On my way to Australia in late August, I made a 36-hour stopover in Dubai, during which I rode a driverless Baidu Apollo Go robotaxi; that story is here. From Dubai, I flew another 13 hours to Brisbane, the country’s third-largest city, to present at the Australian Taxi Industry Association’s (ATIA) national conference on the Gold Coast, about an hour to the south. The invitation carried a specific brief: explain how New York City might convert taxi medallions, and perhaps for-hire vehicle (FHV) licenses, better known as TLC plates, into autonomous vehicle (AV) licenses. Put plainly, if Waymo, Tesla, Uber or anyone else wants to run a paid robotaxi service in NYC, they will need to get hold of a TLC vehicle license. This is how the early rules and regulations around NYC AVs are currently constructed. The city’s Department of Transportation (DOT) issues AV testing permits, but only after a company has been granted an Autonomous Vehicle Technology Demonstration Testing Permit by the state’s Department of Motor Vehicles (DMV). Paid AV trips in New York City, however, are regulated by the city’s Taxi and Limousine Commission (TLC). After all, one would reasonably expect “robotaxis” to be regulated by the taxi and for-hire transportation regulator. Entities and test vehicle operators utilizing AVs in for-hire transportation services must comply with the New York City Taxi and Limousine Commission’s (TLC) rules and regulations, including obtaining a TLC license. Source: Autonomous Vehicles in New York City, New York City Department of Transportation (NYC DOT) I have supported the current structure and have been making the case, privately and publicly, for a more specific and explicit set of regulations for driverless taxis and Ubers in NYC. I am also invested in the outcome, as an owner of TLC plates and an investor in Marblegate, the largest holder of taxi medallions and medallion loans. AVs in New York are a licensing problem, not a technology problem. The question is not when robotaxis arrive in the five boroughs. It is who controls the licenses when they do, and how that might also serve as a mechanism to smooth over a large labor transition impacting over a hundred thousand New Yorkers and their families. The video above is a re-recorded, slightly longer version of the presentation I gave to a full room of Australian taxi industry players at the Mantra on View in Surfers Paradise. In it, I walk through why New York created the medallion, how AVs are regulated today from Albany down to the TLC, the pending bills that would tie AV licenses to taxi medallions, and why labor will decide how this plays out. Article continues after advertisement The Room The audience was mostly taxi company owners and operators from across Australia. What surprised them most wasn’t anything about robotaxis. It was learning that New York caps the number of vehicles Uber and Lyft can put on the road. More than one person told me they wished Australia had done the same. Several state regulators were also in the room, including the acting Point to Point Transport Commissioner of New South Wales (NSW), Kate Timbs; the Director of Personalised Transport Policy at Queensland’s Department of Transport and Main Roads, Kit McDonald; and a Senior Manager from Safe Transport Victoria, Emily McLean. How Australia Regulates Taxis Sydney is in NSW. Melbourne is in Victoria. Brisbane is in Queensland. In Australia, taxis and apps like Uber are regulated at the state, or regional government, level. The three largest states, NSW, Victoria and Queensland, account for about 77% of the country's population, according to the Australian Bureau of Statistics, but there are also large cities like Adelaide and Perth, in South Australia and Western Australia respectively, along with a string of sizeable towns, a capital territory similar to Washington, D.C., and the island of Tasmania. See the map below. The terminology used for taxis and apps like Uber also differs: * Point-to-Point Transport in NSW and South Australia * Commercial Passenger Vehicles in Victoria and the Northern Territory * Personalised Transport in Queensland * On-demand Transport in Western Australia, Tasmania and the Australian Capital Territory (ACT), where the nation’s capital, Canberra, is located For example, Sydney does not have a Sydney Taxi Commission. The city’s for-hire transportation industry is regulated at the state level by the Point to Point Transport Commissioner, an office within the NSW (state) transport portfolio. Like New York’s TLC chair, the Commissioner is appointed, not elected, and ultimately answers to an elected official: the state’s Minister for Transport, who serves in the government of the elected Premier of New South Wales. AVs add a new layer. Driverless vehicles can’t yet operate commercially in Australia; for now, they run only in trials. Under a framework approved by Australia’s transport ministers in 2022, their in-service safety will be regulated nationally, through a new Commonwealth law, the Automated Vehicle Safety Law (AVSL), which has yet to be enacted, and a single national regulator. In November 2025, transport ministers agreed to allow conditional deployment of automated vehicles from 2027 in selected locations, depending on each state and territory updating its own laws. The national law won’t decide who can sell a robotaxi ride, though. Under the framework, the states keep control of vehicle registration, road access, road rules enforcement and their commercial passenger vehicle laws, and a company running a robotaxi fleet would carry duties under each state’s passenger transport rules. States aren’t meant to second-guess where a vehicle approved nationally can safely drive, but the business of carrying paying passengers stays with them. In other words, the Australian federal government (Canberra) will decide whether a robotaxi is safe to drive, and the states will decide whether it can carry a paying passenger, much as the federal government, Albany and the TLC divide those questions in New York. What Happened to Australia’s Taxi Licenses, and Why They Could Still Matter for AVs Australia’s history with taxi licenses is why New York’s approach resonated in the room. Before Uber, Australia’s taxi systems looked a lot like New York’s: a capped number of licenses, owned, traded and leased as assets. After Uber, the paths split. New York protected its medallion system and associated owner-drivers, and later capped the apps. In Australia, values started falling even before rideshare was legal. In October 2015, the Australian Financial Review reported that Uber had taken a “big bite” out of taxi license valuations. Most states eventually paid owners to retire their licenses. Victoria, home to Melbourne, abolished its licenses in 2018, paying AUD$100,000 (about USD$75,000) for an owner’s first license and AUD$50,000 (about USD$37,000) for each of up to three more. NSW agreed in 2022 to pay AUD$150,000 (about USD$100,000) per Sydney license, capped at six licenses per owner, and then cancelled them. Both schemes were funded by levies on taxi and rideshare trips. Queensland is the most prominent exception. When it legalized rideshare in 2016, the state paid owners a one-off AUD$20,000 (about USD$15,000) per license, for up to two licenses, but kept the licenses in place, and owners later pursued an AUD$1 billion legal action against the state. The state’s transfer register shows how far values fell. A standard Brisbane license peaked at AUD$560,000 (about USD$505,000) in 2014. Gold Coast licenses, in a smaller tourist market, traded even higher, peaking at nearly AUD$690,000 (about USD$520,000) in 2006. In 2026, both have traded for a fraction of that: a Brisbane license changed hands for AUD$22,500 (about USD$16,000) in June, and Gold Coast licenses have sold for under AUD$30,000 (about USD$21,000). As Australia prepares for driverless vehicles, that raises a question each state will have to answer: whether a system governments already understand, a capped and licensed fleet, should return as the way robotaxis enter the market. In Queensland, where licenses still exist, they could serve as that onboarding mechanism, much as New York might use its medallions and TLC plates. Australian dollar (AUD) figures are converted to US dollars (USD) at the average exchange rate for the year cited. Latest from AutoMarketwire (sponsored by MyTLCCar) * Local unions rally against proposed ‘robotaxi’ bill in DC (FOX 5 Washington DC) * Waymo recruits New York political veterans for driverless-car push (Crain’s New York Business) * Elon Musk says Tesla robotaxis face a major hurdle driving at night (Firstpost) * Woman’s routine Uber ride takes alarming turn after driver misses exit (New York Post) * DCWP, TLC, and CCHR Issue Enforcement Policy Statement on Artificial Intelligence (NYC.gov) Latest from AutoMarketplace * Taxi Trips Down 6.6%, Uber & Lyft Up 6.4% (July-August 2026) * Commissioner’s Corner: Access is Everything (October 2026) * $28,000 for an NYC TLC Plate? Could It Become a Robotaxi Permit? * TLC Commissioners Voted 4 To 1 For Driver Fine & Taxi Medallion Relief. It Failed Anyway Food for thought… Timestamps 0:00 Introduction1:56 Capitalism vs. the "taxi cartel"4:53 Why New York created the medallion6:41 The medallion as a city asset9:15 Travis Kalanick and "city utility licensing"10:59 Exec summary: a licensing problem, not a technology problem12:01 Why NYC matters12:48 Why NYC is unique: one regulator and the 2018 FHV cap15:55 How AVs are regulated today16:10 Defining the zone: NYC as a geofence18:20 Who regulates AVs: federal, state and city21:30 The state's safety driver requirement23:22 Waymo's expired NYC permit24:17 Why Albany dropped the robotaxi proposal26:34 Robotaxis: when, not if27:06 The current rule: paid AV trips need a TLC license28:29 Medallions and TLC plates29:31 Pro