Speculators Edge Podcast

Speculators Edge
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This Substack is your Unfair Advantage. See how Institutions use data to dominate the markets and how you can do the same. Master market psychology to stay ahead, anticipate moves, and trade smarter every time. www.speculatorsedge.com

  1. FEB 4

    Bitcoin's "Tigers Cage" (FREE EDITION)

    February 2026 Outlook: In February 2026, markets feel schizophrenic: crypto is plummeting while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq remain frozen near all-time highs. This stark divergence is creating confusion and whiplash for traders. Today’s episode cuts through the noise with proprietary research that argues the current stagnation is about to break. Listeners will discover why Bitcoin is entering a critical “tiger’s cage” support zone, why Ethereum faces institutional abandonment, and how a Japanese election this Sunday could ignite global liquidity. If you want clarity on whether this is a healthy correction or the start of something worse, this deep dive delivers actionable insight. What is the discussion about? The discussion translates complex technical analysis into clear, conversational language while preserving rigor. Listeners learn how fair-value gaps, six-month candle cycles, and ETF gap-fill rules shape price behavior. The episode contrasts Bitcoin’s structural retest with Ethereum’s broken quarterly structure, explains NVIDIA’s dominance over the Nasdaq, and reveals a practical 2.5% weekly range rule for the S&P 500. Commodity traders get a sobering warning about over-leveraged precious metals, and macro enthusiasts gain perspective on how Japan’s upcoming election could drive risk-on flows worldwide. Research and Information Proprietary analysis identifies Bitcoin’s $70,000–$74,500 zone as a high-timeframe fair-value gap sitting directly on the 2021 all-time high—creating the “tiger’s cage” where price compresses before reversal. Historical six-month candle data shows Bitcoin rarely sustains more than five consecutive bullish candles; we are now in the second bearish candle, implying a time-bound correction rather than a multi-year winter. The recommended tactic: wait for a sweep below $74,500, then deploy 50% spot capital targeting $100,000+. Ethereum, by contrast, has broken quarterly support with negligible ETF inflows, pointing to downside targets near $1,300–$1,360. NVIDIA remains underweight relative to earnings and is expected to rally into February 25 earnings before any sell-the-news drop. The S&P 500’s 2.5% weekly expansion rule offers an 80–90% edge for fading early-week strength. Silver’s monthly RSI nearing 98 signals extreme leverage that could trigger a 40% washout. Conclusion This episode distills a dense, data-rich research note into an accessible yet uncompromising market roadmap for February 2026. For the complete charts, statistical tables, and exact price levels referenced throughout the discussion, the original proprietary publication remains the definitive source: worth studying in full before positioning for the moves ahead. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.speculatorsedge.com/subscribe

    18 min

  2. JAN 29

    Market of Five Behemoths (FREE EDITION)

    Why listen to this Podcast? In a world where global finance teeters on the edge of monumental shifts, the Deep Dive podcast delivers an urgent wake-up call for investors navigating the chaos of 2026’s markets. As the FOMC meeting, big tech earnings, and liquidity cycles collide, this episode unveils why the stock market has morphed into a “market of five stocks,” dominated by giants like Microsoft, Apple, Google, Amazon, and NVIDIA. Listeners gain invaluable edge by understanding these dynamics, avoiding common pitfalls like chasing breadth in a concentrated arena. Whether you’re commuting or strategizing at your desk, this podcast equips you with foresight to protect and grow your portfolio amid potential rocket launches or rug pulls, turning uncertainty into opportunity. The Appeal Diving into the contextual backdrop, the podcast explores how the S&P 500 and Nasdaq are breaking free from a 76-day consolidation, driven by technical setups like the “rainbow pattern” and bullish order blocks. Listeners learn about the interplay of hyperscaler health over broad economic signals, with real-world examples such as Microsoft’s role as the market’s pace car. It contextualizes upcoming catalysts, including Japan’s election on February 8th influencing the yen carry trade, and corporate buyback windows fueling short-term melts. This episode arms you with knowledge on divergence in crypto versus tech, urging caution against sympathy bounces in Bitcoin and Ethereum, all framed within a timeline that separates melt-up phases from looming “death zones.” Research and Information The podcast’s core draws from proprietary research highlighting concentration risks: the top five stocks now comprise 50% of the S&P 500’s weight, rendering the rest as “noise.” Trading insights include Fibonacci extensions targeting Nasdaq at 26,950, Amazon’s coiled triangle poised for 20-30% rallies to $300-$360, and Meta’s rotation potential to $788 highs. Warnings abound on NVIDIA’s earnings as a sell-the-news event around February 25th, with liquidity neutralization from exhausted buybacks and tax liabilities creating a risk-off period post-February 13th. Crypto specifics feature Bitcoin’s chop zone at 80K-90K, eyeing drawdowns to $74,508, and Ethereum shorts from $3,477 targeting $2,628, emphasizing relative weakness amid tech’s surge. Conclusion Ultimately, this Deep Dive episode masterfully charts a roadmap for the next month, urging long biases now while preparing for rotations and corrections to flush complacent capital. To grasp the full depth of these proprietary analyses and refine your strategy, dive into the original financial publication that inspired this discussion. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.speculatorsedge.com/subscribe

    18 min
  3. Tiger's Cage: Volatility Unleashed (FREE EDITION)

    JAN 20

    Tiger's Cage: Volatility Unleashed (FREE EDITION)

    Why listen to this Podcast? In a market that feels eerily calm and deceptively safe, this episode of the financial podcast delivers a stark wake-up call you cannot afford to ignore. Drawing directly from Pheneck’s latest Market Situation Report, we explore the “Tiger’s Cage” thesis: a vivid warning that the current low-volatility chop is not peace—it is the silent stalking phase before explosive violence. Listeners who tune in gain critical early awareness of a precisely defined danger window (January 26–30, 2026) where multiple high-impact catalysts collide, potentially inflicting severe portfolio damage. This isn’t generic caution; it’s a high-conviction roadmap designed to help traders and investors avoid being caught flat-footed when the tiger finally pounces, preserving capital when complacency is at its peak. The Appeal: This podcast episode stands out by translating dense, proprietary technical and macro analysis into actionable, narrative-driven insight without losing rigor. Listeners walk away understanding exactly why next week is considered radioactive, how rare geopolitical noise like the Greenland diplomatic friction can act as a volatility accelerant, and why seemingly unrelated events : FOMC language, mega-cap earnings congestion, and structural chart inefficiencies, are converging into a single pressure cooker. Beyond surface-level headlines, the discussion reveals hidden market mechanics such as liquidity hunts, wickless candle anomalies, and institutional short setups, giving both retail and experienced traders contextual depth that mainstream financial media rarely provides in such concentrated form. Research and Information: The core of the episode dissects the following key observations: Bitcoin and Ethereum exhibit dangerous “wickless” yearly opens, signaling unfinished price discovery and fragile rallies likely to retrace sharply to $87,648 (BTC) and $2,967 (ETH) for structural repair. NASDAQ faces a similar liquidity hunt toward 25,972 before reversing into a downside vacuum targeting 24,647–24,921, driven by an unstable inside two-week candle failure pattern. Silver is flagged as an overextended bubble with quarterly RSI at 90–95, risking a rapid 35% collapse, while the space sector (notably LUNR) is positioned for a multi-year super cycle fueled by SpaceX IPO hype. Tactical setups include a mean-reversion long in AAPL at $252 (stop $244) and a breakout long in AXSM at $177.27 (stop $170). Longer-term, May 15, 2026, marks a potential Fed regime shift to QE, massively bullish for Bitcoin, assuming survival through the near-term cage and any Powell “middle finger” exit volatility. Conclusion: This episode arms you with precise levels, clear risk scenarios, and a survival-first mindset to navigate one of the most treacherous short-term windows of 2026. To fully grasp the depth of Pheneck’s original Market Situation Report including every chart annotation, geopolitical linkage, and macro pivot forecast we head straight to the source publication and read it in full before next week’s fireworks begin. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.speculatorsedge.com/subscribe

    18 min
  4. Year-End Trading Roadmap

    12/17/2025

    Year-End Trading Roadmap

    Why listen to this Podcast? As 2025 draws to a close, traders face a deceptive market landscape where indices hover at all-time highs, yet underlying stocks reveal deep corrections and hidden risks. This podcast episode of “Deep Dive” delivers an essential roadmap for navigating the volatile final weeks, emphasizing preservation over pursuit. Listeners gain invaluable strategies to avoid common pitfalls like revenge trading in low-liquidity “slumber mode,” while preparing for a powerful 2026 kickoff on January 5th. By unpacking mechanical market forces and psychological traps, it equips you with the discipline to safeguard gains and position for explosive opportunities, transforming holiday downtime into a competitive edge that could define your next year’s success. The Appeal Dive into the contextual dynamics shaping year-end markets, where a stark dichotomy emerges: U.S. indices appear robust, but tech giants like Oracle (down 47%) and Nvidia (down 16%) signal underlying weakness. The episode explores institutional behaviors driving the Santa rally through forced rebalancing, revealing how portfolio window dressing inflates prices without genuine confidence. Listeners learn about stealth sector rotations from overvalued tech to resilient banks, global correlations like the Nikkei-Nasdaq link, and crypto’s bearish setups. This rich analysis provides a holistic view of economic shifts, including Fed policy implications for dollar weakness, empowering traders to anticipate January’s organic buying waves and long-term tailwinds for assets like gold and Bitcoin. Research and Information The podcast distills proprietary insights from a market outlook report, highlighting actionable trading setups like JPMorgan’s ascending triangle pattern for a catch-up trade amid banking sector surges (peers up 8%+ while JPM lags at 1.7%). Crypto enthusiasts get precise buy zones: Bitcoin at $69,000–$74,500 for retesting prior highs, and Ethereum at $2,374–$2,500 during potential wicks. S&P 500 futures target a gap fill at $6,775 with 8:1 risk-reward, while Broadcom eyes a dip to $311–$324. Psychological audits of past trades differentiate technical vs. mental stops, and global forecasts predict USDJPY breakouts to 161 alongside dovish Fed-driven DXY weakness, fostering bullish setups in GBPUSD and EURUSD for 2026. Conclusion In wrapping up this insightful year-end analysis, the podcast underscores the power of patience and preparation, transforming potential market pitfalls into setups for substantial gains in stocks, crypto, and currencies as 2026 unfolds. To dive deeper into the proprietary strategies and detailed charts that informed this discussion, explore the original market outlook report for a comprehensive edge in your trading arsenal. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.speculatorsedge.com/subscribe

    14 min
  5. Why Risk Assets Are Flying Before the FOMC

    12/07/2025

    Why Risk Assets Are Flying Before the FOMC

    With only three weeks left in the year and the critical December 10th FOMC meeting fast approaching, we are at a pivotal market juncture. This week’s deep dive focuses on navigating these conditions by mastering the two essential pillars of successful trading: your Internal Process and precise External Market Analysis. In this episode, we reveal the current reading of our proprietary “Risk Map.” This analytical framework uses key risk barometers including Credit Spreads (the “last functioning smoke alarm”), Real Yields, and the XLP/XLY ratio to forecast liquidity flows weeks in advance. We detail how the “cocktail mix” of falling Real Yields and a softening Dollar is creating an insanely positive environment for risk assets right now. We also break down the high-level technical application of our 6-Week Fed Cycle. This methodology defines high-probability breakout zones (with a less than 10% failure rate) and allows for robust risk management, offering a strategic advantage for those looking to place stops. Finally, we identify constructive setups based on the current “Risk On” environment: * Bitcoin (BTC): Is this the start of a multi-month bottom? We outline the key level to watch. * Gold: We explain why the historically powerful “January Effect” seasonality makes Gold a compelling bullish setup. * USD/CAD: We confirm our continued bearish bias and the optimal zones for shorting opportunities. The “Risk Map” is clear: liquidity conditions are loosening. Tune in to ensure your processes are in place so you are ready to “swing the bat when the pitch comes”. (Disclaimer: This is market musings from the charts and is not financial advice). This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.speculatorsedge.com/subscribe

    15 min
  6. Conquering Cave Brain Trading

    11/27/2025

    Conquering Cave Brain Trading

    Why Listen to this Podcast? In the fast-paced world of trading, where market analysis can be spot-on yet accounts still bleed dry, understanding human psychology is your ultimate edge. This podcast episode of “Deep Dive” uncovers the destructive “cave brain” responses that sabotage even the sharpest traders, turning potential wins into devastating losses. By dissecting real-world failures and offering actionable defenses, it equips you with tools to protect your capital from emotional pitfalls. Whether you’re a novice or seasoned investor, this episode delivers invaluable insights to elevate your decision-making, ensuring you trade with discipline rather than instinct. Don’t miss out—it’s a masterclass in preventing the silent killers of wealth that generic advice overlooks, saving you time and money in volatile markets. The Appeal Listeners will gain profound contextual knowledge on how evolutionary instincts like fight-or-flight hijack rational trading processes, leading to behaviors such as holding losers too long or cutting winners short. Drawing from anonymous case studies on assets like DAX, Bitcoin, and USDJPY, the episode illustrates common traps, including the 1ATR entry mistake and revenge trading cycles. It transitions into current market conditions on November 27, 2025, analyzing thin liquidity post-Thanksgiving and month-end dynamics. By exploring risk indicators like real yields, credit spreads, and market breadth, you’ll learn to discern genuine rallies from illusions. This blend of psychological analysis and real-time application provides a holistic view, helping you navigate today’s risk-on environment with confidence. Research and Information The podcast delves into proprietary trading insights, such as the four pillars of success—edge (statistical setups), risk (market environment assessment), execution (mechanical actions), and psychology (defensive guard against emotions)—designed to eliminate cave brain interference. Case studies reveal pitfalls like shorting DAX at maximum stretch, doubling down on Bitcoin losers, and prematurely entering USDJPY gap fills that tie up capital for months. Current research highlights bullish signals: real yields under 1.8% fueling equity inflows, stabilizing credit spreads correlating with Bitcoin bottoms, and broad market breadth confirming S&P 500 rallies to 6,800. In commodities, gold’s relentless climb from 3,300 contrasts oil’s scratched trades due to geopolitical risks, while yen pairs demand patience for 1,000-pip drops. Crypto focuses on stablecoin dominance below 9% to avert meltdowns. Conclusion This episode masterfully weaves psychological traps with cutting-edge market analysis, empowering traders to build resilient processes amid 2025’s volatility. To dive deeper into these proprietary indicators and case studies, explore the original financial publication that inspired this discussion. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.speculatorsedge.com/subscribe

    15 min
  7. Market Traps & Rippers

    11/12/2025

    Market Traps & Rippers

    Why Listen to this Podcast? In a market teetering on the edge of euphoria and exhaustion, this episode of Deep Dive unveils a two-phased roadmap that could redefine your trading strategy amid deceptive signals. Why carve out time for this? Because it transforms fear into fortune, revealing how what looks like a catastrophic top—echoing 2021’s trap—is actually a engineered liquidity sweep priming the S&P 500 for a explosive rally. Listeners gain the conviction to sidestep panic sells during a 7-10% dip, positioning instead as institutional buyers reload at major bottoms. This isn’t vague speculation; it’s a structural blueprint arming you with the psychological edge to profit where retail capitulates, potentially capturing 15% upside in months. Tune in to decode traps that snare the masses, ensuring your portfolio thrives on the next leg up rather than crumbling under headlines. The Appeal Delve into the episode’s rich context, where NVIDIA’s November 19th earnings emerge as the pivotal catalyst, mirroring past “sell-the-news” reactions in Microsoft and beyond. Listeners uncover how seven consecutive bullish months on NASDAQ and Nikkei signal overstretched rallies ripe for reset, yet underpinned by seasonality and buybacks fueling a pre-earnings surge to 26,000. The discussion contextualizes AI’s “Looney Tunes” volatility: Meta’s CapEx backlash versus NVIDIA’s windfall, highlighting undervalued catch-up trades. Broader macro insights tie Bitcoin’s quarterly bear flags to gold’s RSI-bloated bubble, urging strategic longs over risky shorts. This episode equips you with layered perspectives—technical, historical, and fundamental—to navigate global liquidity shifts from a resurgent DXY, empowering informed decisions that blend short-term aggression with long-term resilience. Research and Information At the core, proprietary research spotlights trading insights like the megaphone breakdown on ES futures as a bullish deception, sweeping stops to ignite a “ripper” rally post-unwind, akin to 2021’s 760-point surge. For stocks, Meta’s deep buy zone targets $1,000 by 2026, while Microsoft’s rare double inside two-month candle—last seen in 2011—forecasts a January-February 2026 explosion. Adobe’s descending triangle screams short to $270 amid AI erosion, and Alibaba’s weekly pattern eyes all-time highs. Bitcoin holds $74,000 as bull structure’s guardian against 70-80% corrections; gold’s 7:1 swing at 3,886 entry chases 4,381 highs post-liquidity hunt. These insights, drawn from exhaustive chart forensics and historical analogs, deliver actionable setups blending high-conviction longs with disciplined shorts, transforming complex patterns into executable edges. Conclusion This episode masterfully demystifies market manipulations, urging traders to embrace dips as disguised opportunities in an AI-fueled ascent. Yet, it provocatively questions if today’s rate regimes could derail 2021 replays, blending technical purity with fundamental vigilance. For the full depth of this November 10th analysis, seek the original publication—its unfiltered charts and projections await to sharpen your edge further. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.speculatorsedge.com/subscribe

    13 min
  8. November Market Momentum Unleashed

    11/05/2025

    November Market Momentum Unleashed

    Why listen to this Podcast? In the fast-paced world of financial markets, where volatility can erode gains overnight, the Deep Dive podcast offers a timely beacon for investors navigating November 2025’s landscape. This episode resets your perspective post-earnings season and FOMC decisions, revealing why now is a pivotal moment for capital allocation. By dissecting the shift from high-volatility spikes to a more stable environment, it empowers listeners with strategies to capitalize on potential upward trends without the usual stomach-churning risks. Whether you’re a seasoned trader or a retail investor, this podcast delivers actionable value by clarifying the path of least resistance for your portfolio, potentially unlocking sustained returns in equities, crypto, and beyond—making it essential listening to stay ahead in a reset market. What this Podcast Offers- Delving into contextual insights, the podcast explores how seasonal trends, corporate buybacks, and technical alignments converge to foster market stability. Listeners learn about the post-volatility era, where reduced fear gauges like the VIX signal smoother ascents for risk assets. It contextualizes global correlations, such as NASDAQ’s lag behind the Nikkei, and algorithmic linkages in ETFs, providing a holistic view of interconnected markets. By unpacking gaps, bottoms, and divergences, the episode equips you with knowledge on why November favors tech-heavy plays, while cautioning on year-end consolidations. This broader understanding helps demystify macro drivers, from liquidity inflows to cross-asset spillovers, turning complex dynamics into learnable patterns for informed decision-making. Research At its core, the podcast shares proprietary trading insights, including the VIX’s inside monthly candle failure predicting deflation and bullish S&P moves. It highlights gaps in bull markets that remain open for months, advising against fading them, and the “bottom principle” requiring resolved inefficiencies for true reversals. Key setups include NASDAQ targeting 28,000 via Nikkei catch-up, Microsoft’s 15-26% upside to $650 driven by XLK correlation, Bitcoin’s 30-40% rally to $142,000, gold’s swing long above $3,819, and GBPUSD’s bounce from 1.30151. These data-driven analyses, backed by historical patterns and algorithmic tunings, offer precise entries, risks, and targets to enhance trading precision. Conclusion This episode masterfully ties volatility deflation, buyback tailwinds, and correlation inefficiencies into a compelling bullish narrative for November 2025, spotlighting untapped potentials in tech and beyond. To dive deeper into the charts, data, and original analyses that inspired these insights, explore the full financial publication for yourself. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.speculatorsedge.com/subscribe

    21 min
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About

This Substack is your Unfair Advantage. See how Institutions use data to dominate the markets and how you can do the same. Master market psychology to stay ahead, anticipate moves, and trade smarter every time. www.speculatorsedge.com

Information

  • Creator
    Speculators Edge
  • Years Active
    2025 - 2026
  • Episodes
    27
  • Rating
    Clean
  • Copyright
    © Miad Kasravi
  • Show Website
    Speculators Edge Podcast