Swan Signal Live - A Bitcoin Show

Swan Bitcoin
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Swan Signal Live brings you interviews, news, analysis, and commentary on Bitcoin, macro, finance, and how Bitcoin is the foundation for a brighter future for us all.

  1. −4 H

    Bitcoin Crash & Fed Pivot: Why the Thesis Still Holds

    Bitcoin dropped to $106K after a sudden Friday sell-off, triggering panic across crypto markets—but Swan’s team remained calm, stressing the long-term thesis is unchanged.John Haar and Isaiah noted that Bitcoin fell just 10% while altcoins crashed 50–90%, underscoring Bitcoin’s liquidity and resilience.The team compared the pullback to past cycles, arguing this is not a cycle top but typical mid-bull market volatility.Discussion on Fed Chair Powell signaling an end to QT and potential rate cuts—seen as a tailwind for Bitcoin as monetary easing returns.John highlighted data showing Bitcoin rose 750% during the Fed’s tightening cycle, disproving the myth that Bitcoin only thrives under easy money.A deep dive into the Fed’s balance sheet showed that long-dated Treasury holdings have never decreased since 2008, signaling systemic dependence on debt monetization.Chamath Palihapitiya’s claim that quantum computing could break Bitcoin in 2–5 years was debunked—experts and developers agree it’s decades away and Bitcoin can adapt.The team explored how AI could reshape the economy, potentially displacing workers and pushing governments toward UBI—but also creating new industries and efficiencies.Brady and John debated whether UBI could be socially beneficial or harmful; both agreed Bitcoin offers protection in any fiat debasement scenario.The show wrapped with reactions to Larry Fink’s 60 Minutes appearance comparing Bitcoin to gold and Elon Musk’s recent positive Bitcoin comments. Swan Private helps HNWI, companies, trusts, and other entities go beyond legacy finance with BItcoin. Learn more at swan.com/private.    Put Bitcoin into your IRA and own your future. Check out swan.com/ira. Swan Vault makes advanced Bitcoin security simple. Learn more at swan.com/vault.

    54 min

  2. 10 OKT.

    Tariff Turmoil, Gold’s Surge, and Bitcoin’s Institutional Era

    The team jokes about “Bitcoin being dead again” after Trump’s new tariff threats against China tanked markets and briefly pulled Bitcoin to $117K.They analyze Trump’s tariff negotiation style, calling it political theater and a dip-buying opportunity for “active tariff dip buyers.”Discussion on Core V30 debates—Bitcoiners fighting among themselves as a “bear market signal,” contrasting with the historic block size wars.VJ Boyapati’s chart shows long consolidation phases in this cycle—evidence of healthier, institutional-driven adoption rather than retail mania.Gold hits $4,000/oz, outperforming U.S. stocks; the hosts link gold’s run to the global debasement trade and rising mainstream awareness of sound money.John Haar highlights that despite 40-year-high inflation, global debt-to-GDP barely fell, reinforcing the inevitability of fiscal dominance and currency debasement.Paul Tudor Jones reaffirms Bitcoin as the “fastest horse,” signaling institutional confidence alongside gold.Morgan Stanley opens Bitcoin access to wealth clients—another milestone in mainstream financial adoption.Square launches zero-fee Bitcoin payment integration for merchants, advancing Bitcoin’s medium-of-exchange use case.Discussion closes on Lightning yield experiments (8–9% APY) and Luxembourg’s sovereign Bitcoin purchase, showcasing Bitcoin’s expanding financial utility and global reach. Swan Private helps HNWI, companies, trusts, and other entities go beyond legacy finance with BItcoin. Learn more at swan.com/private.    Put Bitcoin into your IRA and own your future. Check out swan.com/ira. Swan Vault makes advanced Bitcoin security simple. Learn more at swan.com/vault.

    1 tim 2 min

  3. 3 OKT.

    The Debasement Trade: Why Bitcoin Is Winning

    Bitcoin kicks off October pressing against all-time highs near $123,900, setting an exciting tone for Q4Recap of BTC in DC at the Kennedy Center, featuring Michael Saylor, Cynthia Lummis, Adam Back, Pierre Rochard, Jeff Booth, Samson Mow, and many moreKey focus on academia’s role in Bitcoin adoption, with examples from Cornell and GW University partnershipsPubKey DC discussed as a future hub for staffers, policymakers, and Bitcoiners in WashingtonMacro landscape: global rate cuts (168 so far this year), stimulus check proposals, stagflation concerns, and every major US index hitting all-time highs alongside Bitcoin“The Debasement Trade”: JP Morgan recognizes the growing move into Bitcoin and gold as hedges against deficits, fiat debasement, and Fed credibility concernsUS gold reserves valued at $1.1T highlight the case for a future Bitcoin Strategic Reserve; panelists debate timing, secrecy, and political willDiscussion on lower Bitcoin volatility as financialization grows, reducing chances of another 80% drawdown and pointing toward steadier climbsDCA vs gold: visualization shows $15K invested since 2020 in Bitcoin would be worth $63K today, highlighting Swan Vault and Swan IRA as easy long-term strategiesDigital Euro and UK digital ID proposals raise serious concerns over freedom and financial control, contrasted with Bitcoin’s censorship resistance and self-sovereignty Swan Private helps HNWI, companies, trusts, and other entities go beyond legacy finance with BItcoin. Learn more at swan.com/private.    Put Bitcoin into your IRA and own your future. Check out swan.com/ira. Swan Vault makes advanced Bitcoin security simple. Learn more at swan.com/vault.

    1 tim 6 min

  4. 27 SEP.

    Bitcoin Treasury Companies After the Bloodbath: What Survives and Why

    Ben and Jeff break down Strive’s reverse merger and rapid acquisition of Similar Scientific—completed in just four days.The deal strengthens balance sheet credit quality, improves leverage capacity, and positions the combined entity for perpetual preferred securities.Connection to Vivek Ramaswamy’s background in healthcare and politics creates potential synergies for future spin-offs.Bitcoin Treasury Company sector has faced a steep correction, but consolidation may create stronger, scalable firms.Ben emphasizes scale—5,000+ BTC balance sheets—as key for accessing institutional preferred markets.Treasury companies are experimenting with innovative financing structures (ATM issuance, convertible bonds, perpetual preferreds).Discussion on investor psychology: short-termism in equities vs. the long-term thesis of Bitcoin.Jeff presents historical math showing 4-year holding periods in Bitcoin and MicroStrategy always produced positive returns.Broader economic commentary: mispriced bond risk, housing affordability crisis, and wealth inequality.Hosts stress that Bitcoin itself should remain the foundation of portfolios, with treasury companies and credit products as higher-risk layers. Swan Private helps HNWI, companies, trusts, and other entities go beyond legacy finance with BItcoin. Learn more at swan.com/private.    Put Bitcoin into your IRA and own your future. Check out swan.com/ira. Swan Vault makes advanced Bitcoin security simple. Learn more at swan.com/vault.

    1 tim 2 min

  5. 20 SEP.

    Rate Cuts, Rising Debt, and the Third Fed Mandate

    Fed cut 25 bps; panel debates politics creeping into policy and what it means for risk assetsTrump nominee Stephen Miran and the floated “third mandate” to “moderate long-term rates” seen as soft yield-curve controlCPI data quality questioned: imputation/estimates are rising while lived costs outpace headline CPIHousing at peak unaffordability; searches for mortgage help, rent trouble, and credit-card stress are surgingLabor mixed: manufacturing jobs slipping; job openings back near 2019 while S&P hovers near ATHsMoody’s recession risk ~48%—yet hosts note policymakers rarely tolerate prolonged market drawdownsPanel takeaway: despite macro cracks, being long scarce/risk assets (Bitcoin, equities, real estate, gold) generally wins vs. timing downturnsBoomers’ home-equity windfall vs. younger generations sparks debate on “corrective” policies/UBI and the role of Bitcoin in restoring fairnessBitcoin treasury companies: PIPE unlock overhangs (e.g., Sequans, Nakamoto) create churn, but industry likely broadens beyond MSTRCory Klippsten’s “tranching” frame: packaging Bitcoin exposure into debt/equity slices is pulling new capital into BTC and will scale Swan Private helps HNWI, companies, trusts, and other entities go beyond legacy finance with BItcoin. Learn more at swan.com/private.    Put Bitcoin into your IRA and own your future. Check out swan.com/ira. Swan Vault makes advanced Bitcoin security simple. Learn more at swan.com/vault.

    59 min

  6. 13 SEP.

    Fourth Turning Vibes

    The panel opened with reflections on the tragic assassination of Charlie Kirk and other recent violent events, framing them through the lens of The Fourth Turning by Strauss & Howe.Discussion on how history moves in ~80–100 year cycles of crisis and renewal, with Bitcoin and decentralized protocols potentially forming the backbone of the next institutional order.John emphasized perspective, comparing today’s turmoil with past upheavals (1960s, 1970s, World Wars), and highlighted the role of media saturation in shaping perceptions.Panelists praised Kirk’s willingness to debate respectfully, lamenting the erosion of open dialogue in society.Shifted to macro: China’s gold accumulation as a hedge against dollar hegemony, interpreted as part of a global move toward neutral reserve assets—gold today, Bitcoin tomorrow.Deep dive into U.S. financial surveillance: the inefficiencies of the Bank Secrecy Act (BSA) and threats of extending the Patriot Act to digital assets. Panelists argued KYC/AML laws are largely ineffective at stopping crime but very effective at surveilling citizens.Highlighted the DOJ’s case against Samourai Wallet as an example of U.S. hostility toward Bitcoin privacy tools.Covered this week’s major supply-chain attack on NPM packages, noting minimal impact but using it as a PSA: always verify addresses on hardware wallets and beware phishing scams.Tether launched a U.S.-regulated stablecoin (USAT). The panel explored how this intersects with the Genius Act, which would require stablecoin reserves to be in U.S. Treasuries, effectively creating a new forced buyer of U.S. debt.Quick hits: MicroStrategy denied S&P 500 inclusion (for now), BLS quietly revised U.S. job numbers down by 900k, Gemini goes public, and Michael Saylor positions MicroStrategy as a “Bitcoin capital markets” play. Swan Private helps HNWI, companies, trusts, and other entities go beyond legacy finance with BItcoin. Learn more at swan.com/private.    Put Bitcoin into your IRA and own your future. Check out swan.com/ira. Swan Vault makes advanced Bitcoin security simple. Learn more at swan.com/vault.

    1 tim 13 min

  7. 5 SEP.

    Rate Cuts Imminent, Yields Rising, Bitcoin Ready

    Global long-yield rise vs. easing cycles; fiscal dominance and debt saturation Fed cuts likely in September; inflation still >2% Gold performance and the “trust migration” from fiat assets Harvard endowment signal; Treasury long-bond buybacks funded by bills Dalio’s “debt-induced heart attack” timeline Bitcoin seasonality and volatility compression; SOV → MoE arc Corporate BTC treasuries surpass 1M BTC; possible MSTR S&P 500 inclusion ARC + Lightning progress; Bitcoin culture (“Killing Satoshi”)   Swan Private helps HNWI, companies, trusts, and other entities go beyond legacy finance with BItcoin. Learn more at swan.com/private.    Put Bitcoin into your IRA and own your future. Check out swan.com/ira. Swan Vault makes advanced Bitcoin security simple. Learn more at swan.com/vault.

    59 min

  8. 29 AUG.

    Why Is Bitcoin’s Price Lagging? The Truth Behind Whale Selling

    Whales & Long-Term Holders Selling: Profit-taking by OG wallets is redistributing supply. Many are diversifying custody or rotating some BTC into ETFs for margin/borrowing flexibility. Seasonality Matters: Bitcoin weakness in August/September is common; thin liquidity + vacation season amplify dips. ETFs as Financial Rails: Institutions and wealthy holders prefer ETFs for cheaper margin rates compared to Bitcoin-backed loans. Retail vs OG Perspective: Whale trims feel like “dumping” to retail but are natural in Bitcoin’s monetization process. Global Reserves Shift: For the first time since the 1990s, central banks hold more gold than U.S. Treasuries—de-dollarization in motion. Fed Politicization: The fight over Gov. Lisa Cook shows growing political pressure on the Fed under fiscal dominance. Fee FUD Dismissed: Low on-chain fees ≠ security crisis. Dynamic fee markets ensure resilience. Store of Value vs Medium of Exchange: False dichotomy—Bitcoin functions as both, but its SoV role dominates today. Bitwise Framework: 2035 scenarios debated: bear $88K, base $1.3M, bull ~$3M. Panel skeptical of the low-end case. Specter Association Launch: Swan transfers Specter to a new Swiss nonprofit. Yan Pritzker joins the board; roadmap now fully community-driven. Swan Private helps HNWI, companies, trusts, and other entities go beyond legacy finance with BItcoin. Learn more at swan.com/private.    Put Bitcoin into your IRA and own your future. Check out swan.com/ira. Swan Vault makes advanced Bitcoin security simple. Learn more at swan.com/vault.

    1 tim 13 min
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Swan Signal Live brings you interviews, news, analysis, and commentary on Bitcoin, macro, finance, and how Bitcoin is the foundation for a brighter future for us all.

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  • Skapad av
    Swan Bitcoin
  • Aktiva år
    2020 - 2025
  • Avsnitt
    215
  • Åldersgräns
    Vuxet innehåll
  • Copyright
    © 2024 Swan Bitcoin
  • Programmets webbplats
    Swan Signal Live - A Bitcoin Show

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