exactly why. 84% of the cash on Miami. 🏈 Baylor -1.5 at UCF (ESPN, 7:30 PM ET; moneyline also fine): fired-coach spark for Baylor (the DC takes over, so the defense stays the same) and a massive letdown spot for UCF after the double-OT upset of BYU. Leans only (not best bets): 🏒 NHL: Winnipeg at Florida (strongest NHL lean; +1.5 puck line / some ML), Devils at Vegas, Calgary over Seattle (pass) 🏀 NBA Cup: Celtics -15.5 vs Bulls (closest to a play), Knicks at 76ers (better if Brown plays), Magic +5.5 at Raptors, Lakers at Warriors (too public to play), Rockets at Mavericks, Clippers +pts at Minnesota, Nuggets at Suns, Wizards (slight) vs Hornets 🏈 CFB: Tulane over Charlotte (slight), Kent State at Sacramento State: under 46.5 / Sac State +pts Friday slate (all times ET): 🏀 NBA Cup Group Play: Hornets @ Wizards 7; Bulls @ Celtics, Pistons @ Nets, Knicks @ 76ers (Prime), Magic @ Raptors 7:30; Pacers @ Heat, Rockets @ Mavericks, Clippers @ Timberwolves 8; Lakers @ Warriors (Prime), Nuggets @ Suns 10 🏒 NHL: Devils @ Golden Knights 6; Jets @ Panthers 7; Kraken @ Flames 8 🏈 CFB: Tulane @ Charlotte 7 (ESPN2); Baylor @ UCF 7:30 (ESPN); Kent State @ Sacramento State 10:30 (ESPN2) 0:00 Thursday recap: 1-2 (Dream cashed) + Blues and Troy leans hit 2:17 Today's card: NBA Cup begins 3:25 Show open / intro 4:51 NHL: Devils @ Golden Knights (lean New Jersey) 6:58 Jets @ Panthers (lean Winnipeg) 10:24 Kraken @ Flames (prefer Calgary, pass) 11:57 NBA Cup: how to handicap Cup games 13:00 Hornets @ Wizards (slight lean Washington) 15:54 Bulls @ Celtics (lean Boston -15.5) 19:54 Pistons @ Nets (BEST BET Detroit -8.5) 22:45 Knicks @ 76ers (lean Knicks) 27:27 Magic @ Raptors (lean Orlando +5.5) 31:13 Hydration break 33:33 Pacers @ Heat (BEST BET Miami -8.5) 37:46 Rockets @ Mavericks (lean Houston) 42:05 Clippers @ Timberwolves (lean Clippers +pts) 44:39 Lakers @ Warriors (lean Lakers) 47:49 Nuggets @ Suns (lean Denver) 49:11 CFB: Tulane @ Charlotte (slight lean Tulane) 53:48 Baylor @ UCF (BEST BET Baylor -1.5) 1:03:23 Kent State @ Sacramento State (lean under / Sac State) 1:09:52 Wrap-up: three best bets Best bets today and free sports picks every day from Toadstool Sports. College football show tonight. 🔗 www.linktree.com/learntotoad | www.patreon.com/learntotoad X/IG/TT: @LearnToToad #BestBetsToday #NBACup #NBAPicks #CFBPicks #SportsBetting

  5. 2d ago

    Best Bets Today | Panthers at Lambeau Under the Lights?! | NFL, WNBA, NBA, NHL & CFB Picks Thursday

    (00:00:00) Best Bets Today | Panthers at Lambeau Under the Lights?! | NFL, WNBA, NBA, NHL & CFB Picks Thursday (00:03:52) Today's card preview (00:04:51) Show open / intro (00:06:20) NHL: Jets @ Lightning (lean Winnipeg) (00:09:42) Utah @ Penguins (lean Pittsburgh) (00:11:18) Blue Jackets @ Hurricanes (lean Columbus) (00:14:25) Blackhawks @ Red Wings (BEST BET Chicago split) (00:19:31) Bruins @ Blues (lean St. Louis) (00:22:06) Capitals @ Predators (lean Nashville) (00:24:23) Canadiens @ Stars (lean Dallas) (00:26:15) Islanders @ Wild (lean Islanders) (00:28:53) Sabres @ Ducks (lean Anaheim) (00:30:56) Senators @ Kings (lean Ottawa) (00:33:02) Canucks @ Sharks (lean San Jose) (00:35:34) Hydration break (00:37:36) NBA: Cavaliers @ Hawks (lean Atlanta) (00:39:27) Kings @ Pelicans (lean New Orleans) (00:43:01) Grizzlies @ Trail Blazers (lean Memphis) (00:46:26) WNBA Finals Game 6: Valkyries @ Dream (BEST BET Atlanta -4.5) (00:54:15) CFB: FAU @ North Texas (lean over) (00:58:23) Troy @ James Madison (lean Troy +pts) (01:03:49) NFL TNF: Panthers @ Packers (BEST BET Carolina +3.5) (01:13:36) Wrap-up: three best bets Three best bets on Thursday: Atlanta Dream -4.5 in WNBA Finals Game 6 (bounce-back after a 29% shooting night in Game 5), a Chicago Blackhawks underdog split at Detroit, and the Carolina Panthers +3.5 at Green Bay on Thursday Night Football after their 43-13 home loss to Tampa. Plus a 3-1 recap (Bulls, Nuggets and Avalanche cashed), all 11 NHL games, three NBA games and two midweek CFB games. ✅ TODAY'S BEST BETS 🏀 Dream -4.5 vs Valkyries (WNBA Finals G6, 12:30 PM ET): Atlanta shot 29% in Game 5 and won't again; back home, line isn't over-adjusted, and every game but Game 1 has been decided by more than 4.5. Team total over is an alternative. 🏒 Blackhawks +1.5 -160 / +155 at Red Wings (7:30 PM ET): Chicago starting a road trip off a streak-ending win; Detroit flat after upsetting Edmonton and priced too high (~-180) as a very public side. 🏈 Panthers +3.5 at Packers (TNF, 8:15 PM ET): bounce-back after a misleading 43-13 loss (minus-4 turnovers); Carolina has covered 15 straight as an underdog off a loss. Green Bay off a big divisional loss at Detroit with a run game that still can't get going. Grab +4 if you see it. Leans only (not best bets): 🏒 St. Louis vs Bruins (next cut), Islanders at Minnesota, Ottawa at LA, Winnipeg, Pittsburgh, Columbus, Nashville, Dallas (to win in regulation), Anaheim, San Jose 🏀 Hawks vs Cavaliers (strongest NBA lean), Pelicans -pts vs Kings, Grizzlies +pts at Portland 🏈 CFB: Troy +pts at James Madison (strongest CFB opinion); FAU at North Texas: lean over, FAU side Thursday slate (all times ET): 🏀 WNBA Finals Game 6: Valkyries @ Dream, 12:30 PM (USA) — Golden State leads 3-2 🏒 NHL: Jets @ Lightning, Utah @ Penguins, Blue Jackets @ Hurricanes 7; Blackhawks @ Red Wings 7:30; Bruins @ Blues, Capitals @ Predators, Canadiens @ Stars, Islanders @ Wild 8; Sabres @ Ducks, Senators @ Kings, Canucks @ Sharks 10 🏈 CFB: FAU @ North Texas (ESPN), Troy @ James Madison (ESPN2) 7:30 🏀 NBA: Cavaliers @ Hawks 8 (NBA TV); Kings @ Pelicans 8; Grizzlies @ Trail Blazers 10 🏈 TNF: Panthers at Packers, 8:15 PM (Prime Video) 0:00 Yesterday recap: 3-1 day (Bulls, Nuggets, Avalanche) + Brewers win the World Series 3:52 Today's card preview 4:51 Show open / intro 6:20 NHL: Jets @ Lightning (lean Winnipeg) 9:42 Utah @ Penguins (lean Pittsburgh) 11:18 Blue Jackets @ Hurricanes (lean Columbus) 14:25 Blackhawks @ Red Wings (BEST BET Chicago split) 19:31 Bruins @ Blues (lean St. Louis) 22:06 Capitals @ Predators (lean Nashville) 24:23 Canadiens @ Stars (lean Dallas) 26:15 Islanders @ Wild (lean Islanders) 28:53 Sabres @ Ducks (lean Anaheim) 30:56 Senators @ Kings (lean Ottawa) 33:02 Canucks @ Sharks (lean San Jose) 35:34 Hydration break 37:36 NBA: Cavaliers @ Hawks (lean Atlanta) 39:27 Kings @ Pelicans (lean New Orleans) 43:01 Grizzlies @ Trail Blazers (lean Memphis) 46:26 WNBA Finals Game 6: Valkyries @ Dream (BEST BET Atlanta -4.5) 54:15 CFB: FAU @ North Texas (lean over) 58:23 Troy @ James Madison (lean Troy +pts) 63:49 NFL TNF: Panthers at Packers (BEST BET Carolina +3.5) 73:36 Wrap-up: three best bets Best bets today and free sports picks every day from Toadstool Sports. 🔗 www.linktree.com/learntotoad | www.patreon.com/learntotoad X/IG/TT: @LearnToToad #BestBets #NFLPicks #TNF #Panthers #Packers #WNBAPicks #WNBAFinals #NHLPicks #Blackhawks #NBAPicks

  6. 3d ago

    Best Bets Today | Lakers vs Clippers: Battle for L.A.?! | MLB, NBA, NHL & CFB Picks Wednesday

    (00:00:00) Best Bets Today | Lakers vs Clippers: Battle for L.A.?! | MLB, NBA, NHL & CFB Picks Wednesday (00:03:52) Show open / intro (00:06:00) NHL: Capitals @ Flyers (lean Philly) (00:08:01) Flames @ Oilers (lean Edmonton) (00:10:44) Devils @ Avalanche (PLAY Colorado split) (00:16:30) Maple Leafs @ Kraken (lean Toronto) (00:19:40) NBA: Heat @ Hawks (lean Miami) (00:22:20) Wizards @ Cavaliers (lean Washington) (00:25:10) Hornets @ Pistons (lean Charlotte +pts) (00:29:13) 76ers @ Pacers (lean Indiana +pts) (00:34:18) Magic @ Raptors (lean Toronto) (00:36:56) Knicks @ Bulls (PLAY Bulls +7.5) (00:42:05) Rockets @ Bucks (lean Milwaukee) (00:46:14) Warriors @ Timberwolves (PLAY Minnesota -3.5) (00:50:49) Nuggets @ Pelicans (BEST BET Denver -4.5) (00:55:30) Spurs @ Jazz (lean Utah +pts) (00:58:00) Thunder @ Mavericks (lean Dallas) (01:01:14) Lakers @ Clippers (lean Clippers +pts) (01:05:42) World Series Game 5 (lean Brewers / pass) (01:16:32) CFB: Kennesaw @ Middle Tennessee (lean Kennesaw) (01:24:17) CFB: Jacksonville State @ New Mexico State (lean NMSU) (01:28:27) Wrap-up: four-play card Four best bets on Wednesday: Colorado Avalanche -1.5 +145 / -165 split, Chicago Bulls +7.5 fading a sandwich Knicks, Minnesota -3.5 without Anthony Edwards (injured-player theory), and Denver Nuggets -4.5 on the road at New Orleans. World Series Game 5 is a lean/pass on Milwaukee

  7. 4d ago

    Best Bets Today | Defending Champ Knicks 0-3?! | MLB, NBA, NHL & CFB Picks Tuesday

    Three plays on Tuesday: laying 3.5 with the 0-3 defending champ Knicks at home vs the undefeated Pistons on NBC, plus NHL moneylines on the Flyers (home dog vs Columbus) and the Blues (short favorite vs Montreal). World Series Game 4 lean is the over again, with CFB leans on Western Kentucky and Missouri State. ✅ TODAY'S BEST BET 🏀 Knicks -3.5 vs Pistons (8 PM ET, NBC): Returning champs are 0-3, Detroit is 3-0, and nobody wants to lay points with a winless team. Odds makers still say New York is better — Toad agrees. Sandwich/road-effort spot for Detroit after beating Philly, Knicks desperate at home. Also on the card (plays): 🏒 Flyers ML vs Blue Jackets (+108-ish home dog): Columbus in a Stanley Cup sandwich (Vegas behind, Carolina/Dallas/Colorado ahead). Bad spot, Philly bounce-back at home. 🏒 Blues ML vs Canadiens (short home favorite ~-115/-120): Montreal sandwich with Dallas on deck off a hyped Heritage Classic win that the box score didn't fully back

  8. 5d ago

    Best Bets Today | Rays Down 0-2 Heading Home?! | MLB, WNBA, NFL, NBA & NHL Picks Monday

    (00:00:00) Best Bets Today | Rays Down 0-2 Heading Home?! | MLB, WNBA, NFL, NBA & NHL Picks Monday (00:04:36) Show open (00:05:02) NHL: Kings @ Rangers, Leafs @ Flames, Red Wings @ Oilers (00:12:06) NBA: Wizards @ Hornets (00:14:01) Chat: Caleb Wilson points prop (00:17:07) Timberwolves @ Cavaliers (strongest lean) (00:21:00) Bulls @ Celtics (00:24:17) Mavericks @ Heat (BEST BET Heat -8.5) (00:29:44) Pacers @ Bucks (00:32:21) Suns @ Thunder (Jalen Williams injury) (00:35:41) Hawks @ Rockets (zigzag) (00:38:17) Grizzlies @ Jazz (00:41:55) Warriors @ Nuggets (00:47:05) WNBA Finals Game 5 (00:52:03) World Series Game 3: Brewers @ Rays (01:01:09) Chat: Cavs and Wolves injury talk (01:03:00) Monday Night Football: Cowboys @ Eagles (01:11:03) Wrap-up: Heat -8.5 One play on Monday after Toad talked himself into it: laying 8.5 with the 0-3 Miami Heat at home vs a Dallas team without Cooper Flagg. Plus the weekend recap (8-3 day, Colts and Rams both cashed), the strongest NBA leans (Cavs over the 3-0 Wolves, Bulls + points at Boston), overs in World Series Game 3 and WNBA Finals Game 5, and a Monday Night Football lean on the Eagles getting points at home. ✅ TODAY'S BEST BET 🏀 Miami Heat -8.5 vs Dallas (7:30 PM ET, NBA TV): Dallas is the weakest opponent Miami has faced, Flagg is out, and the Mavs are flying in off a loss to the Spurs with OKC and Houston on deck. An 0-3 team laying 8.5 is the oddsmakers telling you something, and 72% of the cash is on Miami. Leans only (not plays): 🏀 Cavaliers vs 3-0 Timberwolves (strongest NBA lean, reverse line movement toward Cleveland) 🏀 Bulls + points at Celtics (letdown spot after the Knicks win) 🏀 Wizards at Hornets, Bucks + points vs Pacers (Indiana on a back-to-back), Suns + points at Thunder, Hawks zigzag at Rockets, Grizzlies/Jazz over 238.5, Nuggets vs Warriors ⚾ World Series Game 3 Brewers @ Rays: over 7 (slight lean Brewers) 🏀 WNBA Finals Game 5 Dream @ Valkyries: over 149.5 (series tied 2-2, best-of-seven) 🏈 MNF Cowboys @ Eagles: Eagles +4.5 🏒 Kings @ Rangers (Kings ML), Maple Leafs @ Flames (Flames ML), Red Wings @ Oilers (slight Oilers) Monday slate (all times ET): ⚾ World Series Game 3: Brewers @ Rays, 8 PM (FOX), MIL leads 2-0

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About

Hi, I am Toad. I am an autistic sports bettor with no regard for my well-being! I provide daily detailed analysis of all of the major sports and give out my best plays. It's free gold, baby. Find me on YouTube at ToadStool Sports and Instagram and Twitter at LearnToToad.

Information

  • Creator
    Toad
  • Years Active
    2025 - 2026
  • Episodes
    580
  • Rating
    Explicit
  • Copyright
    © Copyright learntotoad
  • Show Website
    Toadstool Sports

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