Wilmington Mortgage with Tyler Cralle

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Breaking down the top stories impacting mortgage rates in Wilmington Mortgage in 15 minutes or less... wilmingtonmortgage.substack.com

  1. Ep. 82 | Rates Plummet Along with Oil

    Jun 25

    Ep. 82 | Rates Plummet Along with Oil

    Rates plummeted to a 6-week low as oil prices continued to fall thanks to more activity in the Strait of Hormuz. In other news, President Trump canceled the bill signing for a bipartisan housing bill, and new home sales fell to the lowest level since January. This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit wilmingtonmortgage.substack.com

    16 min
  2. Ep. 81 | Rates Basically Unchanged as Iran Negotiations Stall

    Jun 24

    Ep. 81 | Rates Basically Unchanged as Iran Negotiations Stall

    Rates were basically unchanged as Iran negotiations seem to be going nowhere. In other news, Russia is trying to pressure Belarus to get involved in its war with Ukraine, and the Treasury auction for 2-year notes was better than expected. This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit wilmingtonmortgage.substack.com

    16 min
  3. Ep. 80 | Rates Rise on Global Unrest

    Jun 23

    Ep. 80 | Rates Rise on Global Unrest

    Rates rise on murkiness about the Iran peace deal and the announcement that Keir Starmer is resigning as Prime Minister, which marks the 7th PM in a decade. In other news, Alan Greenspan, the longest-serving Federal Reserve Chairman who was appointed by four presidents, died at the age of 100 This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit wilmingtonmortgage.substack.com

    20 min
  4. Ep. 79 | Rates Rise After Warsh's First Meeting as Chair

    Jun 18

    Ep. 79 | Rates Rise After Warsh's First Meeting as Chair

    Mortgage rates moved higher following Kevin Warsh's first meeting as Chairman of the Federal Reserve, though it would be difficult to place the blame solely on the new Fed chief. The market's attention quickly shifted to the Fed's updated rate projections, where nine of the nineteen policymakers now expect at least one rate hike this year, up from none just three months ago. Investors were clearly disappointed by the more hawkish outlook.Still, there was some encouraging news for the bond market. Warsh emphasized the Federal Reserve's commitment to price stability, a message that should resonate with bond investors who remain focused on inflation risks.Outside of monetary policy, the economic data was largely positive. Pending home sales posted their strongest monthly gain since September 2024, signaling renewed activity in the housing market, while retail sales came in well above expectations, suggesting consumers continue to spend despite ongoing economic uncertainties. This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit wilmingtonmortgage.substack.com

    18 min
  5. Ep. 78 | Mortgage Rates Fall to One Month Lows as Oil Prices Plummet

    Jun 17

    Ep. 78 | Mortgage Rates Fall to One Month Lows as Oil Prices Plummet

    As signs emerged that the Iran war may be winding down, financial markets responded positively. Oil prices plunged, stocks climbed to new record highs, and bond yields moved lower, helped further by a surprisingly strong 20-year Treasury auction that drew solid investor demand.The news wasn't entirely positive, however. The housing sector showed renewed signs of weakness as housing starts fell to their lowest level in five years, highlighting the challenges builders continue to face despite improving financial conditions.Tyler breaks down what the shifting geopolitical landscape means for mortgage rates, the bond market, and the outlook for housing. This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit wilmingtonmortgage.substack.com

    18 min
  6. Ep. 77 | Rates Mostly Unchanged on Murky Iran Deal

    Jun 16

    Ep. 77 | Rates Mostly Unchanged on Murky Iran Deal

    While bond futures fell more than 6 basis points to start the day, they closed almost back to Friday's close after uncertainty about the Iran deal began to emerge. In other news, Homebuilder confidence fell to the second-lowest level in the last nine months and manufacturing activity slowed more than expected in New York. This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit wilmingtonmortgage.substack.com

    17 min
  7. Ep. 76 | Rates Plummet on Possible Iran Deal

    Jun 12

    Ep. 76 | Rates Plummet on Possible Iran Deal

    Rates fell after President Donald Trump announced a possible deal with Iran, producer prices rose like CPI because of energy spikes, and the 30-year treasury auction was not very good... This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit wilmingtonmortgage.substack.com

    18 min
  8. Ep. 75 | Bonds Unfazed Despite Inflation Hitting a 3-Year High

    Jun 11

    Ep. 75 | Bonds Unfazed Despite Inflation Hitting a 3-Year High

    Inflation rose to 4.2% in May, the highest annual rate in three years, but the report wasn't quite as alarming as the headline number suggested. Nearly 60% of the monthly increase came from energy prices, as higher oil and gasoline costs continued to ripple through the economy.President Trump praised the report, saying he "loved the inflation," arguing that most of the increase was tied to energy rather than broad-based price pressures. While there is some truth to that interpretation, the comment could become a political liability heading into November as voters continue to grapple with higher prices.Meanwhile, bond markets largely looked past the inflation report. A strong 10-year Treasury auction helped steady yields, limiting the upward pressure on mortgage rates despite the hottest inflation reading since 2023. This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit wilmingtonmortgage.substack.com

    16 min
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Breaking down the top stories impacting mortgage rates in Wilmington Mortgage in 15 minutes or less... wilmingtonmortgage.substack.com

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