Asia Debates Asia Centre

À l'occasion du soixantième anniversaire de l'établissement des relations diplomatiques entre la France et la Chine, Asia Centre et Jean-François Di Meglio ont eu le privilège d'accueillir et de discuter avec S.E. Claude Martin, Ambassadeur de France et ancien ambassadeur de France en Chine. Fort de son expérience, M. Martin nous conte la vision gaulliste de l'époque qui permet l'établissement des relations avec la Chine communiste (à contre courant des autres pays européens), mais aussi les obstacles et les difficultés actuelles pour l'Union Européenne de peser dans la balance entre les États-Unis et la Chine.

À l'occasion du soixantième anniversaire de l'établissement des relations diplomatiques entre la France et la Chine, Asia Centre et Jean-François Di Meglio ont eu le privilège d'accueillir et de discuter avec S.E. Claude Martin, Ambassadeur de France et ancien ambassadeur de France en Chine. Fort de son expérience, M. Martin nous conte la vision gaulliste de l'époque qui permet l'établissement des relations avec la Chine communiste (à contre courant des autres pays européens), mais aussi les obstacles et les difficultés actuelles pour l'Union Européenne de peser dans la balance entre les États-Unis et la Chine.

Asia Centre and SKEMA Business School are honored to introduce DiploMatrix, an open and innovative Interstate Conflictual Relations Index that marks a significant advancement in the realm of real-time geopolitical surveillance. Developed through rigorous analysis of data from the Global Data on Events, Location, and Tone (GDELT) database, DiploMatrix provides an unmatched perspective on the complexities of international tensions, differentiating between verbal and material conflicts for all country-pairs globally since 2015. In a period characterized by the growing influence of geopolitical disputes on global trade, capital flows, and wars, DiploMatrix emerges as an essential tool, equipping stakeholders with a sophisticated early warning system that is both comprehensive and timely. We invite you to join us in discovering this cutting-edge index, crafted to not only track but also foresee the intricate dynamics that sculpt our global landscape.

Agenda:
Introducing DiploMatrix, data and methodology
Using DiploMatrix to map South China Sea tensions
Q&A

Pannel:
* Frederic Munier, SKEMA BS
* Rodolphe Desbordes, SKEMA BS
* François Issard, Asia Centre
* Elodie Papin, Asia Centre
* Jean-François Di Meglio, Asia Centre
* Jean-Baptiste Monnier, Asia Centre

Asia Centre:
Founded in 2005, Asia Centre is an independent research institute that holds debates and issues publications on matters relating to international, strategic, economic relations, as well as the political and social transformations underway in the Asia-Pacific.
www.asiacentre.eu

About SKEMA Business School: With 10,000 students of more than 130 nationalities, 190 professors and 57,000 graduates in 145 countries, SKEMA Business School is a global teaching and research institution that trains talents committed to transforming the world sustainably. Hybridisation between the humanities, social sciences and data sciences is at the heart of its model, and global exposure is its modus operandi.
Multi-accredited (AACSB, EQUIS, EFMD Accredited EMBA), the school is recognised worldwide for its research, more than 70 programmes of excellence, and its international multi-site structure in six countries: Brazil, Canada, China, France, South Africa, and the United States.
www.skema.edu
www.skema-bs.fr

••
This event has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon Europe research and innovation programme under grant agreement number 101061700.
[Views and opinions expressed are however those of the author(s) only and do not necessarily reflect those of the European Union. Neither the European Union nor the granting authority can be held responsible for them].

In this podcast, Jean-François Di Meglio chairman of Asia Centre welcomed Isabelle Feng, back from a 4 months stay in Taiwan, she presented her measure of the pulse. As a mainlander, Isabelle shared her insights about Beijing’s moves and how the Taiwanese people are reacting to these pressures.
Specialized in China’s economy and foreign policy including China-EU and China-USA relations, Isabelle Feng is a scientific associate at the Perelman Centre for the Philosophy of Law at the Université Libre de Bruxelles.

They discussed about the mood in Taiwan before the elections throughout the following subjects.

They delved into the prevailing mood in Taiwan leading up to the elections, exploring various facets of the discussion. Both participants provided a nuanced overview, drawing attention to the electoral landscape shaped by factors such as the constitution of the Republic of China and the ongoing modifications to its universal suffrage system. The conversation also shed light on the dynamics of political parties during the Yuan legislative period.

With I. Feng recently returning from Taiwan, she shared valuable insights into the current state of public opinion. The dialogue then transitioned to an analysis of the perspectives of Xi Jinping and Biden. The discussion culminated in reflections on the post-election scenario and prospects for the future.

This research is part of a European Commission project "China Horizons" (formal name is "Dealing with a resurgent China” or DWARC) which has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon Europe research and innovation programme under grant agreement number 101061700. The project is one of the EU-funded flagship projects to upgrade independent knowledge on China in Europe. The three-year project started in November 2022.

Kjeld Erik Brødsgaard holds the position of Professor of China Studies within the Department of International Economics and Management at Copenhagen Business School.
Jean-Pierre Cabestan, Associate Researcher at Asia Centre as well as at the Centre d’Études Français on the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region of the People’s Republic of China, is an emeritus senior researcher at CNRS attached to the French Research Institute for East Asia (IFRAE) at INALCO debate about the Taïwan’s pre elections campaign throughout the following subjects.
Jean-François Di Meglio, Chairman of Asia Centre based in Paris.

This podcast was produced before the passing away of former prime minister Li Keqiang.

1. Young people’s frustration and pessimism results in a brain-drain
(Young graduates escape ; Frustration and pessimism ; End of growth ; 0Covid policies ; people don’t consume but save because of unemployment ; anxiety because of possibilities of war)
2. Economic apprehension transitions into political concerns, influenced by Xi's government
(Economic anxiety switch to a political one ; Elites place in the party ; Continue corruption of military ; Xi’s successor)
3. A population left disheartened, if not alarmed, by the handling of global diplomacy
(Crackdown of cultural activities ; Competition with the US ; Close friendship with Poutine)

Jean-Pierre Cabestan mentions the New Yorker’s article “China’s Age of Malaise” by Evans Osnos, October 23rd, yo can find it with the following link https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2023/10/30/chinas-age-of-malaise

This research is part of a European Commission project "China Horizons" (formal name is "Dealing with a resurgent China” or DWARC) which has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon Europe research and innovation programme under grant agreement number 101061700. The project is one of the EU-funded flagship projects to upgrade independent knowledge on China in Europe. The three-year project started in November 2022.

One year after the unprecedented appointments and reshuffles of the 20th Chinese Communist Party Congress, China watchers are still pondering the magnitude of issues facing China’s sputtering economy.

This comes after Qin Gang, former Ambassador to the US and impending Minister of Foreign Affairs, was withdrawn from the international scene post-June 25th, allegedly due to an extramarital affair. This, and the similarly unexplained disappearance of the previously powerful General Li Shangfu in mid-September, has shifted the focus of China watchers toward the delay in announcing the 20th PCC’s Third Party Plenum. Plenums from 1978 to the most recent in October 2017 have set the tone for economic reforms and announced significant measures in the conduct of domestic policies.

Jean-Pierre Cabestan and Jean-François Di Meglio will delve into questions arising from the ever-opaque management of the Party itself. As the Third Belt and Road Summit takes place in Beijing, they will assess the potential consequences of these unexpected developments, placing them into the current perspective of China’s positioning at a crucial crossroads: “releasing political and economic pressure post-Covid” versus the temptation of a more inward-looking political line.

This event has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon Europe research and innovation programme under grant agreement number 101061700.

[Views and opinions expressed are however those of the author(s) only and do not necessarily reflect those of the European Union. Neither the European Union nor the granting authority can be held responsible for them].