This week's episode covers all nine major resin markets under one organizing theme: what the flags are reading, and whether buyers trust them enough to act. The answer depends on which market you're in. PE, PP, PVC, and PET are flying green flags — leverage is clear, fundamentals are aligned, and the data is telling you to negotiate aggressively now. For PS, ABS, PC, PA66, and PA6, the flag has turned yellow. July conditions remain favorable — the July benzene contract settled lower and is working through pricing as we speak. But crude oil surged more than $13 per barrel on Middle East military conflict, benzene spot has been firming for three straight weeks, and Tropical Storm Bertha is tracking the Texas and Louisiana Gulf Coast. If those conditions hold, August benzene reflects them — and five resin markets shift from Q3 tailwind to Q4 uncertainty. The July window is still open. The flags are telling you it won't stay this width for the rest of the quarter. Show Notes This week's episode covers the resin market sweep for the week of July 24, 2026 — PE, PP, PS, ABS, PC, PVC, PA66, PA6, and PET. Market context this week: Crude oil: WTI surged to $92.19/bbl, Brent crossed $100, driven by escalating Middle East military conflict and serious threats to energy shipping lanes. The move is the primary driver behind firming benzene spot and the emerging August uncertainty in benzene-linked resins. Tropical Storm Bertha: Second named storm of the 2026 hurricane season, tracking toward the Texas and Louisiana Gulf Coast. No supply disruptions have been reported, but market attention is on potential impacts to feedstock production assets. Hurricane season is typically most active August through October, with Gulf Coast PET and petrochemical assets the key watch point. Benzene spot: Firmed for the third consecutive week, reaching $4.93/gal. The July benzene contract has already settled — so this week's spot movement does not affect July pricing. It affects the August contract settlement, which is determined by where benzene spot is trading right now. Per-resin summary: PE: July contracts expected to settle down at least 10 cents per pound following June's 15-cent decline. One producer announced a 5-cent August price increase initiative. ResinSmart is tracking no supply-demand conditions that support the initiative materializing at current fundamentals. PP: PGP eased slightly to 44 cents per pound from the mid-40-cent range. No July price increase initiatives announced despite elevated feedstock costs — a demand signal. Heartland's Canadian PP facility resumed operations after an extended outage; Phillips 66 Bayway refinery turnaround ongoing. PS: July expected to decline at least 6 cents per pound on lower July benzene contract settlement. Benzene spot firming creates genuine August uncertainty. July discount is real — use it before the spot move becomes the supplier's opening argument next month. ABS: Fundamentals balanced, material available, no July initiatives. July feedstock settlements favorable and working through pricing. Same benzene spot exposure as PS for August. US retail sales +0.6% in June — modest demand encouragement, but manufacturing conditions broadly mixed. PC: Stable, balanced, no producer initiatives. Benzene spot firmed this week, but propylene held flat — suggesting market is pricing weather risk premium rather than a fundamental supply disruption. Europe and China both pointing lower in July — global context constructive. PVC: Supply outpacing demand. No July initiatives. Builder confidence registered at 34 in July, the fifteenth consecutive month below 40 — longest stretch since 2012. Housing starts rebounded in June, led by multifamily, but current supply positions remain more than sufficient to offset any pricing support from construction activity. PA66: Balanced, no initiatives, material availability healthy. Benzene elevated and butadiene flat at 47 cents. Buyers should contest any rolled-over pricing with July feedstock contract data. PA6: Caprolactam dropped sharply to $1,720.67/mt from $1,856.99 — a significant move driven by lower July benzene contract costs. The July cost structure for PA6 production has moved meaningfully in buyers' favor. Do not accept June-level pricing without contesting the feedstock math. PET: July PX contract settled 2 cents lower. Seasonal bottle demand supporting order activity but not reversing pricing direction. No August increase initiatives announced. Gulf Coast weather and crude oil trajectory are the primary Q3 risk variables. Subscribe to the Resin Market Moves newsletter at resinsmart.ai Contact: mworkman@resinsmart.ai | 214-984-2977ResinSmart | Powered by RTi Global | Since 1998