Will Chamberlain talks with Kurt Schlichter, trial lawyer, retired Army colonel, Townhall columnist, and author of the new novel American Warlord, in an election-eve special recorded the day before Election Day. Schlichter argues that the polls showing a Democratic wave rest on samples that Republicans refuse to answer, and that this cycle looks nothing like 2018 or 2020. The conversation also covers Haley Stevens endorsing Mike Rogers over Abdul El-Sayed, El-Sayed's 60 Minutes interview with Ross Douthat, the Texas Senate race, Iran and Venezuela, and the Insurrection Act. In this episode: Will and Kurt react to Haley Stevens, El-Sayed's primary opponent, endorsing Mike Rogers in the Michigan Senate race They break down El-Sayed's 60 Minutes interview with Ross Douthat and his answer that kids already carry phones in their pockets Schlichter explains why cross-examination is the best engine of truth detection and why so few interviewers use it He describes his X poll of 2,800 followers, in which 81% said they never answer polls or never get polled Will explains why he thinks nonresponse bias is skewing the New York Times polls, and why 2026 looks better for Republicans than 2018 or 2020 They discuss John Cornyn, the Bush family, Mitt Romney, and the Republicans who expect the base's support Schlichter reports from Texas on Ken Paxton versus James Talarico, and Will credits Elon Musk's ad spending Schlichter compares polling to the expert witnesses he hired as a trial lawyer: "It's nothing but an educated guess." They discuss Iran, Venezuela, and Will's debates with Michael Tracy and Piers Morgan Schlichter argues that the Democrats are trying to bait President Trump into invoking the Insurrection Act, and they discuss Elissa Slotkin They react to the TPUSA poem girl's apology, which Will says she had AI write Schlichter talks about his family's history in Chambersburg, the Los Angeles riots, serving in Kosovo, and why he is "never going to be a serf" Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/counterweight-with-will-chamberlain/id6803321469 Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/18jtv7U8cB0IW82qM9xoK8 Kurt Schlichter: American Warlord (Passage Press) · @KurtSchlichter Will Chamberlain: @willchamberlain Instagram / TikTok: @counterweightpod 00:00 Why the polls are nothing but an educated guess 01:49 An election-eve special 02:28 Haley Stevens endorses Mike Rogers 09:23 El-Sayed on 60 Minutes and the phones answer 11:41 The lost art of cross-examination 15:41 The New York Times polls and Kurt's X poll 18:51 Why 2026 is not 2018 or 2020 22:52 Cornyn, the Bushes, and Romney 27:02 Young men, Anduril, and reindustrialization 29:20 Paxton versus Talarico, and Elon's ads 33:16 Where are the Republican defectors? 36:43 Ted Cruz and the 2028 field 38:52 Iran, Venezuela, and debating Tracy and Piers Morgan 46:41 The Insurrection Act and Slotkin 48:14 The TPUSA girl's AI apology 50:44 Kosovo, the LA riots, and "never going to be a serf" 52:59 American Warlord