Facts vs Feelings with Ryan Detrick & Sonu Varghese

Carson Investment Research
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This podcast takes a deep dive into the market-moving events to cut through the noise and help you identify what really matters. Facts vs Feelings is hosted by Chief Market Strategist, Ryan Detrick and VP, Global Macro Strategist, Sonu Varghese, and is a product of the Carson Investment Research Team.The information included herein is for informational purposes and is intended for use by advisors only, and should not be copied, reproduced, or re-distributed without the consent of CWM, LLC. Carson Partners offers investment advisory services through CWM, LLC, an SEC Registered Investment Advisor. Carson Coaching and CWM, LLC are separate but affiliated companies and wholly-owned subsidiaries of Carson Group Holdings, LLC. Carson Coaching does not provide advisory services. 

  1. HACE 22 H

    Shutdown…But Not Out (Ep. 156)

    In this episode, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, tackle the market implications of the ongoing government shutdown, the surge in gold prices, and what investors should expect from the Fed. They also dig into the booming AI investment cycle, shifting momentum across market caps, and why the labor market remains resilient even as hiring slows. Key Takeaways Gold Shines Bright:  Gold has remained on the rise, nearing $4,000 an ounce as central banks buy aggressively and inflation concerns persist.Shutdown, Not Slowdown:  Despite Washington gridlock, the S&P 500 keeps hitting record highs. Historically, markets shrug off shutdowns and focus on Fed policy instead.Rate Cuts Coming:  Fed futures signal multiple cuts starting this fall. Weak hiring but low layoffs point to a cooling, not collapsing, economy.AI Spending Surge:  OpenAI, NVIDIA, AMD, and others are driving a wave of capital investment, with AI-related spending now accounting for roughly 6% of U.S. GDP.Market Momentum Builds:  Strong seasonality, easing rates, and improving earnings expectations set the stage for a solid Q4, even as mid-caps lag under tariff pressure.Connect with Ryan: • LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick • X: @RyanDetrick Connect with Sonu: • LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese • X: @SonuVarghese Questions about the show? We’d love to hear from you — factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com #FactsVsFeelings #CarsonGroup #Gold #FederalReserve #AI #GovernmentShutdown #Investing #StockMarket #WealthManagement #EconomicOutlook #MarketInsights

    47 min

  2. 1 OCT

    Talking Gold, Crypto, and More With Jan van Eck (Ep. 155)

    In this special episode of Facts vs. Feelings, recorded live at Excell 2025 in Phoenix, hosts Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, sit down with Jan van Eck, CEO of VanEck, to discuss gold, crypto, ETFs, and the future of investing. From the history of the first U.S. gold fund to today’s innovations in blockchain, stablecoins, and nuclear energy, Jan shares unique insights into how markets are evolving. Key Takeaways Gold & Bitcoin: Gold remains a global safe haven, while Bitcoin is increasingly seen as “digital gold,” according to Jan.Stablecoins: Potentially revolutionary for payments, creating new competition between banks and tech companies.Macro Trends: The rise of India could reshape global markets, while China’s equity returns remain lackluster.Energy & AI: Nuclear energy is regaining bipartisan support as demand for power surges, particularly from AI growth.Connect with Ryan: • LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick • X: @ryandetrick Connect with Sonu: • LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese • X: @sonusvarghese Connect with Jan van Eck: • LinkedIn: Jan van Eck • X: @JanvanEck3   Questions about the show? We’d love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com   Disclosure: Jan van Eck is not affiliated with CWM, LLC. Opinions expressed by our guests may not be representative of CWM, LLC. #FactsVsFeelings #CarsonGroup #Gold #Bitcoin #Crypto #ETFs #Stablecoins #Investing #WealthManagement #MarketInsights

    48 min

  3. 24 SEP

    No, This Isn’t 1929 (Ep. 154)

    In the latest episode of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, tackle the growing comparisons between today’s market and the 1929 crash. They cut through the noise on gold sentiment, small-cap strength, earnings growth, Fed policy, and consumer resilience—all in under 52 minutes. Key Takeaways 1929 comparisons: Why we believe today’s bull market is not a replay of the Great Depression.Gold sentiment: The metal has been a strong diversifier for portfolios so far this year.Small caps: They’re breaking out after nearly four years without new highs.Earnings reporting: The hosts debate quarterly vs. semiannual disclosures after President Trump floated the idea last week.The Fed: What the recent rate cut mean, labor market concerns, and why equities rallied.Connect with Ryan: • LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick • X: @ryandetrick Connect with Sonu: • LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese • X: @sonusvarghese Questions about the show? We’d love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com #FactsVsFeelings #StockMarket #BullMarket #Gold #SmallCaps #Fed #RetailSales #InvestingPodcast #MarketUpdate

    52 min

  4. 17 SEP

    Live From Excell With Dr. David Kelly (Episode 153)

    In the latest episode of Facts vs Feelings, recorded live at Excell 2025 in Phoenix, hosts Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, are joined by Dr. David Kelly, Chief Global Strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management. From jobs data revisions and labor supply challenges to the Fed’s upcoming rate decisions, productivity, AI, and the outlook for portfolios, this episode is packed with insights advisors and investors can use right now. Key Takeaways Jobs revisions: Recent downward adjustments highlight slowing payroll growth.Labor market: Supply shortages are keeping unemployment low despite weak hiring.Productivity: AI may boost output, but inequality risks remain.Fed policy: There’s a debate on whether cuts would stimulate the economy or actually drag it down.Tax refunds: 2025 policy changes could deliver a stimulus-like boost.Global opportunities: International equities could benefit from a weaker dollar.Connect with Ryan: • LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick • X: @ryandetrick Connect with Sonu: • LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese • X: @sonusvarghese Connect with Dr. David Kelly: • Website: Dr. David Kelly • LinkedIn: Dr. David Kelly Questions about the show? We’d love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com Disclosure: Dr. David Kelly is not affiliated with CWM, LLC. Opinions expressed by our guests may not be representative of CWM, LLC. #FactsVsFeelings #CarsonGroup #DavidKelly #MarketOutlook #FedPolicy #InvestingPodcast #ExcelConference #Economy2025

    41 min

  5. 10 SEP

    Live From Excell With Strider Elass and Sam Rines (Episode 152)

    In the latest episode of Facts vs Feelings, recorded live at Excell 2025 in Phoenix, hosts Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, are joined by Strider Elass of First Trust and Samuel Rines of WisdomTree for a timely discussion on the labor market, inflation trends, tariffs, and what investors should watch heading into late 2025. The conversation covers job growth concentration in a few sectors, revisions in employment data, underlying inflation measures, and how tariffs may reshape growth, manufacturing, and markets. Key Takeaways After the latest jobs report, unemployment sits at 4.3%, with weakness concentrated outside health, education, and government.Real-time shelter metrics suggest underlying inflation is lower than official reports.Effective tariff rates could rise further, pressuring companies and growth.Growth could see a potential reacceleration in late 2025, but risk remains of structural slowdown.Health care services have been driving job creation, while manufacturing faces losses. Connect with Ryan: • LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick • X: @ryandetrick Connect with Sonu: • LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese • X: @sonusvarghese Connect with Strider Elass: • LinkedIn: Strider Elass • X: @StriderElass Connect with Samuel Rines: • LinkedIn: Samuel Rines • X: @SamuelRines Questions about the show? We’d love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com Strider Elass and Samuel Rines are not affiliated with CWM, LLC.  Opinions expressed by our guests may not be representative of CWM, LLC. #FactsVsFeelings #CarsonGroup #MarketOutlook #JobsReport #Inflation #Tariffs #Economy2025 #InvestingPodcast

    45 min

  6. 3 SEP

    September Blues (Ep. 151)

    In the latest episode of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, dive into a seasonally tricky September. They break down Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s dovish stance at the Jackson Hole Symposium, the Fed’s balancing act between jobs and inflation, the steepening yield curve, and why gold and international markets are worth watching. Despite short-term volatility risks, they explain why the long-term bull market remains intact. Key Takeaways: Jackson Hole Reaction: Powell leaned dovish, sparking a strong rally, but September cuts aren’t a lock.Fed Outlook: Markets are pricing in six rate cuts by late 2026 — potentially a big tailwind.Home Equity = Dry Powder: Falling rates could unleash a wave of consumer spending power.Steepening Yield Curves: A global signal pointing to growth and inflation expectations.Gold Breakout: With its price rising for eight months in a row, gold can be a long-term hedge against volatile inflation and a diversifier beyond bonds.Inflation Risks: Broader services inflation remains sticky, keeping pressure on the Fed.Seasonal Weakness: September has historically been the market’s toughest month, but optimism remains. Connect with Ryan: • LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick • X: @ryandetrick Connect with Sonu: • LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese • X: @sonusvarghese Questions about the show? We’d love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com #FactsVsFeelings #CarsonGroup #MarketOutlook #FederalReserve #Inflation #Gold #ETFs #EconomicUpdate #RyanDetrick #SonuVarghese

    51 min

  7. 27 AGO

    Cliff Asness Returns (Ep. 150)

    In the latest episode of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, welcome back legendary investor Cliff Asness, Co-Founding Partner, Managing Principal, and Chief Investment Officer of AQR Capital Management. From market bubbles and speculative manias to AI-driven strategies and even Superman movies, this milestone 150th episode blends sharp market insight with candid (and fun) conversation. Key Takeaways: Bubble Talk: Cliff explains why today’s markets are expensive but stop short of a true “bubble.”Black Swan Events: Why extreme market shocks happen far more often than statistics suggest.Rise of Grift: Social media and meme coins are fueling grift-like behavior in markets.AQR Evolution: How AQR has shifted toward data-driven models and capital efficiency.Portable Alpha: Insights on stacking returns and improving diversification.Buffer Products: Why complex downside-protection ETFs may just be expensive ways of holding cash and equities.Personal Stories: Cliff shares Marvel fan moments, career “what-ifs,” and parenting wisdom.  Connect with Ryan: • LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick • X: @ryandetrick Connect with Sonu: • LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese • X: @sonusvarghese Connect with Cliff: • LinkedIn: Cliff Asness • X: @CliffordAsness   Questions about the show? We’d love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com #FactsVsFeelings #CliffAsness #AQR #MarketBubbles #InvestingInsights #PortableAlpha #BlackSwan #FinancePodcast #RyanDetrick #SonuVarghese

    59 min

  8. 20 AGO

    The Fed Has an Inflation Problem (Ep. 149)

    In the latest episode of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, break down the latest market moves, the outlook for rate cuts, and what the data is really telling us about inflation and growth. From cooling economic numbers to investor sentiment, this week’s conversation highlights why the market isn’t as fragile as headlines suggest — and what investors should really be watching for the rest of 2025.  Key Takeaways: Jobs slowdown: Payrolls are cooling, but we’re still not seeing signs of a recession.Inflation easing: Core numbers are moderating, opening the door for rate cuts from the Fed.Rate cuts in focus: The Fed is likely to take action soon, with markets pricing a cut in September.Markets resilient: Despite investor worries, the markets continue to reach new highs.Connect with Ryan: • LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick • X: @ryandetrick Connect with Sonu: • LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese • X: @sonusvarghese Questions about the show? We’d love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com #FactsVsFeelings #CarsonGroup #MarketOutlook #Inflation #RateCuts #EconomicUpdate #StockMarket #RyanDetrick #SonuVarghese

    53 min
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This podcast takes a deep dive into the market-moving events to cut through the noise and help you identify what really matters. Facts vs Feelings is hosted by Chief Market Strategist, Ryan Detrick and VP, Global Macro Strategist, Sonu Varghese, and is a product of the Carson Investment Research Team.The information included herein is for informational purposes and is intended for use by advisors only, and should not be copied, reproduced, or re-distributed without the consent of CWM, LLC. Carson Partners offers investment advisory services through CWM, LLC, an SEC Registered Investment Advisor. Carson Coaching and CWM, LLC are separate but affiliated companies and wholly-owned subsidiaries of Carson Group Holdings, LLC. Carson Coaching does not provide advisory services. 

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