Trade Setup with Tanmay - Your 5min edge before the chaos begins.

Tanmay Kurtkoti
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Trade Setup with TK Your Daily Trading Advantage — In Under 5 Minutes Markets are noisy. Every morning, before it all begins, I’ll help you find clarity. I’m Tanmay Kurtkoti (TK) — algorithmic trader, founder of QCAlpha — and this podcast is your five-minute head start before Indian markets open. Trade Setup with TK isn’t just about headlines or levels. It’s about helping you read the market the way serious traders do — with structure, conviction, and focus. In each episode, we’ll quickly cover: What happened overnight in global marketsFII/DII flows, open interest trends, and SGX Nifty cuesSector strength, rotation, and momentum setupsMacro and event risks that actually matterAnd most importantly — how I’m planning to trade the day This isn’t a broadcast. It’s a ritual — for traders who want to stay sharp, cut through noise, and walk into the day with a clear plan. New episodes drop every market morning by 8:45 AM IST. Let’s build consistency one morning at a time. Love TK

  1. EP01: Nifty at Crossroads, Pharma on Fire, Crude’s Comeback – Trade Cues for Today

    EPISODE 1

    EP01: Nifty at Crossroads, Pharma on Fire, Crude’s Comeback – Trade Cues for Today

    Welcome to Episode 1 of Trade Setup with Tanmay – your quick 5-minute edge before the Indian market opens. In today’s episode, I break down the key global cues, sector strength, and index setups you should keep an eye on: Nifty stuck in a tight range – breakout or breakdown ahead?Auto & Pharma sectors showing strong momentumCrude oil rebounds — what it means for energy stocksFII/DII data, OI trends, and what’s flashing on the options radar Grab your morning chai and tune in — this episode will help you structure your trading plan before the bell rings at 9:15. 🎯 New episodes drop every market morning by 8:45 AM IST. Subscribe, share, and follow me on @TanmayKurtkoti for daily updates and chart insights. Let’s trade smarter, not harder.

    6 min
  2. EP02: Nifty Resists at 25,500, Banknifty Trapped – Sector Flows & Trade Setup for July 4

    EPISODE 2

    EP02: Nifty Resists at 25,500, Banknifty Trapped – Sector Flows & Trade Setup for July 4

    Welcome to Episode 2 of Trade Setup with Tanmay – your 5-minute edge before the chaos begins. In today’s episode (July 4, 2025), we decode: 🔍 Nifty hovering near resistance at 25,400 – what to watch🏦 Banknifty remains range-bound – breakout signs missing📈 Sector flows update: Midcaps still strong, FMCG shows signs of fatigue💸 FII/DII flow snapshot and SGX Nifty indications⚠️ Key levels and triggers to structure your trades for the day Grab your chai and get ready for a structured start to your trading day. 🎯 New episodes every market morning by 8:45 AM IST. Follow me on @TanmayKurtkoti for charts, setups, and live insights. Let’s trade smart, and stay ahead.

    5 min
  3. EP03: Nifty Range Tightens, Volatility Drops – Is a Breakout Coming?

    EPISODE 3

    EP03: Nifty Range Tightens, Volatility Drops – Is a Breakout Coming?

    Welcome to Episode 2 of Trade Setup with Tanmay – your 5-minute edge before the chaos begins. In today’s (July 7th) episode, we take a sharp look at: 📉 Friday’s volatile moves and how Nifty danced between 25,400–25,540🌏 Global market mood: Asia trades weak, US closed strong🛢️ Brent crude, gold, and currency updates📊 Sector radar: Pharma, Infra, Smallcap showing strong strength on PK Algo🔄 Nifty’s mean reversion level at 25,300 and straddle-based expected range🔥 Options outlook: Low IV, calendar spreads in play, and breakout watch With markets just 2.5% away from lifetime highs, are we gearing up for a big move? This episode helps you position right — with insights on volatility, FII/DII flow, and key index levels. 👉 New episodes drop every market morning by 8:45 AM IST. 🎯 Don’t forget to subscribe, share, and follow @TanmayKurtkoti for daily trade setups and chart insights. Let’s trade smart, before the chaos begins.

    6 min
  4. EP04: NSE’s ₹1 Lakh Loss Shocker, Sensex Expiry Gameplan & Calendar Strategy for the Win

    EPISODE 4

    EP04: NSE’s ₹1 Lakh Loss Shocker, Sensex Expiry Gameplan & Calendar Strategy for the Win

    Welcome to Episode 3 of Trade Setup with Tanmay – your 5-minute edge before the chaos begins. Today’s market talk starts with a bang – NSE reveals retail traders lost over ₹1 lakh on average in FY25, even as participation soared by 41%. But beyond the data, we set you up for Sensex expiry day with clarity on: 📉 Global market mood: US down on geopolitical worries, Asia bouncing back📊 Nifty’s narrow range play – key straddle data, IV outlook, and expected move🔄 Calendar spreads in play amid falling vols – what setup works today🔥 Sectoral trend check: FMCG, Pharma, Infra bullish; Midcap, IT weak🛢️ Commodity momentum: Gold, Silver, Crude show strength, Nat Gas weak💱 Dollar Index & USDINR update Today’s takeaway? Dip = buy bias remains, with options setups like calendars and butterflies suited for expiry play. 👉 Catch this show every market morning by 8:45 AM IST to prep your trades. 📢 If you find this helpful, please rate, follow, and share with fellow traders. Let’s trade smart, before the chaos begins. — Hosted by Tanmay Kurtkoti, Founder, QCAlpha & TrishaCapital

    6 min
  5. EP05: FOMC Minutes Ahead, TK Algo Turns Long IV – What to Expect Before the Next Breakout

    EPISODE 5

    EP05: FOMC Minutes Ahead, TK Algo Turns Long IV – What to Expect Before the Next Breakout

    Welcome to Episode 5 of Trade Setup with Tanmay – your daily 5-minute edge before the chaos begins. In today’s (July 9th) episode, we focus on momentum shifts after a surprise rally and what’s building up before tonight’s FOMC minutes release. 🔍 Here’s what we cover today: 🎯 Nifty’s short-term support and resistance after yesterday’s late-day surge📉 Volatility drop + TK Algo flipping long = bullish bias building💰 FII/DII flows, client positioning – bullish tone from puts and futures🌏 Global markets: Flat Asia, positive cues from Europe, Trump’s copper tariffs spark commodity action📈 Sector strength: FMCG, Realty, Finance, Infra leading the charge📉 Weakness in Metals – short opportunities?💡 Strategy spotlight: Short calendar vs. long gamma spread using ATM straddles🛢️ Commodities: Gold corrects, Crude and NatGas strong, Bitcoin bullish 👉 This is a volatile setup day, best played with structured risk – straddles, strangles, or calendar spreads could help capture the move. 🎧 Tune in every market morning by 8:45 AM IST. ❤️ If you find this helpful, please rate, follow, and share with your trading circle. — Hosted by Tanmay Kurtkoti, Founder – QCAlpha

    6 min
  6. EP06: FII Selling Returns, Volatility Low – Calendar Spread in Play | July 14 (Monday)

    EPISODE 6

    EP06: FII Selling Returns, Volatility Low – Calendar Spread in Play | July 14 (Monday)

    Welcome to Episode 6 of Trade Setup with Tanmay, your 5-minute podcast before the chaos begins. In this episode, Tanmay Kurtkoti Founder QCAlpha breaks down the global setup, sector flows, volatility signals, and trade ideas for the day. 🔥 Top Highlights: 📉 Market Overview: SGX Nifty at 25,188, flat to mildly negative.Friday close: Nifty dipped below key support at 25,200, entering a volatile but low IV zone.Current mean reversion level: 25,300; buy near 25,000 levels. 🌍 Global Cues: US Markets down: Dow -0.5%, S&P -0.33%Weakness driven by Meta news and Trump tariff escalation.Asian markets mixed: Nikkei & Taiwan down, Shanghai, Hangseng, Jakarta up. 🛢️ Commodities: Brent Crude: $70.42Gold: $3,356/ozSilver (MCX): ₹111506 – showing strengthGold MCX: ₹97,373, watch for breakout above ₹97,600Crude & NatGas: NeutralBitcoin: Trading strong around ₹1.18L 📊 FII/DII Data: FIIs sold ₹5,154 Cr, continuing their exit.DIIs bought ₹3,558 Cr; net DII inflows ~₹12,000 Cr MTD.FIIs remain net sellers for July: ₹10,284 Cr. 📉 Sector Signals (TK ALGO): Broad weakness across sectors:Capital markets, Smallcap, Midcap, Metals, Auto, Infra → all negative. Nifty TK Algo Signal:Slow Signal Sell: 25,438Fast Signal Sell: 25,363 ⚙️ Options & Volatility: IV (17 July): 9.17 (very low)IV (24 July): 10.0Suggests short-term suppression, but vol bounce likely next week.Calendar Spread Idea:Buy 24 July straddle, Sell 17 July straddleTake advantage of IV differential (long calendar) 📌 ATM Straddle (17 July @ 25,200): Trading at ₹244 → 1 SD range ≈ 25,000–25,300 🎯 Take: Low volatility = great time to initiate calendarsMarket remains in mean-reverting mode between 25,000–25,300Short-vol trades early in the week, prepare for vol expansion later👍 Like what you hear? Follow, Share, and Rate the podcast. 🎧 Join us tomorrow again for your daily 5-minute prep before the chaos begins.

    5 min
  7. EP07 Volatility Drops to 8s, Put Shorts Dominate – Iron Fly & Calendar Spreads for July 16

    EPISODE 7

    EP07 Volatility Drops to 8s, Put Shorts Dominate – Iron Fly & Calendar Spreads for July 16

    Welcome to EP07 of Trade Setup with Tanmay Kurtkoti, your 5-minute morning podcast before the chaos begins. In this episode, Tanmay dives into US inflation, market reactions, sector rotations, and option structures for expiry week. 🔥 Top Highlights: 📉 Market Snapshot: Gift Nifty down 90 points, trading near 25,170 at 8:20 AM.Monday’s close: 25,195, minor bounce from lows.CPI surprise: US inflation rose to 2.7% YoY vs 2.6% expected → minor global jitters. 🌍 Global & Asian Markets: US Markets: Dow & S&P fell 0.2%–0.4%, Nasdaq up 0.2%Europe: FTSE, CAC, DAX fell 0.5%–0.6%Asia: Mostly green – Shanghai, Hang Seng, Jakarta, Taiwan all positiveNon-correlation Alert: Asia up, Gift Nifty down. 💹 FII/DII Flows: FIIs bought ₹120 Cr in cashDIIs bought ₹1,555 Cr → Monthly DII inflow: ₹15,745 Cr; FIIs still net sellers: ₹11,778 Cr 🛢️ Commodities & Currency: Brent at $68.91 (cool-off from $70+)Gold: $3,327 – flat but showing strengthSilver: ₹1,12,722 – strong buy zoneCrude: ₹5,714 (neutral) | NatGas: ₹295 (buy zone)USDINR: 85.81 | DXY: 98.6 – strong bounce from 97.75 📊 Sector Signals (TK ALGO): Strength: CNX PharmaCapital MarketsFMCGFinancialsAuto, Smallcap, MidcapWeakness: InfraCPSCMetalsNifty & Bank Nifty in neutral/sell zone⚙️ Options & Volatility Setup: 17 July IV: 8.824 July IV: 9.4931 July IV: 9.95Vols extremely suppressed → calendar spreads preferred 📈 Straddle Analysis (ATM 25,250): Premium: ₹142 → 1 SD range = ±124 ptsRange: 25,050 – 25,350💡 Strategy for Today: Nifty TK Signal: Sell from 25,438 (both slow & fast)Deploy Calendar Spread: Buy 24 Jul, Sell 17 JulIron Fly (25,250): 150-point wings for expiry tradePut shorts dominate: Clients have 3.45 lakh put shorts vs 1.03 lakh call shortsSuggestion: Hedge naked puts with OTM spreads 🔻 Crypto Watch: Bitcoin: ₹1,16,770 – weak zone, short opportunity Put-heavy client positioning may get trapped on open.Volatility is dirt cheap – ideal for calendars & Iron Flys.Watch for bounce back toward 25,300 zone by mid-week. 👍 Liked today’s prep? Follow, Share, and Tune in tomorrow 🎧 Trade Setup with Tanmay – Your Daily 5-Minute Edge Before the Chaos Begins.

    7 min
  8. EP08: Expiry Day Playbook: Low IV, Range Compression & Calendar Setups | July 17

    EPISODE 8

    EP08: Expiry Day Playbook: Low IV, Range Compression & Calendar Setups | July 17

    Welcome to EP08 of Trade Setup with Tanmay Kurtkoti, your daily 5-minute prep before the chaos begins. It’s expiry day and volatility is crushed — here’s your quick market pulse, sector plays, and trade ideas. 🔥 Top Highlights: 📉 Market Snapshot: Gift Nifty trades at 25,273, up 42 points at open.We’ve been range-bound around 25,200–25,250 for 5 straight sessions — and it’s worked well for volatility sellers.🌍 Global & Asian Markets: Trump drama: Powell sacking threat made → later withdrawn.US Markets: Dow +200 pts, S&P +0.32%, Nasdaq +52 pts.Europe: Mixed to negative — FTSE, CAC, DAX down 0.13% to 0.57%.Asia: Mixed cues – Nikkei ↓, Hang Seng ↑, Taiwan ↓, Shanghai ↓, Jakarta ↑. 💹 FII/DII Flows: FIIs sold ₹1,858 Cr, continuing heavy exit.DIIs bought ₹1,223 Cr.MTD: FIIs net sellers ₹13,636 Cr, DIIs net buyers ₹16,969 Cr. 📊 Client & Pro Positioning: Clients:Net Call Short: 74,409Net Put Short: 3,30,256 → bullish bias Pros: Net long on options → playing volatility expansion ⚙️ Options & Volatility Setup: 17 July Expiry IV: ~8%Monthlies (July 31): ~9.5%25200 ATM Straddle: ₹98 → 1 SD range = 25100–25300TK Algo Signal: Buy on NiftyCalendar Spread: 25200 strike trading at ₹180 – still the trade of choice. 📈 Tanmay’s Trade View: Expect expiry around 25,250–25,350.Use calendars for carry into next week.For expiry: deploy Iron Fly @ 25,250 with 150-point wings.Ideal dip buy zone: 25,060–25,070 for bounce to 25,250+ 🏭 Sector Trends (TK Algo): Strength: Auto, FMCG, Realty, Capital MarketsWeakness: CPSC, Metals, FinancialsNifty/Bank Nifty/Sensex: Neutral 🛢️ Commodities & FX: Gold: $3,339/oz | MCX: ₹97,486 – strongSilver (MCX): ₹1,12,190 – strongNatGas: ₹304 – buy zoneCrude: ₹5,696 – now in shorting territoryUSDINR: 85.80 (support), 86.10 (resistance) | DXY: 98.49 “Volatility is dead. Don’t chase the open — expiry trades will work best if you wait for dips or range compressions. Stick to calendar spreads, use Iron Flies, and lean on sector momentum for the edge.” 👍 Enjoyed the episode? Follow, Share, and rate us on your favorite platform. 🎧 Join again tomorrow for Trade Setup with Tanmay – your 5-minute market edge before the chaos begins.

    7 min
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About

Trade Setup with TK Your Daily Trading Advantage — In Under 5 Minutes Markets are noisy. Every morning, before it all begins, I’ll help you find clarity. I’m Tanmay Kurtkoti (TK) — algorithmic trader, founder of QCAlpha — and this podcast is your five-minute head start before Indian markets open. Trade Setup with TK isn’t just about headlines or levels. It’s about helping you read the market the way serious traders do — with structure, conviction, and focus. In each episode, we’ll quickly cover: What happened overnight in global marketsFII/DII flows, open interest trends, and SGX Nifty cuesSector strength, rotation, and momentum setupsMacro and event risks that actually matterAnd most importantly — how I’m planning to trade the day This isn’t a broadcast. It’s a ritual — for traders who want to stay sharp, cut through noise, and walk into the day with a clear plan. New episodes drop every market morning by 8:45 AM IST. Let’s build consistency one morning at a time. Love TK

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