Toadstool Sports

Toad

Hi, I am Toad. I am an autistic sports bettor with no regard for my well-being! I provide daily detailed analysis of all of the major sports and give out my best plays. It's free gold, baby. Find me on YouTube at ToadStool Sports and Instagram and Twitter at LearnToToad.

  1. 1H AGO

    Wednesday BEST BETS | Totally | NBA Playoffs & NHL Playoffs & MLB | 5/6/26

    My links www.linktree.com/learntotoad www.patreon.com/learntotoad NBA PHI +7.5 MLB A's/PHI F5 Under 4.5 -110 MIN/WAS Over 9.5 +100 TEX/NYY Under 8.5 +100 MLB Totals Card + Sixers +7.5: Wheeler/Springs F5 Under, Twins-Nats Over, Rangers-Yankees Under | Toadstool Sports Toad recaps going 0-3 the prior day (Rangers collapse, hockey under spoiled by an empty-net goal, Cavs miss) and looks to bounce back on Wednesday, May 6. He runs through several MLB matchups and market notes, but keeps his official card mostly to totals: A’s vs. Phillies first five under 4.5 behind Jeffrey Springs vs. Zach Wheeler; Twins vs. Nationals over 9.5 due to Washington’s pitching/bullpen issues despite Bailey Ober; and Rangers vs. Yankees under 8.5 with Nathan Eovaldi vs. Will Warren and solid bullpens. In the NBA, he plays 76ers +7.5 vs. the Knicks, expecting regression after New York’s recent blowouts. He briefly discusses two hockey games and closes with channel plugs and upcoming WNBA attention. 00:00 Cold Open Lyrics 01:27 Rough Night Recap 03:29 Reset and Today Plan 04:36 Blue Jays Rays Breakdown 09:15 Brewers Cardinals Angle 13:23 Dodgers Astros Spot 17:37 Padres Giants Unclear 22:01 White Sox Angels Rookie 25:58 Channel Updates Q&A 26:44 Braves Mariners Preview 32:09 Best Bet A's Phillies 34:04 Springs vs Phillies Breakdown 35:09 Wheeler Return and Form 36:26 First Five Under Pick 38:04 Chat and Team Talk 39:55 Orioles Marlins No Play 40:55 Young vs Perez Matchup 44:22 Market Lean and Bullpens 45:12 Red Sox Tigers Series Chaos 48:45 Gray vs Flaherty Handicap 53:23 Twins Nationals Over Play 59:36 Rangers Yankees Under Play 01:05:11 Reds Cubs Series Read 01:09:32 Reds Cubs Betting Angle 01:10:42 Guardians Royals Breakdown 01:15:22 Mets Rockies Coors Spot 01:19:41 Pirates Dbacks Skenes 01:24:05 Canadiens Sabres Game 1 01:28:58 Ducks Knights Zigzag 01:30:30 Sixers Knicks Regression 01:35:12 Wolves Spurs Game 2 01:39:58 Plays Recap Sign Off 00:33 Outro Song #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #playoffs #nbaplayoffs #nhlplayoffs

    1h 43m
  2. 20H AGO

    Tuesday BEST BETS | Total Selectivity | NBA Playoffs & NHL Playoffs & MLB | 5/5/26

    My links www.linktree.com/learntotoad www.patreon.com/learntotoad NBA CLE +3 NHL MIN/COL Under 6.5 -110 MLB TEX +105 Toadstool Sports Tuesday (Cinco de Mayo): Rangers ML, Wild/Avalanche Under 6.5 & Cavs +3 | Full MLB Card Breakdown Toad returns on Cinco de Mayo after a 1-1 day, recapping the Marlins loss and a late empty-net goal cashing Vegas. He breaks down a selective MLB slate with detailed bullpen, offense, pitching, and market notes across multiple games, including A’s/Phillies, Orioles/Marlins, Red Sox/Tigers, Blue Jays/Rays, Twins/Nationals, and more. His only official baseball play is Texas Rangers moneyline at the Yankees, citing a rest edge, deGrom’s pitching advantage, and Texas’ superior bullpen while fading a public Yankees side. In NHL, he plays Wild/Avalanche under 6.5 in Game 2 after the 9-6 outlier. He also adds an NBA play: Cavaliers +3 at Detroit, leaning on experience and regression angles, while passing on the other NBA matchup. 00:00 Hold On Cold Open 01:27 Show Intro and Recap 03:04 Dodgers Talk and Chat 03:53 As vs Phillies Breakdown 09:36 Betting Style Rant 09:56 Orioles vs Marlins Preview 15:12 Red Sox vs Tigers Angle 21:11 Blue Jays vs Rays Lean 26:09 Twins vs Nationals Total 31:40 Rangers Fade Yankees Play 36:00 DeGrom Breakdown 37:28 Rodriguez Familiarity Edge 38:59 Rangers Value Pick 40:27 Reds Cubs Handicapping 45:26 Guardians Royals Pitching 50:28 Brewers Cardinals Angles 55:12 Dodgers Astros Ohtani Start 01:02:29 Break Chat And Recap 01:04:34 Mets Rockies Coors Field 01:10:12 White Sox Angels Preview 01:12:42 Aldigheri Breakdown 01:13:52 White Sox Betting Read 01:14:32 YouTube Notifications Rant 01:14:55 Braves Mariners Under 01:19:28 Pirates Diamondbacks Spot 01:24:48 Padres Giants Pitching 01:29:19 NHL Game Two Under 01:33:27 Cavs Pistons Play 01:41:30 Lakers Thunder Angle 01:45:20 Plays Recap Outro 01:45:49 Show Plugs Updates 01:47:41 Closing Song #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #playoffs #nbaplayoffs #nhlplayoffs

    1h 49m
  3. 2D AGO

    Monday BEST BETS | Are We Hot Again? | NBA Playoffs & NHL Playoffs & MLB | 5/4/26

    My links www.linktree.com/learntotoad www.patreon.com/learntotoad NHL VGK -1.5 +150 / -165 MLB MIA +100 Toad Stool Sports (Mon May 4): Miami ML Best Bet, Vegas Split Bet Playoff Pick + MLB/NHL/NBA Leans Toad opens with a song-like intro, recaps going 3-0 on yesterday’s show (Toronto/Minnesota first five under, full-game under, Philadelphia, and Cleveland Cavs), then previews Monday’s slate with one official MLB play and one NHL play. He passes on Mets-Rockies due to no Mets starter announced, leans Tigers/first five under vs Red Sox behind Skubal, and makes Miami +100 his lone baseball pick, fading Aaron Nola and backing Jansen Junk. He gives leans on multiple MLB games including Tampa Bay over Toronto, Yankees advantages vs Orioles, over lean in Reds-Cubs (wind), Milwaukee lean vs Cardinals, Dodgers team total vs Astros bullpen, and situational leans for Mariners and Padres. In NHL, he leans Flyers +1.5 but officially plays a Vegas split bet (moneyline plus -1.5). He also discusses NBA Game 1 leans and closes with plugs and upcoming content. 00:00 Hold On Intro 01:28 Show Opening Recap 02:54 Today Card Preview 03:36 Mets Rockies Breakdown 07:08 Red Sox Tigers Preview 12:01 Best Bet Miami 16:52 Nephilim Crash In 20:42 Back To Picks 20:44 Blue Jays Rays Lean 25:04 Orioles Yankees Setup 26:02 Baz vs Yankees Breakdown 27:19 Schlittler Cy Young Case 28:29 Yankees Tax And Bets 30:16 Reds Cubs Division Clash 32:13 Petty vs Cabrera Wrigley Wind 37:07 Guardians Royals Spot Fade 39:35 Bibee Wacha Total Debate 44:50 Brewers Cardinals Hangover 46:45 Patrick Leahy Pitching Edge 50:13 Dodgers Astros Bullpen Mismatch 55:44 White Sox Angels Pitchers Duel 01:03:37 Braves Mariners Bounceback Spot 01:05:37 Bullpen Rest Breakdown 01:06:49 Starting Pitchers Preview 01:08:54 Betting Market And Total 01:10:08 Giants Travel Fade Spot 01:11:44 Padres Edge And Starters 01:15:45 Padres Moneyline Lean 01:16:48 NHL Handicaps And Leans 01:19:44 Vegas Split Bet Explained 01:21:18 Vegas Vs Ducks Case 01:27:32 NBA Knicks Sixers Angle 01:31:22 Wolves Spurs Spread Talk 01:36:31 Wrap Up Plays And Plugs 01:37:10 World Cup Rant 01:39:27 Final Sign Off Outro #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #playoffs #nbaplayoffs #nhlplayoffs

    1h 42m
  4. 3D AGO

    Sunday BEST BETS | I'm Not Alive | NBA Playoffs & NHL Playoffs & MLB | 5/3/26

    My links www.linktree.com/learntotoad www.patreon.com/learntotoad NBA CLE -7.5 MLB TOR/MIN F5 Under 4.5 -130 PHI -140 Toad’s Sports (May 3): Blue Jays/Twins F5 Under, Phillies ML, Cavs -Points + Full Slate Leans Toad returns for Sunday, May 3, after going 2-2, and gives three official plays: Blue Jays–Twins first five innings under 4.5 (to avoid bad bullpens), Phillies moneyline at Miami behind Jesus Luzardo over Chris Paddack, and Cavaliers -7.5/-8 in a Game 7 at home. He breaks down numerous MLB matchups with pitching, bullpen usage, offense rankings, public/money splits, and situational angles (sweeps, lookaheads), offering leans on totals and sides but passing several games. He also previews two NHL Game 7/series openers (lean Tampa Bay; slight lean Minnesota) and discusses NBA Game 7s, including Detroit–Orlando and Cleveland–Toronto rationale. He closes with channel plugs and frustration about lack of subscriber growth. 00:00 Cold Open Lyrics 01:28 Show Intro and Recap 01:44 Best Bet Jays Twins F5 Under 05:25 Orioles Yankees Breakdown 10:51 Reds Pirates Pitching Duel 16:50 Astros Red Sox Spot 22:27 Brewers Nationals Stay Away 29:07 Best Bet Phillies at Marlins 37:07 Giants Rays Series Angle 39:58 Giants Rays Under Lean 42:42 Dodgers Cardinals Sweep Spot 44:44 Robleski vs May Breakdown 49:54 Dbacks Cubs Wind Game 52:11 Kelly Boyd Pitching Mystery 59:20 Braves Rockies Strider Returns 01:05:32 Coors Field Betting Stayaway 01:08:48 Guardians As Bullpen Park 01:11:07 Messick vs Civale First Five 01:14:28 Mets Angels Pitching Edges 01:15:56 Holmes vs Kohanowicz Under Look 01:20:35 White Sox Padres Sweep Pressure 01:21:10 Padres White Sox Breakdown 01:25:29 Over Total and Price Talk 01:26:45 Royals Mariners Pick 01:32:31 Rangers Tigers Bullpen Game 01:38:02 NHL Game Seven Angles 01:41:20 Wild Avalanche Series Read 01:46:11 NBA Game Sevens Picks 01:56:01 Final Card and Signoff #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #playoffs #nbaplayoffs #nhlplayoffs

    1h 59m
  5. 4D AGO

    Saturday BEST BETS | Derby Day | NBA Playoffs & NHL Playoffs & MLB | 5/2/26

    My links www.linktree.com/learntotoad www.patreon.com/learntotoad NBA BOS -7.5 NHL PHI +1.5 -135 / +185 MLB CHC -1.5 +140 / -160 CWS/SD F5 Under 4.5 -118 Derby Day Picks + MLB Best Bets (Cubs Split, White Sox/Padres F5 Under) | Flyers Split Bet & Celtics Game 7 Toadstool Sports host Toad recaps going 2-2 the prior day, expresses frustration with the Dodgers loss and a ruined Mariners/Royals under, and notes The Puma has been scratched from the Kentucky Derby while pointing viewers to his Derby special. He breaks down multiple MLB matchups with bullpen, offense, starter stats, splits, market percentages, and leans, highlighting two official baseball plays: a Cubs split bet (part moneyline, part -1.5) versus Arizona behind Imanaga vs Nelson, and White Sox–Padres first five under 4.5 featuring Burke vs Michael King. He also gives a situational NHL playoff play on a Flyers split bet (+1.5 and moneyline) at Carolina due to rest-vs-rust, and an NBA Game 7 wager on Celtics -7.5/-8 at home versus Philadelphia, citing regression from poor shooting and series context. 00:00 Gambler Blues Intro 01:27 Derby Day Update 02:14 Yesterday Recap 03:36 Today Card Preview 04:16 Leans That Hit 05:19 Yankees Orioles Breakdown 09:13 Blue Jays Twins Breakdown 13:39 Cubs Split Bet Play 19:27 Reds Pirates Quick Look 24:42 Brewers Nationals Lean 31:17 311 Side Chat 32:01 Guardians Athletics Total Talk 37:08 Astros Red Sox Breakdown 41:21 First Five Under Angle 42:47 Phillies Marlins Matchup 46:30 Lean Miami First Five 47:41 Giants Rays Bullpen Game 49:42 Raupp vs Rays Opener 53:57 Rangers Tigers Bullpen Edge 57:10 Detroit Split and Totals 59:04 Midstream Break and Reset 01:00:43 Dodgers Cardinals Rematch 01:01:59 Sasaki vs McGreevy Read 01:05:49 Braves Rockies at Coors 01:11:11 Coors First Five Under 01:13:09 White Sox Padres Under 01:15:04 Burke King Breakdown 01:18:53 Mets Angels Lean 01:23:44 Royals Mariners Total 01:29:22 Flyers Upset Split 01:35:27 Celtics Game Seven 01:44:07 Plays Recap Outro #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #playoffs #nbaplayoffs #nhlplayoffs

    1h 47m
  6. 5D AGO

    Friday BEST BETS | I Hate Everything | NBA Playoffs & NHL Playoffs & MLB | 5/1/26

    My links www.linktree.com/learntotoad www.patreon.com/learntotoad MLB TEX +100 MIL -1.5 +110 LAD -1.5 -105 KC/SEA Under 7 -103 Toadstool Sports (May 1): Rough Day Recap + MLB Best Bets (Rangers ML, Brewers RL, Dodgers RL, KC/SEA Under) + NHL/NBA Leans Toad opens the May 1 episode after a brutal prior day, recapping a strange Astros/Orioles doubleheader result, venting about the Celtics forcing another Game 7 with Jayson Tatum’s calf injury, and noting a Ducks win as hockey playoff results improve. He previews the MLB slate, passing on D-backs/Cubs, then gives four official plays: Texas Rangers moneyline (+100) vs Detroit, Brewers -1.5 (+110) at Washington behind a major starting-pitching edge, Dodgers -1.5 (about -105) at St. Louis in a bounce-back/rest spot, and Royals/Mariners under 7 with Ragans vs Wu. He also discusses several other matchups (including rest/travel and bullpen usage), leans such as White Sox 1st 5 vs Padres and Blue Jays/Twins over, and closes with NHL and NBA playoff thoughts and show plugs. 00:00 Cold Open Hold On 01:27 Show Intro Bad Beats 01:50 Astros Doubleheader Recap 02:59 Celtics Collapse Rant 05:20 Hockey Playoffs Check In 06:13 Chat Sixers Flop Hate 07:37 Today Card Setup 08:15 Cubs Diamondbacks Breakdown 14:26 Best Bet Rangers Moneyline 21:35 Pirates Reds Handicapping 28:02 Brewers Run Line Play 34:26 Doubleheader Fade Angles 35:03 Yankees Orioles Spot 40:02 Astros Red Sox Preview 42:23 Red Sox Starter Mystery 44:40 Bullpen Edge Team Total 47:05 Phillies Marlins Spot 48:29 First Five Under Lean 51:51 Giants Rays Rest Angle 53:58 Ray vs McClanahan Breakdown 58:34 Blue Jays Twins Over 01:03:03 Dodgers Run Line Play 01:06:30 Sheehan vs Liberatore 01:12:47 Braves Rockies Coors Read 01:19:54 Mets Angels Pitching Mystery 01:26:34 White Sox Padres Breakdown 01:27:27 Bullpen and Offense Edges 01:28:52 Noah Schultz First Five Lean 01:30:23 Fading Marquez at Home 01:32:18 Guardians Athletics Matchup 01:33:36 Cantillo vs Ginn Pitching Angles 01:36:39 First Five Under and Side Lean 01:37:57 Royals Mariners Under 7 01:40:28 Ragans and Wu Pitching Case 01:45:05 NHL Playoff Leans 01:45:14 Lightning Canadiens Elimination Game 01:48:17 Bruins Sabres Home Spot 01:50:04 Golden Knights Closeout Talk 01:53:34 NBA Playoff Slate 01:53:40 Pistons Magic Game Six 01:56:44 Raptors Cavs Betting Value 02:00:47 Lakers Rockets Zigzag Angle 02:05:37 Final Card and Sign Off #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #playoffs #nbaplayoffs #nhlplayoffs

    2h 9m
  7. 6D AGO

    Thursday BEST BETS | Rainouts | NBA Playoffs & NHL Playoffs & MLB | 4/30/26

    My links www.linktree.com/learntotoad www.patreon.com/learntotoad NBA BOS -6 NHL ANA +110 MLB HOU (G1 - Lambert v Bassitt, Pitchers Must Start) F5 +100 April 30 Betting Picks: Astros F5 (Game 1), Ducks ML, Celtics -6 | MLB Doubleheaders Breakdown Toad opens by venting about a brutal betting slump, then gives his Thursday, April 30 card across MLB, NHL, and NBA. He recaps an easy Yankees/Rangers under win and a Cavaliers spread loss, mentions Red Sox pitching injuries, and notes Philadelphia fired its manager. On the MLB slate—complicated by rainouts and doubleheaders—his only official baseball play is Houston Astros first five innings moneyline in Game 1 vs Baltimore (Lambert vs Bassitt), emphasizing “listed pitchers must start” and fading Houston’s bullpen. He leans through other matchups including Tigers/Braves, Giants/Phillies doubleheader, Pirates with Paul Skenes, and more. In hockey he plays Anaheim moneyline vs Edmonton. In the NBA he backs Celtics -6 at Philadelphia, with additional leans on Hawks and an under in Nuggets/Timberwolves. 00:00 Slump Spiral Montage 01:34 Show Intro and Recap 05:01 Detroit Atlanta Breakdown 10:00 Doubleheader Setup 11:26 Astros Orioles Game One Pick 16:06 Astros Orioles Game Two Lean 19:29 Giants Phillies Game One 23:37 Giants Phillies Game Two Mystery 28:27 Cardinals Pirates Skenes Day 33:18 Rockies Reds Total Talk 38:41 Nationals Mets Blowout Recap 39:29 Philly Manager Spark 40:19 Mets Nationals Breakdown 43:48 Mets Team Total Angle 44:59 Dbacks Brewers Pitching 49:08 Royals As Total Debate 53:44 Jays Twins First Five 59:23 Hockey Series Setup 01:01:57 Ducks Upset Pick 01:05:41 NBA Hawks Lean 01:09:02 Celtics Bounce Back Bet 01:13:23 Nuggets Wolves Under Lean 01:18:44 Wrap Up Plays And Plugs #bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #playoffs #nbaplayoffs #nhlplayoffs

    1h 20m

About

Hi, I am Toad. I am an autistic sports bettor with no regard for my well-being! I provide daily detailed analysis of all of the major sports and give out my best plays. It's free gold, baby. Find me on YouTube at ToadStool Sports and Instagram and Twitter at LearnToToad.