Hi all, I’m really scared to even share this episode because the last time I recorded an episode with Kyle Chan and mentioned cars, I got ripped online. So I just want to emphasize again that for car enthusiasts, I AM NOT A CAR person. I am here to learn. Haha, ok now that I’ve made that disclaimer… Joining me today is the ever-so-knowledgeable Tu Le. He is the founder and managing director of Sino Auto Insights, author of the SAI Weekly Substack, and co-host of the China EVs and More & At The Wheel podcasts. He has worked across Detroit, Silicon Valley, and China, so he views the industry from the inside, through the traditional auto industry, the tech industry, and the Chinese market. I wanted to do this episode almost as an educational primer, not just for you all but for myself as well. Most people now understand that Chinese EVs are competitive. But very few people understand why and how that is translating into the Physical AI space. We talked through the Chinese EV landscape, why traditional OEMs struggled to make good EVs, how autonomous driving fits in, how these carmakers are integrating AI, and why home appliance and smartphone companies like Huawei, Xiaomi, and Dreame are suddenly making cars. Follow Sino Auto Insights here: https://x.com/SinoAutoInsight For consulting inquiries, go DM Tu Le on LinkedIn! Website: https://www.sinoautoinsights.com/ Btw, I’m rebranding Differentiated Understanding to AI Proem Podcast. To find the previous episodes of Differentiated Understanding, see here. Every episode, I bring in a guest with a unique point of view on a critical matter, phenomenon, or business trend—someone who can help us see things differently. Season two will host a series of guests from early-stage investing, as well as builders, researchers, founders, and product managers. For more information on the podcast series, see here. Chapters 00:00 Introduction to Tu Le and Sino Auto Insights 04:28 Mapping the Chinese EV Industry 09:19 The Rise of Xiaomi in the EV Market 14:17 Understanding BYD’s Market Position 17:54 Challenges for Traditional OEMs in EV Production 31:29 The Role of Government Subsidies and Policies 36:12 AI Integration in EVs and the Future of Mobility 45:13 The Evolution of Brand Experience in EVs 46:53 The Future of Manufacturing and Market Dynamics 50:46 Safety Concerns in Rapid Development 52:51 Current Landscape of Autonomous Driving in China 57:51 Challenges in Deploying Autonomous Vehicles 01:05:00 The Future of Mobility and Urban Planning AI-generated transcript (for reference only) Grace Shao (00:00) Hi Tu. Thank you so much for joining us today. I’m really excited to have you on. Tu Le - Sino Auto Insights (00:04) Thanks for having me on, Grace. Grace Shao (00:06) Yeah, to start, why don’t you tell us a bit about yourself? We were just having this conversation right before recording. I find your background really fascinating.You know, you can talk to a very diverse group of kind of people. You run a successful consulting gig, a consulting company. Tell us about everything that you do. Tu Le - Sino Auto Insights (00:24) So name is Tu Le I’m the managing director at Sino Auto Insights. I also create content. I run or I co-host two podcasts, China EVs and more, and at the wheel with my co-hosts that are very, very good at what they do as well. And then I write a weekly newsletter, almost weekly anyways, called Sino Auto Insights Weekly that just kind of goes over my thoughts on what’s happening in the industry now globally every week. And I’m actually not Chinese. I’m Vietnamese. And I was born in Vietnam and moved to the United States when I was a year old and grew up right outside of Detroit. My whole family, youngest of eight, whole family’s automotive. So grew up car kid and did that for a few years before going back to grad school and moving to Silicon Valley to work for seven years. So that’s where the knowledge of the tech comes in, especially the hard tech, where hardware software integration is such an important part of creating a great user experience. And then I met a girl and in San Francisco. my girlfriend, who’s now my wife, was transferred by her company over to Beijing, where she was born. And I decided to pull the ripcord and and follow her over. And what we thought was going to be a three- or four-year assignment ended up being thirteen. And during this time I worked in automotive; I worked at a few Chinese EV e-commerce startups. And so that’s when I learned and experienced nine nine six myself for about two years. And yeah, it’s not fun, super intense, but again I wouldn’t trade those experiences for the world because it gives me the perspective that I have now. about eight years ago I saw this huge disconnect because EVs were becoming a thing because of Tesla. Companies like NIO and XPeng had just been founded. And you know, in Beijing, as you know, Grace, there’s a lot of the German OEMs, and so there was a bit of arrogance about how hard or how simple they thought software was and really, really being consumer focused as opposed to product focused. So I saw this opportunity, and I started this consultancy, Sino Auto Insights, and you know we’ve been growing since we’ve done traditional work. We’ve worked with the UK government, US government on things. And then also when I moved back four years ago from Beijing, I left during COVID. So August of 2022 and then November, December timeframe, China opens its border and says, What COVID? Come on in. So we didn’t know that was going to be the case. so we decided to move back. And we opened an office here in just outside of Detroit. And we’ve been helping more on the investment side, looking for investment opportunities, what’s around the corner, but also giving our clients a better understanding of the Chinese EV players and the battery players and what they’re doing outside of China. So it’s a very, very interesting time. The mobility space, as you know, Grace, involves now AI, silicon, data centers, data privacy, data security, batteries. So it’s just, just a tremendously unique sector that I get to be a part of. Grace Shao (03:55) Thank you so much for sharing your life story. First of all, kudos to your mother. Eight kids. Like, I don’t know how she did that. Like I have two and I’m already dying. And also, I love your personal touch, you know, why you moved to Beijing and just learning about your background. I think it’s super fascinating. You pointed one thing out. Like when I was living in Beijing in Shanghai as well, I met a lot of German OEM like employees and people kind of low key don’t know this, that there’s a huge German community i it in the huge like and and French as well. A lot of Europeans are actually working in China for these, especially like luxury vehicle companies. and a lot of them did relocate out of China during COVID times. And a lot of them I’ve even heard anecdotally from two friends who say they’re dying to get back because they were born in Munich or Frankfurt. just because they’re so bored. Tu Le - Sino Auto Insights (04:23) Huge. We hear those stories a lot, don’t we, Grace? We hear those stories a lot. Grace Shao (04:48) it’s just because it’s just the fast-paced energy in China. However, okay, COVID was crazy. China’s fast paced. Let’s get to that actual topic today. I wanna talk about EVs. I wanna learn everything from you. so before we get started, when we think of Chinese EVs, most people outside of China think of BYD. think of maybe like the few other ones you mentioned, like NIO X Peng. Now Xiaomi Dreame, which is crazy; essentially, these home appliance companies are going into the space as well. they are there are state-owned companies, there are old independent automakers, there are startups that we just talked about. And then some of them also produce batteries; some of them are, like I said, home appliance and phone companies. Basically, all of these different moving parts, they’re all coming into the same arena. Help us map out the industry first. Like to start with, who are the main players? What are the buckets? what does each group bring to the table or what’s their differentiating kind of offering? I know this is a very big question, but start with a big picture. Tu Le - Sino Auto Insights (05:45) So well, let me press rewind and kind of frame it and create more context as opposed to just we’ll we’ll zoom out and then we’ll zoom into the China market. So last year, twenty twenty-five, Toyota was the number one global automaker, eleven million units, around eleven, just over eleven million units. Volkswagen was number two at eight million. To give you a sense of scale, Tesla was one point six. million units and BYD was about 4.6, which makes them a top 10 automaker. The other top 10 automaker for the Chinese was Geely. Geely and everybody else outside of BYD and Tesla build ICEs and EVs. Or in China, they call them NEVs, new energy vehicles, which means that they’re battery electric vehicles plus plug-in hybrids, E Revs, and then fuel cells. So fuel cells, for our intents and purposes, are rounding error. So when we talk NEVs, we’re talking battery electric and plug-in hybrids and extended range electric vehicles. So Toyota’s been number one for a long, long time. And you know, the China market has been the number one passenger vehicle market since 2009, overtaking the United States. And now the China market is almost twice as big as the US market. If we add the European market, which is around 12 and a half, 13 million units, and the US market, which is around 15 and a half, 16 million units, it’s almost the same as China. And so the scale of the China market is enormous. And so to talk about EV specifically, I would create different sets of buckets. And I would look at BYD, Chery, Geely, Great Wall as separate companies, SAIC because they produce in the