The Double Pivot: Soccer analysis, analytics, and commentary

Mike Goodman and Michael Caley
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Soccer analysis, analytics, and commentary with hosts Mike Goodman and Michael Caley

  1. −1 d

    The USMNT have a bad night in Seattle

    The United States came up short in the round of 16, in the sense that they got boatraced by Belgium. We discuss the game, offer Rudi Garcia an apology, talk about what to say about a thoroughly bad game, and discuss the state of the USMNT talent pool and the occasional doubts one hears about player quality.  Support the show

    32 min

  2. −5 d

    Round of 16 Preview, Part 3: Spain-Portugal and USA-Belgium

    The Round of 16 preview extravaganza continues with the big matches on July 6. How Portugal's tactical system continues to try and fail to work around Ronaldo's limitations, what we want to see from Spain in this match, the importance of the Spanish fullbacks, and then of course the USMNT preview. How Pochettino will likely approach this match against an opponent that will seek to control possession, why Jeremy Doku terrifies us and how Belgium's attacking band is supposed to work, and the inexplicable tactical decisions of Rudi Garcia and how they could give the US an advantage.  The other Round of 16 previews, are on the Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/c/doublepivot Support the show

    41 min

  3. 30 juni

    Bracket Breakdown

    The dynamics of the entire bracket, from Argentina's cakewalk to the interesting but different tests for Brazil and England, to Spain's good path and their fitness and tactical issues, a little model breakdown on Colombia, why the draw for African teams means we shouldn't read too much into the results, and more.  Support the show

    50 min

  4. 26 juni

    Limited World Cup Drama, Raphinha Out, Tuchelball, and More

    The World Cup continues and so we did more podcasting about it.  Support the show

    37 min

  5. 23 juni

    World Cup Potpourri: FIFA Victorious, The Ronaldo Problem, Spuruguay and More

    There's so much football and we are not happy about recognizing FIFA for it. But we've got what's wrong with Portugal (mostly Ronaldo), what's gone right for Ivory Coast (both players and coaching), Caley explains "Spuruguay," and we try to figure out Belgium.  The Henry segment on Ronaldo: https://bsky.app/profile/dreyesceron.bsky.social/post/3moj2hwalms2e Support the show

    47 min

  6. 19 juni

    In Which We Rave About England

    England won 4-2 over Croatia, dominated the xG, and generally looked like a real football team and a real World Cup contender. We have some slightly different takes on the first half, we get into questions about the PADDLIN' model and England, and of course Marouane Fellaini is discussed in some depth.  Support the show

    29 min

  7. 16 juni

    How to Watch Soccer Like a Nerd

    Mike has written a World Cup 2026 update to his classic Grantland piece about how to watch soccer. We discuss expected goals and how to use statistics well and poorly, we talk tactics and "flex back threes" and "five guys" and "rest defense" and how it all goes back to Pep Guardiola at Bayern Munich, and a little bit on the economics of the game and why that explains the coaches at the 2026 World Cup. Read Goodman in 2026: https://www.cbssports.com/soccer/news/fifa-2026-world-cup-expected-goals-analytics-soccer-nerd/ And see Goodman from 2014: https://grantland.com/features/how-to-watch-the-world-cup-like-a-true-soccer-nerd/ Support the show

    36 min

  8. 13 juni

    USMNT 4, Paraguay 1

    A big win for the United States Men's National Team (USMNT, pronounced us-mnt) that validated belief in Mauricio Pochettino and the system he built for these players. We get into why the xG isn't quite as impressive as one might expect, the distinctive tactics you could see in action during the game, and just how far out over skis one might reasonably get after this match.  For more on the Double Pivot's PADDLIN' World Cup model, see our YouTube page: https://www.youtube.com/@DoublePivotPod And the Expecting Goals model write-up (with live updating on the way): https://www.expectinggoals.com/p/world-cup-projections-introducing Support the show

    31 min
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Soccer analysis, analytics, and commentary with hosts Mike Goodman and Michael Caley

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