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Toad
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Hi, I am Toad. I am an autistic sports bettor with no regard for my well-being! I provide daily detailed analysis of all of the major sports and give out my best plays. It's free gold, baby. Find me on YouTube at ToadStool Sports and Instagram and Twitter at LearnToToad.

  1. 12h ago

    Friday BEST BETS | Bored By the Board | MLB | 7/24/26

    My links www.linktree.com/learntotoad www.patreon.com/learntotoad MLB CHC +105 NYY +115 ARI/WAS Over 9.5 -105 MLB Picks for Friday, July 24 | Cubs ML, Yankees ML (Schlitter), D-Backs/Nats Over 9.5 Toad returns for Toadstool Sports on Friday, July 24 after a 3–0 run over the last two days and discusses a board he doesn’t love, recapping Toronto’s 3–1 win and notes on Atlanta’s game. He breaks down several MLB matchups, including Colorado–Milwaukee (no play), Kansas City–Detroit (big favorite Skubal vs Royals bullpen game, no play), and other leans across the slate. His official card ends up as three plays: Cubs moneyline +105 over Pirates (fading Jared Jones in a situational spot), Diamondbacks–Nationals over 9.5 (questionable pitching and bullpen factors), and Yankees moneyline as an underdog once he confirms Schlitter is starting versus Luzardo. He closes with brief notes on additional games and plugs for his socials and channels. 00:00 Cold Open Intro 01:28 Show Update Streak 02:59 Rockies Brewers Breakdown 08:28 Cubs Pirates Pick 16:05 Royals Tigers Pass 22:31 Dbacks Nats Over 31:24 Yankees Phillies Preview 37:19 Yankees Underdog Value 38:44 Confirming Starters and Odds 40:41 Run Differential Case 42:39 Braves Orioles Spot Analysis 45:09 Holmes vs Rogers Breakdown 49:19 Guardians Rays Matchup 53:01 McClanahan Home Edge 55:27 Dodgers Mets Betting Angles 01:00:54 Padres Marlins Pitching Chaos 01:07:57 Blue Jays Red Sox Starter Gap 01:11:50 Toronto First Five Angle 01:13:15 Break Then Brutal Slump Rant 01:15:11 Astros White Sox Over Talk 01:21:09 Mariners Rangers Split Debate 01:27:19 As Twins Spot And Total 01:33:26 Reds Cardinals Unclear Starter 01:39:06 Angels Giants Travel Spot 01:46:14 Final Card And Signoff #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba

  2. 1d ago

    Thursday BEST BETS | Can I Find an Angle? | MLB | 7/23/26

    My links www.linktree.com/learntotoad www.patreon.com/learntotoad MLB TOR F5 -112 MLB Betting Picks & Analysis (Thu, July 23) | Toronto 1st 5 Play + Braves Team Total Lean Toad recaps a 2-0 day on the prior show (Mets-Brewers under and Phoenix WNBA win) and notes the WNBA is heading into the All-Star break, leaving a five-game MLB slate for Thursday, July 23. He breaks down Padres-Braves (Griffin Canning vs Chris Sale) and prefers Braves team total over 4.5 as a lean rather than laying a big price, discusses Twins-Guardians (Taj Bradley vs Gavin Williams) with a slight lean to Cleveland and first-five under considerations, then gives his only official play: Blue Jays 1st 5 moneyline vs Rays, citing Toronto’s sweep-avoidance spot, Tampa’s road issues, Ian Seymour’s form and history vs Toronto, and Shane Bieber’s encouraging last start while avoiding Toronto’s taxed bullpen. He also reviews Diamondbacks-Cardinals and Royals-Tigers without official plays and briefly discusses NL Cy Young odds. 00:00 Cold Open Verse 01:28 Show Intro and Recap 03:18 Today’s Slate Setup 03:50 Padres Braves Breakdown 05:25 Sale vs Canning Angles 09:10 Totals and Team Total Talk 11:35 Twins Guardians Preview 13:03 Pitching Duel and Market Read 17:59 Pick Blue Jays First Five 21:21 Seymour Fade and Bieber Buy 26:00 Toronto First Five Fade 27:21 Arizona St Louis Spot 29:44 Pfaadt Turnaround Case 32:02 McGreevy Breakdown 33:39 Lean Arizona or Under 35:16 Royals Tigers Situational 37:37 Dobnak vs Melton Edge 41:15 Team Total Under Idea 42:25 Wrap Picks and WNBA 44:08 Plugs and Betting Process 46:19 Cy Young Odds Talk 48:02 Final Sign Off #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba

  3. 2d ago

    Wednesday BEST BETS | Whatever Wednesday | MLB & WNBA | 7/22/26

    My links www.linktree.com/learntotoad www.patreon.com/learntotoad MLB NYM/MIL Under 7.5 -105 WNBA PHX +2.5 MLB Betting Picks (July 22): Mets/Brewers Under 7.5 + WNBA Phoenix vs LA Pick | Toadstool Sports Toad recaps a rough run and a 1-1 day, venting about unpredictable MLB results, then breaks down Wednesday, July 22 matchups including Yankees/Pirates and Red Sox/Orioles doubleheaders, plus leans on several other games (Giants/Royals, Nationals/Rockies, A’s/D-backs, Reds/Mariners, Cardinals/Angels, Dodgers/Phillies, Twins/Guardians, Rays/Blue Jays, Padres/Braves, Tigers/Cubs, White Sox/Rangers, Marlins/Astros). His only official MLB play is Mets/Brewers full-game Under 7.5, citing Christian Scott vs Logan Henderson and solid bullpens. For WNBA (final slate before the All-Star break), his only official play is Phoenix +2.5 vs LA (noting the line move), recommending a small moneyline sprinkle and fading LA in a road-trip return spot without Plum. 00:00 Cold Open Parlay Blues 01:28 Show Intro and Slump 03:37 Yankees Pirates Doubleheader 13:49 Red Sox Orioles Doubleheader 20:18 Best Bet Mets Brewers Under 25:09 Giants Royals Sweep Spot 30:27 Nats Rockies Coors Total 34:41 As Dbacks Pitching Edge 38:38 A’s First Five Angle 40:13 Reds Mariners Breakdown 44:34 Cardinals Angels Pitching 49:47 Dodgers Phillies Series Spot 56:15 Twins Guardians Tough Read 01:01:52 Slump Vent and Reset 01:03:24 Rays Jays Bullpen Game 01:07:39 Padres Braves Underdog Look 01:12:31 Tigers Cubs Breakdown 01:14:02 Montero vs Ray Matchup 01:16:16 Market Read and Total 01:17:40 White Sox Rangers Chaos 01:19:50 Bullpen Game and Over Lean 01:21:53 Marlins Astros Finale 01:25:15 Houston F5 and Under Angle 01:26:24 WNBA Card and Phoenix Pick 01:28:15 Fading LA Road Trip Return 01:31:32 Other WNBA Leans 01:43:36 Final Plays and Sign Off #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba

  4. 3d ago

    Tuesday BEST BETS | Do Not Listen to Me | MLB | 7/21/26

    My links www.linktree.com/learntotoad www.patreon.com/learntotoad MLB DET F5 -104 CIN F5 -124 MLB Picks & First 5 Bets (July 21) | Tigers F5 + Reds F5 + Board Breakdown In this July 21 episode of Toadstool Sports, Toad recaps a brutal recent slump and vents about losing bets, then breaks down the MLB slate with a focus on starting pitching and first five innings markets. He analyzes multiple matchups including Dodgers–Phillies, Twins–Guardians, Pirates–Yankees (lean over), Rays–Blue Jays, Orioles–Red Sox, Padres–Braves, Mets–Brewers (lean Mets F5), Giants–Royals (lean over), White Sox–Rangers, Nationals–Rockies (Coors total discussion), and Cardinals–Angels (lean Angels F5). His official plays are Detroit Tigers first five moneyline and Cincinnati Reds first five moneyline, noting market ticket/cash splits and bullpen concerns, and he mentions no WNBA games today plus channel and podcast plugs. 00:00 Cold Open Intro 01:28 Brutal Betting Recap 04:01 Dodgers vs Phillies Breakdown 08:36 Twins vs Guardians Preview 13:15 Pirates vs Yankees Total 16:59 Rays vs Blue Jays Edge 22:24 Orioles vs Red Sox Streaks 27:53 Padres vs Braves Lean 32:44 Mets vs Brewers Underdog 37:58 Giants vs Royals Over Look 42:39 White Sox vs Rangers Start 44:20 Schultz vs Rocker Breakdown 46:13 Texas Market Read and Pass 47:36 Tigers First Five Play 48:54 Valdez Edge and Peterson Fade 53:17 Slump Spiral and Reset 54:48 Marlins Astros Total Debate 01:00:30 Coors Field Over Trap 01:06:25 Cards Angels First Five Lean 01:11:12 As Dbacks Rookie Variance 01:16:30 Reds First Five Final Play 01:21:04 Plays Recap and Signoff #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba

  5. 4d ago

    Monday BEST BETS | Need a Reset | MLB & WNBA | 7/20/26

    My links www.linktree.com/learntotoad www.patreon.com/learntotoad MLB MIN/CLE F5 Under 4 -118 PIT +105 MLB Picks & Betting Breakdown (Mon, July 20) | Twins-Guardians F5 Under + Pirates ML vs Yankees Toad opens the Monday, July 20th Toadstool Sports show discussing a recent downswing despite being up 60% over the last 106 days, recapping Sunday’s results and frustrations (including the Dodgers-Yankees under, Mets win, and other misses) and reacting to Spain beating Argentina in a low-scoring match with controversy and disallowed goals. After adjusting mic levels with chat feedback, he gives two MLB plays: Twins-Guardians first five under 4 (citing Joe Ryan vs Bibee and avoiding Minnesota’s bullpen) and Pirates moneyline +105 vs the Yankees (citing Yankees’ doubleheader bullpen usage, situational rest edge, and Ashcraft over Weathers). He then runs through additional MLB and WNBA slate notes, including injury/rest angles and market reads, and closes with plugs for social, podcasts, and other channels. 00:00 Cold Open Verse 01:27 Show Intro and Slump 02:10 Yesterday Recap Dodgers Yankees 04:11 World Cup Ref Talk 06:37 Mic Troubles Live Fix 07:44 Pick Twins Guardians Under 13:50 No Bet Dodgers Phillies 20:07 Pick Pirates Over Yankees 26:56 Run Through Monday Slate 27:10 Rays Blue Jays Breakdown 33:30 Red Sox Orioles Streaks 38:11 Padres Braves Preview 39:07 Bullpen and offense check 40:08 JP Sears scouting report 41:26 Bryce Elder trust issues 42:27 Totals and market lean 44:20 Padres Braves rivalry talk 45:14 Mets Brewers setup 46:42 Peralta motivation angle 49:11 Mizejewski dominance breakdown 50:40 Low total betting options 52:51 Giants Royals travel and bullpens 54:31 McDonald vs Wacha matchup 57:12 Market read and stay away 58:21 White Sox Rangers spot 59:56 Fedde vs deGrom analysis 01:03:27 Tigers Cubs wind game 01:04:59 Flaherty and Taillon matchups 01:09:09 Chat shoutouts and break 01:09:51 Slump rant and reset 01:11:40 Marlins Astros pitching puzzle 01:12:55 Junk and Blanco uncertainty 01:15:30 Houston first five lean 01:16:23 Nationals Rockies over spot 01:16:40 Coors Field Totals Debate 01:17:16 Alvarez Road Profile 01:18:21 Freeland Red Flags 01:19:46 First Five Angles 01:21:19 Athletics at Diamondbacks 01:22:31 Springs vs Rookie Brash 01:24:40 Public Side Warning 01:25:33 Tigers Cubs Side Chat 01:26:34 Reds at Mariners Lean 01:27:34 Abbott Kirby Breakdown 01:29:42 Seattle and Under Talk 01:30:42 Cardinals at Angels Nightcap 01:32:07 Leahy Soriano Matchup 01:34:26 Sneaky First Five Under 01:35:35 WNBA Slate Overview 01:35:51 Aces at Toronto Spot 01:37:56 Liberty at Wings Injury 01:41:37 Mystics at Valkyries Zigzag 01:45:35 Lynx at Storm Travel Spot 01:48:16 Todays Official Plays 01:49:10 Pizza Chain Tangent 01:50:13 Wrap Up and Plugs #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba #soccer #worldcup

  6. 5d ago

    Sunday BEST BETS | The Cup | MLB & WNBA & World Cup Final | 7/19/26

    My links www.linktree.com/learntotoad www.patreon.com/learntotoad MLB LAD/NYY (G1) Under 8 -118 NYM -130 TB/BOS F5 Under 4 -110 TEX F5 -135 MLB Picks & World Cup Final Breakdown (July 19) | Mets ML, Rays/Red Sox F5 Under, Rangers F5 + Yankees/Dodgers Under Toad returns for July 19 on Toadstool Sports after a rough baseball stretch (1–2 yesterday) but a WNBA cover with the Mystics, and previews the World Cup Final (Spain vs Argentina), leaning to a low-scoring match and noting Argentina’s experience edge while rooting for Spain. He breaks down several MLB matchups and market splits, focusing on starting pitching, bullpen usage, and sweep-avoidance motivation. Official plays: Mets moneyline vs Phillies behind Nolan McLean vs Alan Rangel; Red Sox–Rays first five under 4 with McClanahan vs Sonny Gray; Rangers first five moneyline with Eovaldi over Grant Holmes; and Yankees–Dodgers Game 1 under 8 with Yamamoto vs Cam Schlittler after doubleheader pitching changes. 00:00 Cold Open Poem 01:28 Show Intro and Recap 03:30 White Sox vs Blue Jays 07:45 Yankees Dodgers Doubleheader 09:56 Mets vs Phillies Pick 14:31 Rays Red Sox First Five Under 21:46 Rangers Braves First Five 27:16 Pirates Guardians Series Talk 33:16 Orioles Astros Breakdown 37:04 Astros First Five Angle 38:42 Marlins Value With Perez 43:57 Padres Royals Total Talk 48:01 Twins Cubs Wind Factor 53:09 Reds Rockies Coors Dilemma 59:52 Brutal Slump Rant 01:01:25 Nationals As Pitching Edge 01:08:14 Tigers Angels Sweep Spot 01:11:47 Totals Talk and Bullpen Fade 01:12:23 Giants Mariners Under Angle 01:13:42 Ray vs Gilbert Breakdown 01:17:44 Cards Dbacks Pitching Matchup 01:22:01 Reading Market Signals 01:23:22 Yankees Dodgers Lineup Chaos 01:26:48 Under 8 Final Play 01:31:30 WNBA Leans and Spots 01:39:06 World Cup Final Thoughts 01:44:56 Wrap Up Plays and Outro #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba #soccer #worldcup

  7. 6d ago

    Saturday BEST BETS | Losers | MLB & WNBA & World Cup 3rd Place | 7/18/26

    My links www.linktree.com/learntotoad www.patreon.com/learntotoad MLB NYM/PHI Over 8.5 -115 MIA/MIL Under 8 -110 WNBA WAS +9.5 Saturday Betting Picks (July 18): Mets/Phillies Over, Marlins/Brewers Under + WNBA Mystics vs Valkyries Toad returns with Toadstool Sports for Saturday, July 18th after a losing baseball play the previous day despite going 3-1 on WNBA reads, and moves on with two MLB totals and one WNBA pick while passing on an official play for the World Cup third-place match. He breaks down multiple MLB matchups and market reads, including Pirates-Guardians doubleheader angles, Twins-Cubs, White Sox-Blue Jays (with concerns about Shane Bieber), Reds-Rockies at Coors, Rays-Red Sox after Boston’s 11-game win streak, Rangers-Braves, Orioles-Astros, Giants-Mariners, Nationals-A’s, and Tigers-Angels. Official plays: Phillies-Mets over 8.5 (fading Manaea and Luzardo), Marlins-Brewers under 8 (backing Meyer and Drohan plus strong bullpens), and Mystics +9.5 at Golden State in a low-total defensive spot. 00:00 Cold Open Monologue01:28 Recap and Reset 02:55 Pirates Guardians Breakdown 09:12 Twins Cubs Market Read 14:48 White Sox Jays Dilemma 20:15 Reds Rockies Coors Chaos 26:34 Best Bet Mets Phillies Over 32:55 Rays Red Sox After Doubleheader 38:17 Rangers Braves Uncertain Start 43:42 Team Totals Debate 44:16 Orioles Astros Breakdown 45:04 Rogers vs Arrighetti 47:43 First Five Under Lean 49:05 Marlins Brewers Under 50:16 Meyer and Drohan Case 53:53 Market Disagrees 55:06 Bob's Burgers Tangent 57:33 Padres Royals Over Look 01:02:52 Cardinals Dbacks Pitching 01:09:08 Slump Intermission Rant 01:10:40 Pirates Guardians Game Two 01:16:07 Dodgers Yankees Primetime 01:17:58 Sheehan Weathers Matchup 01:20:14 Dodgers First Five Lean 01:21:49 Giants Mariners Tease 01:22:00 Giants Mariners Breakdown 01:23:24 Pitching Matchup Webb Wu 01:25:45 Betting Angle Under Lean 01:27:02 Nationals Athletics Bounce Back 01:28:46 Littell vs Ginn First Five 01:32:43 Tigers Angels Skubal Edge 01:37:46 WNBA Liberty Fever Rest Spot 01:43:17 WNBA Portland Lynx Line Talk 01:45:32 Mystics Plus Points Play 01:52:33 World Cup Third Place France 01:56:39 Final Plays and Sign Off #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba #soccer #worldcup

  8. Jul 17

    Friday BEST BETS | Baseball's Back | MLB & WNBA | 7/17/26

    My links www.linktree.com/learntotoad www.patreon.com/learntotoad MLB TB (G1) F5 +105 MLB Picks & Handicapping (Fri, July 17) | One Play: Rays F5 vs Red Sox + Full Board Breakdown Toad returns with Toadstool Sports for Friday, July 17, recaps a Mets win from the prior show, and says he dislikes the baseball slate coming out of the All-Star break. His only official play is Tampa Bay first five innings moneyline (+105) in Game 1 of the Red Sox–Rays doubleheader, citing situational angles (Boston’s nine-game road win streak and return home), Tampa’s hitting edge, and matchup notes on starters Griffin Jax and Jake Bennett, while avoiding bullpens. He discusses general post-break betting tendencies, runs through multiple MLB matchups with situational and pitching/bullpen/offense analysis, notes near-considerations like Marlins–Brewers under and Padres moneyline, and gives brief WNBA leans without official plays. He also mentions monetization and possible memberships. 00:00 Cold Open Verse 01:28 Show Intro and Recap 02:26 Main Pick Rays First Five 03:42 All Star Break Angles 06:29 Pitching Matchup Breakdown 08:48 Market Notes and Game Two 11:07 Dodgers Yankees Preview 15:47 Pirates Guardians Handicapping 22:05 White Sox Blue Jays Spot 26:16 Rangers Braves Value Talk 30:52 Miami Milwaukee Spot 32:02 Alcantara Henderson Breakdown 34:37 Under Debate Market 36:32 Twins Cubs Wind Total 38:04 Ober Ray Matchups 41:54 Orioles Astros Pitchers 46:55 Padres Royals Edge 51:54 Slump Rant Reset 53:27 Reds Rockies Coors Read 59:03 Channel Monetization Talk 59:40 Tigers Angels Under Look 01:01:52 Tigers Angels Breakdown 01:04:37 Public Money Total Leans 01:05:37 Cardinals Diamondbacks Spot 01:06:54 McGreevy vs Kelly Angles 01:10:26 Nationals Athletics Chaos 01:12:29 Cavalli vs Jump Matchup 01:16:25 Giants Mariners Under Case 01:21:47 WNBA Slate Quick Leans 01:30:24 Best Bet Card Recap #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba #soccer #worldcup

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About

Hi, I am Toad. I am an autistic sports bettor with no regard for my well-being! I provide daily detailed analysis of all of the major sports and give out my best plays. It's free gold, baby. Find me on YouTube at ToadStool Sports and Instagram and Twitter at LearnToToad.

Information

  • Creator
    Toad
  • Years Active
    2025 - 2026
  • Episodes
    456
  • Rating
    Explicit
  • Copyright
    © Copyright learntotoad
  • Show Website
    Toadstool Sports