The Unlikely

The Unlikely

True stories that sound impossible, and real what-ifs followed to their strangest end. The Unlikely explores the moments where history almost went differently, the survivors who beat impossible odds, and the hidden science behind the world around us. From the man who survived both atomic bombs to the deal that turned New Amsterdam into New York, every episode is researched, fact-checked and told as a story. New episodes every week. Watch or listen, whichever suits you.

Episodes

  1. 1d ago

    La Palma: Could a Volcano Really Send a Megatsunami to New York?

    A volcano on the Spanish island of La Palma is back in the headlines: if its western flank collapses, a 65-foot megatsunami could reach the US East Coast in nine hours. The volcano is real. The crack in its side is real. The scientific paper is real. So why do most scientists say you can go back to sleep? This episode takes you to Cumbre Vieja in the Canary Islands, the ridge that erupted for 85 days in 2021. It follows the fracture that opened in 1949, the 2001 computer model that made it the most famous disaster scenario in the Atlantic, and the evidence that came after. And it asks who is really in danger when a volcano falls into the sea. 0:00 The wave in the headline 1:02 La Palma, the island 3:06 The crack of 1949 4:18 The 2001 megatsunami model 6:07 Four problems with the model 9:48 The 2021 eruption test 10:47 Why the headline came back 12:57 The real danger: Lituya Bay and Anak Krakatau 16:09 Why the story will not die 17:31 Three questions for any disaster headline 18:09 The ridge today Sources: Ward & Day (2001), Geophysical Research Letters: Cumbre Vieja Volcano, potential collapse and tsunami at La Palma USGS Hawaiian Volcano Observatory (2021), Volcano Watch: The Canary Islands "mega-tsunami" hypothesis, and why it doesn't carry water Delft University of Technology (2006): slope stability study of Cumbre Vieja Grilli et al. (2021), Marine Geology: the 2018 Anak Krakatau collapse and tsunami Miller (1960), USGS: giant waves in Lituya Bay, Alaska Most visuals are AI-generated illustrations. Satellite and archive images are credited on screen. Prefer to watch? This episode is also on YouTube: https://youtu.be/xJL_D9bzQPY The Unlikely: true stories, real what-ifs, and the hidden science behind everyday life.

  2. Oct 29

    Toba: The Volcano That Almost Erased Every Human on Earth

    74,000 years ago, the Toba supervolcano in Sumatra exploded in one of the largest eruptions of the last two million years. Ash fell across continents, and for decades scientists believed it pushed our ancestors to the edge of extinction. But the real answer is far stranger. This episode travels to Lake Toba, the giant caldera left behind by the eruption. It explores the volcanic winter theory, the Toba catastrophe hypothesis, and why human DNA seemed to support it. Then it follows the evidence: stone tools in India, ancient lake mud in Malawi, and microscopic ash in a South African cave, to find where the real near-extinction in human history may be hiding. 0:00 The day the sky went dark 0:37 Lake Toba: standing inside a supervolcano 1:50 How big was the Toba eruption? 2:49 Volcanic winter 3:50 The genetic bottleneck in your DNA 5:51 The evidence from India 6:45 The diary at the bottom of Lake Malawi 7:38 Hidden ash in a South African cave 8:41 The twist 9:17 The real bottleneck, 900,000 years ago 10:28 Why the catastrophe story spread 11:43 The survival skill you still use every day 12:10 Lake Toba today Sources: Rampino & Self (1992), Nature: volcanic winter after Toba Ambrose (1998), Journal of Human Evolution: Toba catastrophe hypothesis Petraglia et al. (2007), Science: Jwalapuram stone tools, India Lane et al. (2013), PNAS: Lake Malawi sediment cores Smith et al. (2018), Nature: Pinnacle Point, South Africa Hu et al. (2023), Science: ancient human population bottleneck Visuals are AI-generated reconstructions, not historical images. Prefer to watch? This episode is also on YouTube: https://youtu.be/GkA6571zbOE The Unlikely: true stories, real what-ifs, and the hidden science behind everyday life.

  3. Oct 24

    What If the Dutch Never Gave Up New York?

    In 1667, the Dutch gave up New Amsterdam, and it became New York City. But what if they never had? First, the real story: Henry Hudson and the Half Moon, the beaver fur trade, the famous sixty-guilder purchase of Manhattan, Peter Stuyvesant, the wall that became Wall Street, and the Treaty of Breda that traded New York for nutmeg and sugar. Then we rewrite history: a Dutch colony wedged between New England and Virginia, a divided North America, and a world where English might never have become the global language. 00:00 The deal that changed history 00:39 A river, not a passage 01:52 The sixty-guilder myth 02:48 The most mixed town in America 04:17 Four English ships 05:06 Breda, nutmeg and New Orange 06:11 The what if begins 08:30 A Dutch Atlantic city 10:05 A different America 11:33 The world today 13:09 What survived anyway 14:10 Outro Sources: Schaghen letter (1626): https://b.asp.si.edu/nk360/manhattan/schaghen-letter/schaghen-letter.cshtml Treaty of Breda (1667): https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Treaty_of_Breda_(1667) The return of the Dutch (1673–1674), NYC Municipal Archives: https://archives.nyc/blog/2017/6/1/the-dutch-the-english-part-5-return-of-the-dutch-what-became-of-the-wall The Flushing Remonstrance (1657): https://history.nycourts.gov/about_period/flushing-remonstrance/ New Netherland Institute: https://www.newnetherlandinstitute.org/ Visuals are AI-generated illustrations, not historical images. The alternate-history sections are speculation based on real events. Prefer to watch? This episode is also on YouTube: https://youtu.be/5YuCmPC5kGk The Unlikely: true stories, real what-ifs, and the hidden science behind everyday life.

About

True stories that sound impossible, and real what-ifs followed to their strangest end. The Unlikely explores the moments where history almost went differently, the survivors who beat impossible odds, and the hidden science behind the world around us. From the man who survived both atomic bombs to the deal that turned New Amsterdam into New York, every episode is researched, fact-checked and told as a story. New episodes every week. Watch or listen, whichever suits you.