Monetary Matters with Jack Farley

Jack Farley
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Jack Farley interviews the very best financial minds about macro, markets, and monetary matters. Follow Jack on Twitter @JackFarley96.

  1. More Credit Problems, Mag 7 AI CapEX Continues, and Money Market Stress | Jack & Max

    قبل يوم واحد

    More Credit Problems, Mag 7 AI CapEX Continues, and Money Market Stress | Jack & Max

    This Monetary Matters episode is brought to you by Fiscal.ai. Sign up for a 2-week free trial and get 15% off any paid tier at: http://fiscal.ai/mm Jack Farley & Max Wiethe breakdown yet another credit “cockroach” that appears to be more related to fraud than overall market weakness. They also discuss the Mag 7 earnings report and the continued onslaught of AI CapEx spending that many believe has entered bubble territory. Finally, they breakdown this week’s fed decision and why big changes to both the Fed balance sheet and the rate cutting cycle could be coming up soon. Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Max on Twitter: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Timestamps: 00:00 Fiscal AI Intro 00:12 More Credit Problems 11:08 Mag 7 Earnings 16:43 Fiscal AI Mid Roll 19:29 Are CapEx Estimates Still Too Low? 28:07 AI CapEx “Bubble” Winners and Losers 34:11 Mag 7 Becoming Capital Intensive? 43:33 Fed Meeting Breakdown 52:11 Market Impact of December Fed Meeting 57:11 Fiscal AI

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  2. Joseph Wang: Fed Likely To Have To Expand Balance Sheet To Avoid Losing Control Over Repo Market

    قبل ٥ أيام

    Joseph Wang: Fed Likely To Have To Expand Balance Sheet To Avoid Losing Control Over Repo Market

    Joseph Wang, former senior trader for the New York Fed and author at FedGuy.com returns to Monetary Matters at a critical juncture to break down the October Fed meeting and the Fed's decision to stop reducing its balance sheet on December 1st and thereby end QT (Quantitative Tightening). Wang, a veteran of money markets, explains the stress he sees in repo markets and why he thinks the Fed has to go further and actually start expanding its balance sheet in order to inject enough liquidity to calm the repo market down. Recorded October 29, 2025. Joseph's piece on FedGuy, "Balance Sheet Dominance": https://fedguy.com/balance-sheet-dominance/ Follow Joseph Wang on Twitter https://x.com/FedGuy12 Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

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  3. The Liquidity Divergence Between East and West | Michael Howell on Deteriorating Federal Liquidity While People’s Bank of China (PBOC) Injects Stimulus and Pumps Gold

    قبل ٥ أيام

    The Liquidity Divergence Between East and West | Michael Howell on Deteriorating Federal Liquidity While People’s Bank of China (PBOC) Injects Stimulus and Pumps Gold

    Monetary Matters listeners can get 20% discounted access to an annual subscription of Michael Howell’s Capital Wars here: https://capitalwars.substack.com/MonetaryMatters Michael Howell of GL Indexes and the Capital Wars Substack returns to Monetary Matters with alarming news. His readings of liquidity from over 90 central banks indicate that global central bank liquidity is deteriorating, led primarily by the Federal Reserve. Howell’s measure of Fed liquidity is weakening because the Fed’s Reverse Repo (RRP) facility is effectively fully drained. This is partially offset by U.S. Treasury issuing lots of short-duration bills, as well as People’s Bank of China injecting 7+ Trillion Yuan into its money markets and pumping the price of gold in yuan terms. Howell sees a growing divergence between East and West and warns that 2026 “won’t be a great year for financial assets.” Recorded on October 21, 2025. Follow Michael Howell on Twitter https://x.com/crossbordercap Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96  Follow Monetary Matters on:  Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh  Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5  YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

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  4. Credit Concern is Overblown Argues Financials Hedge Fund Manager Beating the S&P 500 | Derek Pilecki of Gator Capital

    قبل ٦ أيام

    Credit Concern is Overblown Argues Financials Hedge Fund Manager Beating the S&P 500 | Derek Pilecki of Gator Capital

    Derek Pilecki’s hedge fund Gator Capital has outperformed the S&P 500, compounding at over 22% since inception while focusing exclusively on financial sector stocks. In this interview Derek discusses why he thinks recent concern in the financial sector is overblown, how he has grown his firm’s assets to over $300m, and why he believes that good performance is simply not enough to grow a successful hedge fund. Derek also discusses how he manages his mutual fund alongside his hedge fund and why he doesn’t see the vehicles as competing but serving two separate investor bases. Sign up for Gator Capital's distribution list: https://www.gatorcapital.com/ Follow Derek on X: https://x.com/gatorcapital Follow Max on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR X https://x.com/opmpod

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  5. The Core of Dollar Weakness | George Saravelos, Deutsche Bank's Head of FX Research, on Growth Differentials, Fed Rate Cuts, and 4% U.S. Current Account as Key Threshold For USD Declines

    ٢٢ أكتوبر

    The Core of Dollar Weakness | George Saravelos, Deutsche Bank's Head of FX Research, on Growth Differentials, Fed Rate Cuts, and 4% U.S. Current Account as Key Threshold For USD Declines

    George Saravelos, head of FX research at Deutsche Bank, joins Jack on Monetary Matters to go deep into the world of currency trading. Jack and George discuss central bank independence, emerging markets, carry positions, hedging, and more. George gives a clear and intelligent look at the often-opaque foreign exchange market and explains his views on it. Don’t miss this episode. Recorded on October 20, 2025.   Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/jackfarley96 Follow George on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/saravelos/?originalSubdomain=uk   George’s FX podcast for Deutsche Bank https://tinyurl.com/4nh5d3y9 George's Primer, "The Brilliant World of FX": https://www.dbresearch.com/PROD/RPS_EN-PROD/The_Brilliant_World_of_FX_-_A_Primer/RPS_EN_DOC_VIEW.calias?rwnode=PROD0000000000464258&ProdCollection=PROD0000000000542285

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  6. ٢٠ أكتوبر

    The Dollar’s Impossible Trifecta | Jon Turek on Why USD Hedging Flows Will Increase Throughout Fed’s Rate Cutting Cycle

    This Monetary Matters episode is brought to you by Fiscal.ai. Sign up for a 2-week free trial and get 15% off any paid tier at: http://fiscal.ai/mm  Jon Turek of JST Advisors explains why he thinks a decline in U.S. interest rates will make dollar hedging more attractive to foreign owners of U.S. assets. He makes the case for steeper yield curves around the world, reviews the situation in China, and shares his thoughts on the wild bull market in gold. Recorded on October 16, 2025. Follow Jonathan Turek on Twitter https://x.com/jturek18 Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96  Follow Monetary Matters on:  Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh  Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5  YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

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  7. ١٨ أكتوبر

    Cockroaches in Credit? | Jack & Max on Zion’s Cali CRE Write-off, Big Bank Earnings Blowout, and First Brands Update

    This Monetary Matters episode is brought to you by Fiscal.ai. Sign up for a 2-week free trial and get 15% off any paid tier at: http://fiscal.ai/mm Jack and Max break down the beginning of earnings season. Jack reviews a new credit flare-up in California’s commercial real estate (CRE) market that affected Zions Bancorporation and Western Alliance Bancorporation, before commenting on the very strong earnings from the large banks such as Bank of America and JPMorgan. Max and Jack then discuss precious metals, as well as current market positioning as revealed by brokerage data. Recorded on October 17, 2025. Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96  Follow Max on Twitter: https://x.com/maxwiethe  Follow Monetary Matters on:  Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh  Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

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  8. Bringing Long/Short Hedge Fund Strategies to ETFs | David Orr (Bonus Episode)

    ١٦ أكتوبر · إضافة

    Bringing Long/Short Hedge Fund Strategies to ETFs | David Orr (Bonus Episode)

    This is a special bonus episode of OPM with David Orr. In my first conversation with David, we only discussed his hedge fund that has crushed the S&P 500 since its inception in 2021. In addition to his hedge fund, he also runs the Militia Long/Short Equity ETF ($ORR) which since its inception in January 2025 has also beaten the S&P 500 running a similar but still distinct long/short strategy from the one he employs at his hedge fund. We discuss his unorthodox decision to launch the ETF when the hedge fund was going so well, how he is managing the different liquidity needs, his dual fiduciary duties, differing compliance realities, and the increased transparency of the ETF wrapper. Follow David Orr on X: https://x.com/orrdavid Follow Max on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR X https://x.com/opmpod

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Jack Farley interviews the very best financial minds about macro, markets, and monetary matters. Follow Jack on Twitter @JackFarley96.

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    Jack Farley
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