Plausibly Deniable

Lukas and Saila

A conversation about incentives, power, and the stories we tell ourselves to justify outcomes. Hosted by Lukas (https://x.com/SCHIZO_FREQ) and Saila (https://x.com/sailaunderscore) Sponsored by Polymarket, CitizenX and Network Press

  1. 6 DAYS AGO

    The Conservative case for the Machine God - w/ Lomez

    Lomez joins Plausibly Deniable for a long conversation on the old internet, the rise of online politics, academia, Gamergate, Twitter, AI, prediction markets, publishing, and the strange incentives of modern work. We talk about Lomez’s path from an early remote job at Google to academia, how 2014-era campus politics pushed him online, the evolution of the dissident right, the social justice warrior era, the shifting meaning of “woke is over,” and how internet subcultures moved from fringe jokes to real political force. We also get into Passage Press, Lomez’s publishing company, including its role in preserving online writing, publishing controversial or neglected work, and building something closer to the “real economy” than most internet projects. Check out Passage Press and use promo code PD10. Later, the conversation turns to AI, Claude vs ChatGPT, the tech right, Bannon-style anti-tech populism, X vs YouTube, bot accusations, gender war discourse, office jobs, girlboss marketing, and whether the “normie job” fantasy is actually just another internet mirage. REMEMBER to purchase all books from sponsor Passage Press: https://passage.press Promo code PD10 gets you 10% off Sponsored by: Polymarket: https://polymarket.com Zcash: https://z.cash CitizenX: https://citizenx.com Network Press: https://network.press _______________________________ Plausibly Deniable: https://plausiblydeniable.org Lukas: https://x.com/SCHIZO_FREQ Saila: https://x.com/sailaunderscore Lomez: https://x.com/L0m3z 0:02:17 — Fake jobs, make-work, and being too close to the real economy0:03:48 — Introducing Lomez0:04:30 — Lomez’s early life and getting a remote job at Google0:06:00 — Human search ranking, porn SEO, and “artisanal Google”0:10:19 — Leaving tech, traveling, and deciding to become an English professor0:11:55 — UC Irvine, academia, and the politics of 20140:13:02 — Charlie Hebdo, free speech, and campus liberalism0:15:36 — Why online transgression felt politically meaningful0:17:21 — Gamergate, gamers, and the online right0:21:02 — Is woke actually over?0:24:42 — Early Lomez internet lore: forums, Twitter, sports, and betting0:30:43 — The old alt-right, Breitbart, Spencer, and Charlottesville0:34:35 — Passage Press, Scott Greer, and White Pill0:35:00 — Social justice warriors, Tumblr, and naming the enemy0:40:00 — Trump, Kavanaugh, liberal coalition discipline, and political hysteria0:43:19 — Male feminists, the cuttlefish strategy, and dating discourse0:48:56 — The gender war escalates0:56:15 — Wirejacking, welfare, work, and the broken social contract1:05:32 — Passage Press books, QR codes, and preserving internet archives1:10:11 — Digital censorship, stealth edits, and why print still matters1:15:05 — Lomez’s doxxing and public-interest journalism1:25:38 — Polymarket, betting markets, and “selling dollars for 50 cents”1:30:14 — Scale, inefficiency, local culture, and AI1:34:00 — Hard takeoff AI and whether acceleration is inevitable1:45:18 — Nick Land, nation-states, and machine intelligence1:55:01 — Who fears AI more: the left or the right?2:08:21 — Sam Altman, OpenAI, Claude, and AI politics2:13:15 — The tech right, the administration, and institutional conservatism2:16:20 — Policy battles, post-humanism, Bannon, and anti-tech populism2:25:00 — San Francisco, crime, tech elites, and urban decline2:35:00 — Online discourse, media narratives, and AI acceleration2:50:00 — Political aesthetics, millennial posting, and internet memory3:06:14 — Bots, real people, hate-farming, and X engagement3:10:15 — YouTube vs X: analytics, algorithms, and distribution3:15:00 — The return of the gender war meta3:25:00 — The normie office fantasy, PF Chang’s, and work wives3:28:52 — Mega-corporation incentives and fake corporate jobs3:34:27 — Escape hatches, mortgages, and the terror of being stuck3:35:47 — Closing thoughts and subscribe

    3h 34m
  2. 24 APR

    Reasonable Political Centrism w/ The Most Normal Man Alive - Howling Mutant

    Internet comedian Howling Mutant joins Plausibly Deniable to talk about getting doxxed, becoming an accidental Goodreads influencer, the strange sociology of right-wing Twitter, journalism, media trust, AI art, gym culture, looksmaxxing, and why the internet turns every private embarrassment into public lore. The conversation starts with the story of how Howling’s personal information was dug up and spread online, then veers into Goodreads power rankings, the decline of nerd culture, media narratives, “fell for it again” politics, Iran war arguments, anime pronunciation scandals, AI-generated comedy, recycling scams, posture, lifting, and bone-smashing aesthetics.Sponsored by: Polymarket https://polymarket.com Zcash https://z.cash CitizenX https://citizenx.com Network Press https://network.press _______________________________ Plausibly Deniable https://plausiblydeniable.org Lukas https://x.com/SCHIZO_FREQ Saila https://x.com/sailaunderscore Howling Mutant https://x.com/Howlingmutant0 00:00 Howling Mutant gets doxxed 02:00 The Goodreads scandal begins 06:29 Face reveals, internet expectations, and nerd culture winning 10:08 Gay culture, repression, and mainstreaming 11:41 The media lie that broke Lukas’s brain 13:20 “Fell for it again” politics 16:07 Iran discourse and losing internet arguments 18:47 The Asuka pronunciation scandal 20:43 Frazier Payne, AI animation, and right-wing creativity 23:35 Censorship, bleeping, and edgy comedy 26:02 Sponsors and monetizing Goodreads influence 28:19 Book ratings, Karl Marx, and 800 reviews 29:59 AI art, anti-tech politics, and environmental objections 32:06 Ferry work, old coworkers, and online personas 34:46 How the doxxing happened 38:21 Contacting an ex through her workplace 39:34 How doxxing spreads when people “defend” you 41:53 Posture, camera presence, and gym culture 45:05 Forum experts, deadlifts, and niche knowledge 47:01 Looksmaxxing, bone-smashing, and viral advice 48:46 Closing chaos

    49 min
  3. 14 APR

    Infinite Doomscroll Capitalism: Market Efficiency or Eternal Torture?? w/ signüll

    Welcome to the Plausibly Deniable experience. Today, we have a very special guest: one of the greatest posters on X, Signull We explore the bizarre realities of hyper-optimized capitalism, from the dual opt-in mechanics of dating apps to the wild world of DIY Korean Botox and 14-year-olds getting "preventative" injections before Signull tells us about the app he just built - https://skyeapp.ai/ Later, we discuss OpenAI's side quests , Anthropic's focus on coding , and why the infinite scroll is the ultimate IQ filter Sponsored by: Polymarket: https://polymarket.com Zcash: https://z.cash CitizenX: https://citizenx.com Network Press: https://network.press _______________________________ Plausibly Deniable: https://plausiblydeniable.org Lukas: https://x.com/SCHIZO_FREQ Saila: https://x.com/sailaunderscore 00:00 - Intro: The $4,000 Testosterone Check & Haggling in Taipei 06:59 - Welcome Signal: Pod Slop & The Podcast Tax 10:26 - Frictionless Capitalism: Diet Cherry Coke & Dating Spreadsheets 20:27 - The Botox Epidemic: Masseter Injections, DIY Kits, & 14-Year-Olds 32:11 - Privacy in the AI Era: Cambridge Analytica & LLM Spies 38:23 - Exclusive Reveal: Signal’s New Agentic App "Sky" 54:32 - Trump, Influencers, & How 200 Accounts Control the Zeitgeist 1:06:00 - TikTok, Netflix, and How Infinite Scroll Obliterated Search Skills 1:12:04 - Apple's Missed AI Opportunity & The Steve Jobs "What If" 1:32:30 - Focus vs. Side Quests: Apple, OpenAI (Sora), & Anthropic (Claude) 1:43:00 - Why Consumer Startups Are "Harder" Than B2B Enterprise 1:49:16 - The Wellness Industry vs. The TikTok Dopamine Machine 2:24:23 - Polymarket, Zcash, and the Art of Judging on Twitter

    2h 45m
  4. 9 APR

    Trading the Apocalypse: Silver, AI, and the Fall of China - w/ Alexander Campbell

    Today, we sit down with the legendary Alexander Campbell, former prop trader at Lehman Brothers during the '08 crisis and ex-head of commodities at Bridgewater He unpacks his viral (and wildly profitable) silver trade, breaking down why the massive demand from solar panel production has created the perfect setup for a historic supply squeeze. (Follow his substack btw: https://www.campbellramble.ai/) We also take a deep dive into the macroeconomic landscape, dissecting why Ray Dalio was a dollar bear, how the US suffers from financial "Dutch disease," and why stablecoins are actually incredibly bullish for the US Dollar's reserve status Campbell pulls back the curtain on the Chinese financial system, explaining the 200% market manipulations and the reality of their wealth management products Plus, we cover the death of legacy media, the value of prediction markets like Polymarket, why most "preppers" have terrible supply chain strategies, and where the real alpha is hiding in agriculture and AI infrastructure. Hit subscribe, drop a comment, and enjoy the alpha Sponsored by: Polymarket: https://polymarket.com Zcash: https://z.cash CitizenX: https://citizenx.com Network Press: https://network.press _______________________________ Plausibly Deniable: https://plausiblydeniable.org Lukas: https://x.com/SCHIZO_FREQ Saila: https://x.com/sailaunderscore 00:00:00 - Intro, prepper trades, and the pain of being a macro investor early to a trade. 00:10:22 - Introducing Campbell: Lehman Brothers, Bridgewater, and transitioning to AI. 00:12:00 - The Silver Squeeze: Why solar panel demand and AI make silver the ultimate macro bet. 00:18:25 - Physical vs. Paper Metals: Holding silver as "zombie apocalypse" insurance. 00:23:38 - The US Dollar as a reserve currency and the "Dutch Disease" of financial markets. 00:31:36 - Inside China's $5 Trillion debt crisis, Evergrande, and fake wealth management products. 00:40:00 - The death of the NYT, Nate Silver, and the rise of citizen journalism (Lord Miles & Beaver). 00:49:57 - Crypto talk: Analyzing Bitcoin in 2011, Stablecoins, and the future of digital dollars. 01:08:32 - Polymarket, Hyperliquid, and how prediction markets act as real-time info for hedge funds. 01:17:13 - War, inflation, and how institutional investors are trained to "buy the dip" blindly. 01:31:42 - Bridgewater's culture of radical transparency and rating your boss. 01:35:18 - Geopolitics: Trump's "madman" negotiation style, NATO, and the US vs. China. 01:47:20 - AI energy constraints, local models, and replacing human tasks with compute. 01:57:35 - Unhinged billion-dollar tanker ship macro trades and wrapping up.

    2h 11m
  5. 4 APR

    Total Societal Destruction and the Asymptote of Homoeroticism - w/ Covfefe Anon

    Welcome back to another episode of Plausibly Deniable. This week, Lukas and Saila are joined by the legendary X poster Covfefe Anon. We dive deep into the cultural shifts of the past few years, from the COVID-19 pandemic and the reality of low-trust societies to the modern dating market and the incentive structures of prediction markets. Sponsored by: Polymarket: https://polymarket.com Zcash: https://z.cash CitizenX: https://citizenx.com Network Press: https://network.press _______________________________ Plausibly Deniable: https://plausiblydeniable.org Lukas: https://x.com/SCHIZO_FREQ Saila: https://x.com/sailaunderscore 00:00:00 - Intro & The Shifting Cultural Frame: Why political enemies adopting conservative language is the ultimate bullish sign. 00:02:09 - The COVID Retrospective: Looking back at hoarding N95 masks and meat, the introduction of woke language, and the social pressure of Instagram black squares. 00:11:00 - The Economy & Post-Scarcity Myths: Why cheap TVs do not offset the skyrocketing costs of lower-quality healthcare, housing, and insurance. 00:14:37 - The Descent into a Low-Trust Society: How increased frictionless interactions and hyper-efficiency turn everyday transactions into a scammer's market. 00:21:00 - The "Just Fk Her Good Bro" Theory:** Analyzing a flawed dating theory, the Tom Brady/Gisele dynamic, and the reality of long-term marriage logistics. 00:31:00 - Video Games & Manufactured Productivity: Why games like Factorio and Minecraft act as massive productivity sinks to satisfy male drives. 00:33:31 - Yo-Yos & The Openness Camp: China's approach to optimizing obscure sports and the fake NGO extracurriculars used by the upper class for college admissions. 00:36:00 - OnlyFawns vs. The Real Deal: The misallocation of resources, donating adult scam money to Bangladesh, and why modern platforms act as a societal "wirehead". 00:46:00 - The Fragility of Modern Society: Why the current American legal system is younger than you think, and the normalization of fake service dogs on flights and in supermarkets. 00:54:00 - "Gooning" and Dopamine Traps: Debating the legality of adult scams, the rise of AI girlfriends, and why modern digital stimuli are destroying male motivation. 01:05:00 - The Modern Dating Market: How men have weaponized female social strategies, the reality of male standards, and the shift towards "Dark Motivation" in gym culture. 01:16:00 - Covfefe Anon's Origin Story: Moving from Slate Star Codex comments under the generic name Steve Johnson to Twitter fame, and how the internet exposes false media narratives. 01:23:00 - Professional Sports & Bodybuilding: The financial reality of making no money in professional tennis and the grueling, unrewarding nature of bodybuilding prep. 01:36:00 - Privacy is Dead: The realities of women's group chats, the digital panopticon, the Lomez effect, and why doxxing isn't necessarily a career-ender. 01:43:00 - Global Information Flows: How instant translation is breaking down media narratives, featuring the Japanese historical debate on Samurai and the Staten Island Chuck cover-up. 01:50:00 - Polymarket & Prediction Markets: Betting on Kick streamers going to prison and how prediction markets act as real-world bounties rather than pure forecasts. 01:58:49 - Tariffs, Jan 6th, and Political Realities: Analyzing the media's alternate reality, comparing BLM riots to January 6th, and geopolitical shifts with China, Russia, and Iran. 02:17:00 - Credit Scores & Faking IQ: The absurdity of bragging about credit scores, inflating Mensa test results, and final thoughts.

    2h 22m
  6. 25 MAR

    How to trade a paperclip into an imaginary trillion dollars

    In this episode, we dive deep into the absurdities of modern society, starting with some highly questionable dating advice at the gym. We explore why people are treating AI like the ultimate "yes man," the delusion of the paperclip trading hustle, and how Grok's diagnoses will tell you you're just "ascending". The conversation gets real (and slightly unhinged) as we break down why the U.S. healthcare system acts like a massive money laundering operation and why flying to Asia for medical care might be your best bet. We also tackle the ultimate financial scams: timeshares, 30-year mortgages, and why buying a house right now is a terrible idea.Plus, we cover Costco losing billions on $1.50 hotdogs, the bizarre world of Polymarket bets (will Apple release a folding phone? Will Jesus return?), and why Zoomers don't know what a Leatherman is. Sponsored by: Polymarket: https://polymarket.com Zcash: https://z.cash CitizenX: https://citizenx.com Network Press: https://network.press _______________________________ Plausibly Deniable: https://plausiblydeniable.org Lukas: https://x.com/SCHIZO_FREQ Saila: https://x.com/sailaunderscore Timestamps: 00:00 - Unethical Gym Dating Advice 02:13 - Faking Your Relationship Status 04:35 - AI as the Ultimate Yes-Man 06:36 - The "Paperclip" AI Supercomputer Hustle 09:51 - Modern Parenting: TikTok Fame & Ivy League Dropouts 15:45 - AI Medical Diagnoses: ChatGPT vs. Claude vs. Grock 22:48 - Why Timeshares Are the Ultimate Scam 26:11 - Squatters Rights & Cheating the System 31:00 - Zoomer Gym Anxiety & $5 Hamburgers 36:41 - The U.S. Healthcare "Money Laundering" Collusion 42:10 - Healthcare Tourism & Maxing Your HSA 45:51 - Corporate Warfare & Squeezing Consumer Surplus 49:01 - Caleb Hammer & Absurd Financial Audits 53:35 - Costco's $1.50 Hotdog Strategy 01:01:19 - Imposter Syndrome & Why Being Too Nice Fails 01:03:13 - Gifted Kid Syndrome & Ruining Children 01:06:12 - Sela Explains Reddit Gold 01:15:16 - Why Buying a House is a Massive Scam 01:24:53 - Algorithm Distribution & Politician Flip-Flopping 01:30:52 - Polymarket Bets: Apple Foldable Phones & Jesus Returning 01:36:20 - The Vaporware Group Chat Grift 01:46:38 - 45-Degree Camera Angles vs. Staring 01:47:45 - Zoomers Don't Know What a Leatherman Is 01:56:08 - Plausibly Deniable Outro & Editing Tricks

    1hr 58min
  7. 18 MAR

    The Golden Age of Unseriousness

    Welcome back to the Plausibly Deniable experience. In this episode, we dive into why pickleball is the new run club scam , the reality of the "fraud-shaped economy" , and the impossible task of gatekeeping luxury goods. We break down why Apple is selling you a bucket of spare parts , the absolute un-seriousness of billionaires like Jeff Bezos and Brian Johnson , and why Filipino clip farms are actually pulling the strings of global culture. Plus, we cover wild Polymarket bets , the superiority of the French counter-signal , and why you need to stop being a W2 employee immediately to start writing off your life. Sponsored by: Polymarket: https://polymarket.com Zcash: https://z.cash CitizenX: https://citizenx.com Network Press: https://network.press _______________________________ Plausibly Deniable: https://plausiblydeniable.org Lukas: https://x.com/SCHIZO_FREQ Saila: https://x.com/sailaunderscore 00:00:00 - Why pickleball is the new run club scam. 00:06:07 - The decline of airport aesthetics and living out of Amex lounges. 00:09:22 - San Francisco dating cope and the California weather psyop. 00:13:01 - The "fraud-shaped economy" and the impossibility of gatekeeping luxury. 00:18:37 - Mispronouncing words for reverse IQ signaling. 00:22:24 - Brian Johnson's spreadsheet friendships and tech billionaires. 00:23:35 - Apple's spare parts MacBook and why iPads are terrible. 00:30:18 - Billionaires LARPing as poor farmers and harvesting plasma. 00:36:00 - Jeff Bezos's infinite mountain clock and his influencer era. 00:41:54 - How "aura" replaced money and historical gigachads. 00:48:48 - The truth about injecting Botox into unconventional places. 00:50:20 - Polymarket bets on Tucker Carlson and the political anti-platform. 00:58:33 - Casual tax fraud and why being a W-2 employee is a trap. 01:04:46 - The French counter-signal and why "PD" is a terrible acronym. 01:08:13 - The evolution of modern cope and the death of 2000s nerd culture. 01:17:48 - The Polymarket "Nothing Ever Happens 2026" bet. 01:22:54 - Entering the Golden Age of Unseriousness. 01:24:55 - How Filipino clip farms control global culture and markets. 01:27:00 - Debating modern gender war statistics and coping mechanisms. 01:33:02 - Crypto markets rallying and Dubai whales teleporting Zcash. 01:35:49 - Why COVID was a net positive for some and the fake vax card era. 01:39:25 - The ultimate social hack: playing dumb to avoid punishment. 01:54:16 - Getting humbled in Asia and finally entering "payoff space"

    1hr 57min
  8. 11 MAR

    How to Make Friends and Influence People (Dark Triad Edition)

    We discuss why ruining your life might actually be the best thing for you, the insane cope of the modern gender wars, and why people are paying hundreds of dollars to learn how to pull their jaws with their thumbs. We also break down the fake geopolitical wars padding out the news cycle, the $70 million tech parties for employees doing literally nothing, and the Twitter files revealing the FBI's obsession with deleting 20-follower accounts.Later, we get into the absolute state of AI: why Microsoft Copilot is holding back human progress, Elon Musk's Grok bending the knee to furries, and the $100 billion Game of Thrones drama between Sam Altman and Dario Amodei. Plus, why therapy is an epic fake job, the Ozempic meltdown in the fitness influencer community, and why you should just buy a Citizen X passport to escape it all. Sponsored by: Polymarket: https://polymarket.com Zcash: https://z.cash CitizenX: https://citizenx.com Network Press: https://network.press _______________________________ Plausibly Deniable: https://plausiblydeniable.org Lukas: https://x.com/SCHIZO_FREQ Saila: https://x.com/sailaunderscore 00:00:00 - Why blowing up your current life is statistically a good idea.00:02:00 - Redacted files and random plumbers getting targeted by QAnon boomers.00:04:00 - The extreme humiliation ritual of forcing service workers to celebrate International Women's Day. 00:07:00 - Jaw surgery cope and selling e-books on how to pull your face bones with your thumbs.00:10:00 - The 6-foot height lie and why guys wear terrible toupees.00:15:00 - The Eileen vs. Alyssa Olympics meme and the escalating gender wars.00:18:00 - Why the US/Iran conflict is a fake fight run by a 20-year-old intern.00:22:00 - Jack Dorsey's $70M party and over-hiring thousands of people to do nothing.00:24:00 - The Twitter Files: Deleting random cat accounts for threatening democracy.00:27:00 - Bitter reply guys with squirrel avatars arguing with Grok for 4 hours.00:34:00 - Fake fingernails, Twitter doxing, and fake internet videos of rearranging raspberries.00:38:00 - Fake jobs, podcaster privilege, and AI failing to automate accounting.00:42:00 - The Roy Lee enterprise AI grift and buying employees Cartier watches.00:46:00 - Subway Surfers slop content and the decay of Apple/Google photos semantic search.00:54:00 - Neurotic San Francisco culture and hunting for good Twitter reply guys amidst the bots.01:00:00 - Microsoft Copilot is terrible and Google's massive DeepMind fumble.01:05:00 - Polymarket farming and the Curtis Yarvin "nothing ever happens" phenomenon.01:10:00 - The philosophy of looping through the same mistakes every 5 years.01:15:00 - Ozempic panic, injecting Chinese bathtub peptides, and fitness influencers coping.01:19:00 - Why being a therapist for 20-year-olds is the most epic fake job.01:23:00 - Getting rug-pulled by meme degrees like software engineering.01:26:00 - Candy Crush gamers, women as the ultimate consumer market, and men wearing makeup.01:31:00 - Emotional labor itemized receipts and the absurdity of calendar holidays.01:40:00 - Fleeing the dying empire with Citizen X passports.01:45:00 - How Microsoft is destroying capital and delaying AGI.01:47:00 - Elon Musk’s terrible Grok videos and Grok's capitulation to furries.01:51:00 - The $100 Billion War: Sam Altman vs. Dario Amodei and Anthropic's leaked memos.

    1hr 57min

About

A conversation about incentives, power, and the stories we tell ourselves to justify outcomes. Hosted by Lukas (https://x.com/SCHIZO_FREQ) and Saila (https://x.com/sailaunderscore) Sponsored by Polymarket, CitizenX and Network Press

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