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  • #490 – State of AI in 2026: LLMs, Coding, Scaling Laws, China, Agents, GPUs, AGI

    1. VELJ

    1

    #490 – State of AI in 2026: LLMs, Coding, Scaling Laws, China, Agents, GPUs, AGI

    Nathan Lambert and Sebastian Raschka are machine learning researchers, engineers, and educators. Nathan is the post-training lead at the Allen Institute for AI (Ai2) and the author of The RLHF Book. Sebastian Raschka is the author of Build a Large Language Model (From Scratch) and Build a Reasoning Model (From Scratch). Thank you for listening ❤ Check out our sponsors: https://lexfridman.com/sponsors/ep490-sc See below for timestamps, transcript, and to give feedback, submit questions, contact Lex, etc. Transcript: https://lexfridman.com/ai-sota-2026-transcript CONTACT LEX: Feedback – give feedback to Lex: https://lexfridman.com/survey AMA – submit questions, videos or call-in: https://lexfridman.com/ama Hiring – join our team: https://lexfridman.com/hiring Other – other ways to get in touch: https://lexfridman.com/contact SPONSORS: To support this podcast, check out our sponsors & get discounts: Box: Intelligent content management platform. Go to https://box.com/ai Quo: Phone system (calls, texts, contacts) for businesses. Go to https://quo.com/lex UPLIFT Desk: Standing desks and office ergonomics. Go to https://upliftdesk.com/lex Fin: AI agent for customer service. Go to https://fin.ai/lex Shopify: Sell stuff online. Go to https://shopify.com/lex CodeRabbit: AI-powered code reviews. Go to https://coderabbit.ai/lex LMNT: Zero-sugar electrolyte drink mix. Go to https://drinkLMNT.com/lex Perplexity: AI-powered answer engine. Go to https://perplexity.ai/ OUTLINE: (00:00) – Introduction (01:39) – Sponsors, Comments, and Reflections (16:29) – China vs US: Who wins the AI race? (25:11) – ChatGPT vs Claude vs Gemini vs Grok: Who is winning? (36:11) – Best AI for coding (43:02) – Open Source vs Closed Source LLMs (54:41) – Transformers: Evolution of LLMs since 2019 (1:02:38) – AI Scaling Laws: Are they dead or still holding? (1:18:45) – How AI is trained: Pre-training, Mid-training, and Post-training (1:51:51) – Post-training explained: Exciting new research directions in LLMs (2:12:43) – Advice for beginners on how to get into AI development & research (2:35:36) – Work culture in AI (72+ hour weeks) (2:39:22) – Silicon Valley bubble (2:43:19) – Text diffusion models and other new research directions (2:49:01) – Tool use (2:53:17) – Continual learning (2:58:39) – Long context (3:04:54) – Robotics (3:14:04) – Timeline to AGI (3:21:20) – Will AI replace programmers? (3:39:51) – Is the dream of AGI dying? (3:46:40) – How AI will make money? (3:51:02) – Big acquisitions in 2026 (3:55:34) – Future of OpenAI, Anthropic, Google DeepMind, xAI, Meta (4:08:08) – Manhattan Project for AI (4:14:42) – Future of NVIDIA, GPUs, and AI compute clusters (4:22:48) – Future of human civilization

    1. velj

    •
  • Радио-Т 999

    PRIJE 5 D

    2

    Радио-Т 999

    00:00:00 Вступление 00:13:05 Claude Opus 4.6 00:52:08 Быстрый но дорогой режим для Claude Code 01:10:06 GPT-5.3 Codex от OpenAI 01:38:35 Xcode заполучил AI агента 02:10:59 Путешествие в глубины AI аудио • лог чата

    prije 5 d

    •
  • Podlodka #463 – Чиним спину программиста

    PRIJE 3 D

    3

    Podlodka #463 – Чиним спину программиста

    Программисты — одна из самых уязвимых групп по боли в спине и шее. Причина не только в сидячей работе, но и в длительной неподвижности, высокой концентрации и редких перерывах. В этом выпуске обсуждаем, что происходит с позвоночником при долгом сидении, как снизить риск протрузий и грыж и что делать, если они всё-таки появились, и когда это действительно опасно. Также разбираемся, можно ли избежать проблем со спиной, купив специальное кресло или standing desk, действительно ли помогает массаж, на все ли вопросы можно ответить с помощью МРТ, и собираем простой чек-лист, за чем следить, чтобы ходить к врачам как можно реже. Также ждем вас, ваши лайки, репосты и комменты в мессенджерах и соцсетях!
 Telegram-чат: https://t.me/podlodka Telegram-канал: https://t.me/podlodkanews Страница в Facebook: www.facebook.com/podlodkacast/ Twitter-аккаунт: https://twitter.com/PodcastPodlodka Ведущие в выпуске: Катя Петрова, Аня Симонова

    prije 3 d

    •
    1 h 17 min
  • Least Privilege - Cybercrime Goes Pro

    PRIJE 1 D

    4

    Least Privilege - Cybercrime Goes Pro

    From EU fines that never get paid to cyber warfare grounding missiles mid-battle, this week's episode uncovers the untold stories and real-world consequences shaping today's digital defenses. How is the EU's GDPR fine collection going. Western democracies are getting serious about offensive cybercrime. The powerful cyber component of the Midnight Hammer operation. Signs of psychological dependence upon OpenAI's GPT-4o chatbot. CISA orders government agencies to unplug end-of-support devices. How to keep Windows from annoying us after an upgrade. What is OpenClaw, how safe is it to use, what does it mean. Another listener uses AI to completely code an app. Coinbase suffers another insider breach. What can be done Show Notes - https://www.grc.com/sn/SN-1064-Notes.pdf Hosts: Steve Gibson and Leo Laporte Download or subscribe to Security Now at https://twit.tv/shows/security-now. You can submit a question to Security Now at the GRC Feedback Page. For 16kbps versions, transcripts, and notes (including fixes), visit Steve's site: grc.com, also the home of the best disk maintenance and recovery utility ever written Spinrite 6. Join Club TWiT for Ad-Free Podcasts! Support what you love and get ad-free audio and video feeds, a members-only Discord, and exclusive content. Join today: https://twit.tv/clubtwit Sponsors: zscaler.com/security hoxhunt.com/securitynow trustedtech.team/securitynowCSS guardsquare.com

    prije 1 d

    •
    2 h 37 min
  • Hater Season: Cal Newport on AI Reporting

    PRIJE 1 D

    5

    Hater Season: Cal Newport on AI Reporting

    Better Offline’s “Hater Season” - an ongoing roundtable with tech’s greatest haters - continues as Ed talks with computer science professor and writer Cal Newport about the ways in which the media fails to report the truth about AI.Please support me by subscribing to my premium newsletter - here’s $10 off your first year of annual https://edzitronswheresyouredatghostio.outpost.pub/public/promo-subscription/84rt762qen Cal Newport’s “Don’t Trust AI Reporting”: https://youtu.be/xUh3Gc-BAlo?si=XpVzYHh7_k_VXpU1  Podcast & Videos: https://www.youtube.com/@CalNewportMedia/ Newsletter: https://calnewport.com New Yorker archive: https://www.newyorker.com/contributors/cal-newport YOU CAN NOW BUY BETTER OFFLINE MERCH! Go to https://cottonbureau.com/people/better-offline and use code FREE99 for free shipping on orders of $99 or more. --- LINKS: https://www.tinyurl.com/betterofflinelinks Newsletter: https://www.wheresyoured.at/ Reddit: https://www.reddit.com/r/BetterOffline/  Discord: chat.wheresyoured.at Ed's Socials: https://twitter.com/edzitron https://www.instagram.com/edzitron https://bsky.app/profile/edzitron.com https://www.threads.net/@edzitron Email Me: ez@betteroffline.com See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

    prije 1 d

    •
    1 h 7 min
  • CZ's Untold Story: The Rise, Fall, and Redemption of Binance's Founder

    PRIJE 2 D

    6

    CZ's Untold Story: The Rise, Fall, and Redemption of Binance's Founder

    (0:00) From China to Canada (6:13) CZ's Early Career: Shockingly Normal (17:39) First Company in Shanghai (23:08) Discovering Bitcoin (30:11) Going All-In on Crypto (41:27) Founding Binance (1:03:57) The FTX Story: SBF Relationship and Collapse (1:09:46) Facing Biden's Anti-Crypto DOJ (1:25:25) Inside Federal Prison (1:40:10) Life After Binance and New Ventures Follow CZ: https://x.com/cz_binance Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect

    prije 2 d

    •
    1 h 57 min
  • A Very Dented Can

    15. 09. 2025.

    7

    A Very Dented Can

    Upgrade

    15. 09. 2025.

    •
    1 h 39 min
  • Telcast podkast 64 - gost Siniša Kojić

    PRIJE 5 D

    8

    Telcast podkast 64 - gost Siniša Kojić

    U novoj epizodi Telcasta sa plastičnim hirurgom dr Sinišom Kojićem govorimo o lepoti, predrasudama i realnosti plastične hirurgije u savremenom društvu. Dr Kojić otvoreno objašnjava gde je granica između želja i realnih mogućnosti medicine. Razgovaramo o tome da li je fizički izgled danas važniji nego ikada, šta zapravo znači lepota i koliko na naše samopouzdanje utiču društvene mreže. Koji su zahvati najtraženiji kod žena, a koji kod muškaraca. Koje su najčešće zablude o antiejdžing medicini i plastičnoj hirurgiji i kakve nam inovacije u medicini donose nove tehnologije.

    prije 5 d

    •
    47 min
  • Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

    5. VELJ

    9

    Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

    In this episode, John and I got to do a real deep-dive with Elon. We discuss the economics of orbital data centers, the difficulties of scaling power on Earth, what it would take to manufacture humanoids at high-volume in America, xAI’s business and alignment plans, DOGE, and much more. Watch on YouTube; read the transcript. Sponsors * Mercury just started offering personal banking! I’m already banking with Mercury for business purposes, so getting to bank with them for my personal life makes everything so much simpler. Apply now at mercury.com/personal-banking * Jane Street sent me a new puzzle last week: they trained a neural net, shuffled all 96 layers, and asked me to put them back in order. I tried but… I didn’t quite nail it. If you’re curious, or if you think you can do better, you should take a stab at janestreet.com/dwarkesh * Labelbox can get you robotics and RL data at scale. Labelbox starts by helping you define your ideal data distribution, and then their massive Alignerr network collects frontier-grade data that you can use to train your models. Learn more at labelbox.com/dwarkesh Timestamps 00:00:00 - Orbital data centers 00:36:46 - Grok and alignment 00:59:56 - xAI’s business plan 01:17:21 - Optimus and humanoid manufacturing 01:30:22 - Does China win by default? 01:44:16 - Lessons from running SpaceX 02:20:08 - DOGE 02:38:28 - TeraFab Get full access to Dwarkesh Podcast at www.dwarkesh.com/subscribe

    5. velj

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    2 h 50 min
  • What can you control in this chaotic world?

    23. SIJ

    10

    What can you control in this chaotic world?

    When it feels like the world is on fire, it's hard to know what's in your control and what's out of your hands. This hour, TED speakers explain ways you can reclaim your agency. Guests include financial advisor Matt Pitcher, sociologist Anindya Kundu, journalist Jennifer Wallace and design thinking professor Bill Burnett. TED Radio Hour+ subscribers now get access to bonus episodes, with more ideas from TED speakers and a behind the scenes look with our producers. A Plus subscription also lets you listen to regular episodes (like this one!) without sponsors. Sign-up at: plus.npr.org/ted Learn more about sponsor message choices: podcastchoices.com/adchoices NPR Privacy Policy

    23. sij

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