Ask a room full of ninth graders to guess how many jelly beans are in a jar, and something interesting happens. Most of them do not care about jelly beans. They care about being right. The moment they write a number down, they are locked in, and they will not walk away without finding out how close they got. That is the whole idea behind Engaging Brains with Prediction, the FUSE cognitive science practice Ryan Smith and facilitator Amalia deGuzman unpacked in this week’s FUSE Live. Amalia has taught math for sixteen years, most recently with a virtual school across Texas, where much of her focus is on supporting students retesting end-of-course exams; the kids' school has often already told, one way or another, that they are not good at this. The practice sounds almost too simple: before you answer a question, ask students to guess first. What matters is what that does to the moment between the question and the answer. A prediction plants an expectation, and once a student has one, they want to know if they were right, the same reason a movie trailer works even when you did not know you wanted to see the film until you saw the trailer. “That seeking understanding is the learning. That is the engagement.” Amalia deGuzman The harder shift is what happens when the guess is wrong. Most classrooms, math classrooms especially, run on the assumption that the right answer is the point and getting there fast is what makes a good student. Amalia pushes back on that directly, and the research backs her up. Psychologists Nate Kornell, Matthew Hays, and Robert Bjork found that even an unsuccessful attempt to retrieve an answer strengthens memory more than simply being told the answer would. A wrong prediction is not a failure to route around. It is where the real information lives: what the student was thinking, what they already know, what they connected it to. Get a prediction right, and it confirms something. Get it wrong, and the attempt itself already did some of the work. Either way, the student was invested enough to find out. None of this requires a new curriculum. Amalia’s advice for starting Monday: find one place in a lesson where students are about to get an answer, and pause first. Expand the blank space on the worksheet. Ask what they notice, what they know, what they think is going to happen, and have them write something down before they see it confirmed. For students who freeze at a blank page, give them a stem to start from: I notice, I remember, I wonder if, I think, or just a final guess. Once they trust that a wrong guess will not cost them anything, they get more comfortable trying, which for a lot of secondary students is the harder skill. The version Amalia loves most: hand a concept back to students once they have some footing in it, and have them write their own prediction questions, multiple choice if you can manage it, distractors included. Writing a wrong answer that another student might plausibly pick means knowing exactly where the concept tends to break. That is assessment literacy most adults do not have. One more piece worth sitting with. The hardest part of this practice is not the question, it is the wait afterward. Amalia calls it overcoming the compulsion to tell: the urge every teacher and every mentor has to jump in and rescue a student from the discomfort of not knowing yet. That silence usually is not a student asking to be saved. Reframed as an investment instead of a risk, wait time is often where the real respect gets shown. A few things to try this week Pick one spot in an existing lesson, a new concept or one of those special cases (vertical lines, edge cases, anything that already trips students up), and ask what do you think happens here before you show them. Have them write it down first. Then, once or twice this unit, let students write their own version of the question, and see what they choose as the wrong answers. That is often where the real teaching happens. Worth a look The mentor mindset research behind this and every FUSE practice comes from the work of our Lead Scientific Director, Dr. David Yeager, and his collaborators. Pick up a copy of his latest book, 10 to 25: The Science of Motivating Young People. If your campus or district is running a book study on it this year, FUSE can help develop the guiding questions or join for a live Q&A. FUSE will be at the Region 13 Chief Academic Officer Conference this October, and running a longer pre-conference workshop at the Learning and the Brain Conference in Austin this November. FUSE is also recruiting teachers for the 2027-2028 fellowship cohort, launching next July. If your team wants to join us at either conference, or you would rather bring this practice, or any FUSE practice, to your whole campus directly, reach out and FUSE will find time to talk. Thank you to Amalia for the conversation, and to everyone who joined live. This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit fuseteach.substack.com