美轮美换 The American Roulette

Baihua Media
  • 4.5 (61)
  • 政治
  • 两周一更

一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客

  1. 番外｜「Eddington」里被困住的美国

    21小时前

    番外｜「Eddington」里被困住的美国

    【聊了什么】 本期节目，我们与播客疲惫娇娃的主播们，聊了Ari Aster的最新电影《爱丁顿》(Eddington)——一部让人看完想骂街，但又忍不住要深度分析的作品。这位以《仲夏夜惊魂》和《遗传厄运》闻名的导演，这次把镜头对准了2020年5月疫情初期的美国小镇，用西部片的外壳包装了一个关于社交媒体如何撕裂社群的恐怖故事。Joaquin Phoenix饰演的老派警长Joe Cross和Pedro Pascal饰演的自由派市长在这个巴掌大的新墨西哥小镇展开政治对决，而真正的赢家却是那个从头到尾都面目模糊的科技巨头——他们要在这里建数据中心。我们从这部极具争议性的电影聊开去，探讨了BLM运动的社交媒体化、取消文化的游戏规则、以及阴谋论如何在小镇邻里间传播。最终发现，当所有人都在网上吵成一团的时候，真正的危机——AI和大科技公司——已经悄悄占领了现实世界。 本期节目录制于2025年9月7日。 【支持我们】 如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去： 也欢迎加入我们的会员计划： https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ 会员可以收到每周2-5封newsletter，可以加入会员社群，参加会员活动，并享受更多福利。 合作投稿邮箱：american.roulette.pod@gmail.com 【时间轴】 01:12 - Vibe Shift：从Covid到现在的时代精神转向 03:44 - Ari Aster这一次拍了个什么片？ 07:57 - 小镇警长和自由派精英的对决导演拉偏架了吗？ 16:57 - BLM运动的社交媒体化和"good trouble"的商品化 23:34 - 社交媒体游戏规则如何让所有人"吃相难看" 35:36 - 创伤如何成为舆论场的货币 40:07 - 小蓝的"假新闻田野调查" 46:31 - 电影结局的虚无主义倾向 49:31 - "SolidGoldMagikarp"彩蛋 53:30 - AI数据中心对美国小镇的真实影响 59:24 - 艺术家有权创作"残忍"艺术吗？ 1:11:12 - 爱丁顿里的真实社会议题 【我们是谁】 美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。 我们的主播和嘉宾： 小华：媒体人 小杨：疲惫娇娃主播 一芳：疲惫娇娃主播 小蓝：新新人类主播 主播和嘉宾的言论不代表其所在机构或其雇主的观点。 【 What We Talked About】 This episode we dove into Ari Aster's latest film "Eddington"—a movie that'll make you want to throw things at the screen, but also can't stop you from obsessively analyzing every frame. The director behind "Midsommar" and "Hereditary" sets his sights on a fictional small American town during the early pandemic chaos of May 2020, wrapping a horror story about social media tearing communities apart in Western film genre. Joaquin Phoenix's old-school sheriff Joe Cross goes head-to-head with Pedro Pascal's liberal mayor in this tiny New Mexico town, while the real winner turns out to be the faceless tech giant that's been planning to build a data center there all along. We used this deeply polarizing film to unpack everything from how BLM got weaponized on social media, to the toxic rules of cancel culture, to how conspiracy theories spread like wildfire through small-town neighbor networks. The ending is both alarming and defeatist: while everyone was busy fighting online, the real crisis—AI and Big Tech—had already quietly taken over. 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: american.roulette.pod@gmail.com 【Timeline】 01:12 - Vibe Shift: Zeitgeist transformation from pandemic to now 03:44 - Film plot overview: Political showdown in a New Mexico town 07:57 - Did Ari Aster put his thumb on the scale in the fight between the sheriff and the mayor 16:57 - The social media-ization of BLM and commodification of "good trouble" 23:34 - How social media rules make everyone look bad 35:36 - How trauma becomes currency in the discourse 40:07 - Xiao Lan's "fake news field research" 46:31 - The film's nihilistic ending 49:31 - "SolidGoldMagikarp" Easter egg 52:18 - Real impact of AI data centers on American small towns 59:24 - Do artists have the right to create "cruel" art? 1:11:12 - Real social issues plaiguing today's America in "Eddington" 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. Our Hosts and Guests: 小华 (Xiao Hua): Journalist, political observer 小杨 (Xiao Yang): Host of 疲惫娇娃 CyberPink 一芳 (Yi Fang): Host of 疲惫娇娃 CyberPink 小蓝 (Xiao Lan): Host of 新新人类 PixelPerfect The views expressed by the host and guests do not represent the opinions of their employers or any affiliated institutions.

    1 小时 22 分钟
  2. 063 | 特朗普H-1B新规：合法移民的政治困境 Trump's War on H-1B Visas

    9月22日

    063 | 特朗普H-1B新规：合法移民的政治困境 Trump's War on H-1B Visas

    【聊了什么】 9月19日，特朗普政府突然宣布的H-1B签证的新政策在科技行业、留学生、工作签证社群中掀起滔天巨浪。高达十万美元的申请费、语焉不详的条文、朝令夕改的澄清，让无数人的职业规划与人生轨迹迅速陷入了巨大的不确定性。 当特朗普政府反移民的大刀砍向合法移民，特朗普一贯的“混乱治理”背后又有怎样的政治算计？天价“过路费”将如何重塑美国的人才竞争格局？与此同时推出的“黄金卡”又预示着怎样的未来？本期节目我们紧急解析这场H1B风暴的来龙去脉与影响。 本期节目录制于2025年9月21日。 播客文字稿（付费会员专享）：https://theamericanroulette.com/h1b-chaos-trump-immigration-transcript 【支持我们】 如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去： 也欢迎加入我们的会员计划： https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ 会员可以收到每周2-5封newsletter，可以加入会员社群，参加会员活动，并享受更多福利。 合作投稿邮箱：american.roulette.pod@gmail.com 【时间轴】 01:30 特朗普政府H-1B新政引发的混乱和时间线 07:27 分析特朗普政府的TACO风格及其与第一任期的相似之处 08:03 探讨科技公司和马斯克在H-1B新政风波中的反应与角色 11:55 H-1B签证的起源、90年代的黄金期及后续的演变与困境 15:03 MAGA民粹派与硅谷保守派在H-1B议题上的根本冲突 16:23 为何拿H-1B开刀？分析合法移民群体在政治上的“边缘”地位 19:43 H-1B体系的滥用问题与改革的必要性 22:22 特朗普新政的“一刀切”象征意义大于实际改革 25:28 “禁穆令”判例和总统在移民事务上的巨大权力 29:02 特朗普的交易式思维 30:39 小布什、奥巴马时期综合性移民改革的历次尝试与失败 40:45 H-1B新政对留学生传统留美路径的冲击 42:13 对科技行业的冲击，初创公司与科技巨头的不同境遇 48:11 对印度、中国等移民来源国经济与人才流动的长远影响 51:39 特朗普政府的“黄金卡”项目：明码标价的移民新模式 【我们是谁】 美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。 我们的主播和嘉宾： 王浩岚：美国政治爱好者，岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子 小华：媒体人 游天龙：《选·美》栏目创始人之一，美国政治的资深门外汉。 【 What We Talked About】 On September 19th, the Trump administration's sudden announcement of new H-1B visa policies sent shockwaves through the tech industry, international student communities, and work visa holders. With application fees soaring to $100,000, vague and ambiguous provisions, and constantly shifting clarifications, countless people's career plans and life trajectories have been plunged into massive uncertainty. As the Trump administration's anti-immigration sword strikes at legal immigration, what political calculations lie behind Trump's signature "governance through chaos"? How will these exorbitant "toll fees" reshape America's talent competition landscape? What future does the simultaneously introduced "Golden Card" program portend? In this episode, we urgently analyze the origins and impacts of this H-1B storm. This episode was recorded on September 21, 2025. Podcast Transcript (Paid Subscribers Only): https://theamericanroulette.com/h1b-chaos-trump-immigration-transcript 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: american.roulette.pod@gmail.com 【Timeline】 01:30 The chaos and timeline triggered by the Trump administration's new H-1B policies 07:27 Analysis of the Trump administration's TACO style and similarities with his first term 08:03 Exploring tech companies' and Elon Musk's reactions and roles in the H-1B policy storm 11:55 The origins of H-1B visas, the golden age of the 90s, and subsequent evolution and challenges 15:03 The fundamental conflict between MAGA populists and Silicon Valley conservatives on H-1B issues 16:23 Why target H-1B? Analyzing legal immigrants' politically "marginalized" status 19:43 Abuse issues in the H-1B system and the necessity for reform 22:22 Trump's new policy: "one-size-fits-all" approach more symbolic than substantive reform 25:28 The "Muslim Ban" precedent and presidential powers over immigration matters 29:02 Trump's transactional thinking 30:39 Repeated attempts and failures at comprehensive immigration reform during the Bush and Obama eras 40:45 Impact of new H-1B policies on international students' traditional pathways to staying in the US 42:13 Impact on the tech industry: different fates for startups versus tech giants 48:11 Long-term effects on economies and talent flows of immigrant source countries like India and China 51:39 The Trump administration's "Golden Card" program: A new immigration model with explicit price tags 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. Our Hosts and Guests: 王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information 小华 (Xiao Hua): Journalist, political observer 游天龙 (Tinalong You): Co-founder of iAmElection, seasoned outside observer of American politics 【拓展链接 The Links】 https://podcast.theamericanroulette.com/episodes/border-crisis-immigration-reform https://shop.vistopia.com.cn/article?article_id=833225&share_uid=DjMtk https://shop.vistopia.com.cn/article?article_id=838725&share_uid=rYoKq https://theamericanroulette.com/mei-guo-h-1bxin-zheng-jiang-shen-ke-ying-xiang-zhong-mei-ke-ji-xing-ye-fa-zhan/ https://theamericanroulette.com/trump-h1b-ban/

    58 分钟
  3. 062 | 查理·柯克之死与美国政治暴力新常态 Killing of Charlie Kirk

    9月14日

    062 | 查理·柯克之死与美国政治暴力新常态 Killing of Charlie Kirk

    【聊了什么】 9月10日，美国保守派青年运动领袖、TPUSA创始人查理·柯克遇刺身亡，震动全美。一个没有任何公职的“网红”，为何能成为特朗普核心圈层的“造王者”，撬动上亿美元资金，并让共和党精英、金主和普通年轻人为之倾倒？ 本期节目深入剖析查理·柯克的崛起，分析他如何将网红传播、校园组织和金主筹款融为一体，打造出独特的政治影响力机器。他的遇刺，又将如何影响特朗普主义和美国保守派运动的走向？ 本期节目录制于2025年9月13日。 播客文字稿（付费会员专享）：https://theamericanroulette.com/charlie-kirk-violence-transcript 【支持我们】 如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去： 也欢迎加入我们的会员计划： https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ 会员可以收到每周2-5封newsletter，可以加入会员社群，参加会员活动，并享受更多福利。 合作投稿邮箱：american.roulette.pod@gmail.com 【时间轴】 00:34 查理·柯克遇刺事件回顾 03:39 柯克为何有如此大的影响力和2024年大选中的关键作用 06:30 柯克的三大核心能力：与年轻人沟通、构建组织网络、向金主筹款 09:09 TPUSA如何构建覆盖美国学校的组织网络 12:10 柯克政治对特朗普的影响和保守派内部的张力 20:07 TPUSA如何建立起校园政治网络 43:58 柯克的思想转变：从自由意志主义者到特朗普民粹主义者，再到基督教民族主义者 48:58 柯克 vs. 万斯 52:32 枪击案发生后的信息真空下的各种猜测与媒体的矛盾报道 54:20 枪手：一个被网络亚文化和游戏烂梗塑造的“extremely online”的青年 56:55 FBI局长Kash Patel的争议 1:00:52 当政治暴力成为一种“行为艺术”和“线下烂梗” 1:05:54 犹他州州长Spencer Cox的反应 1:09:04 这会是美国政治的“国会纵火案”吗？ 1:14:09 TPUSA的未来：柯克死后，这个高度依赖其个人魅力的组织能否持续？ 【我们是谁】 美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。 我们的主播和嘉宾： Talich：美国政治和文化历史爱好者 王浩岚：美国政治爱好者，岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子 小华：媒体人 【 What We Talked About】 On September 10th, the assassination of Charlie Kirk, leader of the American conservative youth movement and founder of TPUSA, sent shockwaves across the nation. How did an 'influencer' with no public office become a 'kingmaker' in Trump's inner circle, leveraging hundreds of millions of dollars and captivating Republican elites, donors, and young people alike? This episode provides an in-depth analysis of Charlie Kirk's rise, examining how he integrated influencer-style communication, campus organizing, and major donor fundraising to build a unique political influence machine. How will his assassination impact the future of Trumpism and the American conservative movement? This episode was recorded on September 13, 2025. Podcast Transcript (Paid Subscribers Only): https://theamericanroulette.com/charlie-kirk-violence-transcript 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: american.roulette.pod@gmail.com 【Timeline】 00:34 A review of the Charlie Kirk assassination incident 03:39 Why Kirk had such immense influence and his key role in the 2024 election 06:30 Kirk's three core abilities: communicating with young people, building organizational networks, and fundraising from major donors 09:09 How TPUSA built an organizational network covering American schools 12:10 Kirk's political influence on Trump and the internal tensions within the conservative movement 20:07 How TPUSA established its campus political network 43:58 Kirk's ideological evolution: from a libertarian to a Trump populist, and then to a Christian nationalist 48:58 Kirk vs. Vance 52:32 The information vacuum after the shooting: various speculations and contradictory media reports 54:20 The shooter: An "extremely online" youth shaped by internet subcultures and toxic gaming memes 56:55 The controversy surrounding FBI Director Kash Patel 1:00:52 When political violence becomes a form of "performance art" and an "offline toxic meme" 1:05:54 The reaction of Utah Governor Spencer Cox 1:09:04 Could this be the "Reichstag fire" of American politics? 1:14:09 The future of TPUSA: After Kirk's death, can this organization, highly dependent on his personal charisma, survive? 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. Our Hosts and Guests: Talich：Aficionado of American politics, culture, and history 王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information 小华 (Xiao Hua): Journalist, political observer

    1 小时 26 分钟
  4. 061 | 选区重划的潘多拉魔盒和纽森的抽象 Fighting Fire with Fire: Redistricting and the New Political Playbook

    9月7日

    061 | 选区重划的潘多拉魔盒和纽森的抽象 Fighting Fire with Fire: Redistricting and the New Political Playbook

    【聊了什么】 夏天通常是美国政治新闻周期比较缓慢的季节，但今年夏天的新闻并不少。在夏天的尾巴，“特朗普病危”的谣言突然在社交媒体上传播，暴露了“老皇帝”和“新太子”的微妙关系。与此同时，一场争夺国会控制权的战争已在地图上打响。从德州共和党的坚决出手，到加州民主党的强硬反制，两党围绕选区划分展开了极限攻防。这场“以火攻火”的对决将如何收场？加州州长纽森模仿特朗普的“烂梗”战术，是奇招还是险棋？ 本期节目录制于9月1日。 播客文字稿（付费会员专享）：https://theamericanroulette.com/redistricting-texas-california-newsom-transcript 【支持我们】 如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去： 也欢迎加入我们的会员计划： https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ 会员可以收到每周2-5封newsletter，可以加入会员社群，参加会员活动，并享受更多福利。 合作投稿邮箱：american.roulette.pod@gmail.com 【时间轴】 02:51 特朗普健康状况 10:52 进入本期核心——国会选区重划之争 12:04 什么是Gerrymandering？从历史起源到当代实践 15:50 “一人一票”原则的法律演进 21:49 “公平”的困境：独立委员会、党派利益与政治地理的冲突 36:11 《投票权法案》（VRA）的角色 46:31 德州战场：共和党如何通过重划选区谋求5个新增席位 53:05 加州反击：纽森领导的“以牙还牙”策略及其公投挑战 1:01:30 全国军备竞赛：两党在各州选区的未来布局与潜在战场 1:09:13 模仿还是超越？加州州长纽森的“网红”政治策略分析 1:21:25 民主党的未来路线之争：效仿特朗普还是坚持传统？ 【我们是谁】 美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。 我们的主播和嘉宾： Talich：美国政治和文化历史爱好者 王浩岚：美国政治爱好者，岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子 Lokin：美国法学院毕业生，即将成为一名纽约诉讼律师 小华：媒体人 【 What We Talked About】 Summer is usually a slower season for the American political news cycle, but there has been no shortage of news this summer. At the tail end of the summer, a rumor that "Trump is critically ill or dead" suddenly spread on social media, exposing the delicate relationship between the "old emperor" and the "new prince." Meanwhile, a battle for control of Congress has already begun on the electoral map. From the Texas Republican Party's move to the California Democratic Party's ountermeasures, the two parties have engaged in an extreme offense and defense over redistricting. How will this "fighting fire with fire" showdown end? Is California Governor Newsom's tactic of imitating Trump a brilliant move or a risky gamble? This episode was recorded on September 1st. Podcast Transcript (Paid Subscribers Only): https://theamericanroulette.com/redistricting-texas-california-newsom-transcript 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: american.roulette.pod@gmail.com 【Timeline】 02:51 Trump's Health Condition 10:52 The Core Topic of This Episode: The Battle Over Congressional Redistricting 12:04 What is Gerrymandering? From its Historical Origins to Modern Practices 15:50 The Legal Evolution of the "One Person, One Vote" Principle 21:49 The Dilemma of "Fairness": The Conflict Between Independent Commissions, Partisan Interests, and Political Geography 36:11 The Role of the Voting Rights Act (VRA) 46:31 The Texas Battlefield: How the Republican Party Aims to Gain 5 New Seats Through Redistricting 53:05 California's Counterattack: Newsom's "Eye for an Eye" Strategy and its Referendum Challenge 1:01:30 A Nationwide Arms Race: The Two Parties' Future Strategies and Potential Battlegrounds in State Districts 1:09:13 Imitation or Transcendence? An Analysis of California Governor Newsom's "Influencer" Political Strategy 1:21:25 The Democratic Party's Debate Over its Future Path: Imitate Trump or Stick to Tradition? 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. Our Hosts and Guests: Talich：Aficionado of American politics, culture, and history 王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information Lokin: U.S. law school student, incoming NY litigation lawyer 小华 (Xiao Hua): Journalist, political observer 【The Links】 If Redistricting Goes as Expected, Which Party Will Come Out Ahead? https://www.nytimes.com/2025/08/31/upshot/redistricting-analysis-2026-midterms.html

    1 小时 31 分钟
  5. 番外 | 有效加速主义与重塑世界：一部电影聊聊硅谷精英的上帝情结 Mountainhead and Silicon Valley's God Complex

    9月1日

    番外 | 有效加速主义与重塑世界：一部电影聊聊硅谷精英的上帝情结 Mountainhead and Silicon Valley's God Complex

    【聊了什么】 本期节目，我们与播客「疲惫娇娃」和「新新人类」的主播们，从HBO电影《Mountainhead》聊起，深入剖析硅谷权力图景的深刻变迁。当科技巨头们手握财富与数据，他们追逐的下一个目标是什么？从「有效加速主义」的兴起到意识形态的「宗教化」，我们探讨这套被精心包装的科技黑话背后，究竟是通向人类未来的乌托邦，还是满足个人权力与永生欲望的古老游戏。 欢迎关注友台疲惫娇娃和新新人类。 【支持我们】 如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去： 也欢迎加入我们的会员计划： https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ 会员可以收到每周2-5封newsletter，可以加入会员社群，参加会员活动，并享受更多福利。 合作投稿邮箱：american.roulette.pod@gmail.com 【时间轴】 03:39 我们最喜欢的编剧把我们的推特故事线拍成电影了 08:15 四位主角是如何“缝合”现实中的硅谷大佬们？ 15:56 硅谷意识形态的转变：从商业逻辑到宗教信仰 32:29 科技大佬的权力渴望与“大教堂”、“创始人主权”、“Luxury Belief” 42:30 渴望权力，却又想逃避责任的Tech Bro文化 54:29 警惕权力的新外衣与我们应有的警惕 【拓展链接 The Links】 小华提到的漫画：“参议院的老板们”——1889 【我们是谁】 美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。 我们的主播和嘉宾： 小华：媒体人 小杨：疲惫娇娃主播 花酱：疲惫娇娃主播 一闻：新新人类主播 主播和嘉宾的言论不代表其所在机构或其雇主的观点。 【 What We Talked About】 In this episode, we join forces with the hosts of the podcasts 疲惫娇娃 CyberPink and 新新人类 PixelPerfect to dive into HBO’s Mountainhead and examine the shifting power dynamics in Silicon Valley. When tech giants already hold vast wealth and data, what are they after next? From the rise of “Effective Accelerationism” to the growing religiosity of tech ideologies, we explore whether this carefully packaged tech jargon points to a utopian future for humanity—or merely masks an age-old game of personal power and the desire for immortality. 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: american.roulette.pod@gmail.com 【Timeline】 03:39 Our favorite screenwriter turns our Twitter storylines into a movie 08:15 How the four protagonists are “stitched together” from real-life Silicon Valley moguls 15:56 The ideological shift in Silicon Valley: from business logic to religious belief 32:29 Tech elites’ thirst for power: “The Cathedral,” “Founder Sovereignty,” and “Luxury Beliefs” 42:30 The Tech Bro dilemma—craving power while dodging responsibility 54:29 The new disguise of power and why we must remain vigilant 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. Our Hosts and Guests: 小华 (Xiao Hua): Journalist, political observer 小杨 (Xiao Yang): Host of 疲惫娇娃 CyberPink 花酱 (Hana Chan): Host of 疲惫娇娃 CyberPink 一闻 (Yiwen): Host of 新新人类 PixelPerfect The views expressed by the host and guests do not represent the opinions of their employers or any affiliated institutions.

    1 小时 3 分钟
  6. 060 | 2025高院判决盘点：「礼崩乐坏」或许才是常态 2025 Supreme Court Rulings

    8月25日

    060 | 2025高院判决盘点：「礼崩乐坏」或许才是常态 2025 Supreme Court Rulings

    【聊了什么】 在特朗普2.0时代，高院6比3的保守派多数已成定局。面对特朗普政府在行政权上的不断扩张和对司法独立底线的不断试探，高院是如何回应的？最高法院是美国民主的最后一道防线，还是行政权力的橡皮图章？ 本期节目中，我们与两位嘉宾复盘最高法院近期的关键判决，剖析其对美国政治与社会的深远影响。 播客文字稿（付费会员专享）：https://theamericanroulette.com/scotus-rulings-2025-transcript 【支持我们】 如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去： 也欢迎加入我们的会员计划： https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ 会员可以收到每周2-5封newsletter，可以加入会员社群，参加会员活动，并享受更多福利。 合作投稿邮箱：american.roulette.pod@gmail.com 【时间轴】 03:05 高院年度盘点背景介绍：特朗普第二任期与6比3的保守派多数 05:26 批判“3-3-3”法院的说法 11:10 首席大法官罗伯茨的个人议程与困境 15:05 宪法、政策与司法审查：法院角色的理论探讨 21:27 Trump v. CASA 与出生公民权 41:01 “影子卷宗”(Shadow Docket)的兴起及其影响 46:41 影子卷宗案例：移民与行政权力案件 53:01 从高院判决看总统制与议会制的差异 64:43 LGBTQ权益与父母权利的冲突 72:48 阿里托的愤怒与杰克逊的“末日预言” 83:24 高院的未来：合法性危机与下任期展望 95:34 重新审视法院角色 【我们是谁】 美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。 我们的主播和嘉宾： Lokin：美国法学院毕业生，即将成为一名纽约诉讼律师 王浩岚：美国政治爱好者，岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子 Nancy：普林斯顿大学政治学博士生，耶鲁法学院法律博士 品达：美国政治观察人士 【 What We Talked About】 In the era of Trump 2.0, a 6-3 conservative majority on the Supreme Court is a settled reality. How has the Court responded to the Trump administration's continuous expansion of executive power and its constant testing of the boundaries of judicial independence? Is the Supreme Court the last line of defense for American democracy, or a mere rubber stamp for executive authority? In this episode, we are joined by two guests to review the Supreme Court's recent key decisions and analyze their profound impact on American politics and society. Podcast Transcript (Paid Subscribers Only): https://theamericanroulette.com/scotus-rulings-2025-transcript 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: american.roulette.pod@gmail.com 【Timeline】 03:05 Background for the Supreme Court's Year in Review: Trump's Second Term and the 6-3 Conservative Majority 05:26 Critiquing the "3-3-3" Court Theory 11:10 Chief Justice Roberts's Personal Agenda and Dilemmas 15:05 Constitution, Policy, and Judicial Review: A Theoretical Exploration of the Court's Role 21:27 Trump v. CASA and Birthright Citizenship 41:01 The Rise of the "Shadow Docket" and Its Impact 46:41 Shadow Docket Cases: Immigration and Executive Power 53:01 Presidential vs. Parliamentary Systems as Seen Through Supreme Court Rulings 64:43 The Conflict Between LGBTQ Rights and Parental Rights 72:48 Justice Alito's Anger and Justice Jackson's "Doomsday Prophecy" 83:24 The Future of the Supreme Court: Legitimacy Crisis and a Look Ahead to the Next Term 95:34 Reexamining the Role of the Court 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. Our Hosts and Guests: Lokin: U.S. law school student, incoming NY litigation lawyer 王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information Nancy：Princeton Politics PhD student, Yale Law School graduate Pinda：American political enthusiast 【The Links】 Trump v. CASA, Inc. https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/24pdf/24a884_8n59.pdf Department of Homeland Security v. D.V.D. https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/24pdf/24a1153_2co3.pdf Mahmoud v. Taylor https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/24pdf/24-297_4f14.pdf A. A. R. P. v. Trump https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/24pdf/24a1007_g2bh.pdf Skrmetti v. United States https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/24pdf/23-477_2cp3.pdf Trump v. Wilcox https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/24pdf/24a966_1b8e.pdf KBJ's footnote 12 in Stanley v. City of Sanford, Florida https://abovethelaw.com/2025/06/neil-gorsuch-starts-some-supreme-court-drama-ketanji-brown-jackson-ends-it/ How the Transgender Rights Movement Bet on the Supreme Court and Lost https://www.nytimes.com/2025/06/19/magazine/scotus-transgender-care-tennessee-skrmetti.html Sarah McBride on Why the Left Lost on Trans Rights https://www.nytimes.com/2025/06/17/opinion/ezra-klein-podcast-sarah-mcbride.html Lawless https://www.simonandschuster.com/books/Lawless/Leah-Litman/9781668054628

    1 小时 46 分钟
  7. 059 | 美国媒体的分水岭时刻 This is America's Watershed Moment

    8月11日

    059 | 美国媒体的分水岭时刻 This is America's Watershed Moment

    【聊了什么】 2025年是美国媒体行业的分水岭之年。特朗普重返白宫，不仅没有再次给媒体续命，反而加速了传统媒体的衰落，他通过诉讼、监管等多种手段深刻影响了派拉蒙等传媒巨头的商业决策，共和党也掀起了对公共广播的资金围剿。与此同时，WBD、Comcast等集团纷纷拆分传统有线电视业务，科技新贵入主好莱坞，一个旧时代正被加速终结。这期节目中，我们又请来了杨一，一起深入剖析美国媒体的未来将走向何方。 播客文字稿（付费会员专享）：https://theamericanroulette.com/america-media-watershed-moment-trump-transcript 【加入杨一的花园 · 会员计划】 8月31日前加入「杨一的花园 · 会员计划」，成为「联结者」，可以使用优惠码MLMH10，立享首年9折优惠。 美轮美换付费会员加入「杨一的花园」，享首年8折优惠，请登陆美轮美换网站了解兑换方式。 https://yangyigarden.com 【支持我们】 如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去： 也欢迎加入我们的会员计划： https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ 会员可以收到每周2-5封newsletter，可以加入会员社群，参加会员活动，并享受更多福利。 合作投稿邮箱：american.roulette.pod@gmail.com 【时间轴】 01:38 「杨一的花园 · 会员计划」 02:23 AAJA记者年会观察：AI、创作者经济与行业变革 12:00 派拉蒙合并案中的特朗普因素与政治博弈 21:57 Colbert深夜秀的落幕与喜剧形态的演变 33:19 WBD、Comcast为何纷纷拆分有线电视业务？ 39:56 国会停止拨款，美国公共广播（NPR/PBS）何去何从？ 48:33 默多克与特朗普因《华尔街日报》报道再现裂痕 55:36 为何说2025年是美国媒体真正的分水岭？ 61:17 未来挑战：AI、“Google Zero”与创作者经济的冲击 【我们是谁】 美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。 我们的主播和嘉宾： 小华：媒体人 杨一：旅英媒体人 【 What We Talked About】 2025 is a watershed year for the American media industry. The return of Trump to the White House, rather than reviving the media, has accelerated the decline of traditional outlets. Through litigation, regulation, and other measures, he has profoundly influenced the business decisions of media giants like Paramount, while the Republican party has intensified its campaign to defund public broadcasting. Concurrently, conglomerates such as WBD and Comcast are spinning off their traditional cable TV businesses, and new tech money is moving into Hollywood, rapidly bringing an end to an old era. In this episode, we are once again joined by Yang Yi to conduct an in-depth analysis of where the future of American media is headed. Podcast Transcript (Paid Subscribers Only): https://theamericanroulette.com/america-media-watershed-moment-trump-transcript 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: american.roulette.pod@gmail.com 【Timeline】 01:38 Yang Yi's Garden · Membership Program 02:23 Observations from the AAJA Convention: AI, the Creator Economy, and Industry Transformation 12:00 The Trump Factor and Political Maneuvering in the Paramount Merger Case 21:57 The End of Colbert's Late Show and the Evolution of Comedy Formats 33:19 Why Are WBD and Comcast Spinning Off Their Cable TV Businesses? 39:56 With Congress Cutting Off Funding, What's Next for America's Public Broadcasting (NPR/PBS)? 48:33 Murdoch and Trump Rift Resurfaces Over a Wall Street Journal Report 55:36 Why 2025 is the True Watershed Year for American Media 61:17 Future Challenges: The Impact of AI, "Google Zero," and the Creator Economy 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. Our Hosts and Guests: 小华 (Xiao Hua): Journalist, political observer Yang Yi: Journalist based in London

    1 小时 7 分钟
  8. 058 | 自己人变成深层政府？从爱泼斯坦风暴到“大而美法案”的政治算计 Did Trump Become the Deep State?

    7月18日

    058 | 自己人变成深层政府？从爱泼斯坦风暴到“大而美法案”的政治算计 Did Trump Become the Deep State?

    【聊了什么】 一场始料未及的风暴正席卷特朗普的第二任期。曾被MAGA选民寄予厚望、用以清算“深层政府”的“爱泼斯坦客户名单”，却被特朗普自己的司法部宣告“不存在”，瞬间引爆其基本盘的信任危机。这究竟是一次拙劣的政治操作，还是一场旨在掩盖更惊人真相的阴谋？司法部长邦迪会成为第一个被献祭的内阁成员吗？ 与此同时，共和党在国会强力通过了标志性的“大而美法案”，将企业减税永久化，却把对医疗补助等福利的削减推迟到了中期选举之后。这一系列操作背后，是传统共和党建制派的胜利，还是特朗普主义的策略性妥协？ 作为回应，曾与特朗普短暂结盟的马斯克，因不满法案中的新能源政策和财政赤字问题，高调宣布成立“美国党”。这究竟是撼动美国两党政治的开始，还是又一个亿万富翁的政治幻想？ 本期节目录制于2025年7月13日美国东部时间晚间10点左右。 播客文字稿（付费会员专享）：https://theamericanroulette.com/jeffrey-epstein-big-beautiful-bill-elon-musk-america-party-transcript 【支持我们】 如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去： 也欢迎加入我们的会员计划： https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ 会员可以收到每周2-5封newsletter，可以加入会员社群，参加会员活动，并享受更多福利。 合作投稿邮箱：american.roulette.pod@gmail.com 【时间轴】 00:01:53 特朗普第二任期的首个大危机：“爱泼斯坦文件”风波始末 01:05 司法部长邦迪为何“犯错”？MAGA支持者为何愤怒？ 14:25 从爱泼斯坦到外星人：特朗普选民的独特关注点 16:41 进入正题：国会通过“大而美法案” 18:00 立法博弈：为何众议院直接“吞下”了更激进的参议院版本？ 26:38 “过两年我们就赢回来了”：美国政治“摆烂心态”的新常态 35:00 法案里的“惊喜”：为何要对职业赌徒的税收下重手？ 38:29 “大而美法案”之外的战场：共和党计划在德州重划选区 59:21 法案的真实影响：医疗补助削减与中期选举的“甩锅”大赛 65:00 共和党的“老内核”：为何企业减税被永久化？ 73:22 马斯克成立“美国党”：撼动两党制还是政治幻想？ 74:41 财政保守，社会中间：为何马斯克的政党找不到选民？ 80:00 第三党的“宿命”：为何在美国成立新政党如此困难？ 90:45 政治抱负与商业利益：马斯克无法摆脱的政府依赖 92:05 “亿万富翁救世主”心态：马斯克的政治实验能走多远？ 【我们是谁】 美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。 我们的主播和嘉宾： Talich：美国政治和文化历史爱好者 王浩岚：美国政治爱好者，岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子 小华：媒体人 主播和嘉宾的言论不代表其所在机构或其雇主的观点。 【 What We Talked About】 An unforeseen storm is sweeping through Trump's second term. The "Epstein client list," once seen by MAGA voters as the key to a reckoning with the "deep state," has been declared "nonexistent" by Trump's own Department of Justice, instantly sparking a crisis of trust with his base. Is this a clumsy political maneuver, or a conspiracy to hide a more shocking truth? Will Attorney General Bondi be the first cabinet member to be sacrificed? Meanwhile, Republicans in Congress have powered through the landmark "One Big Beautiful Bill," making corporate tax cuts permanent while delaying cuts to social benefits like Medicaid until after the midterm elections. Is this move a victory for the traditional GOP establishment, or a strategic compromise of Trumpism? In response, Elon Musk, once briefly allied with Trump, has loudly announced the formation of the "American Party," citing his dissatisfaction with the bill's new energy policies and the ballooning fiscal deficit. Is this the beginning of a shake-up of America's two-party system, or just another billionaire's political fantasy? This episode was recorded around 10 PM ET on July 13, 2025. Podcast Transcript (Paid Subscribers Only): https://theamericanroulette.com/jeffrey-epstein-big-beautiful-bill-elon-musk-america-party-transcript 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: american.roulette.pod@gmail.com 【Timeline】 00:01:53 Trump's Second-Term Crisis: The "Epstein Files" Fiasco 01:05 Why Did AG Bondi "Blunder"? Why MAGA Supporters Are Furious 14:25 From Epstein to Aliens: The Unique Interests of Trump's Voters 16:41 The Main Story: Congress Passes the "One Big Beautiful Bill" 18:00 Legislative Games: Why the House "Swallowed" the Senate's More Radical Bill 26:38 "We'll Win It Back in Two Years": The New Normal of Political Apathy 35:00 A Surprise in the Bill: Why a Crackdown on Professional Gamblers? 38:29 Beyond the Bill: The GOP's Plan to Redistrict Texas 59:21 The Bill's Real Impact: Medicaid Cuts and the Midterm Blame Game 65:00 The GOP's "Old Guard" DNA: Why Corporate Tax Cuts Were Made Permanent 73:22 Musk Founds the "American Party": A Political Shake-up or Fantasy? 74:41 Fiscally Conservative, Socially Centrist: Why Musk's Party Can't Find Voters 80:00 The Fate of Third Parties: Why It's So Hard to Launch a New Party in the U.S. 90:45 Political Ambitions vs. Business Interests: Musk's Inescapable Reliance on the Government 92:05 The "Billionaire Savior" Complex: How Far Can Musk's Political Experiment Go? 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. Our Hosts and Guests: Talich：Aficionado of American politics, culture, and history 王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information 小华 (Xiao Hua): Journalist, political observer The views expressed by the host and guests do not represent the opinions of their employers or any affiliated institutions. 【The Links】 https://www.wsj.com/politics/trump-jeffrey-epstein-birthday-letter-we-have-certain-things-in-common-f918d796?mod=hp_lead_pos7

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