All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg Jason Calacanis

(0:00) Bestie intros!
(3:05) GOP Primary update: polling, acceptable candidates, tentpole issues
(11:56) All-In Summit 2023 recap
(24:12) IPOs and M&A heat up: Arm, Instacart, and Klaviyo go public, Cisco acquires Splunk for $28B, but did the "great reopening" fall short?
(42:34) Did the Fed break the VC model? How LPs will evaluate fund managers going forward
(50:45) Breaking down Instacart and Klaviyo's businesses
(1:01:12) Revaluing Airtable and the path forward for ZIRP-era unicorns
(1:13:14) Fed pauses rate hikes, but says rates will stay higher for longer, plus: what breaks next in the economy?
(1:32:51) Science Corner: new "inverse-vaccine" treatment is a potential game changer for autoimmune diseases
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/chamath
https://linktr.ee/calacanis
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
https://twitter.com/friedberg
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://rb.gy/tppkzl
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-primary-r/2024/new-hampshire
https://youtu.be/yjj1QjZlQMM
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-09-21/cisco-to-buy-splunk-for-157-a-share-in-28billion-deal
https://twitter.com/pitdesi/status/1704874017357025499
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/ARM:NASDAQ?comparison=NASDAQ%3ACART%2CNYSE%3AKVYO&window=5D
https://twitter.com/aswathdamodaran/status/1704246090198036914
https://cloudedjudgement.substack.com/p/clouded-judgement-81823-q2-earnings
https://www.lendingtree.com/content/uploads/2023/08/ccs-chart-3-3.jpg
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MORTGAGE30US
https://www.ey.com/en_gl/ipo/trends
https://stockanalysis.com/ipos/statistics
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/COIN:NASDAQ
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/EXPE:NASDAQ
https://www.axios.com/2023/09/19/instacarts-ipo-venture-capital
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1579091/000119312523221345/d55348ds1.htm
https://influencermarketinghub.com/amazon-ad-revenue
https://twitter.com/jasonlk/status/1704212644402540573
https://www.saastr.com/5-interesting-learnings-from-klaviyo-at-650000000-in-arr
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1078755080478715904
https://i.insider.com/4dd4d1cf4bd7c8c90f000000
https://twitter.com/asanwal/status/1703492397739516068
https://www.cnbc.com/2023/09/20/fed-rate-decision-september-2023-.html
https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/crude-oil
https://kalshi.com/markets/fed/fed-interest-rates#fed-23nov
https://www.popularmechanics.com/cars/hybrid-electric/a42558850/tesla-price-cuts-worth-buying
https://hellometer.io
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41551-023-01086-2
 

(0:00) Besties welcome former NJ Governor and Republican Presidential Candidate Chris Christie!
(2:14) US debt crisis, cutting entitlements
(14:03) Level-setting on foreign policy
(25:28) Ukraine / Russia: culpability, where to go from here
(36:47) US defense budget, optimizing spend, zero-based budgeting, influence peddling
(50:01) Immigration policy, how each party co-opts the issue
(1:02:24) Fentanyl crisis in SF, LA, and NYC, incarceration and criminal justice reform, political activism in law enforcement
(1:15:57) Why Chris Christie is running for president
(1:17:41) Thoughts on prosecuting Trump, January 6th, and more
(1:23:16) Chris Christie addresses his past controversies
(1:48:34) Post-interview debrief
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/chamath
https://linktr.ee/calacanis
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
https://twitter.com/friedberg
Follow Chris Christie:
https://twitter.com/GovChristie
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://rb.gy/tppkzl
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/GFDEBTN
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SMPOPNETMUSA
https://www.cbp.gov/newsroom/stats/southwest-land-border-encounters
https://www.washingtonpost.com/immigration/2023/08/31/border-families-record-crossings-biden

(0:00) Chamath's big poker trip
(4:32) Addressing the "in the arena" comments
(7:16) Biden administration targets Elon's businesses
(21:58) Tiger Global claims disgruntled ex-employee circulated fake hit piece
(27:51) BRICS adds six new members, Sacks breaks down some potential advantages of the new BRICS
(40:46) BRICS ultimate goals, India's key position
(51:54) How energy independence plays into the future geopolitical order
(1:00:22) All-In Summit party talk!
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/chamath
https://linktr.ee/calacanis
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
https://twitter.com/friedberg
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://rb.gy/tppkzl
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1693992134796603477
https://twitter.com/tomosman/status/1696929638935634240
https://twitter.com/KanekoaTheGreat/status/1697072553775501661
https://www.newsweek.com/joe-bidens-robert-peters-pseudonym-under-scrutiny-gop-probes-emails-1820709
https://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/justice-department-sues-spacex-discriminating-against-asylees-and-refugees-hiring
https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1695073336483832007
https://www.justice.gov/crt/page/file/1579981/download
https://www.cnn.com/2022/11/09/tech/elon-musk-biden-foreign-business-relations/index.html
https://www.washingtonpost.com/lifestyle/2023/08/26/oliver-anthony-republican-debate-rich-men
https://www.thefp.com/p/oliver-anthony-interview-rich-men-north-richmond
https://www.foxnews.com/video/6335645970112
https://www.forbes.com/sites/alexkonrad/2023/08/25/tiger-global-blames-disgruntled-formeremployee-for-mystery-memo-sent-to-journalists
https://www.reuters.com/world/brics-poised-invite-new-members-join-bloc-sources-2023-08-24
https://www.ft.com/content/4ff06aa6-b1bf-4e08-9b8d-aa42ee240c95
https://www.ft.com/content/669260a5-82a5-4e7a-9bbf-4f41c54a6143
https://www.voanews.com/a/india-remains-steadfast-in-partnership-with-russia/6883794.html
https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/india-will-buy-oil-all-sources-who-offer-lowest-possible-prices-oil-minister-2023-08-30
https://www.budd.senate.gov/press-releases/budd-coons-lead-bipartisan-coalition-supporting-nuclear-energy
https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1696295679344459807
https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2023/06/02/united-states-ukraine-trust-developing-nations

(0:00) Bestie intros: Friedberg's interview with NASA Astronaut Woody Hoburg, live from the ISS!
(2:58) All-In Tequila update
(10:04) Nvidia smashes earnings, GPU market outlook
(37:39) Arm files for IPO: positive sign or plank walk? Plus: State of the IPO market
(49:51) Sacks on current investable metrics right now in VC
(55:33) GOP Debate breakdown: Vivek's statement, DeSantis's strategy, Haley & Christie solidify positions
(1:39:46) Vivek's comments on the Climate Agenda
(1:47:07) Prigozhin crash
 
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/chamath
https://linktr.ee/calacanis
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
https://twitter.com/friedberg
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://rb.gy/tppkzl
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://twitter.com/friedberg/status/1694506279954526487
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1693441068036169785
https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1693524941721731189
https://www.wine.com/product/21-seeds-tequila-trio/633617
https://www.villadeste.com
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NVDA:NASDAQ
https://nvidianews.nvidia.com/news/nvidia-announces-financial-results-for-second-quarter-fiscal-2024
https://companiesmarketcap.com
https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1694457666289225776
https://electrek.co/2023/06/21/tesla-dojo-supercomputer-is-finally-coming-next-month
https://prospect.org/features/great-telecom-implosion
https://www.statista.com/chart/6780/only-5-countries-have-a-bigger-gdp-than-california
https://twitter.com/OpenAI/status/1694062483462594959
https://openai.com/blog/gpt-3-5-turbo-fine-tuning-and-api-updates
https://twitter.com/nathanbenaich/status/1694073194351648932
https://commoncrawl.org/about/team
https://adsense.googleblog.com/2005/10/spotlight-on-weblogs-inc.html
https://twitter.com/twistartups/status/1694399138194952363
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1973239/000119312523216983/d393891df1.htm
https://www.theverge.com/2023/7/13/23793969/adobe-figma-merger-acquisition-uk-cma-regulator-investigation
https://venturebeat.com/games/microsoft-signs-15-year-cloud-streaming-deal-with-ubisoft-in-latest-bid-to-win-activision-blizzard-approval
https://www.stonealgo.com
https://youtu.be/f51Yd9h9ZXo
https://www.natesilver.net/p/ramaswamy-and-the-physics-of-multi
https://www.cnn.com/2023/08/04/politics/cnn-poll-ukraine/index.html
https://www.mediaite.com/politics/whopping-ninety-six-percent-oppose-supporting-ukraine-against-russia-in-turning-points-action-straw-poll

(0:00) Sacks' big night
(2:56) Sacks on spirits
(14:27) "Rich Men North of Richmond" goes viral and debuts at #1 on Apple Music, upward mobility issues in America, solutions
(53:01) Michael Burry's bet against the market: overblown?
(58:33) Real estate capital crunch
(1:12:26) Trump's newest indictment
(1:23:31) What Adyen's big drop means for Stripe's valuation
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/chamath
https://linktr.ee/calacanis
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
https://twitter.com/friedberg
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://rb.gy/tppkzl
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://youtu.be/sqSA-SY5Hro
https://www.azlyrics.com/lyrics/oliveranthony/richmennorthofrichmond.html
https://ricochet.com/942803/qotd-solzhenitsyn-on-the-liars
https://www.advisorperspectives.com/dshort/updates/2021/10/25/updated-u-s-household-incomes-a-50-year-perspective
https://www.cnn.com/2023/08/15/investing/michael-burry-stock-market-crash/index.html
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1649339/000090514823000689/xslForm13F_X02/informationtable.xml
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MORTGAGE30US
https://www.wsj.com/articles/wall-street-is-ready-to-scoop-up-commercial-real-estateon-the-cheap-6edac64f
https://twitter.com/rothcre/status/1691910066952351963
https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1691789175786246246
https://d3i6fh83elv35t.cloudfront.net/static/2023/08/CRIMINAL-INDICTMENT-Trump-Fulton-County-GA.pdf
https://www.lawfaremedia.org/article/what-the-heck-happened-in-coffee-county-georgia
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/ADYEY:OTCMKTS

(0:00) Bestie intros: Friedberg's bad haircut
(1:17) Welcome BG^2! Biography recommendations and film talk
(22:27) VC market update: State of Series A's
(33:43) Dry powder misconceptions, marking incentives
(48:57) IPO window starting to open, IPO down rounds, incentives to go public
(1:03:17) Cyclical venture cycles, managing distributions, benchmarking VC performance vs public market
(1:22:26) Tragic Maui wildfires, extreme temperatures
(1:26:11) Macro picture: inflation cools, deflation risk?
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/chamath
https://linktr.ee/calacanis
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
https://twitter.com/friedberg
https://twitter.com/altcap
https://twitter.com/bgurley
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://rb.gy/tppkzl
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://youtu.be/xmYekD6-PZ8
https://www.amazon.com/Setting-Table-Transforming-Hospitality-Business/dp/0060742755
https://www.amazon.com/Steve-Jobs-Walter-Isaacson/dp/147770146X
https://www.amazon.com/Elon-Musk-Spanish-Walter-Isaacson/dp/B0CBTHK86N
https://www.amazon.com/Good-Great-Some-Companies-Others/dp/0066620996
https://www.amazon.com/Man-Arena-Selected-Writings-Roosevelt/dp/0765306700
https://www.amazon.com/Shoe-Dog-Memoir-Creator-Nike/dp/1501135910
https://www.amazon.com/Alexander-Hamilton-Ron-Chernow/dp/1594200092
https://www.amazon.com/Something-Autobiography-Vintage-Akira-Kurosawa/dp/B0C3D5NDJX
https://www.amazon.com/Born-Standing-Up-Comics-Martin/dp/B017QUU3EO
https://www.amazon.com/Writing-Memoir-Craft-Stephen-King/dp/1439193630
https://www.amazon.com/Autobiography-Malcolm-told-Alex-Haley/dp/0345379756
https://www.linkedin.com/posts/peterjameswalker_cartadata-seriesa-valuations-activity-7092542118803488768-vOcY
https://www.theinformation.com/articles/venture-firms-still-writing-small-checks-despite-271-billion-in-dry-powder
https://twitter.com/bgurley/status/1688605654188224512
https://finance.yahoo.com/chart/SN
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/CAVA:NYSE
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SRFM
https://twitter.com/altcap/status/1686086247029055489
https://www.wsj.com/articles/university-endowments-mint-billions-in-golden-era-of-venture-capital-11632907802
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Hhy7JUinlu0
https://twitter.com/gokulr/status/1680006171149869056
https://www.statista.com/statistics/277501/venture-capital-amount-invested-in-the-united-states-since-1995
https://www.bls.gov/charts/consumer-price-index/consumer-price-index-by-category-line-chart.htm
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2023-08-10/disinflation-wave-the-bloomberg-open-americas-edition
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/08/09/business/china-economy-inflation.html
https://twitter.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1689010884062904320