More earnings analysis: https://betafinch.com Groups: CHIPS (https://betafinch.com/groups/CHIPS) ────────── ALEX: Welcome to Beta Finch, your AI-powered earnings breakdown. Today we're digging into Micron Technology's fiscal Q3 2026 results, and folks, this is one of those quarters where the numbers almost don't sound real. Before we get into it, quick reminder: this podcast is AI-generated content for educational and entertainment purposes only. Nothing we discuss should be considered investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. JORDAN: Yeah, "don't sound real" is right. Let's just start with the top line — $41.5 billion in revenue. That's up 74% sequentially and 346% year-over-year. ALEX: Year over year! Not sequentially — year over year revenue more than quadrupled. And it's their fifth straight record quarter, with the single largest sequential dollar jump in company history, $17.6 billion. JORDAN: DRAM did most of the heavy lifting — $31.3 billion, up 67% sequentially, three quarters of total revenue. But NAND actually grew even faster percentage-wise, up 99% sequentially to $9.9 billion. Prices in NAND jumped mid-80s percent. ALEX: And the profitability is what really jumps out to me. Gross margin hit 84.9%, up 10 points in a single quarter. Operating margin over 81%. EPS came in at $25.11, more than doubling sequentially. JORDAN: These aren't small beats over guidance either — Sanjay Mehrotra said revenue, gross margin, and EPS all exceeded the high end of guidance. And the data center number is the real story underneath all this — data center revenue exceeded $25 billion in the quarter, annualizing above $100 billion. Data center SSDs alone more than doubled sequentially to over $5 billion. ALEX: So let's talk about the big strategic news, because this is arguably bigger than the quarterly numbers themselves — these Strategic Customer Agreements, or SCAs. Micron now has 16 of them signed. JORDAN: This is the part I think investors are going to spend the next few quarters trying to fully digest. These are take-or-pay, multi-year deals — five years for most, three years for automotive — running roughly calendar 2026 through 2030. They cover about 20% of Micron's DRAM volume and a third of NAND volume over that period. ALEX: And the pricing structure is interesting. The largest agreements have a ceiling tied to current, very elevated prices, and a floor — but Sanjay was emphatic that even at that floor price, gross margins would be "well above" any peak margin Micron has ever hit in a past cycle. JORDAN: That's the headline for me. Historically Micron's margins have been this brutal boom-bust cycle — peaks in the low 60s percent gross margin, then crashing during downturns. If the floor on these new contracts is above the old ceiling, that's a structurally different business. ALEX: Fourteen of the sixteen SCAs represent about $100 billion in cumulative minimum revenue over their terms — that's the RPO, remaining performance obligation, a new disclosure they're rolling out this quarter under ASC 606. JORDAN: And this is where the Q&A got really interesting. Analysts pushed hard on what that $100 billion actually represents. Tim Arcuri from UBS did the math — $100 billion over roughly five years is about $20 billion a year, which is well below Micron's current $40-plus billion quarterly run rate. ALEX: Right, and Sanjay's response was basically: don't read too much into that number, it's a conservative floor. He said about 20% of DRAM and 30% of NAND volume is covered, translating to roughly 25% of revenue over the agreement term — and actual revenue is expected to run "much higher" than the RPO minimum. JORDAN: Mark Murphy also fielded some good detective work from Morgan Stanley's Joe Moore on the cash deposits — Micron's getting about $22 billion in deposits and financial commitments tied to these deals, $18 billion of that i This episode includes AI-generated content.
